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Earthquake watch begins after August 4th -- but will a megaquake hit?

 
TheTruthWorker
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08/02/2012 09:29 AM
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Earthquake watch begins after August 4th -- but will a megaquake hit?
Many threads here on GLP are predicting a megaquake (or some other big event) on August 4. My research indicates that historically asteroids making close approaches to Earth are sometimes connected to quake activity.

We tend to see more quake activity on days and time frames when we have a higher number of space rocks coming within .5 AU of the planet. My most accurate quake forecasts have been when I find asteroids that have a consistent history of quakes within a day of their past close approach dates.

So maybe a "swarm" of asteroids increases the odds that one of them has a history of quake activity which is the driving influence behind quakes happening often when there are many objects coming close.

On August 5th we begin one of these "swarm" periods which lasts through August 9th. During this 5 day window we may see a number of 6.3+ quakes or maybe the illusive 7.0+ which we have not seen since April.

Most significant dates are August 7th and 8th.

See chart below for NEO (near earth object) daily counts and averages. Then see the graph which shows the 5 day average peaking during this period.

aug7r
Data from [link to neo.jpl.nasa.gov]

swarm8

5 Day average "peak periods" per graph:

July 5-6-7
July 21-22-23
Aug 5-6-7-8-9

July 6.3+ Quakes per [link to neic.usgs.gov]

07 03 -- 6.3
07 06 -- 6.3
07 25 -- 6.4
07 25 -- 6.4
07 26 -- 6.7
07 28 -- 6.5

I'm not saying all earthquakes are influenced by asteroids, just like all quakes are not influenced by solar activity, planetary alignments or missing pets. Just an indicator and seems to be a connection for some reason.

I do not think we'll see a megaquake soon, just a step up in quake activity.

Last Edited by TheTruthWorker on 08/02/2012 10:29 AM
TheTruthWorker (OP)

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Re: Earthquake watch begins after August 4th -- but will a megaquake hit?
2012 OO was first observed on July 16, 2012.
It's an asteroid 210-480 meters in size.
It makes it's next close approach August 7th.
Orbit and close approach table: [link to ssd.jpl.nasa.gov]

2012 OO quake history on last 4 approaches:

1970-Jul-30 -- 0.1704 AU
1970-Jul-31 -- 8.0 magnitude -- Columbia [link to en.wikipedia.org]

1981-Sep-13 -- 0.0562 AU
1981-Sep-13 -- No event
(NOTE: There were three 7.6+ quakes in 1981 on May 25, Sept 1 and Dec 19)

1992-Oct-18 -- 0.4155 AU
1992-Oct-18 -- 7.4 magnitude -- Columbia [link to earthquakes.findthedata.org]

2001-Jul-08 -- 0.4778 AU
2001-Jul-07 -- 7.6 magnitude -- Peru [link to en.wikipedia.org]

2012-Aug-07 -- 0.1102 AU

To me this would point to a 7.0+ quake within a day of August 7, 2012.
Note: Related past quakes were in South America.
TheTruthWorker (OP)

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Re: Earthquake watch begins after August 4th -- but will a megaquake hit?
Thread: What the F*CK is going on August 3rd-5th?
Thread: AUGUST 5th!!!!!!
Thread: ***FIRST CONTACT*** ON SATURDAY AUGUST 4TH - London Olympics
Thread: ATTN: AUGUST 4 UFOtards.. Date has been changed to August 5th 2012 and I HAVE PROOF!
TheTruthWorker (OP)

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Re: Earthquake watch begins after August 4th -- but will a megaquake hit?
Thread: Just Got Off The Phone With My Uncle -- He Said Yeah, August 4th Is The Real Deal. Aliens Will Show Up At The Olympics
Thread: Saturn Exits Virgo August 4th: Vedic Astrology
Thread: August 4th - The Day 2012 Comes Alive - Real Insider Information Indicating First Contact
Thread: Death of Gore Vidal is a serious warning about the "Saturn doom" on August 4th
TheTruthWorker (OP)

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Re: Earthquake watch begins after August 4th -- but will a megaquake hit?
Thread: Use Discernment for August 4th - Look at This
Thread: Friday 3rd of August. Massive deadly, Virus outbreak in London.
Thread: OMG!!! FIVE very recent crop circles point to August 4, has this happened before?
Thread: Something big is going to hit the earth between august 2 and 4.
Thread: August 4th. crop Formation Is MAN-MADE.
TheTruthWorker (OP)

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Re: Earthquake watch begins after August 4th -- but will a megaquake hit?
Thread: WHY TU B'AV (AUGUST 3, 2012) MAY BE THE RAPTURE OF THE CHURCH!!!
Thread: Where is my post "Super Saturday : August 4 - London Olympics False Flag, Prince William, New World Order, etc" gone ?
Thread: JULY 4TH ---> AUGUST 5TH A SHIFT IN CONSCIOUSNESS (PUSH DATES)
Thread: Curiosity's "Seven Minutes of Terror" -will begin August 6 at 5:24 am according to NASA
Sparrow and Medicine

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08/02/2012 01:25 PM
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Re: Earthquake watch begins after August 4th -- but will a megaquake hit?
For a "Truth Worker", you sure talk some bullshit.
"What happened to the legendary Chris Redfield, huh? What happened to you!?"
TheTruthWorker (OP)

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08/02/2012 02:22 PM
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Re: Earthquake watch begins after August 4th -- but will a megaquake hit?
For a "Truth Worker", you sure talk some bullshit.
 Quoting: Sparrow and Medicine


How's that? What do you disagree with?
Falcifer

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08/02/2012 03:00 PM
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Re: Earthquake watch begins after August 4th -- but will a megaquake hit?
Wow, nice work!
TheTruthWorker (OP)

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08/02/2012 03:18 PM
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Re: Earthquake watch begins after August 4th -- but will a megaquake hit?
Wow, nice work!
 Quoting: Falcifer


Thanks. Here is some related info:

Thread: AMAZING new discovery... earthquakes influenced by asteroids!
Anonymous Coward
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08/02/2012 04:36 PM
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Re: Earthquake watch begins after August 4th -- but will a megaquake hit?
Megaquakes do not come in sizes <8m, aka megathrust earthquakes are generally 9>m
Anonymous Coward
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08/02/2012 04:37 PM
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Re: Earthquake watch begins after August 4th -- but will a megaquake hit?
I'm hoping we get to see another spiral in the sky :)
TheTruthWorker (OP)

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08/02/2012 05:57 PM
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Re: Earthquake watch begins after August 4th -- but will a megaquake hit?
Megaquakes do not come in sizes <8m, aka megathrust earthquakes are generally 9>m
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 21122888


I would agree. Interesting though as I just looked it up and found this:

noun
a very powerful earthquake, which measures more than 7 on the Richter scale
---
Mega-quakes of magnitude 9 or greater occur less frequently in the northern segment and can rupture the entire fault, even as magnitude-8 earthquakes strike more often in the southern segment.



[link to www.wordnik.com]
[link to www.macmillandictionary.com]
Anonymous Coward
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08/02/2012 06:13 PM
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Re: Earthquake watch begins after August 4th -- but will a megaquake hit?
Megaquakes do not come in sizes <8m, aka megathrust earthquakes are generally 9>m
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 21122888


I would agree. Interesting though as I just looked it up and found this:

noun
a very powerful earthquake, which measures more than 7 on the Richter scale
---
Mega-quakes of magnitude 9 or greater occur less frequently in the northern segment and can rupture the entire fault, even as magnitude-8 earthquakes strike more often in the southern segment.



[link to www.wordnik.com]
[link to www.macmillandictionary.com]
 Quoting: TheTruthWorker


I did read those sometime ago, not sure how they can class a 7 as a megathrust quake? their information is wrong.
Megathrust quakes happen on subduction zones 'mainly', and then they only happen on zones that have been known to produce an 8>.
A 7 is nowhere near classed a megaquake.





At magnitude 9, the quake was propelled into another class of monster - a megaquake. The scale used to measure earthquake magnitude, whilst useful, does not do justice to the energy involved in the biggest of the big.

The moment magnitude scale is logarithmic - meaning the energy released by a magnitude 9 is around 32 times greater than a magnitude 8, and almost 1,000 times larger than a magnitude 7.
[link to www.cosmosmagazine.com]
TheTruthWorker (OP)

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08/02/2012 09:28 PM
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Re: Earthquake watch begins after August 4th -- but will a megaquake hit?
Megaquakes do not come in sizes <8m, aka megathrust earthquakes are generally 9>m
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 21122888


I would agree. Interesting though as I just looked it up and found this:

noun
a very powerful earthquake, which measures more than 7 on the Richter scale
---
Mega-quakes of magnitude 9 or greater occur less frequently in the northern segment and can rupture the entire fault, even as magnitude-8 earthquakes strike more often in the southern segment.



[link to www.wordnik.com]
[link to www.macmillandictionary.com]
 Quoting: TheTruthWorker


I did read those sometime ago, not sure how they can class a 7 as a megathrust quake? their information is wrong.
Megathrust quakes happen on subduction zones 'mainly', and then they only happen on zones that have been known to produce an 8>.
A 7 is nowhere near classed a megaquake.





At magnitude 9, the quake was propelled into another class of monster - a megaquake. The scale used to measure earthquake magnitude, whilst useful, does not do justice to the energy involved in the biggest of the big.

The moment magnitude scale is logarithmic - meaning the energy released by a magnitude 9 is around 32 times greater than a magnitude 8, and almost 1,000 times larger than a magnitude 7.
[link to www.cosmosmagazine.com]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 21121930


LARGEST EARTHQUAKES IN THE WORLD

Magnitude Date Location
9.5 May 22, 1960 Chile
9.2 March 27, 1964 Prince William Sound, Alaska
9.1 December 26, 2004 West Coast of Northern Sumatra
9.1 March 9, 1957 Andreanof Islands, Alaska
9.0 November 4, 1952 Kamchatka
8.8 January 31, 1906 Off coast of Ecuador
8.7 February 3, 1965 Rat Islands, Alaska
8.6 August 15, 1950 Assam, India-Tibet
8.5 February 4, 1923 Kamchatka
8.5 February 2, 1938 Banda Sea, Indonesia
8.5 October 13, 1963 Kuril Islands

[link to www.consrv.ca.gov]
TheTruthWorker (OP)

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Re: Earthquake watch begins after August 4th -- but will a megaquake hit?
Magnitude Scale Examples

Magnitude --TNT Energy -- Example

0.2 -- 30 g -- Large hand grenade
1.2 -- 1.1 kg -- Single stick of dynamite
4.0 -- 15 metric tons
5.0 -- 480 metric tons
6.0 -- 15 kilotons
7.0 -- 480 kilotons
8.0 -- 15 megatons
8.5 -- 85 megatons -- Sumatra earthquake (Indonesia), 2007
9.0 -- 480 megatons -- Great East Japan Earthquake, March 2011
9.1 -- 800 megatons -- Toba eruption 75,000 years ago; among largest volcanic events
9.2 -- 950 megatons -- Sumatra earthquake/tsunami 2004
9.5 -- 2.7 gigatons -- Valdivia earthquake (Chile), 1960
10.0 -- 15 gigatons -- Never recorded
12.5 -- 100 teratons -- Yucatán Peninsula impact (creating Chicxulub crater) 65 Ma ago
32.0 -- Magnitude of the starquake on the magnetar SGR 1806-20, on December 27, 2004.

[link to en.wikipedia.org]
Anonymous Coward
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08/03/2012 10:10 AM
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Re: Earthquake watch begins after August 4th -- but will a megaquake hit?
Bump bump
TheTruthWorker (OP)

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08/03/2012 12:05 PM
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Re: Earthquake watch begins after August 4th -- but will a megaquake hit?
Thread: Alien Invasion saturday 4 august at 3pm
dettro99

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08/04/2012 03:06 AM
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Re: Earthquake watch begins after August 4th -- but will a megaquake hit?
bump
Anonymous Coward
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Re: Earthquake watch begins after August 4th -- but will a megaquake hit?
Thread: Our new non-event megaquake swarm watch period is Aug 5th-9th
Anonymous Coward
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08/04/2012 04:58 AM
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Re: Earthquake watch begins after August 4th -- but will a megaquake hit?
2012 OO was first observed on July 16, 2012.
It's an asteroid 210-480 meters in size.
It makes it's next close approach August 7th.
Orbit and close approach table: [link to ssd.jpl.nasa.gov]

2012 OO quake history on last 4 approaches:

1970-Jul-30 -- 0.1704 AU
1970-Jul-31 -- 8.0 magnitude -- Columbia [link to en.wikipedia.org]

1981-Sep-13 -- 0.0562 AU
1981-Sep-13 -- No event
(NOTE: There were three 7.6+ quakes in 1981 on May 25, Sept 1 and Dec 19)

1992-Oct-18 -- 0.4155 AU
1992-Oct-18 -- 7.4 magnitude -- Columbia [link to earthquakes.findthedata.org]

2001-Jul-08 -- 0.4778 AU
2001-Jul-07 -- 7.6 magnitude -- Peru [link to en.wikipedia.org]

2012-Aug-07 -- 0.1102 AU

To me this would point to a 7.0+ quake within a day of August 7, 2012.
Note: Related past quakes were in South America.
 Quoting: TheTruthWorker


does your theory apply to the 7 in christchurch 3rd September 2010 or the Feb 22nd 2011?

or the Japanese earthquake?
TheTruthWorker (OP)

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08/04/2012 07:41 AM
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Re: Earthquake watch begins after August 4th -- but will a megaquake hit?


A quick look at you posting history indicates the trolls are bored?
TheTruthWorker (OP)

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Re: Earthquake watch begins after August 4th -- but will a megaquake hit?


A quick look at you posting history indicates the trolls are bored?
 Quoting: TheTruthWorker



TheTruthWorker (OP)

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08/09/2012 09:11 PM
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Re: Earthquake watch begins after August 4th -- but will a megaquake hit?
Thread: (Updated) QUAKES! A Great number of M4.5 - M5.6 Quakes from the Mid-Atl ridge to East Asia, Pacific, West U.S...continued (Day 12)

Thread: California Earthquake SWARM IN PROGRESS

4.0+ Quakes California last 30 Days [link to earthquake.usgs.gov]


4.4 -- 2012-08-09 15:24:26 40.763°N 125.197°W 24.8
4.5 -- 2012-08-08 16:33:22 33.904°N 117.789°W 9.7
4.5 -- 2012-08-08 06:23:34 33.907°N 117.790°W 10.4
4.5 -- 2012-08-06 07:35:49 35.950°N 120.503°W 11.6
5.2 -- 2012-07-21 06:04:21 40.412°N 125.331°W 6.1
4.9 -- 2012-07-21 06:04:21 40.412°N 125.331°W 6.1
5.1 -- 2012-07-21 01:52:01 40.385°N 125.528°W 25.0
4.0 -- 2012-07-12 10:39:07 40.747°N 123.679°W 30.4
Steve8511

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08/09/2012 09:15 PM
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Re: Earthquake watch begins after August 4th -- but will a megaquake hit?
As are the rest of the Aug 9th BS...... FAIL!

Own it.
TheTruthWorker (OP)

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08/09/2012 09:37 PM
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Re: Earthquake watch begins after August 4th -- but will a megaquake hit?
As are the rest of the Aug 9th BS...... FAIL!

Own it.
 Quoting: Steve8511


You can call it a fail on a possible 7.0 but I expected a pick up in earthquakes and we did see that. Not big ones but swarms. My theory is higher number of NEOs increase quake activity.

I do own it. Happy to. Just sharing.
Cahoots

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08/10/2012 10:23 AM
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Re: Earthquake watch begins after August 4th -- but will a megaquake hit?
As are the rest of the Aug 9th BS...... FAIL!

Own it.
 Quoting: Steve8511


You can call it a fail on a possible 7.0 but I expected a pick up in earthquakes and we did see that. Not big ones but swarms. My theory is higher number of NEOs increase quake activity.

I do own it. Happy to. Just sharing.
 Quoting: TheTruthWorker


Not only did you fail on the 6+ you failed on the 7, the 'possible' megaquake and there were NO swarms.
Truthworker there is nothing that proves your theory.
TheTruthWorker (OP)

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08/10/2012 04:27 PM
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Re: Earthquake watch begins after August 4th -- but will a megaquake hit?
As are the rest of the Aug 9th BS...... FAIL!

Own it.
 Quoting: Steve8511


You can call it a fail on a possible 7.0 but I expected a pick up in earthquakes and we did see that. Not big ones but swarms. My theory is higher number of NEOs increase quake activity.

I do own it. Happy to. Just sharing.
 Quoting: TheTruthWorker


Not only did you fail on the 6+ you failed on the 7, the 'possible' megaquake and there were NO swarms.
Truthworker there is nothing that proves your theory.
 Quoting: Cahoots


Nothing in my opening post failed. And I was not expecting any megaquake.

In a follow up post I said I would expect to see a 7.0+ due to one NEO that had a consistent history which failed.

There are plenty of threads on GLP about the California quake swarm during this time frame, links posted above.

It is a fact that in the past we have had a higher number of earthquakes when we have a higher daily NEO count as reported here Thread: AMAZING new discovery... earthquakes influenced by asteroids!

Last year we were getting high daily counts of 8, 9, 10 and more. In past few months a high count is only 5 or 6, so I use averages. We are in a period of low NEO daily counts, and also low number of big earthquakes.

Next high count date is August 18th currently with 6.
TheTruthWorker (OP)

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08/10/2012 04:28 PM
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Re: Earthquake watch begins after August 4th -- but will a megaquake hit?
Thread: (Updated) QUAKES! A Great number of M4.5 - M5.6 Quakes from the Mid-Atl ridge to East Asia, Pacific, West U.S...continued (Day 12)

Thread: California Earthquake SWARM IN PROGRESS

4.0+ Quakes California last 30 Days [link to earthquake.usgs.gov]


4.4 -- 2012-08-09 15:24:26 40.763°N 125.197°W 24.8
4.5 -- 2012-08-08 16:33:22 33.904°N 117.789°W 9.7
4.5 -- 2012-08-08 06:23:34 33.907°N 117.790°W 10.4
4.5 -- 2012-08-06 07:35:49 35.950°N 120.503°W 11.6
5.2 -- 2012-07-21 06:04:21 40.412°N 125.331°W 6.1
4.9 -- 2012-07-21 06:04:21 40.412°N 125.331°W 6.1
5.1 -- 2012-07-21 01:52:01 40.385°N 125.528°W 25.0
4.0 -- 2012-07-12 10:39:07 40.747°N 123.679°W 30.4
 Quoting: TheTruthWorker

TheTruthWorker (OP)

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08/20/2012 01:19 PM
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Re: Earthquake watch begins after August 4th -- but will a megaquake hit?
As are the rest of the Aug 9th BS...... FAIL!

Own it.
 Quoting: Steve8511


You can call it a fail on a possible 7.0 but I expected a pick up in earthquakes and we did see that. Not big ones but swarms. My theory is higher number of NEOs increase quake activity.

I do own it. Happy to. Just sharing.
 Quoting: TheTruthWorker


Not only did you fail on the 6+ you failed on the 7, the 'possible' megaquake and there were NO swarms.
Truthworker there is nothing that proves your theory.
 Quoting: Cahoots


Nothing in my opening post failed. And I was not expecting any megaquake.

In a follow up post I said I would expect to see a 7.0+ due to one NEO that had a consistent history which failed.

There are plenty of threads on GLP about the California quake swarm during this time frame, links posted above.

It is a fact that in the past we have had a higher number of earthquakes when we have a higher daily NEO count as reported here Thread: AMAZING new discovery... earthquakes influenced by asteroids!

Last year we were getting high daily counts of 8, 9, 10 and more. In past few months a high count is only 5 or 6, so I use averages. We are in a period of low NEO daily counts, and also low number of big earthquakes.

Next high count date is August 18th currently with 6.
 Quoting: TheTruthWorker


6.2 Angoram, Papua New Guinea 2012-08-19
6.3 Palu, Indonesia 2012-08-18

[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]

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