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GREAT QUAKE TO HIT WITHIN NEXT 3 MAJOR SEISMIC WARNING WINDOWS??? Unofficial GLP HALLOWEEN QUAKE PREDICTION CONTEST!

 
MatrixLNIN11

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10/17/2012 10:24 AM

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GREAT QUAKE TO HIT WITHIN NEXT 3 MAJOR SEISMIC WARNING WINDOWS??? Unofficial GLP HALLOWEEN QUAKE PREDICTION CONTEST!
Featuring.....

All your favorite & not so favorite semi-usual & unusual suspects & unwilling contestants!
pump2

w/your loved and not so loved often hated HOST that leys it all on the LINE...
MatrixLNIN11 ;) agent

When we last left off,

Thread: 7.3 HITS LEY-LINES OF 188 WITHIN 4 DAYS OF 188 CYCLE & 1 DAY OFF FROM 10/2 QUAKE WARNING OF A MAJOR 7+!!! Wow

and currently we've got a few related HOT threads goin on...

Nika's in the lead at the moment
Thread: Sinkhole and Gulf Oil Disaster Connection...Also tied to New Madrid fault! Must see video!!

Truthworkers hot on the "TAIL" ;)
Thread: EARTHQUAKE within the next 24 hours on October 18 UTC due to ASTEROIDS

and yours truly just back from the MAINe line!
Thread: RARE MAINE QUAKE HITS DEAD CENTER OF 188 LEY-LINES... AGAIN. wow

So as we approach what appears to be a major seismic uptick, let's spice things up a bit with a bonus round...

What are the statistics or odds of a MAJOR quake 7+ hitting just 1 out of 3 quake windows and on one of the TARGET dates named, let alone a Great Quake?

Intelligent discourse welcome

But in the meantime, in light of a recent but sudden explosion of threads & video's posting quake predictions/warnings for the END of OCTOBER (some being last minute & being DUPLICATE DATES previously archived/timestamped), I invite and propose the creation of a LIST to help put each in proper perspective for casual readers on GLP to keep track, discuss and MEASURE.

Being the OP I'll take the liberty of beginning the list and posting a preliminary run-down of other entries I'm aware so far, but welcome any corrections or updates as long as they're time-stamped prior to any major seismic event occurring.

Only after this list is compiled, will there be a clearer view or proper context in which to discuss and measure the merit in each.


1) MatrixlNIN11
original postings 8/8/12 & 6/30/12
Thread: 7.3 HITS LEY-LINES OF 188 WITHIN 4 DAYS OF 188 CYCLE & 1 DAY OFF FROM 10/2 QUAKE WARNING OF A MAJOR 7+!!! Wow (Page 7)

each window +-1 day minimum 6.7+ likely M7.3+ to M8.0+

window 1
10/19 & 10/22
(113 in effect)

window 2
10/25 & 10/27

window 3
10/31 & 11/1
(113 in effect)

Locations/Regions of concern:
North American Western Coastline (LA, SF)
Mexico P.R. & D.R.
Chile & Venezuela
Japan, (Tokyo)
NZ & FIJI, SUMATRA
-------------------------------------------------------

2) TheTRUTHWORKER
Thread: EARTHQUAKE within the next 24 hours on October 18 UTC due to ASTEROIDS
Thread: EARTHQUAKE within the next 24 hours on October 18 UTC due to ASTEROIDS (Page 2)

prediction/warning window 1 posted10/16/12
M6.3
16th, 17th, 18th
No location

prediction/warning/target date window 2 posted 8/29/12
8+
10/16, 10/17, 10/18, 10/19, 10/20, 10/21, 10/22, 10/23, 10/24, 10/25, 10/26, 10/27, 10/28
"If you want a 8.0+ prediction then it is in October 16-28 as posted Aug 29th"
No location

prediction/warning window 3 posted 10/16/12
(no magnitude specified other than "bigger" than 6.3)
28th
No location

6/30/12
no mag given
10/17 & 10/28
-----------------------------------------------------------

3) BARCAROLLER
prediction/warning window 1 posted 10/10/12
M7+
12th, 13th, 14th, 15th, 16th, 17th
Location: VANUATU

prediction/warning window 2 posted 1/9/12
significant to 7.2+
10/26 & 10/27
Location: CHINA
-----------------------------------------------------------

4) DCSYMBOLS
prediction/warning window 1 posted 10/12/12
No Magnitude other than "large quakes"
10/25, 10/26, 10/27, 10/28, 10/29, 10/30, 10/31, 11/1
No location

5) __________ new entry????

feel free to add to this list....

===========================================

Gentlemen... Start yer engines! yodaROBOTdanceufo56tredmil


oct



more info:
[link to www.godlikeproductions.com]

Thread: GREAT QUAKE TO HIT WITHIN NEXT 3 MAJOR SEISMIC WARNING WINDOWS??? Unofficial GLP HALLOWEEN QUAKE PREDICTION CONTEST!

Thread: The NINth MONTH 911 QUAKE WARNING & 188 QUAKE CYCLE ALERT


Thread: 7.3 HITS LEY-LINES OF 188 WITHIN 4 DAYS OF 188 CYCLE & 1 DAY OFF FROM 10/2 QUAKE WARNING OF A MAJOR 7+!!! Wow (Page 7)

Last Edited by MatrixLNIN11 on 10/17/2012 11:24 AM
Anonymous Coward
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10/17/2012 10:38 AM
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Re: GREAT QUAKE TO HIT WITHIN NEXT 3 MAJOR SEISMIC WARNING WINDOWS??? Unofficial GLP HALLOWEEN QUAKE PREDICTION CONTEST!
each window +-1 day minimum 6.7+ likely M7.3+ to M8.0+

window 1
10/19 & 10/22
(113 in effect)

window 2
10/25 & 10/27

window 3
10/31 & 11/1
(113 in effect)

really?

so what it means is that you give a window from 10/18 to 10/28 and another from 10/30 do 11/12.. basically a single window from 10/18 to 11/2
MatrixLNIN11 (OP)

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10/17/2012 11:27 AM

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Re: GREAT QUAKE TO HIT WITHIN NEXT 3 MAJOR SEISMIC WARNING WINDOWS??? Unofficial GLP HALLOWEEN QUAKE PREDICTION CONTEST!
each window +-1 day minimum 6.7+ likely M7.3+ to M8.0+

window 1
10/19 & 10/22
(113 in effect)

window 2
10/25 & 10/27

window 3
10/31 & 11/1
(113 in effect)

really?

so what it means is that you give a window from 10/18 to 10/28 and another from 10/30 do 11/12.. basically a single window from 10/18 to 11/2
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 22459462


putin

How can 3 separate warnings be ONE window?

lol
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Re: GREAT QUAKE TO HIT WITHIN NEXT 3 MAJOR SEISMIC WARNING WINDOWS??? Unofficial GLP HALLOWEEN QUAKE PREDICTION CONTEST!
maybe because if you apply the +/-1 days, you get consecutive days?putin
MatrixLNIN11 (OP)

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10/17/2012 11:31 AM

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Re: GREAT QUAKE TO HIT WITHIN NEXT 3 MAJOR SEISMIC WARNING WINDOWS??? Unofficial GLP HALLOWEEN QUAKE PREDICTION CONTEST!
maybe because if you apply the +/-1 days, you get consecutive days?putin
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 22459462


yet if 3 major quakes were to hit, your entire premise fails right? ;/

lighten up m8 ;)

geez

just tryin somethin slightly new per se,,, but very unconventional!

which the odds would be against big time.

hence what I explained in one of the links

very low chance of success to hit 1 let alone 2 and far more unlikely, 3.

but any quakes also hitting the ley lines, adds an even trickier parameter.

so for this particular warning which is difficult and highly unlikely to hit just 1 major quake, I probably would have to be prepared for at least 2 fails/misses.

but hey, its Halloween... TRICK or TREAT time. ;)

Last Edited by MatrixLNIN11 on 10/17/2012 11:41 AM
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Re: GREAT QUAKE TO HIT WITHIN NEXT 3 MAJOR SEISMIC WARNING WINDOWS??? Unofficial GLP HALLOWEEN QUAKE PREDICTION CONTEST!
ohh you are sayng a big quake will happen in each window? if thats the case, ok.. ill wait :)
MatrixLNIN11 (OP)

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10/17/2012 11:33 AM

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Re: GREAT QUAKE TO HIT WITHIN NEXT 3 MAJOR SEISMIC WARNING WINDOWS??? Unofficial GLP HALLOWEEN QUAKE PREDICTION CONTEST!
ohh you are sayng a big quake will happen in each window? if thats the case, ok.. ill wait :)
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 22459462


yes.

;)
amywood71605

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10/17/2012 10:28 PM

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Re: GREAT QUAKE TO HIT WITHIN NEXT 3 MAJOR SEISMIC WARNING WINDOWS??? Unofficial GLP HALLOWEEN QUAKE PREDICTION CONTEST!
BUMP

We'll see what happens =)
"Live each day like it's your last, love like you've never been hurt, and dance like no one is watching."
Rudysarsof

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Re: GREAT QUAKE TO HIT WITHIN NEXT 3 MAJOR SEISMIC WARNING WINDOWS??? Unofficial GLP HALLOWEEN QUAKE PREDICTION CONTEST!
This is one of those times I talked about how you need to word things so there is know misunderstandings. First window 18/10 - 23/10 (5 days) with an 8+ quake then the second window 24/10 to 28/10 ( 5 days) with an 8+ quake and finally the last window 30/10 till the 2/11 (4 days) with an 8+ quake. Around the countries and on the specified ley lines.
It is a lot easier to lie when you are the only one who knows the truth than it is to find the truth when all you know is lies.

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Change begins with.....nope that begins with C
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MatrixLNIN11 (OP)

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Re: GREAT QUAKE TO HIT WITHIN NEXT 3 MAJOR SEISMIC WARNING WINDOWS??? Unofficial GLP HALLOWEEN QUAKE PREDICTION CONTEST!
This is one of those times I talked about how you need to word things so there is know misunderstandings. First window 18/10 - 23/10 (5 days) with an 8+ quake then the second window 24/10 to 28/10 ( 5 days) with an 8+ quake and finally the last window 30/10 till the 2/11 (4 days) with an 8+ quake. Around the countries and on the specified ley lines.
 Quoting: Rudysarsof


all 3 windows are for a minimum 6.8 quake to appear in station readings to be validated, but I'm saying at least 1 will be a major quake 7+ with 90% confidence and a 7.8+ which would have readings 8+ is also very likely in 1 of the windows.

Is it possible no major quakes 7+ over the next 11 days 13 tops?? SURE. However like I said... the weatherman says 80% of showers... 20% not. I say 90% at least 1 major 7+ within the next 11-13 days...or in other words, at least 1 major quake 7+ within the next 3 windows and 80-90% likely 2 such quakes.

target dates in window 1, are 19th and 22nd.
target dates in window 2, are 25th and 27th.
target dates in window 3, are 31st and 1st.

make sense?
MatrixLNIN11 (OP)

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Re: GREAT QUAKE TO HIT WITHIN NEXT 3 MAJOR SEISMIC WARNING WINDOWS??? Unofficial GLP HALLOWEEN QUAKE PREDICTION CONTEST!
BUMP

We'll see what happens =)
 Quoting: amywood71605


for someone to name specific set of dates in a 30 day period for a major 7+ quake to hit even 1 of the windows/dates and be within 3 days, goes against stats and huge odds. For 2 major quakes to hit within the same parameters is astronomical and far beyond what science says is possible. And as I've said, to have 3 quakes occur with the minimum magnitude and parameters I've explained is, well, pretty much unheard of which even I say extremely difficult and unlikely. If a GREAT QUAKE or closer to a 7.9+ hits in any window, that increases the odds and level of difficulty exponentially. And adding the LEY LINE/location parameter to any event/quake correlating as well, puts another level of difficulty thats far less likely of any chance for even 1 quake to occur in which all parameters are met.

If nothing happens and there's no quakes over 6.7 in any of these windows, I have no problem admitting this quake warning failed. Would it invalidate the consistency of my accuracy over the past year? Not at all since 90% means there's a 10% margin of error and I'm well within that margin and could have a few misses since I no of no one with even close to an 80% accuracy meeting these parameters and for sure NO human has ever had a 100% accuracy especially when you're talking about natural events.

But the real question is... will skeptics be able to do the same if any hit ;))

should be an interesting game to watch over the next 13 days.

Lets hope though, if any do occur, there's no major damage or loss of life and this just adds more validation for the Ley Lines and "theory" which will help raise awareness to far more serious events coming.

cheers

Last Edited by MatrixLNIN11 on 10/19/2012 05:06 AM
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Re: GREAT QUAKE TO HIT WITHIN NEXT 3 MAJOR SEISMIC WARNING WINDOWS??? Unofficial GLP HALLOWEEN QUAKE PREDICTION CONTEST!
BUMP

We'll see what happens =)
 Quoting: amywood71605


for someone to name specific set of dates in a 30 day period for a major 7+ quake to hit even 1 of the windows/dates and be within 3 days, goes against stats and huge odds. For 2 major quakes to hit within the same parameters is astronomical and far beyond what science says is possible. And as I've said, to have 3 quakes occur with the minimum magnitude and parameters I've explained is, well, pretty much unheard of which even I say extremely difficult and unlikely. If a GREAT QUAKE or closer to a 7.9+ hits in any window, that increases the odds and level of difficulty exponentially. And adding the LEY LINE/location parameter to any event/quake correlating as well, puts another level of difficulty thats far less likely of any chance for even 1 quake to occur in which all parameters are met.

If nothing happens and there's no quakes over 6.7 in any of these windows, I have no problem admitting this quake warning failed. Would it invalidate the consistency of my accuracy over the past year? Not at all since 90% means there's a 10% margin of error and I'm well within that margin and could have a few misses since I no of no one with even close to an 80% accuracy meeting these parameters and for sure NO human has ever had a 100% accuracy especially when you're talking about natural events.

But the real question is... will skeptics be able to do the same if any hit ;))

should be an interesting game to watch over the next 13 days.

Lets hope though, if any do occur, there's no major damage or loss of life and this just adds more validation for the Ley Lines and "theory" which will help raise awareness to far more serious events coming.

cheers
 Quoting: MatrixLNIN11


When I said, "We'll see what happens", I did not mean it in a negative way. In fact, if something doesn't happen, I'll pretty damn surprised. When I first saw your posts, I didn't believe it but quakes have hit in the time windows you give, on the lines SO many times. Yes, I believe in coiencidences, but come on! A coiencidence can only happen so often.
"Live each day like it's your last, love like you've never been hurt, and dance like no one is watching."
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Thread: Physical Pole Shift of Earth by March 2013+Ascension completed by October 2013
MatrixLNIN11 (OP)

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Re: GREAT QUAKE TO HIT WITHIN NEXT 3 MAJOR SEISMIC WARNING WINDOWS??? Unofficial GLP HALLOWEEN QUAKE PREDICTION CONTEST!
BUMP

We'll see what happens =)
 Quoting: amywood71605


for someone to name specific set of dates in a 30 day period for a major 7+ quake to hit even 1 of the windows/dates and be within 3 days, goes against stats and huge odds. For 2 major quakes to hit within the same parameters is astronomical and far beyond what science says is possible. And as I've said, to have 3 quakes occur with the minimum magnitude and parameters I've explained is, well, pretty much unheard of which even I say extremely difficult and unlikely. If a GREAT QUAKE or closer to a 7.9+ hits in any window, that increases the odds and level of difficulty exponentially. And adding the LEY LINE/location parameter to any event/quake correlating as well, puts another level of difficulty thats far less likely of any chance for even 1 quake to occur in which all parameters are met.

If nothing happens and there's no quakes over 6.7 in any of these windows, I have no problem admitting this quake warning failed. Would it invalidate the consistency of my accuracy over the past year? Not at all since 90% means there's a 10% margin of error and I'm well within that margin and could have a few misses since I no of no one with even close to an 80% accuracy meeting these parameters and for sure NO human has ever had a 100% accuracy especially when you're talking about natural events.

But the real question is... will skeptics be able to do the same if any hit ;))

should be an interesting game to watch over the next 13 days.

Lets hope though, if any do occur, there's no major damage or loss of life and this just adds more validation for the Ley Lines and "theory" which will help raise awareness to far more serious events coming.

cheers
 Quoting: MatrixLNIN11


When I said, "We'll see what happens", I did not mean it in a negative way. In fact, if something doesn't happen, I'll pretty damn surprised. When I first saw your posts, I didn't believe it but quakes have hit in the time windows you give, on the lines SO many times. Yes, I believe in coiencidences, but come on! A coiencidence can only happen so often.
 Quoting: amywood71605


never thought you meant anything in a negative way... was just trying to address your question with some further clarification and thoughts which also helps others to understand more context on the issue. I appreciate all your comments and thoughts and welcome questions. All good.

hf
Baconspiracist

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Re: GREAT QUAKE TO HIT WITHIN NEXT 3 MAJOR SEISMIC WARNING WINDOWS??? Unofficial GLP HALLOWEEN QUAKE PREDICTION CONTEST!
OP, are you the creator of these vids?

Highpriest of the 108th Baconic Lodge in Hyperspace

MatrixLNIN11 (OP)

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OP, are you the creator of these vids?
 Quoting: Baconspiracist


yes
MatrixLNIN11 (OP)

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Re: GREAT QUAKE TO HIT WITHIN NEXT 3 MAJOR SEISMIC WARNING WINDOWS??? Unofficial GLP HALLOWEEN QUAKE PREDICTION CONTEST!
And so it begins...

6.6 with readings as high as 6.8

=================================================
[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]

Magnitude
6.6
Date-Time
Saturday, October 20, 2012 at 23:00:32 UTC
Sunday, October 21, 2012 at 10:00:32 AM at epicenter
Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones
Location
13.572°S, 166.594°E
Depth
35.4 km (22.0 miles)
Region
VANUATU
Distances
109 km (67 miles) WNW of Sola, Vanuatu
225 km (139 miles) NNW of Luganville, Vanuatu
496 km (308 miles) NNW of Port-Vila, Vanuatu
816 km (507 miles) N of We, New Caledonia
Location Uncertainty
horizontal +/- 13.9 km (8.6 miles); depth +/- 3.4 km (2.1 miles)
-------------------------------------------------------------​----

FORESHOCK

;)

Last Edited by MatrixLNIN11 on 10/20/2012 07:58 PM
dettro99

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Re: GREAT QUAKE TO HIT WITHIN NEXT 3 MAJOR SEISMIC WARNING WINDOWS??? Unofficial GLP HALLOWEEN QUAKE PREDICTION CONTEST!
And there's the first...

6.6 with readings as high as 6.8


FORESHOCK?

;))
 Quoting: MatrixLNIN11


Thats what i'm thinking...

Great thread Matrix!
Anonymous Coward
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Re: GREAT QUAKE TO HIT WITHIN NEXT 3 MAJOR SEISMIC WARNING WINDOWS??? Unofficial GLP HALLOWEEN QUAKE PREDICTION CONTEST!
halloween is my fathers birthday, i celebrate in advance with a bump for you.

cw
Baconspiracist

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Re: GREAT QUAKE TO HIT WITHIN NEXT 3 MAJOR SEISMIC WARNING WINDOWS??? Unofficial GLP HALLOWEEN QUAKE PREDICTION CONTEST!
OP, are you the creator of these vids?
 Quoting: Baconspiracist


yes
 Quoting: MatrixLNIN11


wow!

nice one, good job!!

Highpriest of the 108th Baconic Lodge in Hyperspace

MatrixLNIN11 (OP)

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Re: GREAT QUAKE TO HIT WITHIN NEXT 3 MAJOR SEISMIC WARNING WINDOWS??? Unofficial GLP HALLOWEEN QUAKE PREDICTION CONTEST!
And there's the first...

6.6 with readings as high as 6.8


FORESHOCK?

;))
 Quoting: MatrixLNIN11


Thats what i'm thinking...

Great thread Matrix!
 Quoting: dettro99


They just downgraded it to 6.2. Rofl! 4-6 point drop. lol.

So 6.8 is the minimum magnitude I said would appear which technically validates the first window, but since most skeptics will only use usgs and ignore their "antics", I'll let them have their way. No biggy.
However, even though this is still a large quake within the window and 1 day off from a key target date (which isn't really relevant because the "window is more important for this particular warning ie 19th to 23rd), a much bigger one is coming says I ;) The week is young

Last Edited by MatrixLNIN11 on 10/20/2012 08:32 PM
MatrixLNIN11 (OP)

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Re: GREAT QUAKE TO HIT WITHIN NEXT 3 MAJOR SEISMIC WARNING WINDOWS??? Unofficial GLP HALLOWEEN QUAKE PREDICTION CONTEST!
OP, are you the creator of these vids?
 Quoting: Baconspiracist


yes
 Quoting: MatrixLNIN11


wow!

nice one, good job!!
 Quoting: Baconspiracist


they're creepy and they're kooky!

;)

great avatar mate... keeps the halloween theme goin!
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Thread: 2012 prediction evidence based from sinkholes,earthquakes,etc

according to my theory n the way things r going, by end of mth there will b a damage-causing EQ probly 6+ <15km deep
AND it will b in a odd spot. i.e. not cali not japan not fiji etc. weird/odd spot.
i realize that leaves a lot of places but key is DAMAGES.
loss of life major property,etc. enuf to make the nightly news shows.
i also see a 4.5 bout 10 km near the GREAT LAKES.
MatrixLNIN11 (OP)

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Thread: 2012 prediction evidence based from sinkholes,earthquakes,etc

according to my theory n the way things r going, by end of mth there will b a damage-causing EQ probly 6+ <15km deep
AND it will b in a odd spot. i.e. not cali not japan not fiji etc. weird/odd spot.
i realize that leaves a lot of places but key is DAMAGES.
loss of life major property,etc. enuf to make the nightly news shows.
i also see a 4.5 bout 10 km near the GREAT LAKES.
 Quoting: jazz 22000823


Just a 6? ;/

gonna be much bigger m8 ;)

Last Edited by MatrixLNIN11 on 10/20/2012 09:13 PM
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Re: GREAT QUAKE TO HIT WITHIN NEXT 3 MAJOR SEISMIC WARNING WINDOWS??? Unofficial GLP HALLOWEEN QUAKE PREDICTION CONTEST!
hey matrix, can u give us a where it most likely will hit based on your theory?
i see a 4.5 near the great lakes and then a damaging EQ also<p[robly 2>. my theory is we have gasses building pressures inside the planet and they have to come out somewhere.
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Re: GREAT QUAKE TO HIT WITHIN NEXT 3 MAJOR SEISMIC WARNING WINDOWS??? Unofficial GLP HALLOWEEN QUAKE PREDICTION CONTEST!
target dates in window 1, are 19th and 22nd.
target dates in window 2, are 25th and 27th.
target dates in window 3, are 31st and 1st.

make sense?
 Quoting: MatrixLNIN11


plus or minus 1 day
"19th and 22nd." = 6 days
"25th and 27th." = 5 days
"31st and 1st." = 4 days
total days = 15 days

You jump between 6.7 and 6.8 mag, but I believe you are predicting for 6.7+?

From 2000 - 2011 there were 361 Mag 6.7+ quakes.

If EQs continue at the 2000-2011 rate then -
That makes the daily odds for a mag 6.7+ occurrence as:
p = 0.08236370
therefore:
q = 1-p = 0.9176363

Therefore through chance alone you have a 72.45% probability of getting 1 or more mag 6.7+ EQs in your 15 days.
In fact, you have a 50/50 chance of success after only 8 days.
You have a 35.37% chance of getting 2 or more hits in those 15 days.


Not very impressive, but I'm sure you'll crow about your marvelous EQ predicting ability should you get a hit.

GLP EQ "predictors" make me laugh - Sitting in their self delusional world with no knowledge of how common their wondrous 'predictions' really are just through random chance.


R.
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Re: GREAT QUAKE TO HIT WITHIN NEXT 3 MAJOR SEISMIC WARNING WINDOWS??? Unofficial GLP HALLOWEEN QUAKE PREDICTION CONTEST!
One star as always OPie.
WWIII is Upon US
MatrixLNIN11 (OP)

User ID: 20347511
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10/20/2012 09:57 PM

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Re: GREAT QUAKE TO HIT WITHIN NEXT 3 MAJOR SEISMIC WARNING WINDOWS??? Unofficial GLP HALLOWEEN QUAKE PREDICTION CONTEST!
hey matrix, can u give us a where it most likely will hit based on your theory?
 Quoting: jazz 22000823


ley lines of 188, of course! ;)

which is exactly where this one in Vanuatu did...AGAIN and within 80 miles ;)

i see a 4.5 near the great lakes and then a damaging EQ also<p[robly 2>. my theory is we have gasses building pressures inside the planet and they have to come out somewhere.
 Quoting: jazz 22000823


As to specific location?

I gave NZ as one of the specific locations/regions...

guess what region Vanuatu is in? ;)

a few other key areas I've mentioned

CALIFORNIA
NEW MADRID
Mexico, DR/PR (not dr. pepper) ;) Venezuela
CHILE
SUMATRA/INDONESIA
TOKYO & HONG KONG

Last Edited by MatrixLNIN11 on 10/20/2012 09:58 PM
MatrixLNIN11 (OP)

User ID: 20347511
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10/20/2012 10:41 PM

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Re: GREAT QUAKE TO HIT WITHIN NEXT 3 MAJOR SEISMIC WARNING WINDOWS??? Unofficial GLP HALLOWEEN QUAKE PREDICTION CONTEST!

target dates in window 1, are 19th and 22nd.
target dates in window 2, are 25th and 27th.
target dates in window 3, are 31st and 1st.
make sense?

plus or minus 1 day
"19th and 22nd." = 6 days
"25th and 27th." = 5 days
"31st and 1st." = 4 days
total days = 15 days

You jump between 6.7 and 6.8 mag, but I believe you are predicting for 6.7+?
 Quoting: MatrixLNIN11


No, the "warning" is actually for 3 MAJOR QUAKES bird-brain.
Something you ignore in your ignorant & biased "criticism".

for just 1 major quake to hit within any of the windows let alone 2 occurring, is not something that has a high chance for success as you're try to claim.

From 2000 - 2011 there were 361 Mag 6.7+ quakes.
 Quoting: Reality420 23400173


oh puhlease! don't give me the lame "stat" argument again which I've already debunked more times than I can count.. You're obviously clueless as to whats been explained that not a single skeptic has managed to disprove or show to be illogical. Go educate yourself on the FACTS and EVIDENCE and show exactly where and how what i've presented is wrong or what you claim disproves the actual evidence. You skeptics fail every time and then disappear when challenged or your argument falls apart.

If EQs continue at the 2000-2011 rate then -
That makes the daily odds for a mag 6.7+ occurrence as:
p = 0.08236370
therefore:
q = 1-p = 0.9176363
Therefore through chance alone you have a 72.45% probability of getting 1 or more mag 6.7+ EQs in your 15 days
In fact, you have a 50/50 chance of success after only 8 days.
You have a 35.37% chance of getting 2 or more hits in those 15 days.

Not very impressive, but I'm sure you'll crow about your marvelous EQ predicting ability should you get a hit.
GLP EQ "predictors" make me laugh - Sitting in their self delusional world with no knowledge of how common their wondrous 'predictions' really are just through random chance.
R.
 Quoting: Reality420 23400173


Glp skeptics make ME laugh with their cherry-picked arguments and stats that ignore any context of actual evidence presented that has already PROVEN contradicts the claims and number probability you're using.

a 3-5 day window is a very acceptable and narrow parameter especially for MAJOR quakes which is whats being warned. But in 90% of the cases which dumbasses like you always ignore, I've hit EXACT DATES within 1 day. You also fail to refute the evidence regarding the Ley Lines which makes this far more than just about quakes and general stats. Are you actually claiming the stats show Major quakes 7+ hit all the time and its easy to name a 15 day time frame in which at least 2 major quakes hit, let alone if one happens to be a 7.8+ to Great Quake? If NO major quakes 7+ occur, then its an obvious miss/fail and perhaps you can argue what you have.

But again, since these are 3 separate windows, your argument is irrelevant, worthless and does not even fall within your stats above to measure properly, nor do your stats include measuring the parameter of quakes being MAJOR and 7+. So your "argument" is out of context and cannot even be used as a measure yet until all 3 windows have ended. However, the facts and evidence will only make your attempt at debunking look foolish soon as they always have 99% of the time.

So lets see what happens Sparky

Last Edited by MatrixLNIN11 on 10/20/2012 10:56 PM
Reality420
User ID: 23400173
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10/20/2012 11:29 PM
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Re: GREAT QUAKE TO HIT WITHIN NEXT 3 MAJOR SEISMIC WARNING WINDOWS??? Unofficial GLP HALLOWEEN QUAKE PREDICTION CONTEST!

target dates in window 1, are 19th and 22nd.
target dates in window 2, are 25th and 27th.
target dates in window 3, are 31st and 1st.
make sense?

plus or minus 1 day
"19th and 22nd." = 6 days
"25th and 27th." = 5 days
"31st and 1st." = 4 days
total days = 15 days

You jump between 6.7 and 6.8 mag, but I believe you are predicting for 6.7+?
 Quoting: MatrixLNIN11


No, the "warning" is actually for 3 MAJOR QUAKES bird-brain.
Something you ignore in your ignorant & biased "criticism".

for just 1 major quake to hit within any of the windows let alone 2 occurring, is not something that has a high chance for success as you're try to claim.

From 2000 - 2011 there were 361 Mag 6.7+ quakes.
 Quoting: Reality420 23400173


oh puhlease! don't give me the lame "stat" argument again which I've already debunked more times than I can count.. You're obviously clueless as to whats been explained that not a single skeptic has managed to disprove or show to be illogical. Go educate yourself on the FACTS and EVIDENCE and show exactly where and how what i've presented is wrong or what you claim disproves the actual evidence. You skeptics fail every time and then disappear when challenged or your argument falls apart.

If EQs continue at the 2000-2011 rate then -
That makes the daily odds for a mag 6.7+ occurrence as:
p = 0.08236370
therefore:
q = 1-p = 0.9176363
Therefore through chance alone you have a 72.45% probability of getting 1 or more mag 6.7+ EQs in your 15 days
In fact, you have a 50/50 chance of success after only 8 days.
You have a 35.37% chance of getting 2 or more hits in those 15 days.

Not very impressive, but I'm sure you'll crow about your marvelous EQ predicting ability should you get a hit.
GLP EQ "predictors" make me laugh - Sitting in their self delusional world with no knowledge of how common their wondrous 'predictions' really are just through random chance.
R.
 Quoting: Reality420 23400173


Glp skeptics make ME laugh with their cherry-picked arguments and stats that ignore any context of actual evidence presented that has already PROVEN contradicts the claims and number probability you're using.

a 3-5 day window is a very acceptable and narrow parameter especially for MAJOR quakes which is whats being warned. But in 90% of the cases which dumbasses like you always ignore, I've hit EXACT DATES within 1 day. You also fail to refute the evidence regarding the Ley Lines which makes this far more than just about quakes and general stats. Are you actually claiming the stats show Major quakes 7+ hit all the time and its easy to name a 15 day time frame in which at least 2 major quakes hit, let alone if one happens to be a 7.8+ to Great Quake? If NO major quakes 7+ occur, then its an obvious miss/fail and perhaps you can argue what you have.

But again, since these are 3 separate windows, your argument is irrelevant, worthless and does not even fall within your stats above to measure properly, nor do your stats include measuring the parameter of quakes being MAJOR and 7+. So your "argument" is out of context and cannot even be used as a measure yet until all 3 windows have ended. However, the facts and evidence will only make your attempt at debunking look foolish soon as they always have 99% of the time.

So lets see what happens Sparky
 Quoting: Reality420 23400173


I love when the EQ kOOks start foaming at the mouth and drooling when confronted by facts.

Try this dimwit:
You have 3 windows with these probabilities for a mag 6.7 hit:
"19th and 22nd." = 6 days
6day success probability = 40.3%

"25th and 27th." = 5 days
5day success probability = 34.9%

"31st and 1st." = 4 days
4day success probability = 29.1%

total days = 15 days
Cumulative 15day success probability for at least 1 hit = 72.5%

Anyone who isn't an ignoramus and completely innumerate will see the above to be true. That you are incapable of calculating these probabilities puts you in company with all the other high-school dropout EQ predicting ignoramuses.
... And why is it that all "predictors" state a date window and then give a padding? You've done it with your "plus or minus 1 day." Why don't you just state the window to include the padding since that is the real window and you are going to count any hit during the stated time plus the padding. In science we call that Unnecessary and Idiotic Complexity generally practiced by woowoos to imitate real science.

"blah, blah, blah, Ley Lines" - You might want to look at a globe, cretin, and see just how laughable your map of "Ley Lines" in the vid above is. Just another example of a moronic kOOk thinking they know what they are talking about and getting even the most basic things wrong.

Take for example your "Ley Line" from about Alta, Norway to Melbourne, Aus. You've drawn a straight line for this which passes through India.
Guess what, genius? We live on a globe and you can't just draw straight lines on map projections and have them represent reality. Get a globe and a piece of thread and connect those two points and tell me where the straight line really goes.

Here's a clue - It doesn't get near India. It runs across Siberia, through Mongolia, through Taiwan, runs just north of the Philippines and enters Aus near Darwin and then runs to Melbourne.

I'll leave it to the genius to figure out how this can be, but aviators know exactly what I'm talking about. To the reader, get a globe and see if his "Ley Lines" aren't some sort of laughable joke made by a moron who can only think in 2 dimensions and tries to project 3D onto a 2D map.

Get a globe, moron, and then come back and tell us all about how your previous claims of getting hits on "Ley Lines" were completely wrong since the things you thought were lines were, in reality, no such thing once you got a globe and string in your hand.

Tard.


R.
Reality420
User ID: 23400173
United States
10/20/2012 11:43 PM
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Re: GREAT QUAKE TO HIT WITHIN NEXT 3 MAJOR SEISMIC WARNING WINDOWS??? Unofficial GLP HALLOWEEN QUAKE PREDICTION CONTEST!
BTW, here's a .gif of that Norway-Melbourne "Ley Line" shown in your vid above, only properly projected on a 2D map.
This is the path, on a globe, a string stretched from Alta, Norway to Melbourne, Aus. would run.
In other words, it represents reality. It represents a straight line on a sphere projected onto a 2D map.

Ever wonder why those old NASA vids have a giant 2D wall map and the track of a spacecraft in orbit looks like a sine wave? It's because that's how the reality of projecting the true track on a sphere projected onto a 2D map looks.

[link to www.freeimagehosting.net]

Amazing, isn't it?

Tard.


R.

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