A BIG ONE ON THE WAY | |
SnakeBite User ID: 20003075 Canada 09/28/2012 07:09 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | ... Quoting: 1908247 The animation just changed, it was a CME going straight to Earth. What's going on? Yes that was incoming hard towards earth this morning. Now edited. Hey, is this what they mean by the GLP effect? [link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080] can this CME miss us and pass above or below the earth? Take a look at the sat data imaging, almost a full halo flare, no avoiding it, direct hit. From the data posted by NASA and NOAA it's a mid-range C Flare which if true should not pose much of a threat to anything but it looked much bigger than that to me prior to the data being overwritten. TheSizeOFtheFLAREhasNOTHINGtoDOwithITSgeoeffectivness,AsYOUcanSEEaSMALLflareCANproduceAlargeCME=) |
MuzzleBreak User ID: 24491433 United States 09/28/2012 07:10 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | After looking at Stereo A vids, the big ones are headed away from Earth. In his book, "Between Two Ages," Brzezinski wrote: "The technetronic era involves the gradual appearance of a more controlled society. Such a society would be dominated by an elite, unrestrained by traditional values." MuzzleBreak |
SnakeBite User ID: 20003075 Canada 09/28/2012 07:10 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | they have removed the supposed cme from the model. that some thought was earth directed. there were no clear images from stereo, which was down then sorry doom cancelled for you. IwishPEOPLEwouldRESEARCHandEDUCATEthemselvesAStoHOWtheseMODELSwork... |
SnakeBite User ID: 20003075 Canada 09/28/2012 07:11 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
SnakeBite User ID: 20003075 Canada 09/28/2012 07:14 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
SnakeBite User ID: 20003075 Canada 09/28/2012 07:14 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
SnakeBite User ID: 20003075 Canada 09/28/2012 07:15 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | SorryFORtheDOUBLEpost:P LordENLIL [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 15408034 Australia 09/28/2012 07:21 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 15408034 Australia 09/28/2012 07:24 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Shodan99VR4 User ID: 20898323 United States 09/28/2012 07:27 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
TBar1984 User ID: 13725461 United States 09/28/2012 07:31 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Yes, here's the new model [link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov] Not quite the same as this one is it [link to postimage.org] It's going the other wayyyyy.... [link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 701132 United Kingdom 09/28/2012 07:33 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | He can't use it, he claims he has a sticky spacebar because of spilling Coca Cola on it.... I thinks he got a boner and wanked off to all this Sun Doom and he miss directed his projection, thus swamping his space bar with Jizsm and it becoming sticky.... |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 15530582 United States 09/28/2012 07:36 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 24358110 United States 09/28/2012 07:39 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
SnakeBite User ID: 20003075 Canada 09/28/2012 07:49 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Waterbug User ID: 1295673 United States 09/28/2012 07:57 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
SnakeBite User ID: 20003075 Canada 09/28/2012 07:59 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
shadasonic (OP) User ID: 15732022 United States 09/28/2012 08:07 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Had a twelve hour workday today with little breaks. Its good to see enlil posted this also [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
o~SmallCircles~o User ID: 24588608 Australia 09/28/2012 08:07 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
shadasonic (OP) User ID: 15732022 United States 09/28/2012 08:14 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | He can't use it, he claims he has a sticky spacebar because of spilling Coca Cola on it.... I thinks he got a boner and wanked off to all this Sun Doom and he miss directed his projection, thus swamping his space bar with Jizsm and it becoming sticky.... Idiot “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
shadasonic (OP) User ID: 15732022 United States 09/28/2012 08:21 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | We're only concerned with one CME that I know of. This is more Earth-directed than the one from March's X5 flare; it's also slower, but appears to have more density. IMO the density is what compresses the magnetosphere. Much will depend on the Bz direction and strength. We could see some auroras further south as we did last October from another filament eruption which was predicted to be a glancing blow. Quoting: Hugh M Eye Space Weather Message Code: WATA30 Serial Number: 97 Issue Time: 2012 Sep 28 2027 UTC WATCH: Geomagnetic Storm Category G2 Predicted Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day: Sep 29: None (Below G1) Sep 30: G2 (Moderate) Oct 01: G2 (Moderate) THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms. Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible. Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes. Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Heres the most recent report , we need to realize filament liftoffs have irregular pockets of particles. We may see much of nothing from this or we may see quite a disturbance. To clear things up I am not worried about any flares or related CMEs, just the filament liftoff. We just had another liftoff looks to be of no concern it was on the north eastern side. “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
shadasonic (OP) User ID: 15732022 United States 09/28/2012 08:25 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Yes, here's the new model [link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov] Not quite the same as this one is it [link to postimage.org] It's going the other wayyyyy.... [link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov] By the way you guys are looking at a backside CME that happened later. Heres the FILAMENT LIFTOFF that is sending the CME OUR WAY. Heres our plasma wave. [link to postimage.org] “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
shadasonic (OP) User ID: 15732022 United States 09/28/2012 08:28 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | [link to postimage.org] Heres a shot of the northeastern little filament liftoff( I say little its 10x the size of earth. Look at the big half circle filament dead center, we better hope that stays put, its huge and would be geoeffective “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 24266114 United States 09/28/2012 08:32 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | [link to postimage.org] Quoting: shadasonic Heres a shot of the northeastern little filament liftoff( I say little its 10x the size of earth. Look at the big half circle filament dead center, we better hope that stays put, its huge and would be geoeffective Good luck Shada, trying to get this point across has been literally impossible all day. Here's the latest report from the Dept. of Commerce (for what it's worth ) [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] |
SnakeBite User ID: 20003075 Canada 09/28/2012 08:33 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | He can't use it, he claims he has a sticky spacebar because of spilling Coca Cola on it.... I thinks he got a boner and wanked off to all this Sun Doom and he miss directed his projection, thus swamping his space bar with Jizsm and it becoming sticky.... Idiot NOworriesSHADdontSPENDanyENERGYonTHESEtype:) |
Waterbug User ID: 1295673 United States 09/28/2012 08:39 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
shadasonic (OP) User ID: 15732022 United States 09/28/2012 08:44 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | [link to postimage.org] Quoting: shadasonic Heres a shot of the northeastern little filament liftoff( I say little its 10x the size of earth. Look at the big half circle filament dead center, we better hope that stays put, its huge and would be geoeffective Good luck Shada, trying to get this point across has been literally impossible all day. Here's the latest report from the Dept. of Commerce (for what it's worth ) [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] I'm just seeing this as I read the thread. I saw T bar saying a filament directly in a geoeffective earth side stance went backside, some people can talk themselves into anything. “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 23281770 United States 09/28/2012 08:44 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 24567913 United States 09/28/2012 08:46 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 24572530 Canada 09/28/2012 08:47 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | [link to postimage.org] Quoting: shadasonic Heres a shot of the northeastern little filament liftoff( I say little its 10x the size of earth. Look at the big half circle filament dead center, we better hope that stays put, its huge and would be geoeffective Good luck Shada, trying to get this point across has been literally impossible all day. Here's the latest report from the Dept. of Commerce (for what it's worth ) [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Thanks for that link. It doesn't look good for those living at higher latitudes. VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 29 Sep-01 Oct A. Middle Latitudes Active 05/35/35 Minor storm 01/25/30 Major-severe storm 01/05/05 B. High Latitudes Active 15/10/10 Minor storm 15/25/25 Major-severe storm 05/50/65 |