Once this Black Swan takes flight will things literally change overnight, or will it take a year or two for things to seep in?
Quoting: Anonymous Coward 6391052 The black swan i would assume is the representation of the ugliest of the ugly in the ugly duckling story. But from such depths of ugliness comes the most beautiful of all. Or such is my understanding of the great protagonist of our times. In a strictly literary sense that is. ; ) LOL
A story is being written as the human race as the ink.
I was actually referring to this:
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link to en.m.wikipedia.org]
The black swan theory or theory of black swan events is a metaphor that describes an event that is a surprise (to the observer), has a major impact, and after the fact is often inappropriately rationalized with the benefit of hindsight.
The theory was developed by Nassim Nicholas Taleb to explain:
The disproportionate role of high-impact, hard-to-predict, and rare events that are beyond the realm of normal expectations in history, science, finance and technology
The non-computability of the probability of the consequential rare events using scientific methods (owing to the very nature of small probabilities)
The psychological biases that make people individually and collectively blind to uncertainty and unaware of the massive role of the rare event in historical affairs
Unlike the earlier philosophical "black swan problem", the "black swan theory" refers only to unexpected events of large magnitude and consequence and their dominant role in history. Such events, considered extreme outliers, collectively play vastly larger roles than regular occurrences.
