Unskewed Polls Definitive Prediction: Romney 359 / Obama 179 ~Look at that red map!!

[link to unskewedpolls.com]

Released today!

The QStarNews projection of the 2012 presidential race sees Mitt Romney being elected the next president of the United States with 53.63 percent of the popular vote and 359 electoral votes to President Obama's 45.92 percent and 179 electoral votes.

There is no doubt in my mind, Mitt Romney will be our 45th President.

The riots will begin within minutes of Obama's concession.

There is no doubt in my mind, Mitt Romney will be our 45th President.

The riots will begin within minutes of Obama's concession.

unskewedpolls

Only the most respected and on target poll. Do you not follow all the polls?

unskewedpolls

Let the riots begin!

[link to www.godlikeproductions.com]

Dean Chambers employs a flawed methodology and to give his "results" any credibility is to support inanity.

Well, I hope you're wrong. And I think you might be. Look at their history with past elections.

Either way, I'll take anything even close to their prediction.

I am not mistaken as Dean Chambers, the individual who created unskewed polls, is employing both a flawed design and methodology to arrive at his "results." You need to have some knowledge of statistics to see this and most of the general populace is statistically illiterate.

As for your comment about "look[ing] at their history with past elections," a quick glance of the whois results of unskewed polls shows that the website was created on 28 August 2012. A consequence of this finding shows that the site, unskewedpolls.com, has no history. You were mistaken on that fact as well.

You can verify the whois results if you are using a mac or GNU/Linux by opening the terminal and typing "whois unskewedpolls.com"

Here are the results in the event that you are too lazy to do so:


:~ $ whois unskewedpolls.com

Whois Server Version 2.0

Domain names in the .com and .net domains can now be registered
with many different competing registrars. Go to [link to www.internic.net]
for detailed information.

Domain Name: UNSKEWEDPOLLS.COM
Registrar: GODADDY.COM, LLC
Whois Server: whois.godaddy.com
Referral URL: [link to registrar.godaddy.com]
Name Server: NS1.QSTARGROUP.COM
Name Server: NS2.QSTARGROUP.COM
Status: clientDeleteProhibited
Status: clientRenewProhibited
Status: clientTransferProhibited
Status: clientUpdateProhibited
Updated Date: 15-sep-2012
Creation Date: 28-aug-2012
Expiration Date: 28-aug-2013

>>> Last update of whois database: Thu, 25 Oct 2012 05:24:46 UTC <<<

NOTICE: The expiration date displayed in this record is the date the
registrar's sponsorship of the domain name registration in the registry is
currently set to expire. This date does not necessarily reflect the expiration
date of the domain name registrant's agreement with the sponsoring
registrar. Users may consult the sponsoring registrar's Whois database to
view the registrar's reported date of expiration for this registration.

TERMS OF USE: You are not authorized to access or query our Whois
database through the use of electronic processes that are high-volume and
automated except as reasonably necessary to register domain names or
modify existing registrations; the Data in VeriSign Global Registry
Services' ("VeriSign") Whois database is provided by VeriSign for
information purposes only, and to assist persons in obtaining information
about or related to a domain name registration record. VeriSign does not
guarantee its accuracy. By submitting a Whois query, you agree to abide
by the following terms of use: You agree that you may use this Data only
for lawful purposes and that under no circumstances will you use this Data
to: (1) allow, enable, or otherwise support the transmission of mass
unsolicited, commercial advertising or solicitations via e-mail, telephone,
or facsimile; or (2) enable high volume, automated, electronic processes
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The Registry database contains ONLY .COM, .NET, .EDU domains and
Registrars.
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Any use of this data for any other purpose is expressly forbidden without the prior written
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Please note: the registrant of the domain name is specified
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Registered through: GoDaddy.com, LLC ( [link to www.godaddy.com)]
Domain Name: UNSKEWEDPOLLS.COM
Created on: 28-Aug-12
Expires on: 28-Aug-13
Last Updated on: 15-Sep-12

Registrant:
Q Star Productions
47 Blueberry Lane
East Falmouth, Massachusetts 02536
United States

Administrative Contact:
Chambers, D. M. Ross [email protected]
Q Star Productions
47 Blueberry Lane
East Falmouth, Massachusetts 02536
United States
(508) 566-5747

Technical Contact:
Chambers, D. M. Ross [email protected]
Q Star Productions
47 Blueberry Lane
East Falmouth, Massachusetts 02536
United States
(508) 566-5747

Domain servers in listed order:
NS1.QSTARGROUP.COM
NS2.QSTARGROUP.COM

They show their history right there on the site.

I have knowledge in stats. A masters in fact. :-) No laziness here. Not trying to bait; no reason to be defensive or anything. Just saying it would be great if this map turns out to be even close. If you're an Obama supporter I understand you're responses. But again, just sharing the information I came across and hoping as a Romney supporter for anything near that! Peace. :-)

If you have a masters in stats, then you should be able to understand two of the main problems of his analysis: the treatment of the data from other sources and the blatant disregard for the assumptions made by other pollsters who conducted those polls. Chambers's methodology flies in the face of convention and throws rigor out the door for partisan gain.

The focus should not center around one's partisan bias, it should be on the integrity, rigor, and predictive power of the tests, or in this case polls.

Well, it's like you're asking him not to unskew. If he treated the data from other sources as they see it then it would be pointless to unskew it. He disregards the assumptions made by other pollsters because they base their assumptions on partisan bias. That's the whole point. But that's where we butt heads I guess.

unskewedpolls

If a random sample yields higher proportions of democrats, republicans, or independents, why should the results of the poll be changed so as not to reflect the sample that was taken, but instead reflect what he believes the samples levels should be based the results of another poll that's based on a completely different set of assumptions? The answer of course lies in the concept of randomness and why we embrace randomness as means to minimize bias. If he is going to disregard the other pollsters assumptions, then he needs to disregard the entire dataset as it was constructed from those assumptions.

If I'm not mistaken, it would be the first time that a governor ever won the presidency without carrying his state. According to the map, Romney loses MA.

Lol, yeh, or you could look at it in the light of a republican governor that miraculously won MA in the first place. And balanced their budget, with money left over. For starters.

It's a democratic state. That says nothing against Romney. What it says FOR Romney are the percentages, which are higher than usual towards republicans!