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Message Subject WORLD at WAR, Official 2012 Thread (TO BE CONTINUED) Israel, Iran, Syria, Hezbollah, PA, Egypt, Libya, Pakistan, North Korea, Russia, China, U.S.
Poster Handle Anonymous Coward
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My opinion remains that Israeli concerns will be far more focused and immediate. I maintain my belief that Iran is not the primary short term target of choice for the IDF.

I think it is in their interests to remove the 'clear and present danger' of Hezbollah first. While some concern is certainly valid for the NE border as well as their southern border, somewhat diminished in recent days, the primary threat is within Lebanon. Remove it and the card house falls down.

Deployments of new systems center around the Hezbollah threat and it is far more doable than a total regional war. Some will believe that attacking Hezbollah must equal a regional conflagration, but I do not believe other states would join the fray if it were a convincing Israeli offensive. The concern then is whether Israel CAN convincingly engage with minimal political fall out and can win. The last round was a draw.

Anything short of liquidation of Hezbollah seems outside the norm of Israeli strategy and while boldness is a signature theme, they also normally choose smaller far more executable quick operations that maximize gains and minimize risk. Total war is not a choice I expect them to make. An attack on Iran can only escalate into a wider war that would involve far too much chaos to control.
 Quoting: D. Bunker

I agree with Iran is not the primary short term target of choice for the IDF.

But, in that blurr of fighting against Hamas and sinai border terrorists, and with that all out war in Syria, Israel needs to take one thing into account:

She will never be jugded the same way as surrounding arab countries.

The reason is, that western countries with all their thinking of a stable and peace, ecological and multicultural world, focus on Israel as their own nexus of achievement of their own ideologies and dreams.

That is not a problem of Israel neither they are to blame. The blame is on those people denying their own inner politics failures and shifting to "the global reason why they failed".

The failure to adjust illusion and ideology to real politics leads always to look for someone else to blame. It was always like that, it seems to be human nature, but there are other people not acting in that manner, but few.

In either case, Israel would be very ill advised, to start a war. The leftist are on the rise here, in the US; the fallout could be very bad.

Israel needs to be smart, very smart, thinking larger than others, taking decisions accordingly, and she needs to be always 2 steps ahead in military things.

Looks like the nuke doesn't do it anymore, there needs to be something else.
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