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Here is why O is ahead in the "polls"

 
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 7193106
United States
10/01/2012 08:24 AM
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Here is why O is ahead in the "polls"
One of the most amazing — and significant — statistics of this election season has gone almost completely unnoticed:

Only 9% of sampled households gave an answer to pollsters in 2012:

It has become increasingly difficult to contact potential respondents and to persuade them to participate. The percentage of households in a sample that are successfully interviewed – the response rate – has fallen dramatically. At Pew Research, the response rate of a typical telephone survey was 36% in 1997 and is just 9% today.

The general decline in response rates is evident across nearly all types of surveys, in the United States and abroad. At the same time, greater effort and expense are required to achieve even the diminished response rates of today. These challenges have led many to question whether surveys are still providing accurate and unbiased information.

Read the rest:

[link to pjmedia.com]
Anonymous Coward (OP)
User ID: 7193106
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10/01/2012 08:35 AM
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Re: Here is why O is ahead in the "polls"
bump
Anonymous Coward
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10/01/2012 08:40 AM
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Re: Here is why O is ahead in the "polls"
This has been true for some time now.

Most right leaning people, just dont answer, very few right leaning people will ever partake in a poll.


The polls are being skewed so that when Romney wins (by a significant margin too), the dems will scream a foul, and will usher in the UN to claim election fraud.
PravdaDemocrat

User ID: 19228212
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10/01/2012 08:40 AM

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Re: Here is why O is ahead in the "polls"
One of the most amazing — and significant — statistics of this election season has gone almost completely unnoticed:

Only 9% of sampled households gave an answer to pollsters in 2012:

It has become increasingly difficult to contact potential respondents and to persuade them to participate. The percentage of households in a sample that are successfully interviewed – the response rate – has fallen dramatically. At Pew Research, the response rate of a typical telephone survey was 36% in 1997 and is just 9% today.

The general decline in response rates is evident across nearly all types of surveys, in the United States and abroad. At the same time, greater effort and expense are required to achieve even the diminished response rates of today. These challenges have led many to question whether surveys are still providing accurate and unbiased information.

Read the rest:

[link to pjmedia.com]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 7193106


10 days ago, there was a video of a Robo-poller recording silence/no answer as a vote for Obama...

YOU ARE BEING PLAYED, FOLKS
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 22074557
United States
10/01/2012 08:41 AM
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Re: Here is why O is ahead in the "polls"
One of the most amazing — and significant — statistics of this election season has gone almost completely unnoticed:

Only 9% of sampled households gave an answer to pollsters in 2012:

It has become increasingly difficult to contact potential respondents and to persuade them to participate. The percentage of households in a sample that are successfully interviewed – the response rate – has fallen dramatically. At Pew Research, the response rate of a typical telephone survey was 36% in 1997 and is just 9% today.

The general decline in response rates is evident across nearly all types of surveys, in the United States and abroad. At the same time, greater effort and expense are required to achieve even the diminished response rates of today. These challenges have led many to question whether surveys are still providing accurate and unbiased information.

Read the rest:

[link to pjmedia.com]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 7193106


10 days ago, there was a video of a Robo-poller recording silence/no answer as a vote for Obama...

YOU ARE BEING PLAYED, FOLKS
 Quoting: PravdaDemocrat


CommieCat speaks truth. The fix is already in.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 22872667
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10/01/2012 08:44 AM
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Re: Here is why O is ahead in the "polls"
They've never called me in my 50+ years to ask my opinion. Besides, it's difficult to call someone who is at work during the day instead of lounging around on my ass watching Oprah, yakking it up on my obamaphone while eating lobster and filet mignon purchased with my food stamps.
Anonymous Coward
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10/01/2012 08:44 AM
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Re: Here is why O is ahead in the "polls"
The polls are being skewed so that when Romney wins (by a significant margin too), the dems will scream a foul, and will usher in the UN to claim election fraud.


THIS and

Soros' spainish vote counting company needs the American public to think the race is close so Soros can trow the vote to Obama.

Or

If Romney wins it can't be in a landslide. The elite don't want a mandate to overturn Obama ledgislation.
FatalW1shes

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10/01/2012 08:46 AM

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Re: Here is why O is ahead in the "polls"
One of the most amazing — and significant — statistics of this election season has gone almost completely unnoticed:

Only 9% of sampled households gave an answer to pollsters in 2012:

It has become increasingly difficult to contact potential respondents and to persuade them to participate. The percentage of households in a sample that are successfully interviewed – the response rate – has fallen dramatically. At Pew Research, the response rate of a typical telephone survey was 36% in 1997 and is just 9% today.

The general decline in response rates is evident across nearly all types of surveys, in the United States and abroad. At the same time, greater effort and expense are required to achieve even the diminished response rates of today. These challenges have led many to question whether surveys are still providing accurate and unbiased information.

Read the rest:

[link to pjmedia.com]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 7193106


10 days ago, there was a video of a Robo-poller recording silence/no answer as a vote for Obama...

YOU ARE BEING PLAYED, FOLKS
 Quoting: PravdaDemocrat


You ever going to check your mail?
Anonymous Coward
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United States
10/01/2012 08:48 AM
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Re: Here is why O is ahead in the "polls"
They've never called me in my 50+ years to ask my opinion. Besides, it's difficult to call someone who is at work during the day instead of lounging around on my ass watching Oprah, yakking it up on my obamaphone while eating lobster and filet mignon purchased with my food stamps.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 22872667
you work down at speedy mart??iamwith
Anonymous Coward
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10/01/2012 08:51 AM
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Re: Here is why O is ahead in the "polls"
They've never called me in my 50+ years to ask my opinion. Besides, it's difficult to call someone who is at work during the day instead of lounging around on my ass watching Oprah, yakking it up on my obamaphone while eating lobster and filet mignon purchased with my food stamps.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 22872667
you work down at speedy mart??iamwith
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 17865664


Oh look, another stupid fag.
Anonymous Coward
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10/01/2012 08:51 AM
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Re: Here is why O is ahead in the "polls"
The polls are factual. Rasmussen was the most accurate polling organization in 2008 and has them one point apart in Ohio.


This time in history Reagan trailed Carter by 9 points.

Who won that election? Not Carter.
Epic Beard Guy
Constitutional Crusader

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10/01/2012 08:52 AM

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Re: Here is why O is ahead in the "polls"
Oblabla is ahead in the polls because the polls are rigged to keep the story interesting. Who would stay tuned to hear over and over that Mitt is going to win by a land-slide?
Hope for the best, but prepare for the worst.
"America is at that awkward stage. It's too late to work within the system, but too early to shoot the bastards." -- Claire Wolfe
Anonymous Coward
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10/01/2012 08:52 AM
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Re: Here is why O is ahead in the "polls"
The polls ARE NOT factual. I would not believe any but Rasmussen.
Anonymous Coward
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10/01/2012 08:53 AM
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Re: Here is why O is ahead in the "polls"
Oblabla is ahead in the polls because the polls are rigged to keep the story interesting. Who would stay tuned to hear over and over that Mitt is going to win by a land-slide?
 Quoting: Epic Beard Guy


I agree Obama is going to lose by a landslide. Who in there right mind would vote for a Communist except Hugo Chavez?
-GooGooFlexy-

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10/01/2012 08:57 AM
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Re: Here is why O is ahead in the "polls"
I don't answer numbers that I don't recognize any more. 95% of the time it's somebody telling me I've won a cruise. I must be the luckiest guy in the world, because I've won 8 of them.
-GooGooFlexy-
Bluebird

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10/01/2012 09:00 AM

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Re: Here is why O is ahead in the "polls"
The polls ARE NOT factual. I would not believe any but Rasmussen.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1499647


I am trending that way. Gallup used to be pretty reliable but they have been threatened by this administration, Axlerod, so I don't know about them now. Hope they stay honest.

Most of the others oversample Democrats so badly it's ridiculous.
One of the most important aspects of conspiracy theories is being able to discern when there isn't one.

Oh yeah, like you'd understand anyway.

Where are we going and why am I in this handbasket?. . .J. Handy
BRIEF
Rebel with morals

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10/01/2012 09:01 AM

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Re: Here is why O is ahead in the "polls"
I accidentally answered one the other day, I told them I'm voting for the American...and if you can't figure that one out, it's the white guy, good day...click




voteforamerican

Last Edited by BRIEF on 10/01/2012 09:01 AM
With freedom comes responsibility.

Heterosexual pride!

Briefcut4892
Anonymous Coward
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10/01/2012 09:15 AM
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Re: Here is why O is ahead in the "polls"
Follow the betting odds, not the polls.

So far it doesn't look good for Romney

[link to www.oddschecker.com]
Life's-A-Bitch

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10/01/2012 09:26 AM

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Re: Here is why O is ahead in the "polls"
bsflag
Just because YOU don’t believe
in the Rougarou; or the Loup Garou,
don’t make you safe; No !


"If there must be trouble, let it be in my day, that my child may have peace" -- Thomas Paine
Anonymous Coward
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10/01/2012 09:38 AM
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Re: Here is why O is ahead in the "polls"
Perhaps O is ahead in the polls because when most Americans are faced with the prospect of voting for the Republican candidate, they feel they have no other choice but to vote for Obama?

A Crazy, wild-eyed idea, true, but it is a possibility.
Krazy Effin Ivan
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10/01/2012 09:45 AM
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Re: Here is why O is ahead in the "polls"
I accidentally answered one the other day, I told them I'm voting for the American...and if you can't figure that one out, it's the white guy, good day...click




:voteforamerican:
 Quoting: BRIEF



LMAO!! Thank you!
The Governor

User ID: 24750235
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10/01/2012 09:46 AM
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Re: Here is why O is ahead in the "polls"
This has been true for some time now.

Most right leaning people, just dont answer, very few right leaning people will ever partake in a poll.


The polls are being skewed so that when Romney wins (by a significant margin too), the dems will scream a foul, and will usher in the UN to claim election fraud.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1160946


Yup.
Welcome to Woodbury.

I think being a Democrat should be a felony.

[link to www.policymic.com]
Anonymous Coward
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Netherlands
10/01/2012 09:53 AM
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Re: Here is why O is ahead in the "polls"
The article OP posted says it's hard for pollsters to make good polls since they can't find enough people to question who they are going to vote for.

You can't a good view on how the American people stand so far when you questioned just a small percentage of the population.

There is no relation between the article and Obama being ahead in the polls, unless someone could prove that white people suddenly stopped answering the pollsters and the blacks didn't or something.

If you ask me why Romney is behind: His presentation looks fake, you can see clearly it's all acted. The leaked video. Changing his opinion on certain subjects, for example: abortion.

Most people voting on Romney don't vote because of Romney, they vote Romney because they don't like Obama.
Anonymous Coward
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Hong Kong
10/01/2012 09:58 AM
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Re: Here is why O is ahead in the "polls"
Whatever helps you kids sleep at night...hahahaha.
ceawaves

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10/01/2012 10:00 AM

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Re: Here is why O is ahead in the "polls"
Cause they're lairs..
seethelight

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10/01/2012 10:00 AM
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Re: Here is why O is ahead in the "polls"
One of the most amazing — and significant — statistics of this election season has gone almost completely unnoticed:

Only 9% of sampled households gave an answer to pollsters in 2012:

It has become increasingly difficult to contact potential respondents and to persuade them to participate. The percentage of households in a sample that are successfully interviewed – the response rate – has fallen dramatically. At Pew Research, the response rate of a typical telephone survey was 36% in 1997 and is just 9% today.

The general decline in response rates is evident across nearly all types of surveys, in the United States and abroad. At the same time, greater effort and expense are required to achieve even the diminished response rates of today. These challenges have led many to question whether surveys are still providing accurate and unbiased information.

Read the rest:

[link to pjmedia.com]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 7193106


From the actual study - for people like the OP who are either too lazy to click through or dishonest to share accurate info:

A new study by the Pew Research Center for the People & the Press finds that, despite declining response rates, telephone surveys that include landlines and cell phones and are weighted to match the demographic composition of the population continue to provide accurate data on most political, social and economic measures. This comports with the consistent record of accuracy achieved by major polls when it comes to estimating election outcomes, among other things.

again:

despite declining response rates, telephone surveys that include landlines and cell phones and are weighted to match the demographic composition of the population continue to provide accurate data on most political, social and economic measures. This comports with the consistent record of accuracy achieved by major polls when it comes to estimating election outcomes, among other things.

so yeah OP, your post is bsflag
Anonymous Coward
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10/01/2012 10:03 AM
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Re: Here is why O is ahead in the "polls"
My family has liberals/independents. Out of the liberals only one is going to the polls to vote for Mr. Obama. The others are staying home not because they like Romney they just lack enthusiasm this time around for Obama. It's the economy I think that has them down and the way the country is much more divided that disappoints them. The polls I am certain are nonsense or deliberately false.
The Governor

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10/01/2012 10:03 AM
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Re: Here is why O is ahead in the "polls"
Cause they're lairs..
 Quoting: ceawaves


Because the only people who are home at 3pm on weekday afternoons when the pollsters call are all people like this:


Welcome to Woodbury.

I think being a Democrat should be a felony.

[link to www.policymic.com]
seethelight

User ID: 21130561
Ireland
10/01/2012 10:07 AM
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Re: Here is why O is ahead in the "polls"
Again, the OP is bsflag
The Governor

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10/01/2012 10:07 AM
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Re: Here is why O is ahead in the "polls"
Oblabla is ahead in the polls because the polls are rigged to keep the story interesting. Who would stay tuned to hear over and over that Mitt is going to win by a land-slide?
 Quoting: Epic Beard Guy


History repeating itself:

Summer of 1980 Poll Flashback: Carter 39%, Reagan 32%, Anderson 21%
[link to www.rushlimbaugh.com]

lmao
Welcome to Woodbury.

I think being a Democrat should be a felony.

[link to www.policymic.com]
KoFFee_

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10/01/2012 10:08 AM
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Re: Here is why O is ahead in the "polls"
One thing a poll can't tell us is the opinion of people who refuse to be polled.
However, I consider my life worth nothing to me; my only aim is to finish the race and complete the task
the Lord Jesus has given me—the task of testifying to the good news of God’s grace. Acts 20:24

"This man really is the Savior of the world!" John 4:42

Look, he is coming with the clouds, and every eye will see him, even those who pierced him;
and all the peoples of the earth will mourn because of him. So shall it be! Amen.
I am the Alpha and the Omega, " says the Lord God, who is, and who was, and who is to come, the Almighty." Revelation 1:7

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