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Mitt Romney doom: Intrade has Obama's chances of winning at ~74%

 
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 15541380
United States
09/27/2012 01:42 AM
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Re: Mitt Romney doom: Intrade has Obama's chances of winning at ~74%
I've considered sending a $1000 to fund an account there.

The spread will tighten significantly in the coming weeks, after the debates. Perfect time to buy Romney.

I give Obama a 60% chance of winning right now, 75% is ridiculous.

Note: the Intrade bust out for Obama this week was fueled by an anti-Romney media blitz based on nothing substantial or real, and questionable polling data. The race remains tight.

90% of the perception of Obama "winning" and Romney running a "failing" campaign is social engineering, meme-speak and group-think. Take away the media buzz rhetoric and pundit mind-scramble, and the race would look very tight, with a slight Obama edge.

The idea Romney is an out of touch, patrician, "gaffe" prone candidate who doesn't pay enough taxes and "only cares about the rich" and "only wants to give the rich a tax break" are completely made up "memes" with virtually no basis in reality.
 Quoting: Super Bowl Dave


... wrong.

I have no problem with Romney being a Mormon; i have a problem with his attitude that poor people are Soylent Green.

Romney REALLY believes that poor people get free care at emergency rooms.
Anonymous Coward
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09/27/2012 01:47 AM
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Re: Mitt Romney doom: Intrade has Obama's chances of winning at ~74%
Current Share price: [link to www.intrade.com]

Plot: [link to data.intrade.com]
 Quoting: Wonkish


You can't take that stuff seriously. Intrade is a biased sample. A bunch of kool-aid drinkers living in their mothers' basements with a lot of free time on their hands, no girlfriends ... or friends of any kind.

Obama's "machine" tells them what to do, and they do it. It says "Ok everybody. Login to intrade and bet that Obama will win. We'll overload their server and prove that Obama has more loyal supporters than the other guy."

They pulled this crap in 2008 and they're just up to it again. A bunch of (barely) trained monkeys
 Quoting: hcc



You CAN take Nate Silver to the bank.

And President Obama deservedly DOES have more loyal supporters than any other guy.
Anonymous Coward
09/27/2012 10:05 AM
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Re: Mitt Romney doom: Intrade has Obama's chances of winning at ~74%
Seriously, if Obama dosen't win a landslide victory. I will cut my cock off and offer it to the Mayan gods.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 22185842


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