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BREAKING: Dam Failure Imminent due to Isaac Flooding

 
Bluebird

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08/30/2012 10:44 AM

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Re: BREAKING: Dam Failure Imminent due to Isaac Flooding
Latest rain fall total forecast

[link to www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: DoorBert


And these are all ADDITIONAL inches of rain!
One of the most important aspects of conspiracy theories is being able to discern when there isn't one.

Oh yeah, like you'd understand anyway.

Where are we going and why am I in this handbasket?. . .J. Handy
Anonymous Coward
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08/30/2012 10:46 AM
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Re: BREAKING: Dam Failure Imminent due to Isaac Flooding
There are 3 more months of hurricane to go yet! September is a bad month for them. October and November they taper off. A bad thing that can happen is to have hurricane on top of a hurricane.
DoorBert (OP)

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08/30/2012 10:47 AM

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Re: BREAKING: Dam Failure Imminent due to Isaac Flooding
Much thanks for pin!!
alexisj9

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08/30/2012 10:50 AM

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Re: BREAKING: Dam Failure Imminent due to Isaac Flooding
Tim Ballisty, weather.com:
*Dam Failure Expected
* Flash flood EMERGENCY for all low lying areas along the Tangipahoa River. This is near McComb, MS. wxch.nl/NYNTjV

Severe flooding is expected!

 Quoting: Tard


Expected almost sounds like a word indicating they want this to happen....
 Quoting: CriticalThinking


I don't think it's meant like that, I read it as they think it will happen but it may not.
DoorBert (OP)

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08/30/2012 10:51 AM

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Re: BREAKING: Dam Failure Imminent due to Isaac Flooding
TROPICAL STORM ISAAC DISCUSSION NUMBER 38
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092012
1000 AM CDT THU AUG 30 2012

CENTER FIXES USING SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND NOAA DOPPLER WEATHER
RADARS INDICATE THAT ISAAC IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 330/08 KT.
THE FORECAST TACK AND REASONING REMAIN BASICALLY UNCHANGED FROM THE
PREVIOUS ADVISORY. ISAAC AND ITS REMNANTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
STEERED NORTHWARD AROUND THE WESTERN PORTION OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
THAT IS LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. THROUGH DAY 2...AND THEN
TURN NORTHEASTWARD AND EASTWARD ON DAY 3-5 AS THE SYSTEM MOVES INTO
WEAK MID-LATITUDE WESTERLY FLOW. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS
VERY CLOSE TO THE PREVIOUS ONE...AND LIES CLOSE TO THE LATEST
DYNAMICAL MODEL CONSENSUS.

THE INITIAL INTENSITY HAS BEEN DECREASED TO 35 KT...AND THAT IS IN
SMALL AREA OVER WATER BETWEEN SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND THE
MISSISSIPPI COAST...AND PERHAPS EXTENDING A FEW MILES INLAND.
ISAAC WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN OVER LAND AND IT IS LIKELY TO BECOME A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY THIS EVENING...AND BECOME A POST-TROPICAL
REMNANT LOW BY SATURDAY...IF NOT SOONER. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY
FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ONE...AND CLOSELY FOLLOWS THE
DECAY-SHIPS STATISTICAL-DYNAMICAL INTENSITY MODEL.

HEAVY RAINFALL AND A SIGNIFICANT FLOOD THREAT WILL CONTINUE TO
SPREAD INLAND ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES DURING
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. WATER LEVELS ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST
WILL REMAIN ELEVATED THROUGH AT LEAST THIS MORNING. THE THREAT FOR
TORNADOES WITH THIS SYSTEM ALSO APPEARS TO BE INCREASING TODAY.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 30/1500Z 31.7N 92.1W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND
12H 31/0000Z 33.0N 92.8W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
24H 31/1200Z 35.0N 93.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
36H 01/0000Z 37.0N 93.3W 20 KT 25 MPH...INLAND
48H 01/1200Z 38.4N 92.3W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 02/1200Z 39.4N 89.2W 15 KT 15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 03/1200Z 39.5N 86.0W 15 KT 15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 04/1200Z 39.5N 83.0W 15 KT 15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
FORECASTER STEWART
Luisport

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08/30/2012 10:51 AM

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Re: BREAKING: Dam Failure Imminent due to Isaac Flooding
AccuWeather.com ‏@breakingweather
RT @nwsneworleans: Looks like if the dam breaks, there would be about a 2-3 ft rise at Osyka.

1 h AccuWeather.com ‏@breakingweather
Potential dam break at Percy Quinn Park on the Tangipahoa River (south of McComb, MS). #Isaac
anabel

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08/30/2012 10:55 AM

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Re: BREAKING: Dam Failure Imminent due to Isaac Flooding
Tim Ballisty, weather.com:
*Dam Failure Expected
* Flash flood EMERGENCY for all low lying areas along the Tangipahoa River. This is near McComb, MS. wxch.nl/NYNTjV

Severe flooding is expected!

 Quoting: Tard


Expected almost sounds like a word indicating they want this to happen....
 Quoting: CriticalThinking

yah, there was no maybe about it was there?....
howdy
David Fap

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08/30/2012 10:56 AM
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Re: BREAKING: Dam Failure Imminent due to Isaac Flooding
I was just saying to my wife, watch this storm drop rain up the Mississippi valley. Causing flood concerns for days and it all ends up back near NOLA.

Only blessing is the lack of rain in the mid states will help absorb the initial rain fall.
 Quoting: --Voltaic--


I have heard that if ground is too dry/hard, then the water runs right over it and doesn't soak in or get absorbed.
Visit me on Twitter. I am "David Fap"
Daikirai

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08/30/2012 10:56 AM
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Re: BREAKING: Dam Failure Imminent due to Isaac Flooding
Everything is imminent on GLP.
Chi pecora si fa, il lupo se la mangia
Luisport

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08/30/2012 10:57 AM

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Re: BREAKING: Dam Failure Imminent due to Isaac Flooding
[link to 97rockonline.com]
Mr Martin

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08/30/2012 10:59 AM

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Re: BREAKING: Dam Failure Imminent due to Isaac Flooding
Issued by The National Weather Service
New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA
Thu, Aug 30, 2012, 8:26 AM CDT


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... SOUTHWESTERN PIKE COUNTY IN SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...

* UNTIL 1115 AM CDT

* AT 810 AM CDT... LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AND LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS REPORTED THE LAKE TANGIPAHOA DAM IS EXPECTED TO FAIL. SEVERE FLOODING IS EXPECTED DOWNSTREAM ALONG THE TANGIPAHOA RIVER FROM WEST OF THE MCCOMB AIRPORT AND MAGNOLIA TO OSYKA. WATER LEVEL RISES ARE EXPECTED TO BE NEAR 8 FEET BELOW THE DAM TO 6 FEET AT OSYKA. CURRENT RIVER STAGE READING AT OSYKA WAS 14.8 FEET.

THIS IS A FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY FOR ALL LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE TANGIPAHOA RIVER INCLUDING OSYKA.
 Quoting: DoorBert


My prayers go out to all of the people in the path of ISAAC
All that is necessary for evil to triumph is for GoodMen to do nothing.
DoorBert (OP)

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08/30/2012 11:10 AM

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Re: BREAKING: Dam Failure Imminent due to Isaac Flooding
The human side of Isaac. Residents in Slidell, LA flooded out of their homes talking with Jim Cantore

[link to instagram.com]
Anonymous Coward
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08/30/2012 11:13 AM
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Re: BREAKING: Dam Failure Imminent due to Isaac Flooding
I was just saying to my wife, watch this storm drop rain up the Mississippi valley. Causing flood concerns for days and it all ends up back near NOLA.

Only blessing is the lack of rain in the mid states will help absorb the initial rain fall.
 Quoting: --Voltaic--


I have heard that if ground is too dry/hard, then the water runs right over it and doesn't soak in or get absorbed.
 Quoting: David Fap


Yes...true. i live in Arizona and that is precisely what happens. We always hope for a light, soaking rain before a hard monsoon so the ground can absorb more. But if not..the torrential rain just sends rivers right over the top in flash floods.

In fact there have been reports from farmers in drought areas that the soil is so dry and cracked that a big downpour would only wash over the top and not soak in. Sad situation.

The whole country is in a sad situation. I wish more people would just take time to get on their knees in earnest prayer....and have a heart to reach out and help the ones who need and can't help themselves.

Could make more difference than anything.u2efine
Anonymous Coward
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08/30/2012 11:14 AM
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Re: BREAKING: Dam Failure Imminent due to Isaac Flooding
I was just saying to my wife, watch this storm drop rain up the Mississippi valley. Causing flood concerns for days and it all ends up back near NOLA.

Only blessing is the lack of rain in the mid states will help absorb the initial rain fall.
 Quoting: --Voltaic--


My best friend lives near Lake Maurepas & hasn't had any water in his house until this morning at around 6AM when it started to creep under the door... I spoke with him about an hour & a half ago & they had 4 inches in the lower level and rising fast.
 Quoting: ScrumpTheTexan


Sending love and light to your friend
 Quoting: Little Drummer


Thanks. His little boy's bedroom ceiling upstairs just collapsed from an until-now-unknown leak... so they're trying to save everything they can & are moving asap.
 Quoting: ScrumpTheTexan


Godspeed to those in the midst of this




:flowers:
Tard

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08/30/2012 11:14 AM

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Re: BREAKING: Dam Failure Imminent due to Isaac Flooding
Haven't seen any updates about the dam.
Hope they get the people out before it breaks.

Last Edited by Tard on 08/30/2012 11:16 AM
Tard

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08/30/2012 11:23 AM

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Re: BREAKING: Dam Failure Imminent due to Isaac Flooding
LaPlace, LA

[link to distilleryimage1.instagram.com]

Last Edited by Tard on 08/30/2012 11:24 AM
Anonymous Coward
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08/30/2012 11:27 AM
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Re: BREAKING: Dam Failure Imminent due to Isaac Flooding
Tim Ballisty, weather.com:
*Dam Failure Expected
* Flash flood EMERGENCY for all low lying areas along the Tangipahoa River. This is near McComb, MS. wxch.nl/NYNTjV

Severe flooding is expected!

 Quoting: Tard


Expected almost sounds like a word indicating they want this to happen....
 Quoting: CriticalThinking


No I don't see it that way, just a statement of very high probability.
Anonymous Coward
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08/30/2012 11:28 AM
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Re: BREAKING: Dam Failure Imminent due to Isaac Flooding
If the damn breaks, wha happins?!!
 Quoting: moses767


"When the levy breaks, baby you got to move.

Oh yea, Oh yea!"

Robert Plant
DoorBert (OP)

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08/30/2012 11:31 AM

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Re: BREAKING: Dam Failure Imminent due to Isaac Flooding
It was brief, but tornado in Pascagoula, MS completely destroyed this home.

[link to twitter.com]
Tard

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08/30/2012 11:32 AM

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Re: BREAKING: Dam Failure Imminent due to Isaac Flooding
Tim Ballisty@IrishEagle
MT @bmccarthyWWL: Mandatory evac for those along Tangipahoa River from Kentwood to Robert. Dam broke. Includes 50K-60K people. #Isaac
Tard

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08/30/2012 11:36 AM

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Re: BREAKING: Dam Failure Imminent due to Isaac Flooding
Real-time river gauge to monitor the Tangipahoa River situation, where dam failure is imminent.

[link to water.weather.gov]
alexisj9

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08/30/2012 11:38 AM

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Re: BREAKING: Dam Failure Imminent due to Isaac Flooding
Tim Ballisty@IrishEagle
MT @bmccarthyWWL: Mandatory evac for those along Tangipahoa River from Kentwood to Robert. Dam broke. Includes 50K-60K people. #Isaac

 Quoting: Tard


WTF that many people and they thought it would happen but they don't order mandatory eavac till it's already broke, I hope people saw the initial warning and left already.
momma coop

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08/30/2012 11:41 AM

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Re: BREAKING: Dam Failure Imminent due to Isaac Flooding
Latest rain fall total forecast

[link to www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: DoorBert


And these are all ADDITIONAL inches of rain!
 Quoting: Bluebird


Just received word from my cousin in Mississippi. She installed a drainage system on her property and it is unable to keep up with the rain. Her yard is flooded and the water is getting close to coming in the house. (She is assuming it is from the relentless rain.) She is about 1/2 hour outside of Jackson (to the south) in an affluent neighborhood.

I have been real sick so I haven't been able to keep up with what is going on with the storm. I hope it ends soon.
"I believe there's a hero in all of us, that keeps us honest, gives us strength, makes us noble, and finally allows us to die with pride, even though sometimes we have to be steady, and give up the thing we want the most. Even our dreams."

"Because you are you"
Goofy for God
Do everything with love

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08/30/2012 11:43 AM

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Re: BREAKING: Dam Failure Imminent due to Isaac Flooding
bump
Proverbs 15:1
A soft answer turns away wrath, But a harsh word stirs up anger.
Anonymous Coward
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08/30/2012 11:44 AM
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Re: BREAKING: Dam Failure Imminent due to Isaac Flooding
I was just saying to my wife, watch this storm drop rain up the Mississippi valley. Causing flood concerns for days and it all ends up back near NOLA.

Only blessing is the lack of rain in the mid states will help absorb the initial rain fall.
 Quoting: --Voltaic--


I have heard that if ground is too dry/hard, then the water runs right over it and doesn't soak in or get absorbed.
 Quoting: David Fap


There are a lot of variables in the runoff. Probably the three biggest are soil type, vegetation and ground cover. If the soil is clayey or silty then it isn't as "permeable" as say good topsoil where water will infiltrate quite easily. That is there are few open voids in the soil for water to seep into.

Vegetation also affects runoff, as certain types of vegetation can retard surface water flow more highly than others.

Finally, if you have a lot of rock outcrops water can just sheet flow over the ground surface.

Of course these are technical details and as usual this web site has little tolerance for details or facts.
Anonymous Coward
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08/30/2012 11:44 AM
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Re: BREAKING: Dam Failure Imminent due to Isaac Flooding
I guess worrying about the drought is now over.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 22871183


...though anything that survived the lack of water is now being swept into the Gulf of Mexico.
 Quoting: TheBiss


Hyperbole.
Anonymous Coward
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08/30/2012 11:45 AM
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Re: BREAKING: Dam Failure Imminent due to Isaac Flooding
how terrible!
snark

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08/30/2012 11:46 AM

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Re: BREAKING: Dam Failure Imminent due to Isaac Flooding
[link to www.ustream.tv]
talking about the dam now
T For Texas, T For Tennessee!


The virtue of courage is a prerequisite for the practice of all other virtues, because otherwise one is virtuous only when virtue has no cost. There are times when something needs to be done, and yet we know that if we step up and do this needful thing, we will pay a heavy personal price. -C.S. Lewis
Anonymous Coward
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08/30/2012 11:47 AM
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Re: BREAKING: Dam Failure Imminent due to Isaac Flooding
Mandatory evacs issued in LA.
[link to www.nola.com]
northerntomcat

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08/30/2012 11:48 AM
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Re: BREAKING: Dam Failure Imminent due to Isaac Flooding
Everything is imminent on GLP.
 Quoting: Daikirai


Actually i just heard on CNN (insert face-palm here) That the dam HAS breached.
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