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Message Subject WORLD at WAR, Official 2012 Thread (TO BE CONTINUED) Israel, Iran, Syria, Hezbollah, PA, Egypt, Libya, Pakistan, North Korea, Russia, China, U.S.
Poster Handle Anonymous Coward
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My opinion remains that Israeli concerns will be far more focused and immediate. I maintain my belief that Iran is not the primary short term target of choice for the IDF.

I think it is in their interests to remove the 'clear and present danger' of Hezbollah first. While some concern is certainly valid for the NE border as well as their southern border, somewhat diminished in recent days, the primary threat is within Lebanon. Remove it and the card house falls down.

Deployments of new systems center around the Hezbollah threat and it is far more doable than a total regional war. Some will believe that attacking Hezbollah must equal a regional conflagration, but I do not believe other states would join the fray if it were a convincing Israeli offensive. The concern then is whether Israel CAN convincingly engage with minimal political fall out and can win. The last round was a draw.

Anything short of liquidation of Hezbollah seems outside the norm of Israeli strategy and while boldness is a signature theme, they also normally choose smaller far more executable quick operations that maximize gains and minimize risk. Total war is not a choice I expect them to make. An attack on Iran can only escalate into a wider war that would involve far too much chaos to control.
 Quoting: D. Bunker

I have always been a proponent of taking care of the Hezbollah with massive force. If Iran gets into it, more justification for an attack on Iran and perhaps the US would then defend Israel . . . maybe not right now!
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