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Danger Rapidly Approaches: High Oil Prices Could Trigger Stock Market Crash And Things May Turn South Very Quickly!!!

 
waht
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09/17/2012 03:04 PM
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Danger Rapidly Approaches: High Oil Prices Could Trigger Stock Market Crash And Things May Turn South Very Quickly!!!
Danger Rapidly Approaches: High Oil Prices Could Trigger Stock Market Crash And Things May Turn South Very Quickly!!! Recessions Have All Been Preceded By A Sharp Spike In The Price Of Energy Since World War II

David Kotok, Cumberland Advisors:

“The scenario that worries me is a geopolitical shock that spikes oil, and does so now, such as to remind people of what happened in 1973/1974, with the Yom Kipur war, when oil went from $3 to $12. I admit to being old enough to remember it. It did so at the same time [former Fed Chair] Arthur Burns was in a very expansive Fed policy mode. In 1973-1974, what the Fed did through monetary policy was to fuel the inflation that occurred in the late 70s and became virulent.”

“On the monetary policy side [today], the policy is geared to blunt the force of deflation. The position of the Fed is: We’ll deal with inflation later. And that’s fine… when there is no shock.”

“AIn a shock, when policy is very stretched, it means the system has no resilience.”

“It’s like jumping on a trampoline of cement.”

“My worry is, the Northern piece of Nigeria is embroiled in civil war with Islamic extremists.”

“Nigeria is the most important oil producer in the world.”

“Geopolitical risk in Nigeria rises every day”

‘Everyone is ignoring it.”

“I look at Nigeria, and I look at the risk of Islamic extremism in
threatening oil production.”

“My biggest fear is that we now get hit with an oil price shock… That takes Brent to $150-$160, and that takes gasoline hat to the High $4s or $5.00.

“That will come coincident with the expiration of the 2% payroll tax”

“And that plays a very important role here and is being ignored. And these idiots that we elect to represent us feel that it’s okay to let a 2% tax break expire… at the same time a consumer shock is
underway.”



At this point, watch the price of oil if you want to know when the next recession is going to begin. As I’ve pointed out many times in the past, recessions (well, at least since World War II) have all been preceded by a sharp spike in the price of energy.

...

FLASHBACK: George Soros warns that speculators could trigger stock market crash
...

[link to investmentwatchblog.com]





Seems like the bubble is about to burst:

WTI's plunge to $95 was priced in when it was trading at $99 seconds prior.


dynamite

Last Edited by waht on 09/17/2012 03:12 PM
Anonymous Coward
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09/17/2012 03:16 PM
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Re: Danger Rapidly Approaches: High Oil Prices Could Trigger Stock Market Crash And Things May Turn South Very Quickly!!!
hiding
Anonymous Coward
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09/17/2012 03:24 PM
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Re: Danger Rapidly Approaches: High Oil Prices Could Trigger Stock Market Crash And Things May Turn South Very Quickly!!!
good post! bump
Anonymous Coward
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09/17/2012 03:56 PM
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Re: Danger Rapidly Approaches: High Oil Prices Could Trigger Stock Market Crash And Things May Turn South Very Quickly!!!
are u the new luisport, or maybe stuart little? all these the sky is falling threads...jeez dude
Anonymous Coward
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09/17/2012 04:03 PM
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Re: Danger Rapidly Approaches: High Oil Prices Could Trigger Stock Market Crash And Things May Turn South Very Quickly!!!
Not sure why, but oil took a big and sudden drop today.
boilerbengal

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09/17/2012 05:05 PM

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Re: Danger Rapidly Approaches: High Oil Prices Could Trigger Stock Market Crash And Things May Turn South Very Quickly!!!
Not sure why, but oil took a big and sudden drop today.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1486213


today was some crude oil future contract expiration day. also there could be alot of short covering driving the price down. but eventually like clockwork oil will go up with the other commodity's. IMO
A Clear Choice Is Upon US.
Communists VS. Capitalists
Anonymous Coward
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09/17/2012 05:58 PM
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Re: Danger Rapidly Approaches: High Oil Prices Could Trigger Stock Market Crash And Things May Turn South Very Quickly!!!
Stock up now!

Oh, wait! We can't!

Yes, we are screwed when the next shock comes. People already on the precipice will fall into the cracks, creating more poverty, misery and destruction of wealth.

They drain us with high gas prices knowing we can't do a damn thing to offset the issue.

At least with food, if you happen to have some extra money, you can put some away or try and grow your own.

They've really got us by the short hairs with petroleum products.

Bastards! I'm so sick of all of their now very obvious bs!!!!
Anonymous Coward
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09/17/2012 06:00 PM
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Re: Danger Rapidly Approaches: High Oil Prices Could Trigger Stock Market Crash And Things May Turn South Very Quickly!!!
Really good information, but I think you need to update the word recession with the word depression.
Anonymous Coward
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09/17/2012 06:31 PM
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Re: Danger Rapidly Approaches: High Oil Prices Could Trigger Stock Market Crash And Things May Turn South Very Quickly!!!
Damn people investing in oil stocks.
It will affect them all!
Anonymous Coward
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09/17/2012 06:46 PM
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Re: Danger Rapidly Approaches: High Oil Prices Could Trigger Stock Market Crash And Things May Turn South Very Quickly!!!
Yes, oil is how TPTB regulate the economy. To raise oil prices now is suicidal for the country. However, oil prices can raise without gas prices skyrocketing. Only now we have both happening. Got preps?
Herman The Kid

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09/17/2012 09:04 PM

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Re: Danger Rapidly Approaches: High Oil Prices Could Trigger Stock Market Crash And Things May Turn South Very Quickly!!!
I bet it goes up $20 within 2 weeks.
You m-m-m-muh-make me HAAA-PEEE.

Psalm 34:14 - Depart from evil, and do good; seek peace, and pursue it.

Romans 5:8 - But God commendeth his love toward us, in that, while we were yet sinners, Christ died for us.
Anonymous Coward
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09/17/2012 09:12 PM
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Re: Danger Rapidly Approaches: High Oil Prices Could Trigger Stock Market Crash And Things May Turn South Very Quickly!!!
Doesn't how much stocked you are, they will just come and take it. or others that don't have anything will.

Nope ONLY God will save us.
Anonymous Coward
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09/17/2012 09:42 PM
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Re: Danger Rapidly Approaches: High Oil Prices Could Trigger Stock Market Crash And Things May Turn South Very Quickly!!!
Doesn't how much stocked you are, they will just come and take it. or others that don't have anything will.

Nope ONLY God will save us.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1283850


This means....no one will save us
Rufus
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09/17/2012 09:53 PM
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Re: Danger Rapidly Approaches: High Oil Prices Could Trigger Stock Market Crash And Things May Turn South Very Quickly!!!
Not just governments but most major banks are broke and working on the edge. Most of the largest Mega Banks have derivatives exposures that are 40-50-60 times their total assets, so what happens if Europe does collapse (which is fairly likely) causing them to loose just a modest percentage on those derivatives? ( [link to ncrenegade.com] )

Personally I expect something much like the well I think that we are in for something like the collapse of Argentina ( [link to www.youtube.com] )but on a global scale.

When you add in the fact that their is a growing concern for social unrest regardless of which way the election goes, the next few months will be like walking a mine field.

Recent events show we have a large entitlement minded population that is violent prone and armed. I think that during a collapse you will see many small businesses wiped out by flash mob looting, and once started it will quickly spread to rape, robbery and murder for murder sake. You will see what I call ‘pocket pogroms’ and if you ain’t ‘the right people’ you better not be around when they come.

Many of these ‘yutes’ will think no more about killing you than most people think about stepping on a roach. That will be the test of many. Most preppers I know are Christian people and they will hesitate to do what they might have to do to stop the ‘yutes’. On the other hand the ‘yutes’ won’t think twice nor lose a minute of sleep, in fact they will smile and laugh about it.

I can’t help, but think of this quote which is one of my favorites:

“Star Trek: Deep Space Nine: The Siege of AR-558 (#7.8)” (1998)

Quark: “Let me tell you something about Hew-mons, Nephew. They’re a wonderful, friendly people, as long as their bellies are full and their holosuites are working. But take away their creature comforts, deprive them of food, sleep, sonic showers, put their lives in jeopardy over an extended period of time and those same friendly, intelligent, wonderful people... will become as nasty and as violent as the most bloodthirsty Klingon. You don’t believe me? Look at those faces. Look in their eyes.”

Clearly there’s a storm coming, as great as a hurricane and like you do when a hurricane comes your way you either prepare to weather it or you become a victim of it.

For those who are just starting or are old hands at prepping you may find my Preparedness Manual helpfull. You can download it at:

[link to www.mediafire.com]


NOTE! THIS IS A FREE DOWNLOAD. I DO NOT MAKE ONE CENT OFF MY PREPAREDNESS MANUAL!

For those of you who haven’t started already it’s time to prepare almost past time maybe. You needed to be stocking up on food guns, ammo, basic household supplies like soap, papergoods, cleaning supplies, good sturdy clothes including extra socks, underwear and extra shoes and boots, a extra couple changes of oil and filters for your car, tools, things you buy everyday start buying two and put one up.

As the LDS say “When the emergency is upon us the time for preparedness has past.”

Or as the bible says: A prudent man sees danger and takes refuge, but the simple keep going and suffer for it.
NIV Proverbs 22:3

“There is no greater disaster than to underestimate danger.
Underestimation can be fatal.”
Rufus
User ID: 23560904
United States
09/17/2012 10:05 PM
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Re: Danger Rapidly Approaches: High Oil Prices Could Trigger Stock Market Crash And Things May Turn South Very Quickly!!!
Not just governments but most major banks are broke and working on the edge. Most of the largest Mega Banks have derivatives exposures that are 40-50-60 times their total assets, so what happens if Europe does collapse (which is fairly likely) causing them to loose just a modest percentage on those derivatives? ( [link to ncrenegade.com] )

Personally I expect something much like the well I think that we are in for something like the collapse of Argentina ( [link to www.youtube.com] )but on a global scale.

When you add in the fact that their is a growing concern for social unrest regardless of which way the election goes, the next few months will be like walking a mine field.

Recent events show we have a large entitlement minded population that is violent prone and armed. I think that during a collapse you will see many small businesses wiped out by flash mob looting, and once started it will quickly spread to rape, robbery and murder for murder sake. You will see what I call ‘pocket pogroms’ and if you ain’t ‘the right people’ you better not be around when they come.

Many of these ‘yutes’ will think no more about killing you than most people think about stepping on a roach. That will be the test of many. Most preppers I know are Christian people and they will hesitate to do what they might have to do to stop the ‘yutes’. On the other hand the ‘yutes’ won’t think twice nor lose a minute of sleep, in fact they will smile and laugh about it.

I can’t help, but think of this quote which is one of my favorites:

“Star Trek: Deep Space Nine: The Siege of AR-558 (#7.8)” (1998)

Quark: “Let me tell you something about Hew-mons, Nephew. They’re a wonderful, friendly people, as long as their bellies are full and their holosuites are working. But take away their creature comforts, deprive them of food, sleep, sonic showers, put their lives in jeopardy over an extended period of time and those same friendly, intelligent, wonderful people... will become as nasty and as violent as the most bloodthirsty Klingon. You don’t believe me? Look at those faces. Look in their eyes.”

Clearly there’s a storm coming, as great as a hurricane and like you do when a hurricane comes your way you either prepare to weather it or you become a victim of it.

For those who are just starting or are old hands at prepping you may find my Preparedness Manual helpfull. You can download it at:

[link to www.mediafire.com]


NOTE! THIS IS A FREE DOWNLOAD. I DO NOT MAKE ONE CENT OFF MY PREPAREDNESS MANUAL!

For those of you who haven’t started already it’s time to prepare almost past time maybe. You needed to be stocking up on food guns, ammo, basic household supplies like soap, papergoods, cleaning supplies, good sturdy clothes including extra socks, underwear and extra shoes and boots, a extra couple changes of oil and filters for your car, tools, things you buy everyday start buying two and put one up.

As the LDS say “When the emergency is upon us the time for preparedness has past.”

Or as the bible says: A prudent man sees danger and takes refuge, but the simple keep going and suffer for it.
NIV Proverbs 22:3

“There is no greater disaster than to underestimate danger.
Underestimation can be fatal.”
 Quoting: Rufus 23560904

Live link:

[link to www.mediafire.com]

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