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GREAT QUAKE TO HIT WITHIN NEXT 3 MAJOR SEISMIC WARNING WINDOWS??? Unofficial GLP HALLOWEEN QUAKE PREDICTION CONTEST! | |
MatrixLNIN11  User ID: 20347511  United States10/17/2012 10:24 AM  Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | GREAT QUAKE TO HIT WITHIN NEXT 3 MAJOR SEISMIC WARNING WINDOWS??? Unofficial GLP HALLOWEEN QUAKE PREDICTION CONTEST! Featuring..... All your favorite & not so favorite semi-usual & unusual suspects & unwilling contestants!  w/your loved and not so loved often hated HOST that leys it all on the LINE... MatrixLNIN11 ;)  When we last left off, Thread: 7.3 HITS LEY-LINES OF 188 WITHIN 4 DAYS OF 188 CYCLE & 1 DAY OFF FROM 10/2 QUAKE WARNING OF A MAJOR 7+!!! Wow and currently we've got a few related HOT threads goin on... Nika's in the lead at the moment Thread: Sinkhole and Gulf Oil Disaster Connection...Also tied to New Madrid fault! Must see video!! Truthworkers hot on the "TAIL" ;) Thread: EARTHQUAKE within the next 24 hours on October 18 UTC due to ASTEROIDS and yours truly just back from the MAINe line! Thread: RARE MAINE QUAKE HITS DEAD CENTER OF 188 LEY-LINES... AGAIN. wow So as we approach what appears to be a major seismic uptick, let's spice things up a bit with a bonus round... What are the statistics or odds of a MAJOR quake 7+ hitting just 1 out of 3 quake windows and on one of the TARGET dates named, let alone a Great Quake? Intelligent discourse welcome But in the meantime, in light of a recent but sudden explosion of threads & video's posting quake predictions/warnings for the END of OCTOBER (some being last minute & being DUPLICATE DATES previously archived/timestamped), I invite and propose the creation of a LIST to help put each in proper perspective for casual readers on GLP to keep track, discuss and MEASURE. Being the OP I'll take the liberty of beginning the list and posting a preliminary run-down of other entries I'm aware so far, but welcome any corrections or updates as long as they're time-stamped prior to any major seismic event occurring. Only after this list is compiled, will there be a clearer view or proper context in which to discuss and measure the merit in each. 1) MatrixlNIN11 original postings 8/8/12 & 6/30/12 Thread: 7.3 HITS LEY-LINES OF 188 WITHIN 4 DAYS OF 188 CYCLE & 1 DAY OFF FROM 10/2 QUAKE WARNING OF A MAJOR 7+!!! Wow (Page 7) each window +-1 day minimum 6.7+ likely M7.3+ to M8.0+ window 1 10/19 & 10/22 (113 in effect) window 2 10/25 & 10/27 window 3 10/31 & 11/1 (113 in effect) Locations/Regions of concern: North American Western Coastline (LA, SF) Mexico P.R. & D.R. Chile & Venezuela Japan, (Tokyo) NZ & FIJI, SUMATRA ------------------------------------------------------- 2) TheTRUTHWORKER Thread: EARTHQUAKE within the next 24 hours on October 18 UTC due to ASTEROIDS Thread: EARTHQUAKE within the next 24 hours on October 18 UTC due to ASTEROIDS (Page 2) prediction/warning window 1 posted10/16/12 M6.3 16th, 17th, 18th No location prediction/warning/target date window 2 posted 8/29/12 8+ 10/16, 10/17, 10/18, 10/19, 10/20, 10/21, 10/22, 10/23, 10/24, 10/25, 10/26, 10/27, 10/28 "If you want a 8.0+ prediction then it is in October 16-28 as posted Aug 29th" No location prediction/warning window 3 posted 10/16/12 (no magnitude specified other than "bigger" than 6.3) 28th No location 6/30/12 no mag given 10/17 & 10/28 ----------------------------------------------------------- 3) BARCAROLLER prediction/warning window 1 posted 10/10/12 M7+ 12th, 13th, 14th, 15th, 16th, 17th Location: VANUATU prediction/warning window 2 posted 1/9/12 significant to 7.2+ 10/26 & 10/27 Location: CHINA ----------------------------------------------------------- 4) DCSYMBOLS prediction/warning window 1 posted 10/12/12 No Magnitude other than "large quakes" 10/25, 10/26, 10/27, 10/28, 10/29, 10/30, 10/31, 11/1 No location 5) __________ new entry???? feel free to add to this list.... =========================================== Gentlemen... Start yer engines!      more info: [link to www.godlikeproductions.com] Thread: GREAT QUAKE TO HIT WITHIN NEXT 3 MAJOR SEISMIC WARNING WINDOWS??? Unofficial GLP HALLOWEEN QUAKE PREDICTION CONTEST! Thread: The NINth MONTH 911 QUAKE WARNING & 188 QUAKE CYCLE ALERT Thread: 7.3 HITS LEY-LINES OF 188 WITHIN 4 DAYS OF 188 CYCLE & 1 DAY OFF FROM 10/2 QUAKE WARNING OF A MAJOR 7+!!! Wow (Page 7) Last Edited by MatrixLNIN11 on 10/17/2012 11:24 AM |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 22459462  Portugal10/17/2012 10:38 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: GREAT QUAKE TO HIT WITHIN NEXT 3 MAJOR SEISMIC WARNING WINDOWS??? Unofficial GLP HALLOWEEN QUAKE PREDICTION CONTEST! each window +-1 day minimum 6.7+ likely M7.3+ to M8.0+ window 1 10/19 & 10/22 (113 in effect) window 2 10/25 & 10/27 window 3 10/31 & 11/1 (113 in effect) really? so what it means is that you give a window from 10/18 to 10/28 and another from 10/30 do 11/12.. basically a single window from 10/18 to 11/2 |
| MatrixLNIN11 (OP) User ID: 20347511 United States10/17/2012 11:27 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: GREAT QUAKE TO HIT WITHIN NEXT 3 MAJOR SEISMIC WARNING WINDOWS??? Unofficial GLP HALLOWEEN QUAKE PREDICTION CONTEST! each window +-1 day minimum 6.7+ likely M7.3+ to M8.0+ Quoting: Anonymous Coward 22459462 window 1 10/19 & 10/22 (113 in effect) window 2 10/25 & 10/27 window 3 10/31 & 11/1 (113 in effect) really? so what it means is that you give a window from 10/18 to 10/28 and another from 10/30 do 11/12.. basically a single window from 10/18 to 11/2  How can 3 separate warnings be ONE window? lol |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 22459462 Portugal10/17/2012 11:30 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| MatrixLNIN11 (OP) User ID: 20347511 United States10/17/2012 11:31 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: GREAT QUAKE TO HIT WITHIN NEXT 3 MAJOR SEISMIC WARNING WINDOWS??? Unofficial GLP HALLOWEEN QUAKE PREDICTION CONTEST! maybe because if you apply the +/-1 days, you get consecutive days? Quoting: Anonymous Coward 22459462 yet if 3 major quakes were to hit, your entire premise fails right? ;/ lighten up m8 ;) geez just tryin somethin slightly new per se,,, but very unconventional! which the odds would be against big time. hence what I explained in one of the links very low chance of success to hit 1 let alone 2 and far more unlikely, 3. but any quakes also hitting the ley lines, adds an even trickier parameter. so for this particular warning which is difficult and highly unlikely to hit just 1 major quake, I probably would have to be prepared for at least 2 fails/misses. but hey, its Halloween... TRICK or TREAT time. ;) Last Edited by MatrixLNIN11 on 10/17/2012 11:41 AM |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 22459462 Portugal10/17/2012 11:32 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| MatrixLNIN11 (OP) User ID: 20347511 United States10/17/2012 11:33 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| amywood71605 User ID: 9228860 United States10/17/2012 10:28 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Rudysarsof User ID: 19982953  Australia10/19/2012 01:40 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: GREAT QUAKE TO HIT WITHIN NEXT 3 MAJOR SEISMIC WARNING WINDOWS??? Unofficial GLP HALLOWEEN QUAKE PREDICTION CONTEST! This is one of those times I talked about how you need to word things so there is know misunderstandings. First window 18/10 - 23/10 (5 days) with an 8+ quake then the second window 24/10 to 28/10 ( 5 days) with an 8+ quake and finally the last window 30/10 till the 2/11 (4 days) with an 8+ quake. Around the countries and on the specified ley lines. It is a lot easier to lie when you are the only one who knows the truth than it is to find the truth when all you know is lies. Remember people the revolution starts with you. Sorry my mistake. Revolution starts with R. Change begins with.....nope that begins with C Hold on I am sure I will get this. Progress begin....damn. Oh I got it Youthfulness begins with you, so do your part and be childish And remember you can not spell awesome without ME. |
| MatrixLNIN11 (OP) User ID: 19124531 United States10/19/2012 04:40 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: GREAT QUAKE TO HIT WITHIN NEXT 3 MAJOR SEISMIC WARNING WINDOWS??? Unofficial GLP HALLOWEEN QUAKE PREDICTION CONTEST! This is one of those times I talked about how you need to word things so there is know misunderstandings. First window 18/10 - 23/10 (5 days) with an 8+ quake then the second window 24/10 to 28/10 ( 5 days) with an 8+ quake and finally the last window 30/10 till the 2/11 (4 days) with an 8+ quake. Around the countries and on the specified ley lines. Quoting: Rudysarsof all 3 windows are for a minimum 6.8 quake to appear in station readings to be validated, but I'm saying at least 1 will be a major quake 7+ with 90% confidence and a 7.8+ which would have readings 8+ is also very likely in 1 of the windows. Is it possible no major quakes 7+ over the next 11 days 13 tops?? SURE. However like I said... the weatherman says 80% of showers... 20% not. I say 90% at least 1 major 7+ within the next 11-13 days...or in other words, at least 1 major quake 7+ within the next 3 windows and 80-90% likely 2 such quakes. target dates in window 1, are 19th and 22nd. target dates in window 2, are 25th and 27th. target dates in window 3, are 31st and 1st. make sense? |
| MatrixLNIN11 (OP) User ID: 19124531 United States10/19/2012 05:03 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: GREAT QUAKE TO HIT WITHIN NEXT 3 MAJOR SEISMIC WARNING WINDOWS??? Unofficial GLP HALLOWEEN QUAKE PREDICTION CONTEST! for someone to name specific set of dates in a 30 day period for a major 7+ quake to hit even 1 of the windows/dates and be within 3 days, goes against stats and huge odds. For 2 major quakes to hit within the same parameters is astronomical and far beyond what science says is possible. And as I've said, to have 3 quakes occur with the minimum magnitude and parameters I've explained is, well, pretty much unheard of which even I say extremely difficult and unlikely. If a GREAT QUAKE or closer to a 7.9+ hits in any window, that increases the odds and level of difficulty exponentially. And adding the LEY LINE/location parameter to any event/quake correlating as well, puts another level of difficulty thats far less likely of any chance for even 1 quake to occur in which all parameters are met. If nothing happens and there's no quakes over 6.7 in any of these windows, I have no problem admitting this quake warning failed. Would it invalidate the consistency of my accuracy over the past year? Not at all since 90% means there's a 10% margin of error and I'm well within that margin and could have a few misses since I no of no one with even close to an 80% accuracy meeting these parameters and for sure NO human has ever had a 100% accuracy especially when you're talking about natural events. But the real question is... will skeptics be able to do the same if any hit ;)) should be an interesting game to watch over the next 13 days. Lets hope though, if any do occur, there's no major damage or loss of life and this just adds more validation for the Ley Lines and "theory" which will help raise awareness to far more serious events coming. cheers Last Edited by MatrixLNIN11 on 10/19/2012 05:06 AM |
| amywood71605 User ID: 9228860 United States10/19/2012 12:05 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: GREAT QUAKE TO HIT WITHIN NEXT 3 MAJOR SEISMIC WARNING WINDOWS??? Unofficial GLP HALLOWEEN QUAKE PREDICTION CONTEST! for someone to name specific set of dates in a 30 day period for a major 7+ quake to hit even 1 of the windows/dates and be within 3 days, goes against stats and huge odds. For 2 major quakes to hit within the same parameters is astronomical and far beyond what science says is possible. And as I've said, to have 3 quakes occur with the minimum magnitude and parameters I've explained is, well, pretty much unheard of which even I say extremely difficult and unlikely. If a GREAT QUAKE or closer to a 7.9+ hits in any window, that increases the odds and level of difficulty exponentially. And adding the LEY LINE/location parameter to any event/quake correlating as well, puts another level of difficulty thats far less likely of any chance for even 1 quake to occur in which all parameters are met. If nothing happens and there's no quakes over 6.7 in any of these windows, I have no problem admitting this quake warning failed. Would it invalidate the consistency of my accuracy over the past year? Not at all since 90% means there's a 10% margin of error and I'm well within that margin and could have a few misses since I no of no one with even close to an 80% accuracy meeting these parameters and for sure NO human has ever had a 100% accuracy especially when you're talking about natural events. But the real question is... will skeptics be able to do the same if any hit ;)) should be an interesting game to watch over the next 13 days. Lets hope though, if any do occur, there's no major damage or loss of life and this just adds more validation for the Ley Lines and "theory" which will help raise awareness to far more serious events coming. cheers When I said, "We'll see what happens", I did not mean it in a negative way. In fact, if something doesn't happen, I'll pretty damn surprised. When I first saw your posts, I didn't believe it but quakes have hit in the time windows you give, on the lines SO many times. Yes, I believe in coiencidences, but come on! A coiencidence can only happen so often. "Live each day like it's your last, love like you've never been hurt, and dance like no one is watching." GO PATS!! :Go Patriots!: |
| Solar Guardian User ID: 25806894  Malaysia10/20/2012 07:38 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: GREAT QUAKE TO HIT WITHIN NEXT 3 MAJOR SEISMIC WARNING WINDOWS??? Unofficial GLP HALLOWEEN QUAKE PREDICTION CONTEST! |
| MatrixLNIN11 (OP) User ID: 20347511 United States10/20/2012 06:18 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: GREAT QUAKE TO HIT WITHIN NEXT 3 MAJOR SEISMIC WARNING WINDOWS??? Unofficial GLP HALLOWEEN QUAKE PREDICTION CONTEST! for someone to name specific set of dates in a 30 day period for a major 7+ quake to hit even 1 of the windows/dates and be within 3 days, goes against stats and huge odds. For 2 major quakes to hit within the same parameters is astronomical and far beyond what science says is possible. And as I've said, to have 3 quakes occur with the minimum magnitude and parameters I've explained is, well, pretty much unheard of which even I say extremely difficult and unlikely. If a GREAT QUAKE or closer to a 7.9+ hits in any window, that increases the odds and level of difficulty exponentially. And adding the LEY LINE/location parameter to any event/quake correlating as well, puts another level of difficulty thats far less likely of any chance for even 1 quake to occur in which all parameters are met. If nothing happens and there's no quakes over 6.7 in any of these windows, I have no problem admitting this quake warning failed. Would it invalidate the consistency of my accuracy over the past year? Not at all since 90% means there's a 10% margin of error and I'm well within that margin and could have a few misses since I no of no one with even close to an 80% accuracy meeting these parameters and for sure NO human has ever had a 100% accuracy especially when you're talking about natural events. But the real question is... will skeptics be able to do the same if any hit ;)) should be an interesting game to watch over the next 13 days. Lets hope though, if any do occur, there's no major damage or loss of life and this just adds more validation for the Ley Lines and "theory" which will help raise awareness to far more serious events coming. cheers When I said, "We'll see what happens", I did not mean it in a negative way. In fact, if something doesn't happen, I'll pretty damn surprised. When I first saw your posts, I didn't believe it but quakes have hit in the time windows you give, on the lines SO many times. Yes, I believe in coiencidences, but come on! A coiencidence can only happen so often. never thought you meant anything in a negative way... was just trying to address your question with some further clarification and thoughts which also helps others to understand more context on the issue. I appreciate all your comments and thoughts and welcome questions. All good.  |
| Baconspiracist User ID: 13993706  Germany10/20/2012 06:20 PM  Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| MatrixLNIN11 (OP) User ID: 20347511 United States10/20/2012 07:55 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| MatrixLNIN11 (OP) User ID: 20347511 United States10/20/2012 07:58 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: GREAT QUAKE TO HIT WITHIN NEXT 3 MAJOR SEISMIC WARNING WINDOWS??? Unofficial GLP HALLOWEEN QUAKE PREDICTION CONTEST! And so it begins... 6.6 with readings as high as 6.8 ================================================= [link to earthquake.usgs.gov] Magnitude 6.6 Date-Time Saturday, October 20, 2012 at 23:00:32 UTC Sunday, October 21, 2012 at 10:00:32 AM at epicenter Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones Location 13.572°S, 166.594°E Depth 35.4 km (22.0 miles) Region VANUATU Distances 109 km (67 miles) WNW of Sola, Vanuatu 225 km (139 miles) NNW of Luganville, Vanuatu 496 km (308 miles) NNW of Port-Vila, Vanuatu 816 km (507 miles) N of We, New Caledonia Location Uncertainty horizontal +/- 13.9 km (8.6 miles); depth +/- 3.4 km (2.1 miles) ----------------------------------------------------------------- FORESHOCK ;) Last Edited by MatrixLNIN11 on 10/20/2012 07:58 PM |
| dettro99 User ID: 9732769 United States10/20/2012 08:00 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 25900057  United Kingdom10/20/2012 08:00 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Baconspiracist User ID: 13993706 Germany10/20/2012 08:08 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| MatrixLNIN11 (OP) User ID: 20347511 United States10/20/2012 08:16 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: GREAT QUAKE TO HIT WITHIN NEXT 3 MAJOR SEISMIC WARNING WINDOWS??? Unofficial GLP HALLOWEEN QUAKE PREDICTION CONTEST! They just downgraded it to 6.2. Rofl! 4-6 point drop. lol. So 6.8 is the minimum magnitude I said would appear which technically validates the first window, but since most skeptics will only use usgs and ignore their "antics", I'll let them have their way. No biggy. However, even though this is still a large quake within the window and 1 day off from a key target date (which isn't really relevant because the "window is more important for this particular warning ie 19th to 23rd), a much bigger one is coming says I ;) The week is young Last Edited by MatrixLNIN11 on 10/20/2012 08:32 PM |
| MatrixLNIN11 (OP) User ID: 20347511 United States10/20/2012 08:18 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| jazz User ID: 22000823 United States10/20/2012 08:39 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: GREAT QUAKE TO HIT WITHIN NEXT 3 MAJOR SEISMIC WARNING WINDOWS??? Unofficial GLP HALLOWEEN QUAKE PREDICTION CONTEST! Thread: 2012 prediction evidence based from sinkholes,earthquakes,etc according to my theory n the way things r going, by end of mth there will b a damage-causing EQ probly 6+ <15km deep AND it will b in a odd spot. i.e. not cali not japan not fiji etc. weird/odd spot. i realize that leaves a lot of places but key is DAMAGES. loss of life major property,etc. enuf to make the nightly news shows. i also see a 4.5 bout 10 km near the GREAT LAKES. |
| MatrixLNIN11 (OP) User ID: 20347511 United States10/20/2012 08:51 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: GREAT QUAKE TO HIT WITHIN NEXT 3 MAJOR SEISMIC WARNING WINDOWS??? Unofficial GLP HALLOWEEN QUAKE PREDICTION CONTEST! Thread: 2012 prediction evidence based from sinkholes,earthquakes,etc Quoting: jazz 22000823 according to my theory n the way things r going, by end of mth there will b a damage-causing EQ probly 6+ <15km deep AND it will b in a odd spot. i.e. not cali not japan not fiji etc. weird/odd spot. i realize that leaves a lot of places but key is DAMAGES. loss of life major property,etc. enuf to make the nightly news shows. i also see a 4.5 bout 10 km near the GREAT LAKES. Just a 6? ;/ gonna be much bigger m8 ;) Last Edited by MatrixLNIN11 on 10/20/2012 09:13 PM |
| jazz User ID: 22000823 United States10/20/2012 09:13 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: GREAT QUAKE TO HIT WITHIN NEXT 3 MAJOR SEISMIC WARNING WINDOWS??? Unofficial GLP HALLOWEEN QUAKE PREDICTION CONTEST! hey matrix, can u give us a where it most likely will hit based on your theory? i see a 4.5 near the great lakes and then a damaging EQ also<p[robly 2>. my theory is we have gasses building pressures inside the planet and they have to come out somewhere. |
| Reality420 User ID: 23400173 United States10/20/2012 09:41 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: GREAT QUAKE TO HIT WITHIN NEXT 3 MAJOR SEISMIC WARNING WINDOWS??? Unofficial GLP HALLOWEEN QUAKE PREDICTION CONTEST! target dates in window 1, are 19th and 22nd. Quoting: MatrixLNIN11 target dates in window 2, are 25th and 27th. target dates in window 3, are 31st and 1st. make sense? plus or minus 1 day "19th and 22nd." = 6 days "25th and 27th." = 5 days "31st and 1st." = 4 days total days = 15 days You jump between 6.7 and 6.8 mag, but I believe you are predicting for 6.7+? From 2000 - 2011 there were 361 Mag 6.7+ quakes. If EQs continue at the 2000-2011 rate then - That makes the daily odds for a mag 6.7+ occurrence as: p = 0.08236370 therefore: q = 1-p = 0.9176363 Therefore through chance alone you have a 72.45% probability of getting 1 or more mag 6.7+ EQs in your 15 days. In fact, you have a 50/50 chance of success after only 8 days. You have a 35.37% chance of getting 2 or more hits in those 15 days. Not very impressive, but I'm sure you'll crow about your marvelous EQ predicting ability should you get a hit. GLP EQ "predictors" make me laugh - Sitting in their self delusional world with no knowledge of how common their wondrous 'predictions' really are just through random chance. R. |
| WWIII is Upon US User ID: 25516206 United States10/20/2012 09:42 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| MatrixLNIN11 (OP) User ID: 20347511 United States10/20/2012 09:57 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: GREAT QUAKE TO HIT WITHIN NEXT 3 MAJOR SEISMIC WARNING WINDOWS??? Unofficial GLP HALLOWEEN QUAKE PREDICTION CONTEST! hey matrix, can u give us a where it most likely will hit based on your theory? Quoting: jazz 22000823 ley lines of 188, of course! ;) which is exactly where this one in Vanuatu did...AGAIN and within 80 miles ;) i see a 4.5 near the great lakes and then a damaging EQ also<p[robly 2>. my theory is we have gasses building pressures inside the planet and they have to come out somewhere. Quoting: jazz 22000823 As to specific location? I gave NZ as one of the specific locations/regions... guess what region Vanuatu is in? ;) a few other key areas I've mentioned CALIFORNIA NEW MADRID Mexico, DR/PR (not dr. pepper) ;) Venezuela CHILE SUMATRA/INDONESIA TOKYO & HONG KONG Last Edited by MatrixLNIN11 on 10/20/2012 09:58 PM |
| MatrixLNIN11 (OP) User ID: 20347511 United States10/20/2012 10:41 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: GREAT QUAKE TO HIT WITHIN NEXT 3 MAJOR SEISMIC WARNING WINDOWS??? Unofficial GLP HALLOWEEN QUAKE PREDICTION CONTEST! target dates in window 1, are 19th and 22nd. Quoting: MatrixLNIN11 target dates in window 2, are 25th and 27th. target dates in window 3, are 31st and 1st. make sense? plus or minus 1 day "19th and 22nd." = 6 days "25th and 27th." = 5 days "31st and 1st." = 4 days total days = 15 days You jump between 6.7 and 6.8 mag, but I believe you are predicting for 6.7+? No, the "warning" is actually for 3 MAJOR QUAKES bird-brain. Something you ignore in your ignorant & biased "criticism". for just 1 major quake to hit within any of the windows let alone 2 occurring, is not something that has a high chance for success as you're try to claim. oh puhlease! don't give me the lame "stat" argument again which I've already debunked more times than I can count.. You're obviously clueless as to whats been explained that not a single skeptic has managed to disprove or show to be illogical. Go educate yourself on the FACTS and EVIDENCE and show exactly where and how what i've presented is wrong or what you claim disproves the actual evidence. You skeptics fail every time and then disappear when challenged or your argument falls apart. If EQs continue at the 2000-2011 rate then - Quoting: Reality420 23400173 That makes the daily odds for a mag 6.7+ occurrence as: p = 0.08236370 therefore: q = 1-p = 0.9176363 Therefore through chance alone you have a 72.45% probability of getting 1 or more mag 6.7+ EQs in your 15 days In fact, you have a 50/50 chance of success after only 8 days. You have a 35.37% chance of getting 2 or more hits in those 15 days. Not very impressive, but I'm sure you'll crow about your marvelous EQ predicting ability should you get a hit. GLP EQ "predictors" make me laugh - Sitting in their self delusional world with no knowledge of how common their wondrous 'predictions' really are just through random chance. R. Glp skeptics make ME laugh with their cherry-picked arguments and stats that ignore any context of actual evidence presented that has already PROVEN contradicts the claims and number probability you're using. a 3-5 day window is a very acceptable and narrow parameter especially for MAJOR quakes which is whats being warned. But in 90% of the cases which dumbasses like you always ignore, I've hit EXACT DATES within 1 day. You also fail to refute the evidence regarding the Ley Lines which makes this far more than just about quakes and general stats. Are you actually claiming the stats show Major quakes 7+ hit all the time and its easy to name a 15 day time frame in which at least 2 major quakes hit, let alone if one happens to be a 7.8+ to Great Quake? If NO major quakes 7+ occur, then its an obvious miss/fail and perhaps you can argue what you have. But again, since these are 3 separate windows, your argument is irrelevant, worthless and does not even fall within your stats above to measure properly, nor do your stats include measuring the parameter of quakes being MAJOR and 7+. So your "argument" is out of context and cannot even be used as a measure yet until all 3 windows have ended. However, the facts and evidence will only make your attempt at debunking look foolish soon as they always have 99% of the time. So lets see what happens Sparky Last Edited by MatrixLNIN11 on 10/20/2012 10:56 PM |
| Reality420 User ID: 23400173 United States10/20/2012 11:29 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: GREAT QUAKE TO HIT WITHIN NEXT 3 MAJOR SEISMIC WARNING WINDOWS??? Unofficial GLP HALLOWEEN QUAKE PREDICTION CONTEST! target dates in window 1, are 19th and 22nd. Quoting: MatrixLNIN11 target dates in window 2, are 25th and 27th. target dates in window 3, are 31st and 1st. make sense? plus or minus 1 day "19th and 22nd." = 6 days "25th and 27th." = 5 days "31st and 1st." = 4 days total days = 15 days You jump between 6.7 and 6.8 mag, but I believe you are predicting for 6.7+? No, the "warning" is actually for 3 MAJOR QUAKES bird-brain. Something you ignore in your ignorant & biased "criticism". for just 1 major quake to hit within any of the windows let alone 2 occurring, is not something that has a high chance for success as you're try to claim. oh puhlease! don't give me the lame "stat" argument again which I've already debunked more times than I can count.. You're obviously clueless as to whats been explained that not a single skeptic has managed to disprove or show to be illogical. Go educate yourself on the FACTS and EVIDENCE and show exactly where and how what i've presented is wrong or what you claim disproves the actual evidence. You skeptics fail every time and then disappear when challenged or your argument falls apart. If EQs continue at the 2000-2011 rate then - Quoting: Reality420 23400173 That makes the daily odds for a mag 6.7+ occurrence as: p = 0.08236370 therefore: q = 1-p = 0.9176363 Therefore through chance alone you have a 72.45% probability of getting 1 or more mag 6.7+ EQs in your 15 days In fact, you have a 50/50 chance of success after only 8 days. You have a 35.37% chance of getting 2 or more hits in those 15 days. Not very impressive, but I'm sure you'll crow about your marvelous EQ predicting ability should you get a hit. GLP EQ "predictors" make me laugh - Sitting in their self delusional world with no knowledge of how common their wondrous 'predictions' really are just through random chance. R. Glp skeptics make ME laugh with their cherry-picked arguments and stats that ignore any context of actual evidence presented that has already PROVEN contradicts the claims and number probability you're using. a 3-5 day window is a very acceptable and narrow parameter especially for MAJOR quakes which is whats being warned. But in 90% of the cases which dumbasses like you always ignore, I've hit EXACT DATES within 1 day. You also fail to refute the evidence regarding the Ley Lines which makes this far more than just about quakes and general stats. Are you actually claiming the stats show Major quakes 7+ hit all the time and its easy to name a 15 day time frame in which at least 2 major quakes hit, let alone if one happens to be a 7.8+ to Great Quake? If NO major quakes 7+ occur, then its an obvious miss/fail and perhaps you can argue what you have. But again, since these are 3 separate windows, your argument is irrelevant, worthless and does not even fall within your stats above to measure properly, nor do your stats include measuring the parameter of quakes being MAJOR and 7+. So your "argument" is out of context and cannot even be used as a measure yet until all 3 windows have ended. However, the facts and evidence will only make your attempt at debunking look foolish soon as they always have 99% of the time. So lets see what happens Sparky I love when the EQ kOOks start foaming at the mouth and drooling when confronted by facts. Try this dimwit: You have 3 windows with these probabilities for a mag 6.7 hit: "19th and 22nd." = 6 days 6day success probability = 40.3% "25th and 27th." = 5 days 5day success probability = 34.9% "31st and 1st." = 4 days 4day success probability = 29.1% total days = 15 days Cumulative 15day success probability for at least 1 hit = 72.5% Anyone who isn't an ignoramus and completely innumerate will see the above to be true. That you are incapable of calculating these probabilities puts you in company with all the other high-school dropout EQ predicting ignoramuses. ... And why is it that all "predictors" state a date window and then give a padding? You've done it with your "plus or minus 1 day." Why don't you just state the window to include the padding since that is the real window and you are going to count any hit during the stated time plus the padding. In science we call that Unnecessary and Idiotic Complexity generally practiced by woowoos to imitate real science. "blah, blah, blah, Ley Lines" - You might want to look at a globe, cretin, and see just how laughable your map of "Ley Lines" in the vid above is. Just another example of a moronic kOOk thinking they know what they are talking about and getting even the most basic things wrong. Take for example your "Ley Line" from about Alta, Norway to Melbourne, Aus. You've drawn a straight line for this which passes through India. Guess what, genius? We live on a globe and you can't just draw straight lines on map projections and have them represent reality. Get a globe and a piece of thread and connect those two points and tell me where the straight line really goes. Here's a clue - It doesn't get near India. It runs across Siberia, through Mongolia, through Taiwan, runs just north of the Philippines and enters Aus near Darwin and then runs to Melbourne. I'll leave it to the genius to figure out how this can be, but aviators know exactly what I'm talking about. To the reader, get a globe and see if his "Ley Lines" aren't some sort of laughable joke made by a moron who can only think in 2 dimensions and tries to project 3D onto a 2D map. Get a globe, moron, and then come back and tell us all about how your previous claims of getting hits on "Ley Lines" were completely wrong since the things you thought were lines were, in reality, no such thing once you got a globe and string in your hand. Tard. R. |
| Reality420 User ID: 23400173 United States10/20/2012 11:43 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: GREAT QUAKE TO HIT WITHIN NEXT 3 MAJOR SEISMIC WARNING WINDOWS??? Unofficial GLP HALLOWEEN QUAKE PREDICTION CONTEST! BTW, here's a .gif of that Norway-Melbourne "Ley Line" shown in your vid above, only properly projected on a 2D map. This is the path, on a globe, a string stretched from Alta, Norway to Melbourne, Aus. would run. In other words, it represents reality. It represents a straight line on a sphere projected onto a 2D map. Ever wonder why those old NASA vids have a giant 2D wall map and the track of a spacecraft in orbit looks like a sine wave? It's because that's how the reality of projecting the true track on a sphere projected onto a 2D map looks. [link to www.freeimagehosting.net] Amazing, isn't it? Tard. R. |
