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X1.8 Solar Flare just popped! Intensity continuing to increase from sunspot 1598

 
Doom Da Doom Doom
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10/22/2012 11:35 PM
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X1.8 Solar Flare just popped! Intensity continuing to increase from sunspot 1598
An impulsive solar flare reaching X1.8 peaked at 03:17 UTC early Tuesday morning.
The flare was centered around Sunspot 1598. Stay Tuned to SolarHam.com for the latest information

[link to www.solarham.net]
Primordial

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10/22/2012 11:36 PM
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Re: X1.8 Solar Flare just popped! Intensity continuing to increase from sunspot 1598
Ooofah!



BAM!
Anonymous Coward
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10/22/2012 11:37 PM
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Re: X1.8 Solar Flare just popped! Intensity continuing to increase from sunspot 1598
CME?
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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10/22/2012 11:42 PM
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Re: X1.8 Solar Flare just popped! Intensity continuing to increase from sunspot 1598
Sunspot 1598 just unleashed an X-Class 1.81 solar flare, that may have an affect on the earth in the next couple days. Stay tuned for more after NOAA analysis.

Sunspot 1598 has unleashed three M class flares over the last 72 hours, and will be directly facing the Earth in the next 3 days. The first on Oct 20th, at around noon PST was an M Class 9.09 size flare, but was faced nearly 90 degree's away from the earth, so the affect should be minimum.

The second flare was a smaller M-Class 1.36 flare on the 21st at around 1pm, but was still aimed 82 degrees away from earth. The third flare that happened about 12:30 PST was smaller at M Class 5.06, was facing 15 degrees closer to Earth, but should still only have minor affects on the Earth. However the sunspot has also grown in size nearly 75% since then. The NOAA has predicted a 60% chance of more M-Class flares and a 5% chance of one or more X-class flares.
Anonymous Coward
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10/22/2012 11:44 PM
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Re: X1.8 Solar Flare just popped! Intensity continuing to increase from sunspot 1598
Oktober surprise!!!
zombiesuhoh
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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10/22/2012 11:45 PM
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Re: X1.8 Solar Flare just popped! Intensity continuing to increase from sunspot 1598
With that sunspot coming into earth directing over the next 3 days, one can only wonder about what's to come. Since 1598 has started it has gradually climbed in intensity and it's still growing! The next 3 days will be very interesting and I will be watching 24/7...
Anonymous Coward
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10/22/2012 11:46 PM
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Re: X1.8 Solar Flare just popped! Intensity continuing to increase from sunspot 1598
We have an X
[link to solarimg.org]
Anonymous Coward
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10/22/2012 11:46 PM
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Re: X1.8 Solar Flare just popped! Intensity continuing to increase from sunspot 1598
damn, this could end up being intense. So was the x-flare earth directed? Is it going to hit us head on?
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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10/22/2012 11:51 PM
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Re: X1.8 Solar Flare just popped! Intensity continuing to increase from sunspot 1598
damn, this could end up being intense. So was the x-flare earth directed? Is it going to hit us head on?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2911653


It was partially earth directed but not head on, will be a glancing blow. The next 3 days are what worries me...
Preppermomma

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10/22/2012 11:52 PM
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Re: X1.8 Solar Flare just popped! Intensity continuing to increase from sunspot 1598
Dammit. Serious?
Matthew 24:44 ESV

Therefore you also must be ready, for the Son of Man is coming at an hour you do not expect
Anonymous Coward
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10/22/2012 11:52 PM
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Re: X1.8 Solar Flare just popped! Intensity continuing to increase from sunspot 1598
damn, this could end up being intense. So was the x-flare earth directed? Is it going to hit us head on?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2911653


It was partially earth directed but not head on, will be a glancing blow. The next 3 days are what worries me...
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1538104


why the next 3 days? whats worrisome if it wasnt earth directed?
Solar Guardian

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10/22/2012 11:53 PM

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Re: X1.8 Solar Flare just popped! Intensity continuing to increase from sunspot 1598
Thread: Physical Pole Shift of Earth by March 2013+Ascension completed by October 2013
Anonymous Coward
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10/22/2012 11:54 PM
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Re: X1.8 Solar Flare just popped! Intensity continuing to increase from sunspot 1598
x flare and this to
[link to www.meteorscan.com]
Solar Guardian

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10/22/2012 11:55 PM

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Re: X1.8 Solar Flare just popped! Intensity continuing to increase from sunspot 1598
x flare and this to
[link to www.meteorscan.com]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 26020233


Bigger X-flares to follow as we reach the end of the year. Thread: X-60+ class solar flare by December 20 2012
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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10/22/2012 11:56 PM
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Re: X1.8 Solar Flare just popped! Intensity continuing to increase from sunspot 1598
damn, this could end up being intense. So was the x-flare earth directed? Is it going to hit us head on?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2911653


It was partially earth directed but not head on, will be a glancing blow. The next 3 days are what worries me...
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1538104


why the next 3 days? whats worrisome if it wasnt earth directed?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2911653


Look at sunspot 1598 since it started. They flares continue to rise and the spot is growing. If it's still intensifying and growing both, with what data you can view it will continue to spit flares out.

So the next one could be much larger and the next one after that and on and on. It's will facing earth for the next 72 hours. That's not a good equation!
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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10/22/2012 11:57 PM
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Re: X1.8 Solar Flare just popped! Intensity continuing to increase from sunspot 1598
x flare and this to
[link to www.meteorscan.com]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 26020233


Bigger X-flares to follow as we reach the end of the year. Thread: X-60+ class solar flare by December 20 2012
 Quoting: Solar Guardian


Dude, Solar Guardian... Don't come in here with your thread hijacking epic fail predictions. Go post with Harold Camping...

kthx
Hugh M Eye

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10/22/2012 11:57 PM
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Re: X1.8 Solar Flare just popped! Intensity continuing to increase from sunspot 1598
Nice....here's a movie from the GONG network H-alpha scopes:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]
Anonymous Coward
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10/22/2012 11:57 PM
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Re: X1.8 Solar Flare just popped! Intensity continuing to increase from sunspot 1598
damn, this could end up being intense. So was the x-flare earth directed? Is it going to hit us head on?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2911653


It was partially earth directed but not head on, will be a glancing blow. The next 3 days are what worries me...
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1538104


why the next 3 days? whats worrisome if it wasnt earth directed?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2911653


Look at sunspot 1598 since it started. They flares continue to rise and the spot is growing. If it's still intensifying and growing both, with what data you can view it will continue to spit flares out.

So the next one could be much larger and the next one after that and on and on. It's will facing earth for the next 72 hours. That's not a good equation!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1538104



Perhaps we will get our October Surprise

drevil
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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10/22/2012 11:59 PM
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Re: X1.8 Solar Flare just popped! Intensity continuing to increase from sunspot 1598
Nice....here's a movie from the GONG network H-alpha scopes:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Nice! thank you for that...
Solar Guardian

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10/23/2012 12:05 AM

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Re: X1.8 Solar Flare just popped! Intensity continuing to increase from sunspot 1598
x flare and this to
[link to www.meteorscan.com]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 26020233


Bigger X-flares to follow as we reach the end of the year. Thread: X-60+ class solar flare by December 20 2012
 Quoting: Solar Guardian


Dude, Solar Guardian... Don't come in here with your thread hijacking epic fail predictions. Go post with Harold Camping...

kthx
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1538104


You won't be saying that when X-60 cuts off ur Internet and electricity... chucklechucklechuckleneenerneenerneener
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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10/23/2012 12:09 AM
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Re: X1.8 Solar Flare just popped! Intensity continuing to increase from sunspot 1598
x flare and this to
[link to www.meteorscan.com]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 26020233


Bigger X-flares to follow as we reach the end of the year. Thread: X-60+ class solar flare by December 20 2012
 Quoting: Solar Guardian


Dude, Solar Guardian... Don't come in here with your thread hijacking epic fail predictions. Go post with Harold Camping...

kthx
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1538104


You won't be saying that when X-60 cuts off ur Internet and electricity... chucklechucklechuckleneenerneenerneener
 Quoting: Solar Guardian


I'm ready to dance for any scenario, are you?

5adance5adance5adance5adance5adance5a
Hugh M Eye

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10/23/2012 12:21 AM
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Re: X1.8 Solar Flare just popped! Intensity continuing to increase from sunspot 1598
Here's the culprit--Active region 1598-
:AR1598:

NOAA Space Weather Alerts issued:
Space Weather Message Code: SUMX01
Serial Number: 82
Issue Time: 2012 Oct 23 0336 UTC

SUMMARY: X-ray Event exceeded X1
Begin Time: 2012 Oct 23 0313 UTC
Maximum Time: 2012 Oct 23 0317 UTC
End Time: 2012 Oct 23 0321 UTC
X-ray Class: X1.8
Location: S10E53
NOAA Scale: R3 - Strong

Potential Impacts: Area of impact consists of large portions of the sunlit side of Earth, strongest at the sub-solar point.
Radio - Wide area blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for about an hour.

Space Weather Message Code: SUM10R
Serial Number: 567
Issue Time: 2012 Oct 23 0331 UTC

SUMMARY: 10cm Radio Burst
Begin Time: 2012 Oct 23 0315 UTC
Maximum Time: 2012 Oct 23 0316 UTC
End Time: 2012 Oct 23 0318 UTC
Duration: 3 minutes

Peak Flux: 620 sfu
Latest Penticton Noon Flux: 156 sfu
Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Last Edited by Hugh M Eye on 10/23/2012 02:46 AM
Anonymous Coward
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10/23/2012 12:25 AM
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Re: X1.8 Solar Flare just popped! Intensity continuing to increase from sunspot 1598
I'm not worried about the next few days when the sun spot will be earth-facing. I have noticed that when the spots are earth-facing, the flares seem to cease. The biggest flares and most activity seem to consistently be directed away from earth. Anyone know why that is? Is something else drawing the sun's energy?
Anonymous Coward
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10/23/2012 12:26 AM
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Re: X1.8 Solar Flare just popped! Intensity continuing to increase from sunspot 1598
CME?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2911653
Rudysarsof

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10/23/2012 12:45 AM
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Re: X1.8 Solar Flare just popped! Intensity continuing to increase from sunspot 1598
Please keep us posted.
It is a lot easier to lie when you are the only one who knows the truth than it is to find the truth when all you know is lies.

Remember people the revolution starts with you.
Sorry my mistake.
Revolution starts with R.
Change begins with.....nope that begins with C
Hold on I am sure I will get this.
Progress begin....damn.

Oh I got it
Youthfulness begins with you, so do your part and be childish
And remember you can not spell awesome without ME.
emerald_glow

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10/23/2012 12:47 AM

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Re: X1.8 Solar Flare just popped! Intensity continuing to increase from sunspot 1598
I'm not worried about the next few days when the sun spot will be earth-facing. I have noticed that when the spots are earth-facing, the flares seem to cease. The biggest flares and most activity seem to consistently be directed away from earth. Anyone know why that is? Is something else drawing the sun's energy?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 25584014

...or someone is taking care of us?
Emerald_Glow
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10/23/2012 01:47 AM
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Re: X1.8 Solar Flare just popped! Intensity continuing to increase from sunspot 1598
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

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10/23/2012 02:34 AM

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Re: X1.8 Solar Flare just popped! Intensity continuing to increase from sunspot 1598
I'm not worried about the next few days when the sun spot will be earth-facing. I have noticed that when the spots are earth-facing, the flares seem to cease. The biggest flares and most activity seem to consistently be directed away from earth. Anyone know why that is? Is something else drawing the sun's energy?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 25584014


This one shows no signs of decaying while it's been on the limb so far. hiding
Hugh M Eye

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10/23/2012 02:35 AM
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Re: X1.8 Solar Flare just popped! Intensity continuing to increase from sunspot 1598
There doesn't appear to be much of a CME from this one. The SOHO and STEREO coronagraphs aren't showing much anyway....and no large proton event seen.

SDO Movie:

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]

10/23X1.8
:131angstrom:

SDO images of event:

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
Hugh M Eye

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10/23/2012 02:40 AM
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Re: X1.8 Solar Flare just popped! Intensity continuing to increase from sunspot 1598
I'm not worried about the next few days when the sun spot will be earth-facing. I have noticed that when the spots are earth-facing, the flares seem to cease. The biggest flares and most activity seem to consistently be directed away from earth. Anyone know why that is? Is something else drawing the sun's energy?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 25584014


This one shows no signs of decaying while it's been on the limb so far. hiding
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


Yeah, we've been lucky so far. Right now I'm also concerned with AR1596 which is directly Earth-facing. Both regions are near the equator so we may not dodge the bullets this time.

AR1596-
:AR1596-10/-21:
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

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10/23/2012 02:42 AM

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Re: X1.8 Solar Flare just popped! Intensity continuing to increase from sunspot 1598
I'm not worried about the next few days when the sun spot will be earth-facing. I have noticed that when the spots are earth-facing, the flares seem to cease. The biggest flares and most activity seem to consistently be directed away from earth. Anyone know why that is? Is something else drawing the sun's energy?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 25584014


This one shows no signs of decaying while it's been on the limb so far. hiding
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


Yeah, we've been lucky so far. Right now I'm also concerned with AR1596 which is directly Earth-facing. Both regions are near the equator so we may not dodge the bullets this time.

AR1596-
:AR1596-10/-21:
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Looks like it has grown a little bit.

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