May 5 target date for earthquake influenced by asteroids

Yes

Make you happy?

Thread: QUAKE WATCH: NJ & NYC Area. Small quake indicates instability from Sandy. Nor'easter could trigger larger quake

No.

It just should make you think, if your model is right.


.

The results of every target I lay out here makes me think, whether it misses, hits on the exact day, or hits on the other days in window. When it hits I look at differences against those which did not hit.

I am still testing the model, in fact 3 different indicators/patterns. By trial and error I have found NEO daily count is most reliable than other two.

I have already proven days with above average NEO approach counts have earthquakes more often. But not 100% of the time. Still refining and combining and testing other indicators to improve model. I just happen to be doing it in an open forum.

As soon as you close your mind you stop learning.

Thanks for the civil reply.

There is no failure (besides Zazz), only feedback

Cool stuff even with a miss, and 2002 AU4 is a very interesting find.
Have you updated your chart yet for the next date ?

Chart program is at my office. There are no high NEO count days near term... yet, as they do find new NEOs all the time. Will post when new chart soon.

Booms In New Jersey November 5 2012

[link to www.youtube.com]

Thread: HOLY SHIT!!! Is America about to be ripped apart??? Current USGS EQ data looks SCARY! (When compared to various maps)

An interesting object I found is asteroid 2002 AU4...

Here is it's most recent close approach history with the 7.0+ quakes closet to the approach dates:

2010-Feb-27 --- 0.4454 AU
2010 01 12 --- 7.0
2010 02 26 --- 7.0
2010 02 27 --- 8.8 [link to en.wikipedia.org]
2010 02 27 --- 7.4
2010 03 11 --- 7.0

2009-Jul-15 --- 0.4795 AU
2009 05 28 --- 7.3
2009 07 15 --- 7.8 [link to en.wikipedia.org]
2009 08 09 --- 7.1

2008-Dec-17 --- 0.1971 AU
2008 11 24 --- 7.3
2008 12 18 --- 6.8 [link to en.wikipedia.org]
2009 01 03 --- 7.7

2006-Mar-05 --- 0.2962 AU
2006 02 22 --- 7.0
No 7.0+ quake, only 6.1 on March 5th
2006 04 20 --- 7.6

2005-Aug-09 --- 0.4930 AU
2005 07 24 --- 7.2
No 7.0+ quake, only two 6.1 quakes on Aug. 9th
2005 08 16 --- 7.2

2004-Dec-24 --- 0.4306 AU
2004 11 28 --- 7.0
2004 12 23 --- 8.1
2004 12 26 --- 9.1 [link to en.wikipedia.org]
2004 12 26 --- 7.2
2005 02 05 --- 7.1


We have an average of 4 or 5 NEO's making close approach to Earth every day. However on December 21, 2012 there is currently only one know NEO approaching on that day... asteroid 2002 AU4:
2012-Dec-21 --- 0.1023 AU

AS was stated, this is a model undergoing observation and adjustments.

From what I have seen over the past year or so, this model is closer to being right than any other model I have observed. You have to remember, there are a lot of parameters to be factored in here.

I think TW is GREAT!!!! Keep up the good work!!!!

We've still got several hours til Nov. 5 is over on the West Coast and in the Pacific, its 10:00pm right now in California.

Actually, we just turned the clocks back on the East Coast, so I think its 9:00pm on West Coast.

Last Edited by Isis One on 11/06/2012 01:02 AM

Is that where the OP lives then or are you just stretching those goalposts as much as possible.

It was a fail, end of.

No, Isis, it's UT not local time.
Otherwise it woudn't be a three but four day window.


TruthWorker, I appreciate your work - it would be great to find a way to predict EQs.
I stumble only then and now over your threads (it's not really my matter).
I know that you have hits as well as fails - but I am left wondering if your research is only coincidence and within the statistical range.




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I've been watching for sometime and that is exactly it. They only get hits on 3 day windows, they have tried to predict on a few hours but failed each time.

To simply time I use UTC

Not true. Got a hit for a 12 hour window I think on June 29. And I carefully account for stat probabilities which is why I use 6.3 on mag threshold to avoid better than coin flip odds.

Next Possible Target Dates for Significant Quake

Nov 30, 2012 = 7 NEOs
Dec 08, 2012 = 6 NEOs
Dec 18, 2012 = 9 NEOs

Currently, until more NEOs are discovered for other dates, Dec 18, 2012 is my next target date.

It was a long ways away. My guess is 12/12/2012

but no longer. The Andromeda Council has switched to

Plan B. They have huge Biosphere Space Stations in

orbit that are 1,400 feet in diameter! Have you read

the Andromedacouncil.com website yet?

Our sun is being transformed into a Blue White Star.

Buy a lightmeter with Color temp read out.

It should jump over 6000K by August 2013.

Second Star (brown dwarf) is to be move into

orbit near Venus. - 4th Dimension Planet Earth -

Well, you have someone to blame of this no hit, i don´t know why they think we need to be saved...maybe they are christians...hehehehe

...C.C

The asteroid has been - bumped - out of orbit.

Earth is clear.

BTW, the Earth is also - surrounded - by huge

Andromeda Council Biospheres right now.

We are safe from asteroids.

We are safe from CMEs from our Type 12 Sun.

There will be no Carrington Event Solar blast that

knocks out our power grid.

All of those people who bought underground silo

safe havens have wasted their money.

----------

December 21, 2012 is a new beginning.

We are the Sol Star System : Planet Terra (Earth)

7.4 Guatemala, preliminary reports [link to www.emsc-csem.org]


Why didn't you predict that ?
Do the asteroids only cause 6.3's ?

Don´t you get it?

The asteroid has been - bumped - out of orbit by christian ET´s this delayed the OP´s prediction to nov.7

It is not OP fault, but that fucking C.ET´s

By the way Earth is clear now!!!

I did not target today as a quake day because I had no reason to.

October 28 was a high NEO count date and there was a 7.7. If we discover some more space rocks then Nov 30th might become a target date, as it is above average count but not well above yet.

There are a lot a "causes" and influences for earthquakes. You can get hit walking across the street by a drunk driver but not all folks hit while crossing the street are hit by drunk drivers.

Apparently this quake was forecast due to planet alignments which I do not track:

Thread: UPDATE Dec 10: Damn...its time to start paying attenion to Patrick Geryl (i hate saying that). M7.4 in Guatemala...just like he said...again.

But it could have been caused by the energy being sucked out of millions of freedom lovers as we realized today we can expect 4 more years of lies, deceptions and corruption.

I DID ;)

Thread: MAJOR 7.4 (8.2 high readings) hits 1 day off 11/9 Major Quake Warning posted in August!

ONE DAY OFF OF the QUAKE WARNING I posted in August for 11/9... again

so this somewhat DOES fall within both TW and Matrixs' window's.

however the window I pointed to for 11/9 is 1 day off

TW's on 11/5 ending is 2 days off.

either way, IMO, its FAIR GAME for up to a 5 day window especially given the size of this quake let alone it far surpasses the category set for MAJOR quakes that DO NOT HAPPEN all the time nor follow any frequency that can be repeatedly predicted using any conventional scientific method. Had this been only a large quake, then skeptic logic and arguments might apply.

In other words.... hitting/predicting exact dates or narrow windows for MAJOR
quakes and doing it over and over, let alone being within 1-3 days, is IMPOSSIBLE according to modern science.

but more importantly, YES, this special quake also hit DIRECTLY ON the
188 LEY LINES....

AGAIN,

as well.



Woop Woop!



;)

Last Edited by MatrixLNIN11 on 11/09/2012 06:47 AM

I just updated my NEO database. I added a lot of newly discovered asteroids.
Now, after the fact, the new daily NEO counts point toward these target dates:

Nov 08
Nov 10
Nov 11

Using the plus or minus window for a significant quake on a target date, we have the following window:

Nov 07-12, 2012 for 3 or more significant quakes.

Result during this window? 5 significant quakes per USGS, including four 6.3+ quakes within a day of the target dates...

Chart updated Nov. 18th:

(Green shading are new windows identified today... with Nov 18 target date ALMOST a target, needing one more NEO... otherwise Nov 30th next target)

Thanks for the update !

Space rock activity is increasing but reports from NASA are delayed, either on purpose or a lot of them are smaller, harder to spot in advance.