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By 2015, Hard Commodity Prices Will Have Collapsed

 
DL
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09/16/2012 10:51 AM
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By 2015, Hard Commodity Prices Will Have Collapsed
Michael Pettis, China Financial Markets

For the past two years, as regular readers know, I have been bearish on hard commodities. Prices may have dropped substantially from their peaks during this time, but I don’t think the bear market is over. I think we still have a very long way to go.

This combination of factors – rising supply, dropping demand, and lots of inventory to work off – all but guarantee that the prices of hard commodities will collapse. I expect that certain commodities, like copper, will drop by 50% or more in the next two to three years

[link to www.mpettis.com]
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09/16/2012 10:53 AM
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Re: By 2015, Hard Commodity Prices Will Have Collapsed
Michael Pettis, China Financial Markets

For the past two years, as regular readers know, I have been bearish on hard commodities. Prices may have dropped substantially from their peaks during this time, but I don’t think the bear market is over. I think we still have a very long way to go.

This combination of factors – rising supply, dropping demand, and lots of inventory to work off – all but guarantee that the prices of hard commodities will collapse. I expect that certain commodities, like copper, will drop by 50% or more in the next two to three years

[link to www.mpettis.com]
 Quoting: DL


There will not be operating markets in 2 - 3 years.
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09/16/2012 11:00 AM
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Re: By 2015, Hard Commodity Prices Will Have Collapsed
bsflag
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09/16/2012 11:01 AM
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Re: By 2015, Hard Commodity Prices Will Have Collapsed
Michael Pettis, China Financial Markets

I expect that certain commodities, like copper, will drop by 50% or more in the next two to three years

[link to www.mpettis.com]
 Quoting: DL


There will not be operating markets in 2 - 3 years.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 23022509


I agree that in 2-3 years there will be a version of a barter system from collapse or totalitarian rule where there is no market and those in power simply dictate what you deserve.
Anonymous Coward
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09/16/2012 11:01 AM
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Re: By 2015, Hard Commodity Prices Will Have Collapsed
Good for PM since are sub-products from cooper and zinc extracting process !!
Fire WatchModerator
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09/16/2012 11:04 AM

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Re: By 2015, Hard Commodity Prices Will Have Collapsed
Michael Pettis, China Financial Markets

For the past two years, as regular readers know, I have been bearish on hard commodities. Prices may have dropped substantially from their peaks during this time, but I don’t think the bear market is over. I think we still have a very long way to go.

This combination of factors – rising supply, dropping demand, and lots of inventory to work off – all but guarantee that the prices of hard commodities will collapse. I expect that certain commodities, like copper, will drop by 50% or more in the next two to three years

[link to www.mpettis.com]
 Quoting: DL


My I.Q. is 30 points lower after reading your post.another do
When the people fear the government, there is tyranny. When the government fears the people, there is liberty. Thomas Jefferson
-------------------------------------
The tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of patriots and tyrants.
Thomas Jefferson
Anonymous Coward
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09/16/2012 11:10 AM
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Re: By 2015, Hard Commodity Prices Will Have Collapsed
Michael Pettis, China Financial Markets

For the past two years, as regular readers know, I have been bearish on hard commodities. Prices may have dropped substantially from their peaks during this time, but I don’t think the bear market is over. I think we still have a very long way to go.

This combination of factors – rising supply, dropping demand, and lots of inventory to work off – all but guarantee that the prices of hard commodities will collapse. I expect that certain commodities, like copper, will drop by 50% or more in the next two to three years

[link to www.mpettis.com]
 Quoting: DL


There will not be operating markets in 2 - 3 years.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 23022509


this is my thinking also....
Anonymous Coward
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09/16/2012 11:12 AM
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Re: By 2015, Hard Commodity Prices Will Have Collapsed
Michael Pettis, China Financial Markets

For the past two years, as regular readers know, I have been bearish on hard commodities. Prices may have dropped substantially from their peaks during this time, but I don’t think the bear market is over. I think we still have a very long way to go.

This combination of factors – rising supply, dropping demand, and lots of inventory to work off – all but guarantee that the prices of hard commodities will collapse. I expect that certain commodities, like copper, will drop by 50% or more in the next two to three years

[link to www.mpettis.com]
 Quoting: DL


There will not be operating markets in 2 - 3 years.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 23022509


bsflag
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09/16/2012 11:16 AM
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Re: By 2015, Hard Commodity Prices Will Have Collapsed
We should invest in soft, yet tangible commodities like tulips from dutchland.

banana2u2efinebroccoliflowerhf
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09/16/2012 12:04 PM
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Re: By 2015, Hard Commodity Prices Will Have Collapsed
Michael Pettis, China Financial Markets

For the past two years, as regular readers know, I have been bearish on hard commodities. Prices may have dropped substantially from their peaks during this time, but I don’t think the bear market is over. I think we still have a very long way to go.

This combination of factors – rising supply, dropping demand, and lots of inventory to work off – all but guarantee that the prices of hard commodities will collapse. I expect that certain commodities, like copper, will drop by 50% or more in the next two to three years

[link to www.mpettis.com]
 Quoting: DL


prices will rise due to cost push inflation, not supply and demand metrics. some just don't get it.
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09/16/2012 12:14 PM
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Re: By 2015, Hard Commodity Prices Will Have Collapsed
Michael Pettis, China Financial Markets

For the past two years, as regular readers know, I have been bearish on hard commodities. Prices may have dropped substantially from their peaks during this time, but I don’t think the bear market is over. I think we still have a very long way to go.

This combination of factors – rising supply, dropping demand, and lots of inventory to work off – all but guarantee that the prices of hard commodities will collapse. I expect that certain commodities, like copper, will drop by 50% or more in the next two to three years

[link to www.mpettis.com]
 Quoting: DL


My I.Q. is 30 points lower after reading your post.another do
 Quoting: Fire Watch


LOL...what a bunch of nonsense. the prices of gold silver and copper are all in dollars, so explain to me as the Fed keeps printing more dollars, making the ones you already have worth less, will commodities crash when they cannot be printed and devalued but the pricing unit of the metal can...winning
Anonymous Coward
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09/16/2012 12:17 PM
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Re: By 2015, Hard Commodity Prices Will Have Collapsed
Nonsense. Oversupply? Declining demand? Don't think China would agree with this. Moreover, global population continues to increase.
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09/16/2012 12:22 PM
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Re: By 2015, Hard Commodity Prices Will Have Collapsed
bsflag there wont be a 2015 dumbass

check out the news dude

WW3 brewing now
Anonymous Coward
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09/16/2012 12:26 PM
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Re: By 2015, Hard Commodity Prices Will Have Collapsed
currencies will collapse, commodities will soar. Gold and silver are set to explode....
Anonymous Coward
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09/16/2012 12:30 PM
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Re: By 2015, Hard Commodity Prices Will Have Collapsed
bsflag
Fire WatchModerator
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09/16/2012 12:35 PM

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Re: By 2015, Hard Commodity Prices Will Have Collapsed
Michael Pettis, China Financial Markets

For the past two years, as regular readers know, I have been bearish on hard commodities. Prices may have dropped substantially from their peaks during this time, but I don’t think the bear market is over. I think we still have a very long way to go.

This combination of factors – rising supply, dropping demand, and lots of inventory to work off – all but guarantee that the prices of hard commodities will collapse. I expect that certain commodities, like copper, will drop by 50% or more in the next two to three years

[link to www.mpettis.com]
 Quoting: DL


My I.Q. is 30 points lower after reading your post.another do
 Quoting: Fire Watch


LOL...what a bunch of nonsense. the prices of gold silver and copper are all in dollars, so explain to me as the Fed keeps printing more dollars, making the ones you already have worth less, will commodities crash when they cannot be printed and devalued but the pricing unit of the metal can...winning
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1432248


Bingo!
When the people fear the government, there is tyranny. When the government fears the people, there is liberty. Thomas Jefferson
-------------------------------------
The tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of patriots and tyrants.
Thomas Jefferson
Anonymous Coward
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09/16/2012 12:55 PM
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Re: By 2015, Hard Commodity Prices Will Have Collapsed
Be SURE you remember this is ONLY a 'weekend Pass' from the asylum, and RETURN on Monday as promised !
Anonymous Coward
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09/16/2012 01:06 PM
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Re: By 2015, Hard Commodity Prices Will Have Collapsed
DL .... Starts threads and RUNS AWAY ? Grow a pair or STOP posting !
Anonymous Coward
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09/16/2012 01:15 PM
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Re: By 2015, Hard Commodity Prices Will Have Collapsed
Everything in that article seems the opposite of what the world is experiencing.

We are short on hard commodities, not in an oversupply. Bottom line.
Anonymous Coward
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09/16/2012 02:23 PM
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Re: By 2015, Hard Commodity Prices Will Have Collapsed
currencies will collapse, commodities will soar. Gold and silver are set to explode....
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 23011194


explosion
Anonymous Coward
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09/16/2012 02:43 PM
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Re: By 2015, Hard Commodity Prices Will Have Collapsed
If they are doing QE3 indefinetly it will not take 2-3 years to get there....

In fact I would look at a total collapse in less than 1 year. Once the dollar is devalued and gas prices start to rise... it's over.
Anonymous Coward
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09/16/2012 03:56 PM
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Re: By 2015, Hard Commodity Prices Will Have Collapsed
Be SURE you remember this is ONLY a 'weekend Pass' from the asylum, and RETURN on Monday as promised !
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 23407649


Hahahaaaa....
Saratonin

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09/16/2012 04:10 PM
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Re: By 2015, Hard Commodity Prices Will Have Collapsed
currencies will collapse, commodities will soar. Gold and silver are set to explode....
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 23011194


In the short term after a collapse gold and silver will be king of currencies but their rein will end fast when people are starving.

Food and clean water will be the best assets to have during a crisis or collapse. When civilization is rebuilt then gold and silver will be worth something again.

- Sara
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