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Battleground Ohio Poll. Obama with a Razor Thin Lead (Obama 45.2% Romney 44.3%)

 
PravdaDemocrat
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09/25/2012 04:03 PM
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Battleground Ohio Poll. Obama with a Razor Thin Lead (Obama 45.2% Romney 44.3%)
I知 liking this!
Obama only polling 45%, 40 days out, spells epic disaster!!

Poll breakdown +10D Bias

D - 41.4 %
R - 31.1 %
I - 27.5 %

HANG IN THERE AMERICA! CHANGE IS COMING!!
PravdaDemocrat (OP)

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09/25/2012 04:07 PM
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Re: Battleground Ohio Poll. Obama with a Razor Thin Lead (Obama 45.2% Romney 44.3%)
Oh, this doesn't fit the Mainstream Media narrative, does it!
Anonymous Coward
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09/25/2012 04:12 PM
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Re: Battleground Ohio Poll. Obama with a Razor Thin Lead (Obama 45.2% Romney 44.3%)
I doubt it's 45%.I was in the doctor office yesterday and Obama was on the tv flapping his gums about something or another and when I said send his ass back to Kenya people started laughing, not at me but because they felt the same way and wouldn't say it.
PravdaDemocrat (OP)

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09/25/2012 04:14 PM
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Re: Battleground Ohio Poll. Obama with a Razor Thin Lead (Obama 45.2% Romney 44.3%)
I doubt it's 45%.I was in the doctor office yesterday and Obama was on the tv flapping his gums about something or another and when I said send his ass back to Kenya people started laughing, not at me but because they felt the same way and wouldn't say it.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 14513811


That's part of the power of Media Propaganda, and Socialist Rhetoric.

Everyone is SCARED to talk politics because of Obama. And you CERTAINLY don't do it in mixed-race company...

Last Edited by PravdaDemocrat on 09/25/2012 04:17 PM
PravdaDemocrat (OP)

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09/25/2012 04:17 PM
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Re: Battleground Ohio Poll. Obama with a Razor Thin Lead (Obama 45.2% Romney 44.3%)
Romney must be raking in the indies in OH.

It was 594 likely voters. And the margin of error is 4.3%.

That means any "lead" is statistically insignificant.
Anonymous Coward
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09/25/2012 04:17 PM
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Re: Battleground Ohio Poll. Obama with a Razor Thin Lead (Obama 45.2% Romney 44.3%)
"Razor thin lead"??

cruise

You gotta be smoking something!

Rmoney wouldn't even be bothering to advertise in Ohio at all if it wasn't a must-win state for him!

Obama wins Ohio easily.

osuper

Plus 10.3 points by your own numbers!

lol
Anonymous Coward
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09/25/2012 04:18 PM
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Re: Battleground Ohio Poll. Obama with a Razor Thin Lead (Obama 45.2% Romney 44.3%)
Polls always have a plus/minus....

Do you know what it is ???

On a +/- 3 points that could be:
Obuma 42.2%
Romney 47.3

But the media can manipulate any stats with a =?-.......

Oh yeah - please remember - as common folk as you all are - Popular Vote does absolutley freakin' nothing in becoming president........

ELECTORIAL COLLEGE chooses the Puppet errr I mean President........
PravdaDemocrat (OP)

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09/25/2012 04:18 PM
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Re: Battleground Ohio Poll. Obama with a Razor Thin Lead (Obama 45.2% Romney 44.3%)
"Razor thin lead"??

cruise

You gotta be smoking something!

Rmoney wouldn't even be bothering to advertise in Ohio at all if it wasn't a must-win state for him!

Obama wins Ohio easily.

osuper

Plus 10.3 points by your own numbers!

lol
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 24401954


And then, you put down the crack pipe!

2008 turnout isn't happening this year...
Cheops

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09/25/2012 04:20 PM

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Re: Battleground Ohio Poll. Obama with a Razor Thin Lead (Obama 45.2% Romney 44.3%)
What poll is this?

link?
Anonymous Coward
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09/25/2012 04:22 PM
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Re: Battleground Ohio Poll. Obama with a Razor Thin Lead (Obama 45.2% Romney 44.3%)
The latest Washington Post poll has Romney losing by 8 points in Ohio.
[link to polltracker.talkingpointsmemo.com]
PravdaDemocrat (OP)

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09/25/2012 04:23 PM
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Re: Battleground Ohio Poll. Obama with a Razor Thin Lead (Obama 45.2% Romney 44.3%)
What poll is this?

link?
 Quoting: Cheops


[link to gravismarketing.blogspot.com]
Anonymous Coward
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09/25/2012 04:28 PM
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Re: Battleground Ohio Poll. Obama with a Razor Thin Lead (Obama 45.2% Romney 44.3%)
As more workers stop looking for employment, the unemployment rate will be under 8% by election day. MSM is hyping an O'bama lead to reinforce Barry's re-election, but as the bottom starts to fall out it becomes a tougher sell.
PravdaDemocrat (OP)

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09/25/2012 04:30 PM
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Re: Battleground Ohio Poll. Obama with a Razor Thin Lead (Obama 45.2% Romney 44.3%)
The latest Washington Post poll has Romney losing by 8 points in Ohio.
[link to polltracker.talkingpointsmemo.com]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 24401954


An ALL ADULTS POLL with a +14 D Bias...
±4.5 margin of error.
759 Likely Voters were polled by telephone survey.
It was only +8D in 2008!
+2 In 2010.
The sample of 934 voters and sample of 759 likely voters

This is designed to DRIVE THE HEADLINE, not actually poll any opinion...

WOW....
And you'll note HOW HARD Wapo tries to hide the actual methodology? It takes FOUR CLICKS to get to it!

It's 2010, all over again...

Last Edited by PravdaDemocrat on 09/25/2012 04:31 PM
Anonymous Coward
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09/25/2012 04:31 PM
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Re: Battleground Ohio Poll. Obama with a Razor Thin Lead (Obama 45.2% Romney 44.3%)
Fox has Obama beating Rmoney by 7 points in Ohio!

Ooooh that's gotta hurt!
Anonymous Coward
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09/25/2012 04:41 PM
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Re: Battleground Ohio Poll. Obama with a Razor Thin Lead (Obama 45.2% Romney 44.3%)
The latest Washington Post poll has Romney losing by 8 points in Ohio.
[link to polltracker.talkingpointsmemo.com]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 24401954


An ALL ADULTS POLL with a +14 D Bias...
±4.5 margin of error.
759 Likely Voters were polled by telephone survey.
It was only +8D in 2008!
+2 In 2010.
The sample of 934 voters and sample of 759 likely voters

This is designed to DRIVE THE HEADLINE, not actually poll any opinion...

WOW....
And you'll note HOW HARD Wapo tries to hide the actual methodology? It takes FOUR CLICKS to get to it!

It's 2010, all over again...
 Quoting: PravdaDemocrat


Versus your methodology of pulling an arbitrary 10 points out of your vagina and assigning them to Willard just because?

laugh
Anonymous Coward
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09/25/2012 04:47 PM
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Re: Battleground Ohio Poll. Obama with a Razor Thin Lead (Obama 45.2% Romney 44.3%)
Fellow OHIOANS... if we elect this loose MR O!!!..
I'm leaving to never return to the USA!!!....

That would mean that the majority want this country and what our valiant founding fathers fought for meant obsolutely nothing!!!
PravdaDemocrat (OP)

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09/25/2012 04:53 PM
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Re: Battleground Ohio Poll. Obama with a Razor Thin Lead (Obama 45.2% Romney 44.3%)
The latest Washington Post poll has Romney losing by 8 points in Ohio.
[link to polltracker.talkingpointsmemo.com]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 24401954


An ALL ADULTS POLL with a +14 D Bias...
±4.5 margin of error.
759 Likely Voters were polled by telephone survey.
It was only +8D in 2008!
+2 In 2010.
The sample of 934 voters and sample of 759 likely voters

This is designed to DRIVE THE HEADLINE, not actually poll any opinion...

WOW....
And you'll note HOW HARD Wapo tries to hide the actual methodology? It takes FOUR CLICKS to get to it!

It's 2010, all over again...
 Quoting: PravdaDemocrat


Versus your methodology of pulling an arbitrary 10 points out of your vagina and assigning them to Willard just because?

laugh
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 24401954

No answer for facts, so you resort to junior high insults, eh?
Thanks for letting everyone know your intellectual level!
Anonymous Coward
09/25/2012 05:11 PM
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Re: Battleground Ohio Poll. Obama with a Razor Thin Lead (Obama 45.2% Romney 44.3%)
I知 liking this!
Obama only polling 45%, 40 days out, spells epic disaster!!

Poll breakdown +10D Bias

D - 41.4 %
R - 31.1 %
I - 27.5 %

HANG IN THERE AMERICA! CHANGE IS COMING!!
 Quoting: PravdaDemocrat


You're showing your statistical ignorance again. Do you not understand the concept of random sampling? You take issue with the sample pool proportions of party status but have not shown that it differs significantly from what one would expect and instead choose to label any differences as bias without quantitatively justifying your response. Just the usual "herp derp evil liberals and their math."
*Heisenberg*

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09/25/2012 05:16 PM
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Re: Battleground Ohio Poll. Obama with a Razor Thin Lead (Obama 45.2% Romney 44.3%)
I知 liking this!
Obama only polling 45%, 40 days out, spells epic disaster!!

Poll breakdown +10D Bias

D - 41.4 %
R - 31.1 %
I - 27.5 %

HANG IN THERE AMERICA! CHANGE IS COMING!!
 Quoting: PravdaDemocrat


The debates are going to be big in deciding this election. I also think Romney would destroy Obama in a debate.

Obama will do his normal deflection techniques....never really answer any questions or criticisms.
Anonymous Coward
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09/25/2012 05:17 PM
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Re: Battleground Ohio Poll. Obama with a Razor Thin Lead (Obama 45.2% Romney 44.3%)
I知 liking this!
Obama only polling 45%, 40 days out, spells epic disaster!!

Poll breakdown +10D Bias

D - 41.4 %
R - 31.1 %
I - 27.5 %

HANG IN THERE AMERICA! CHANGE IS COMING!!
 Quoting: PravdaDemocrat


You're showing your statistical ignorance again. Do you not understand the concept of random sampling? You take issue with the sample pool proportions of party status but have not shown that it differs significantly from what one would expect and instead choose to label any differences as bias without quantitatively justifying your response. Just the usual "herp derp evil liberals and their math."
 Quoting: Wonkish


Pravda said
D - 41.4 %
R - 31.1 %

In other words, +10.3 for Obama, so what's the issue?
*Heisenberg*

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09/25/2012 05:18 PM
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Re: Battleground Ohio Poll. Obama with a Razor Thin Lead (Obama 45.2% Romney 44.3%)
I知 liking this!
Obama only polling 45%, 40 days out, spells epic disaster!!

Poll breakdown +10D Bias

D - 41.4 %
R - 31.1 %
I - 27.5 %

HANG IN THERE AMERICA! CHANGE IS COMING!!
 Quoting: PravdaDemocrat


You're showing your statistical ignorance again. Do you not understand the concept of random sampling? You take issue with the sample pool proportions of party status but have not shown that it differs significantly from what one would expect and instead choose to label any differences as bias without quantitatively justifying your response. Just the usual "herp derp evil liberals and their math."
 Quoting: Wonkish


Pravda said
D - 41.4 %
R - 31.1 %

In other words, +10.3 for Obama, so what's the issue?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 24401954


chuckle

You don't understand the + - do you?
Anonymous Coward
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09/25/2012 05:20 PM
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Re: Battleground Ohio Poll. Obama with a Razor Thin Lead (Obama 45.2% Romney 44.3%)
D+10?

That is retarded.

Combine 2004 with 2010 and that would be far more accurate, except in 2004 we had a busting economy.

I think 2010 is what we're looking at in terms of Democrats showing up.

And that means a Romney victory.

Someone else mentioned unemployment getting below 8 percent due to people not looking for work -- the question is, will all of these people show up for Obama? Seems unlikely. How does being out of work motivate you to vote for the incumbent? It makes no sense, certainly not historically.
 Quoting: Super Bowl Dave


Dave, you're one of Romney's dependent victim 47% worthless pieces of shit, so why are you shilling for him?
*Heisenberg*

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09/25/2012 05:22 PM
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Re: Battleground Ohio Poll. Obama with a Razor Thin Lead (Obama 45.2% Romney 44.3%)
D+10?

That is retarded.

Combine 2004 with 2010 and that would be far more accurate, except in 2004 we had a busting economy.

I think 2010 is what we're looking at in terms of Democrats showing up.

And that means a Romney victory.

Someone else mentioned unemployment getting below 8 percent due to people not looking for work -- the question is, will all of these people show up for Obama? Seems unlikely. How does being out of work motivate you to vote for the incumbent? It makes no sense, certainly not historically.
 Quoting: Super Bowl Dave


Dave, you're one of Romney's dependent victim 47% worthless pieces of shit, so why are you shilling for him?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 24401954


Oh yes, anyone who disagrees with you is always some kind of shill, or dumb, or worthless.

potkettle
Anonymous Coward
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09/25/2012 05:24 PM
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Re: Battleground Ohio Poll. Obama with a Razor Thin Lead (Obama 45.2% Romney 44.3%)
All of the polls look bad for Romney.

Except they are sampling Democrats at 2008 turnout levels. We know those levels will not be matched. They will be closer to 2010 and 2004.

[link to www.unskewedpolls.com]
 Quoting: Super Bowl Dave


Unskewedpolls.com???

Seriously??

lolatu

cruise

1rof1





What a maroon.
*Heisenberg*

User ID: 21948600
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09/25/2012 05:26 PM
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Re: Battleground Ohio Poll. Obama with a Razor Thin Lead (Obama 45.2% Romney 44.3%)
All of the polls look bad for Romney.

Except they are sampling Democrats at 2008 turnout levels. We know those levels will not be matched. They will be closer to 2010 and 2004.

[link to www.unskewedpolls.com]
 Quoting: Super Bowl Dave


That is correct. There will not be near the dem turnout as 08'

Not even close. It is the conservative base that is rallying this time around.

+1 for seeing through the media polling propaganda. As we can see by this thread, not all can do that.
Anonymous Coward
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09/25/2012 05:27 PM
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Re: Battleground Ohio Poll. Obama with a Razor Thin Lead (Obama 45.2% Romney 44.3%)
I知 liking this!
Obama only polling 45%, 40 days out, spells epic disaster!!

Poll breakdown +10D Bias

D - 41.4 %
R - 31.1 %
I - 27.5 %

HANG IN THERE AMERICA! CHANGE IS COMING!!
 Quoting: PravdaDemocrat


You're showing your statistical ignorance again. Do you not understand the concept of random sampling? You take issue with the sample pool proportions of party status but have not shown that it differs significantly from what one would expect and instead choose to label any differences as bias without quantitatively justifying your response. Just the usual "herp derp evil liberals and their math."
 Quoting: Wonkish


Pravda said
D - 41.4 %
R - 31.1 %

In other words, +10.3 for Obama, so what's the issue?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 24401954


chuckle

You don't understand the + - do you?
 Quoting: *Heisenberg*


Yeah, that's when Pravda pulls an arbitrary 10 points out of her vagina and gives them to Romney just because AND OBAMA STILL WINS!

lol
*Heisenberg*

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09/25/2012 05:28 PM
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Re: Battleground Ohio Poll. Obama with a Razor Thin Lead (Obama 45.2% Romney 44.3%)
...


You're showing your statistical ignorance again. Do you not understand the concept of random sampling? You take issue with the sample pool proportions of party status but have not shown that it differs significantly from what one would expect and instead choose to label any differences as bias without quantitatively justifying your response. Just the usual "herp derp evil liberals and their math."
 Quoting: Wonkish


Pravda said
D - 41.4 %
R - 31.1 %

In other words, +10.3 for Obama, so what's the issue?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 24401954


chuckle

You don't understand the + - do you?
 Quoting: *Heisenberg*


Yeah, that's when Pravda pulls an arbitrary 10 points out of her vagina and gives them to Romney just because AND OBAMA STILL WINS!

lol
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 24401954


So you don't understand?

Noted.
*Heisenberg*

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09/25/2012 05:29 PM
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Re: Battleground Ohio Poll. Obama with a Razor Thin Lead (Obama 45.2% Romney 44.3%)
All of the polls look bad for Romney.

Except they are sampling Democrats at 2008 turnout levels. We know those levels will not be matched. They will be closer to 2010 and 2004.

[link to www.unskewedpolls.com]
 Quoting: Super Bowl Dave


That is correct. There will not be near the dem turnout as 08'

Not even close. It is the conservative base that is rallying this time around.

+1 for seeing through the media polling propaganda. As we can see by this thread, not all can do that.
 Quoting: *Heisenberg*


This sums it up completely:

"The mainstream media typically skews these polls by sampling registered voters (which means less enthused supporters of the Democrats are counted even though they are less likely to vote) instead of likely voters, and Democrats are over-sampled."

[link to www.examiner.com]
 Quoting: Super Bowl Dave


ohyeah
Anonymous Coward
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09/25/2012 05:33 PM
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Re: Battleground Ohio Poll. Obama with a Razor Thin Lead (Obama 45.2% Romney 44.3%)
All of the polls look bad for Romney.

Except they are sampling Democrats at 2008 turnout levels. We know those levels will not be matched. They will be closer to 2010 and 2004.

[link to www.unskewedpolls.com]
 Quoting: Super Bowl Dave


That is correct. There will not be near the dem turnout as 08'

Not even close. It is the conservative base that is rallying this time around.

+1 for seeing through the media polling propaganda. As we can see by this thread, not all can do that.
 Quoting: *Heisenberg*


This sums it up completely:

"The mainstream media typically skews these polls by sampling registered voters (which means less enthused supporters of the Democrats are counted even though they are less likely to vote) instead of likely voters, and Democrats are over-sampled."

[link to www.examiner.com]
 Quoting: Super Bowl Dave


ohyeah
 Quoting: *Heisenberg*


Dean Chambers's "re-analysis".

Yeah, you go with that.


norespect
*Heisenberg*

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09/25/2012 05:38 PM
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Re: Battleground Ohio Poll. Obama with a Razor Thin Lead (Obama 45.2% Romney 44.3%)
...


That is correct. There will not be near the dem turnout as 08'

Not even close. It is the conservative base that is rallying this time around.

+1 for seeing through the media polling propaganda. As we can see by this thread, not all can do that.
 Quoting: *Heisenberg*


This sums it up completely:

"The mainstream media typically skews these polls by sampling registered voters (which means less enthused supporters of the Democrats are counted even though they are less likely to vote) instead of likely voters, and Democrats are over-sampled."

[link to www.examiner.com]
 Quoting: Super Bowl Dave


ohyeah
 Quoting: *Heisenberg*


Dean Chambers's "re-analysis".

Yeah, you go with that.


norespect
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 24401954


"There is non so blind as he who will not see"
Anonymous Coward
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United States
09/25/2012 06:35 PM
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Re: Battleground Ohio Poll. Obama with a Razor Thin Lead (Obama 45.2% Romney 44.3%)
I doubt it's 45%.I was in the doctor office yesterday and Obama was on the tv flapping his gums about something or another and when I said send his ass back to Kenya people started laughing, not at me but because they felt the same way and wouldn't say it.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 14513811


That's part of the power of Media Propaganda, and Socialist Rhetoric.

Everyone is SCARED to talk politics because of Obama. And you CERTAINLY don't do it in mixed-race company...
 Quoting: PravdaDemocrat


I did. I'm not afraid to say anything. Most people around here aren't. "Speak your mind", it should be the state motto.

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