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A BIG ONE ON THE WAY

 
SnakeBite

User ID: 20003075
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09/28/2012 07:09 PM
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Re: A BIG ONE ON THE WAY
...


The animation just changed, it was a CME going straight to Earth.
What's going on?
 Quoting: 1908247


Yes that was incoming hard towards earth this morning. Now edited. Hey, is this what they mean by the GLP effect? [link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]
 Quoting: Crash Landed On Earth


can this CME miss us and pass above or below the earth?
 Quoting: Luisport

Take a look at the sat data imaging, almost a full halo flare, no avoiding it, direct hit. From the data posted by NASA and NOAA it's a mid-range C Flare which if true should not pose much of a threat to anything but it looked much bigger than that to me prior to the data being overwritten.
 Quoting: siniXster


TheSizeOFtheFLAREhasNOTHINGtoDOwithITSgeoeffectivness,AsYOUca​nSEEaSMALLflareCANproduceAlargeCME=)
MuzzleBreak

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09/28/2012 07:10 PM
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Re: A BIG ONE ON THE WAY
After looking at Stereo A vids, the big ones are headed away from Earth.
In his book, "Between Two Ages," Brzezinski wrote: "The technetronic era involves the gradual appearance of a more controlled society. Such a society would be dominated by an elite, unrestrained by traditional values."

MuzzleBreak
SnakeBite

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09/28/2012 07:10 PM
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Re: A BIG ONE ON THE WAY
 Quoting: GALonFire4TheLord


they have removed the supposed cme from the model. that some thought was earth directed. there were no clear images from stereo, which was down then sorry doom cancelled for you.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 24358110


IwishPEOPLEwouldRESEARCHandEDUCATEthemselvesAStoHOWtheseMODEL​Swork...
SnakeBite

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09/28/2012 07:11 PM
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Re: A BIG ONE ON THE WAY
After looking at Stereo A vids, the big ones are headed away from Earth.
 Quoting: MuzzleBreak


HowDOyouFIGUREthat?BothOFthemAREalmostFULLhaloCME's
SnakeBite

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09/28/2012 07:14 PM
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Re: A BIG ONE ON THE WAY
ASTRO PROVED THIS IS NO THREAT ALREADY. A SYSTEM GLITCH. ITS HEADED AWAY FROM EARTH. READ THE WHOLE THREAD IDIOTS.
 Quoting: moonlandingruled 1553685


EVERYagencyINtheWORLDseemsTOdisagree
SnakeBite

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09/28/2012 07:14 PM
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Re: A BIG ONE ON THE WAY
ASTRO PROVED THIS IS NO THREAT ALREADY. A SYSTEM GLITCH. ITS HEADED AWAY FROM EARTH. READ THE WHOLE THREAD IDIOTS.
 Quoting: moonlandingruled 1553685


EVERYagencyINtheWORLDseemsTOdisagree
SnakeBite

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09/28/2012 07:15 PM
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Re: A BIG ONE ON THE WAY
SorryFORtheDOUBLEpost:P
LordENLIL [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
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09/28/2012 07:21 PM
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Re: A BIG ONE ON THE WAY
It is snowing pretty hard here, but there is lightning. whats that about. I don't recall it happening before.
hf
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 15408034
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09/28/2012 07:24 PM
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Re: A BIG ONE ON THE WAY
It is snowing pretty hard here, but there is lightning. whats that about. I don't recall it happening before.
hf
 Quoting: AwakeInTassie


LOL. It's ok. probably a storm in the lowlands and just falling as snow here.
Shodan99VR4

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09/28/2012 07:27 PM
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Re: A BIG ONE ON THE WAY
SorryFORtheDOUBLEpost:P
LordENLIL [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: SnakeBite


The spacebar is your friend hf
TBar1984

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09/28/2012 07:31 PM
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Re: A BIG ONE ON THE WAY
After looking at Stereo A vids, the big ones are headed away from Earth.
 Quoting: MuzzleBreak

Yes, here's the new model [link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Not quite the same as this one is it [link to postimage.org] It's going the other wayyyyy.... [link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov]

yawn
Anonymous Coward
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09/28/2012 07:33 PM
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Re: A BIG ONE ON THE WAY
SorryFORtheDOUBLEpost:P
LordENLIL [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: SnakeBite


The spacebar is your friend hf
 Quoting: Shodan99VR4


He can't use it, he claims he has a sticky spacebar because of spilling Coca Cola on it....

I thinks he got a boner and wanked off to all this Sun Doom and he miss directed his projection, thus swamping his space bar with Jizsm and it becoming sticky....
Anonymous Coward
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09/28/2012 07:36 PM
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Re: A BIG ONE ON THE WAY
why have the moderators/administrators allowed this thread to be hijacked by trolls? ... this is ridiculous
 Quoting: rup


why have the moderators/administrators allowed this thread to be hijacked by trolls? ... this is ridiculous
 Quoting: rup


This^^^^^^^^^^^!!!!!!
Anonymous Coward
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09/28/2012 07:39 PM
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Re: A BIG ONE ON THE WAY
After looking at Stereo A vids, the big ones are headed away from Earth.
 Quoting: MuzzleBreak


HowDOyouFIGUREthat?BothOFthemAREalmostFULLhaloCME's
 Quoting: SnakeBite


full halo does not mean earth directed when its off the side or back of the sun. full halo refers to size.
SnakeBite

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09/28/2012 07:49 PM
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Re: A BIG ONE ON THE WAY
SorryFORtheDOUBLEpost:P
LordENLIL [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: SnakeBite


The spacebar is your friend hf
 Quoting: Shodan99VR4


ANDcocacolaIStheSPACEBARSenemy:)MYappologiesIdoNOThaveACCESSt​oSUCHaBARatTHIStime
Waterbug

User ID: 1295673
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09/28/2012 07:57 PM

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Re: A BIG ONE ON THE WAY
SorryFORtheDOUBLEpost:P
LordENLIL [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: SnakeBite


The spacebar is your friend hf
 Quoting: Shodan99VR4


ANDcocacolaIStheSPACEBARSenemy:)MYappologiesIdoNOThaveACCESSt​oSUCHaBARatTHIStime
 Quoting: SnakeBite


You have adapted well.
SnakeBite

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09/28/2012 07:59 PM
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Re: A BIG ONE ON THE WAY
SorryFORtheDOUBLEpost:P
LordENLIL [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: SnakeBite


The spacebar is your friend hf
 Quoting: Shodan99VR4


ANDcocacolaIStheSPACEBARSenemy:)MYappologiesIdoNOThaveACCESSt​oSUCHaBARatTHIStime
 Quoting: SnakeBite


You have adapted well.
 Quoting: Waterbug


imTRYINGy_happy
shadasonic (OP)

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09/28/2012 08:07 PM
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Re: A BIG ONE ON THE WAY
Had a twelve hour workday today with little breaks. Its good to see enlil posted this also

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
o~SmallCircles~o

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09/28/2012 08:07 PM
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Re: A BIG ONE ON THE WAY
...


The spacebar is your friend hf
 Quoting: Shodan99VR4


ANDcocacolaIStheSPACEBARSenemy:)MYappologiesIdoNOThaveACCESSt​oSUCHaBARatTHIStime
 Quoting: SnakeBite


You have adapted well.
 Quoting: Waterbug


imTRYINGy_happy
 Quoting: SnakeBite


:)
shadasonic (OP)

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09/28/2012 08:14 PM
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Re: A BIG ONE ON THE WAY
SorryFORtheDOUBLEpost:P
LordENLIL [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: SnakeBite


The spacebar is your friend hf
 Quoting: Shodan99VR4


He can't use it, he claims he has a sticky spacebar because of spilling Coca Cola on it....

I thinks he got a boner and wanked off to all this Sun Doom and he miss directed his projection, thus swamping his space bar with Jizsm and it becoming sticky....
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 701132


Idiot
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
shadasonic (OP)

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09/28/2012 08:21 PM
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Re: A BIG ONE ON THE WAY
We're only concerned with one CME that I know of. This is more Earth-directed than the one from March's X5 flare; it's also slower, but appears to have more density. IMO the density is what compresses the magnetosphere. Much will depend on the Bz direction and strength. We could see some auroras further south as we did last October from another filament eruption which was predicted to be a glancing blow.

Space Weather Message Code: WATA30
Serial Number: 97
Issue Time: 2012 Sep 28 2027 UTC

WATCH: Geomagnetic Storm Category G2 Predicted
Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Sep 29: None (Below G1) Sep 30: G2 (Moderate) Oct 01: G2 (Moderate)
THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye





Heres the most recent report , we need to realize filament liftoffs have irregular pockets of particles. We may see much of nothing from this or we may see quite a disturbance. To clear things up I am not worried about any flares or related CMEs, just the filament liftoff.

We just had another liftoff looks to be of no concern it was on the north eastern side.
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
shadasonic (OP)

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09/28/2012 08:25 PM
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Re: A BIG ONE ON THE WAY
After looking at Stereo A vids, the big ones are headed away from Earth.
 Quoting: MuzzleBreak

Yes, here's the new model [link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Not quite the same as this one is it [link to postimage.org] It's going the other wayyyyy.... [link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov]

yawn
 Quoting: TBar1984


By the way you guys are looking at a backside CME that happened later. Heres the FILAMENT LIFTOFF that is sending the CME OUR WAY. Heres our plasma wave.


[link to postimage.org]
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
shadasonic (OP)

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09/28/2012 08:28 PM
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Re: A BIG ONE ON THE WAY
[link to postimage.org]

Heres a shot of the northeastern little filament liftoff( I say little its 10x the size of earth. Look at the big half circle filament dead center, we better hope that stays put, its huge and would be geoeffective
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Anonymous Coward
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09/28/2012 08:32 PM
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Re: A BIG ONE ON THE WAY
[link to postimage.org]

Heres a shot of the northeastern little filament liftoff( I say little its 10x the size of earth. Look at the big half circle filament dead center, we better hope that stays put, its huge and would be geoeffective
 Quoting: shadasonic


Good luck Shada, trying to get this point across has been literally impossible all day.

Here's the latest report from the Dept. of Commerce (for what it's worth wink)

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
SnakeBite

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09/28/2012 08:33 PM
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Re: A BIG ONE ON THE WAY
SorryFORtheDOUBLEpost:P
LordENLIL [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: SnakeBite


The spacebar is your friend hf
 Quoting: Shodan99VR4


He can't use it, he claims he has a sticky spacebar because of spilling Coca Cola on it....

I thinks he got a boner and wanked off to all this Sun Doom and he miss directed his projection, thus swamping his space bar with Jizsm and it becoming sticky....
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 701132


Idiot
 Quoting: shadasonic


NOworriesSHADdontSPENDanyENERGYonTHESEtype:)
Waterbug

User ID: 1295673
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09/28/2012 08:39 PM

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Re: A BIG ONE ON THE WAY
...


The spacebar is your friend hf
 Quoting: Shodan99VR4


ANDcocacolaIStheSPACEBARSenemy:)MYappologiesIdoNOThaveACCESSt​oSUCHaBARatTHIStime
 Quoting: SnakeBite


You have adapted well.
 Quoting: Waterbug


imTRYINGy_happy
 Quoting: SnakeBite


Rather ingenious using caps on and off to delineate..

Your native name would be, 'MANwhoTYPESwithoutSPACES'.
shadasonic (OP)

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09/28/2012 08:44 PM
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Re: A BIG ONE ON THE WAY
[link to postimage.org]

Heres a shot of the northeastern little filament liftoff( I say little its 10x the size of earth. Look at the big half circle filament dead center, we better hope that stays put, its huge and would be geoeffective
 Quoting: shadasonic


Good luck Shada, trying to get this point across has been literally impossible all day.

Here's the latest report from the Dept. of Commerce (for what it's worth wink)

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: TS66


I'm just seeing this as I read the thread. I saw T bar saying a filament directly in a geoeffective earth side stance went backside, some people can talk themselves into anything.
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Anonymous Coward
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09/28/2012 08:44 PM
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Re: A BIG ONE ON THE WAY
bump
Anonymous Coward
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09/28/2012 08:46 PM
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Re: A BIG ONE ON THE WAY
...


ANDcocacolaIStheSPACEBARSenemy:)MYappologiesIdoNOThaveACCESSt​oSUCHaBARatTHIStime
 Quoting: SnakeBite


You have adapted well.
 Quoting: Waterbug


imTRYINGy_happy
 Quoting: SnakeBite


Rather ingenious using caps on and off to delineate..

Your native name would be, 'MANwhoTYPESwithoutSPACES'.
 Quoting: Waterbug


chucklechuckle
Anonymous Coward
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09/28/2012 08:47 PM
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Re: A BIG ONE ON THE WAY
[link to postimage.org]

Heres a shot of the northeastern little filament liftoff( I say little its 10x the size of earth. Look at the big half circle filament dead center, we better hope that stays put, its huge and would be geoeffective
 Quoting: shadasonic


Good luck Shada, trying to get this point across has been literally impossible all day.

Here's the latest report from the Dept. of Commerce (for what it's worth wink)

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: TS66


Thanks for that link. It doesn't look good for those living at higher latitudes.

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 29 Sep-01 Oct
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/35/35
Minor storm 01/25/30
Major-severe storm 01/05/05
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/10/10
Minor storm 15/25/25
Major-severe storm 05/50/65

News








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