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Uh oh, Willard! Obama seems to be pulling well ahead...

 
Anonymous Coward
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09/09/2012 06:32 AM
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Uh oh, Willard! Obama seems to be pulling well ahead...
A preliminary look at Obama's convention bounce...


If you do the math, it implies that Mr. Obama must have been leading Mr. Romney by 10 or 11 points in the minority of the poll conducted since Mr. Clinton’s speech for him to have gained three points in the survey over all.

In the table below, I’ve run through the same calculation for the other tracking polls. The results imply that Mr. Obama has run about nine points ahead of Mr. Romney in the portion of the Ipsos poll conducted since Mr. Clinton’s speech, about eight points ahead in the RAND poll, and about four points ahead in the Rasmussen poll.

On average between the four polls, it appears that Mr. Obama must have held about an eight-point lead since Mr. Clinton’s speech in order to have gained so much ground so quickly.

[link to fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com]


osuper
Anonymous Coward
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09/10/2012 05:39 AM
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Re: Uh oh, Willard! Obama seems to be pulling well ahead...
It's hard to see how Willard can catch up.
Hope for Obama to stumble in the debates?
Anonymous Coward
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09/10/2012 05:46 AM
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Re: Uh oh, Willard! Obama seems to be pulling well ahead...
Obamney will prevail!
Thor's Hamster

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09/10/2012 05:47 AM
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Re: Uh oh, Willard! Obama seems to be pulling well ahead...
Willard Soetoro
Apollo astronauts couldn't have passed through Van Allen's Belt. Van Allen wore suspenders.
Anonymous Coward
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09/10/2012 01:08 PM
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Re: Uh oh, Willard! Obama seems to be pulling well ahead...
Wow, 538 blog is now giving Romney less than a 20% chance of winning the election!
[link to fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com]
Anonymous Coward
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09/10/2012 01:10 PM
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Re: Uh oh, Willard! Obama seems to be pulling well ahead...
Let's be honest, the Republican party didn't have a lot of great choices this time around. The best chance they had to beat Obama was Ron Paul, and his own party shut HIM down because he worked agains their agenda.

I wish Ron would run as an independent, but he won't.
Anonymous Coward
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09/10/2012 06:20 PM
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Re: Uh oh, Willard! Obama seems to be pulling well ahead...
Latest CNN poll:
52% of likely voters for Obama vs 46% for Rmoney.
AlcoholicRunner
I abduct humans and drink at the same time.

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09/10/2012 06:23 PM

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Re: Uh oh, Willard! Obama seems to be pulling well ahead...
[link to www.breitbart.com]
Anonymous Coward
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09/10/2012 06:30 PM
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Re: Uh oh, Willard! Obama seems to be pulling well ahead...
Let's be honest, the Republican party didn't have a lot of great choices this time around. The best chance they had to beat Obama was Ron Paul, and his own party shut HIM down because he worked agains their agenda.

I wish Ron would run as an independent, but he won't.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 23351703


This is what happens when your party has become so moronic and empty inside that you have to rely on extremist-religious nutjobs and senile Tea Party racists for your "base".

Not everybody agrees that the best quality for the leader of the free world is that he's sworn to overturn implied rights to Privacy in the Constitution in order to allow the federal government to make decisions for women about their gynecological procedures.

Someday, the Republican party will get over its perverted agenda for obsessing over womens' gynecology and its pursuit of a Prohibition culture that uses the power of government to force prohibitions on people.

On that day, its IQ and political base can increase by about 100%

Because people want an elected World Leader to do actual World Leader shit
Anonymous Coward
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09/10/2012 06:45 PM
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Re: Uh oh, Willard! Obama seems to be pulling well ahead...
 Quoting: AlcoholicRunner


Breitfart told you that Obama didn't really get a convention bounce and that he's still going to win Ohio?

cruise

Yeah, you go with that!
And have another drink.
Anonymous Coward
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09/10/2012 06:46 PM
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Re: Uh oh, Willard! Obama seems to be pulling well ahead...
 Quoting: AlcoholicRunner


Breitfart told you that Obama didn't really get a convention bounce and that Rmoney is still going to win Ohio?

cruise

Yeah, you go with that!
And have another drink.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 23548892


Fixed my typo.
Anonymous Coward
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09/10/2012 08:37 PM
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Re: Uh oh, Willard! Obama seems to be pulling well ahead...
Mitt's mom jeans don't look convincing.

chuckle
Anonymous Coward
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09/10/2012 08:45 PM
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Re: Uh oh, Willard! Obama seems to be pulling well ahead...
A preliminary look at Obama's convention bounce...


If you do the math, it implies that Mr. Obama must have been leading Mr. Romney by 10 or 11 points in the minority of the poll conducted since Mr. Clinton’s speech for him to have gained three points in the survey over all.

In the table below, I’ve run through the same calculation for the other tracking polls. The results imply that Mr. Obama has run about nine points ahead of Mr. Romney in the portion of the Ipsos poll conducted since Mr. Clinton’s speech, about eight points ahead in the RAND poll, and about four points ahead in the Rasmussen poll.

On average between the four polls, it appears that Mr. Obama must have held about an eight-point lead since Mr. Clinton’s speech in order to have gained so much ground so quickly.

[link to fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com]


osuper
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 23446247


yeah..yeah.. right...carter was way ahead of regan until election nite and jimmy got clocked...it seems the pollisters were lying...
NightWisp

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09/10/2012 08:55 PM

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Re: Uh oh, Willard! Obama seems to be pulling well ahead...
Let's be honest, the Republican party didn't have a lot of great choices this time around. The best chance they had to beat Obama was Ron Paul, and his own party shut HIM down because he worked agains their agenda.

I wish Ron would run as an independent, but he won't.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 23351703


So write him in.
Anonymous Coward
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09/19/2012 07:53 PM
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Re: Uh oh, Willard! Obama seems to be pulling well ahead...
The latest polling by Fox News has Obama +7 in the crucial swing state of Ohio and another poll is showing a huge 14 point lead for Obama in Paul Ryan's home state!

And this is before Romney takes his hit in the polls following his stupid 47% comments.
Anonymous Coward
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09/24/2012 04:07 PM
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Re: Uh oh, Willard! Obama seems to be pulling well ahead...
Seven new swing state polls released today all came to the same conclusion. President Obama has at least a four point lead in Michigan, North Carolina, Florida, Colorado, Nevada, Iowa, and Wisconsin.
[link to www.politicususa.com]

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