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Message Subject Why is Obama in Trouble ? I'll tell you my experience today.
Poster Handle Double O Zero
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The only unions Obama really helps are the government worker unions like AFSCME and SEIU and their ilk. I'm a Teamster, and I don't see anyone in the skilled trade unions benefiting from what he's doing.

I live in SW PA and I'll tell you there are many Democrats who are not voting for him. In the primary, in my area, some counties had as many as 40% of the people who were registered Democrat who did not pull the lever for Obama. That's astounding, and if even half those votes go to Romney, PA itself might be in play.

In 2008, I received probably 5 flyers from Obama and none from McCain. This cycle, I've received 4 from Romney and none from Obama, so there's a ground game gap also.

On the ground, there have been people going to large minority neighborhoods trying to register people, but I've heard from several Democratic committee people that no one is interested in registering.

In 2008, Obama had young people and minorities voting for him in droves. While I doubt they're jumping to Romney, I do think they'll be staying home here and in other places. The projections based on the turn out model from that time will be dead wrong.
 
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