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I reside either 12 miles west of New Orleans or 20 miles above it. Should I evacuate?

 
Heretic_333
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08/27/2012 01:39 AM
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I reside either 12 miles west of New Orleans or 20 miles above it. Should I evacuate?
I have two houses, one in Laplace, and one in Mandeville.

LaPlace is generally the halfway point located on I-10 between New Orleans and Baton Rouge.

I reside here 1/3 of the time.

Mandeville is the first city in the "North Shore" you come across while taking the record breaking bridge (about 23 miles) across Lake Pontchatrain,

I reside here 2/3 of the time.

There will be more concrete projections tomorrow, but the eye of the storm is generally gonna fall between Laplace and the east bank of New Orleans. Putting the storm in a direct patch in either of my houses.

I say if the strongest its gonna get is a CAT 2, then just throw my first hurricane party of the year.

Now anything stronger than a 3 (with my head being a highly probable eye projection) I would consider evacuating to Shreveport, LA.

Or Northeast, OH to visit family and friends.

What does GLP think??

HAARP, levie failure, sinkhole explosion (which is 20mi west of me) 0 government response, corexit toxins, elongated power outage etc.

Last Edited by Heretic_333 on 08/27/2012 01:45 AM
A true minded, kind hearted... Iconoclast.

"We fight for truth, so love may venture, and peace may follow" ~ Ancient Astronaut Theorists.

If I told you everything I am about to say is a lie. Is it truth or a lie?

I built the wrench necessary to bolt the 3 stage capping process on the spill. My tolerances were not overlooked.

"Tattered banners, and bloody flags... The mist of Odin sweeps it all."
1908247

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08/27/2012 01:39 AM
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Re: I reside either 12 miles west of New Orleans or 20 miles above it. Should I evacuate?
I'll be honest with you. Leave.
Nus
1908247

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08/27/2012 01:40 AM
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Re: I reside either 12 miles west of New Orleans or 20 miles above it. Should I evacuate?
Seriously. I could be wrong but I believe this shit will get nasty.
The Sinkhole will keep growing..
And Isaac.. Isaac will hit strong..
Nus
Heretic_333 (OP)

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08/27/2012 01:43 AM
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Re: I reside either 12 miles west of New Orleans or 20 miles above it. Should I evacuate?
Seriously. I could be wrong but I believe this shit will get nasty.
The Sinkhole will keep growing..
And Isaac.. Isaac will hit strong..
 Quoting: 1908247


Thanks for the input. I could have sworn I attached a poll to the thread. (Yes. No. I only care about my tax dollars)

but I have no idea why it didn't work. =[
A true minded, kind hearted... Iconoclast.

"We fight for truth, so love may venture, and peace may follow" ~ Ancient Astronaut Theorists.

If I told you everything I am about to say is a lie. Is it truth or a lie?

I built the wrench necessary to bolt the 3 stage capping process on the spill. My tolerances were not overlooked.

"Tattered banners, and bloody flags... The mist of Odin sweeps it all."
1908247

User ID: 22626532
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08/27/2012 01:45 AM
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Re: I reside either 12 miles west of New Orleans or 20 miles above it. Should I evacuate?
Seriously. I could be wrong but I believe this shit will get nasty.
The Sinkhole will keep growing..
And Isaac.. Isaac will hit strong..
 Quoting: 1908247


Thanks for the input. I could have sworn I attached a poll to the thread. (Yes. No. I only care about my tax dollars)

but I have no idea why it didn't work. =[
 Quoting: Heretic_333


Sorry, its probably my magnetic field affecting your thread.

Seriously though, since february I've known that these times of august and september everything would get more intense.. Now I'm seeing things unfolding before my eyes.
If you have somewhere to go, go there!
Nus
Anonymous Coward
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08/27/2012 01:47 AM
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Re: I reside either 12 miles west of New Orleans or 20 miles above it. Should I evacuate?
I was worried about the stink hole too...
Halo2Alexis
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08/27/2012 01:48 AM

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Re: I reside either 12 miles west of New Orleans or 20 miles above it. Should I evacuate?
GET OUT NOW!

I'm watching live updates from several sites, but the radar projection that the Weather Channel just put out, that thing went from a light green swirly to a gigantic purple red mass of doom. I would seriously get out of the area while the roads are semi-cleared.

[link to bcove.me]
*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*
I can't force people to accept the truth, but I can expose them to it.
Anonymous Coward
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08/27/2012 01:50 AM
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Re: I reside either 12 miles west of New Orleans or 20 miles above it. Should I evacuate?
Get out OP...as far as possible. Go visit your family and friends. hf
Biochemky

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08/27/2012 01:51 AM

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Re: I reside either 12 miles west of New Orleans or 20 miles above it. Should I evacuate?
Evacuate to Shreveport.

No contest.

Isaac could be a real killer.
Anonymous Coward
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08/27/2012 01:54 AM
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Re: I reside either 12 miles west of New Orleans or 20 miles above it. Should I evacuate?
GTFO! NOW!
Heretic_333 (OP)

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08/27/2012 01:57 AM
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Re: I reside either 12 miles west of New Orleans or 20 miles above it. Should I evacuate?
Seriously. I could be wrong but I believe this shit will get nasty.
The Sinkhole will keep growing..
And Isaac.. Isaac will hit strong..
 Quoting: 1908247


Thanks for the input. I could have sworn I attached a poll to the thread. (Yes. No. I only care about my tax dollars)

but I have no idea why it didn't work. =[
 Quoting: Heretic_333


Sorry, its probably my magnetic field affecting your thread.

Seriously though, since February I've known that these times of august and September everything would get more intense.. Now I'm seeing things unfolding before my eyes.
If you have somewhere to go, go there!
 Quoting: 1908247


Damn the magnetic field is affecting my thread? I'm totally doomed...
A true minded, kind hearted... Iconoclast.

"We fight for truth, so love may venture, and peace may follow" ~ Ancient Astronaut Theorists.

If I told you everything I am about to say is a lie. Is it truth or a lie?

I built the wrench necessary to bolt the 3 stage capping process on the spill. My tolerances were not overlooked.

"Tattered banners, and bloody flags... The mist of Odin sweeps it all."
Anonymous Coward
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08/27/2012 02:00 AM
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Re: I reside either 12 miles west of New Orleans or 20 miles above it. Should I evacuate?
Naw man ride that shit out. I just went through it in the keys. Wasn't bad at all.
Heretic_333 (OP)

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08/27/2012 02:13 AM
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Re: I reside either 12 miles west of New Orleans or 20 miles above it. Should I evacuate?
Naw man ride that shit out. I just went through it in the keys. Wasn't bad at all.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 20611075


I understand, but think about it...

The eye did not make landfall...

hugging the coast of Florida, (and less than reliable HAARP info)

it will hug the gulf's hot waters. gaining some strength.

(remember hurricane George i think it was... It was projected to make landfall on the border of Texas and Louisiana. but it stopped moving for 1.5 days and did a 90 degree turn to the right.)

people that evacuated east ended up taking the brunt of the storm and dying. (a few anyway)

My family has a history of not running from hurricanes.

We did not evacuate for Katrina, (but the cost of living during power outages, generators etc.) Was a huge toll on all of us.

Most of the family is thinking (first hurricane of the season, only cat 2, etc) but I on the other hand am thinking worst case scenario.

Last Edited by Heretic_333 on 08/27/2012 02:14 AM
A true minded, kind hearted... Iconoclast.

"We fight for truth, so love may venture, and peace may follow" ~ Ancient Astronaut Theorists.

If I told you everything I am about to say is a lie. Is it truth or a lie?

I built the wrench necessary to bolt the 3 stage capping process on the spill. My tolerances were not overlooked.

"Tattered banners, and bloody flags... The mist of Odin sweeps it all."
MaryAlananB

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08/27/2012 02:24 AM
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Re: I reside either 12 miles west of New Orleans or 20 miles above it. Should I evacuate?
Unless you are well above storm surge or flood level get out. And far enough inland to just get minor winds.
Anonymous Coward
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08/27/2012 02:36 AM
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Re: I reside either 12 miles west of New Orleans or 20 miles above it. Should I evacuate?
Quit second guessing this. Get to packing and get out today ( Monday ). Taking care of your safety is number one NOT GLP, so please quit looking at the projections and scoot! I said a few days ago it was not being told right, it would be 150 miles either side of the Slidel,La area, now look at it. Trust in your gut instinct, which is most likely telling you to get out but instead you come here hoping someone will tell you all will be ok. Well it is not going to be.

P.S. take any pets with you do not leave them behind!
Anonymous Coward
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08/27/2012 02:38 AM
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Re: I reside either 12 miles west of New Orleans or 20 miles above it. Should I evacuate?
brother,
leave!!!!
Anonymous Coward
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08/27/2012 02:38 AM
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Re: I reside either 12 miles west of New Orleans or 20 miles above it. Should I evacuate?
Naw man ride that shit out. I just went through it in the keys. Wasn't bad at all.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 20611075


I understand, but think about it...

The eye did not make landfall...

hugging the coast of Florida, (and less than reliable HAARP info)

it will hug the gulf's hot waters. gaining some strength.

(remember hurricane George i think it was... It was projected to make landfall on the border of Texas and Louisiana. but it stopped moving for 1.5 days and did a 90 degree turn to the right.)

people that evacuated east ended up taking the brunt of the storm and dying. (a few anyway)

My family has a history of not running from hurricanes.

We did not evacuate for Katrina, (but the cost of living during power outages, generators etc.) Was a huge toll on all of us.

Most of the family is thinking (first hurricane of the season, only cat 2, etc) but I on the other hand am thinking worst case scenario.
 Quoting: Heretic_333


It will hit as a cat 3 or higher.
Anonymous Coward
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08/27/2012 02:38 AM
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Re: I reside either 12 miles west of New Orleans or 20 miles above it. Should I evacuate?
Leave. Now.
Anonymous Coward
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08/27/2012 02:42 AM
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Re: I reside either 12 miles west of New Orleans or 20 miles above it. Should I evacuate?
Here OP zoom in....

[link to hisz.rsoe.hu]
Speak_easy_311

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08/27/2012 02:43 AM
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Re: I reside either 12 miles west of New Orleans or 20 miles above it. Should I evacuate?
Im in Madisonville and am looking to go to Oklahoma for a good drive if its weak I'll be heading back. I don't like the hype being put out by the news its a little much they all say "leave" and I don't trust that its only a tropical storm still. I stayed during katrina. Its a gut feeling
Speak_easy
Too Dark Park

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08/27/2012 02:43 AM
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Re: I reside either 12 miles west of New Orleans or 20 miles above it. Should I evacuate?
Dude. Yes. Get out now...
Anonymous Coward
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08/27/2012 02:44 AM
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Re: I reside either 12 miles west of New Orleans or 20 miles above it. Should I evacuate?
Im in Madisonville and am looking to go to Oklahoma for a good drive if its weak I'll be heading back. I don't like the hype being put out by the news its a little much they all say "leave" and I don't trust that its only a tropical storm still. I stayed during katrina. Its a gut feeling
 Quoting: Speak_easy_311


being aimed to go over the sink hole.... think about it.
Heretic_333 (OP)

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08/27/2012 03:11 AM
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Re: I reside either 12 miles west of New Orleans or 20 miles above it. Should I evacuate?
I did bring in my tomato plants for the first time since Katrina...

but seriously

Are you guys in DOOM withdrawal, or do you really think this is going to be devastating?

I am in no flood zones, I am only worried about power outages and corexit sludge if anything.

(although i am in the projected path of the eye)

We will decide as a family tomorrow.

thanks for all your concern GLP.
A true minded, kind hearted... Iconoclast.

"We fight for truth, so love may venture, and peace may follow" ~ Ancient Astronaut Theorists.

If I told you everything I am about to say is a lie. Is it truth or a lie?

I built the wrench necessary to bolt the 3 stage capping process on the spill. My tolerances were not overlooked.

"Tattered banners, and bloody flags... The mist of Odin sweeps it all."
Muffinheadicus
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08/27/2012 03:28 AM
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Re: I reside either 12 miles west of New Orleans or 20 miles above it. Should I evacuate?
We care about you Op.
And the simple answer to your question is:

YES
[/b
You need to pack your most important valuables and LEAVE. Period.

If you dont drive, take amtrak or trailways and leave tonite. It's not worth experimenting. Worst case scenario, you'll have a good laugh driving or heading back home from the safe location that you are going to now.
Anonymous Coward
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08/27/2012 03:32 AM
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Re: I reside either 12 miles west of New Orleans or 20 miles above it. Should I evacuate?
Common sense says yes, if your common sense doesn't just google "Evils of Katrina" and see all the lovely things you can expect if stranded.

You don't want to be in a fema camp with a bunch of low IQ animals raping and killing each other. Buddy of mine lived through Katrina and its was uglier than the news agencies ever let on.
Anonymous Coward
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08/27/2012 04:51 AM
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Re: I reside either 12 miles west of New Orleans or 20 miles above it. Should I evacuate?
Mandeville?

back to olympic doom here ... we know how the world works, I would be anywhere but be in Mandeville when it hits ...
momma coop

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08/27/2012 05:15 AM

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Re: I reside either 12 miles west of New Orleans or 20 miles above it. Should I evacuate?
Either way it is a risk. You have to weigh both sides.

If you leave you risk looking silly and cowardly if nothing happens. You also risk not being allowed back in until tptb feel like letting you back. It is also expensive and time consuming to evacuate to a hotel.

If you stay you risk your life, the lives of your family and the lives of the responders if you need to be rescued.

Which would you rather deal with? Your family and friends making fun of you for evacuating for no reason or knowing one of your family members died or were seriously injured because you did not want to risk looking foolish.
"I believe there's a hero in all of us, that keeps us honest, gives us strength, makes us noble, and finally allows us to die with pride, even though sometimes we have to be steady, and give up the thing we want the most. Even our dreams."

"Because you are you"
Bowyn Aerrow

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08/27/2012 03:19 PM
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Re: I reside either 12 miles west of New Orleans or 20 miles above it. Should I evacuate?
Distance doesn't matter.

You could live 100 yards from the shore line and not suffer any real issues IF the house sits on a hill that puts is above the tidal surge and the house is built to withstand hurricane force winds.

Conversely, you can live 50 miles away near/along some water way and a hurricane could push enough water upstream to flood the house out, or the house could be under-constructed and fall down in a light breeze.

Distance from a strike zone is rarely that important, elevation is the usual biggest concern, elevation above potential tidal surge levels.
"My Dog, its full of fleas!"
-David Bowwow


“A paranoid is someone who knows a little of what's going on. A psychotic is a guy who's just found out what's going on.”
- William S. Burroughs
momma coop

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08/27/2012 04:18 PM

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Re: I reside either 12 miles west of New Orleans or 20 miles above it. Should I evacuate?
I thought I might share this.
This is a reminder of the wind categories of hurricanes
[link to www.nhc.noaa.gov]

cat. 1 = 74 to 95mph
cat. 2 = 96 to 110mph
cat. 3 = 111 to 129mph
cat. 4 = 130 to 156 mph
cat. 5 - 157mph and up

This is a reminder of the Fujita Scale for tornados
[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]

F0 = <73mph
F1 = 73 to 112mph
F2 = 113 to 157mph
F3 = 158 to 206mph
F4 = 207 to 260mph
F5 = 261 to 313mph

So There you have it.
 Quoting: momma coop

"I believe there's a hero in all of us, that keeps us honest, gives us strength, makes us noble, and finally allows us to die with pride, even though sometimes we have to be steady, and give up the thing we want the most. Even our dreams."

"Because you are you"
Anonymous Coward
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08/27/2012 04:20 PM
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Re: I reside either 12 miles west of New Orleans or 20 miles above it. Should I evacuate?
OP this is going to be a slow mover, we're talking maybe FEET of rain in some places

i would not want to ride this out, and i love storms
Anonymous Coward
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08/27/2012 04:23 PM
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Re: I reside either 12 miles west of New Orleans or 20 miles above it. Should I evacuate?
OP take a look at the zoomed in models

[link to icons.wunderground.com]

and the model composites

[link to www.sfwmd.gov]

[link to www.weatherbellmodels.com]

News