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Nate Silver's 538.com blog: Romney's momentum has stopped. Predicts Obama electoral win

 
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 26182431
Thailand
10/28/2012 09:14 PM
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Nate Silver's 538.com blog: Romney's momentum has stopped. Predicts Obama electoral win
Silver's blog today says that "Romney's momentum has stopped", and he predicts an electoral college victory for Obama with 295 votes to Romney's 242. His odds for winning are 74% Obama and 26% Romney, and that gap is widening, just like on Intrade.

[link to fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com]

By way of background, Silver started running a politics blog and successfully predicted 49 of 50 states' electoral votes the 2008 election (he missed Indiana) as well as correctly calling all 35 Senate elections.
PravdaDemocrat

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10/28/2012 09:16 PM
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Re: Nate Silver's 538.com blog: Romney's momentum has stopped. Predicts Obama electoral win
Silver's blog today says that "Romney's momentum has stopped", and he predicts an electoral college victory for Obama with 295 votes to Romney's 242. His odds for winning are 74% Obama and 26% Romney, and that gap is widening, just like on Intrade.

[link to fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com]

By way of background, Silver started running a politics blog and successfully predicted 49 of 50 states' electoral votes the 2008 election (he missed Indiana) as well as correctly calling all 35 Senate elections.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 26182431


Silver also told you that there was NO WAY Dems would lose control of Congress in 2010, and there was NO WAY Scott Walker would win the recall.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1172717
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10/28/2012 09:25 PM
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Re: Nate Silver's 538.com blog: Romney's momentum has stopped. Predicts Obama electoral win
Silver's blog today says that "Romney's momentum has stopped", and he predicts an electoral college victory for Obama with 295 votes to Romney's 242. His odds for winning are 74% Obama and 26% Romney, and that gap is widening, just like on Intrade.

[link to fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com]

By way of background, Silver started running a politics blog and successfully predicted 49 of 50 states' electoral votes the 2008 election (he missed Indiana) as well as correctly calling all 35 Senate elections.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 26182431


Silver also told you that there was NO WAY Dems would lose control of Congress in 2010, and there was NO WAY Scott Walker would win the recall.
 Quoting: PravdaDemocrat


chuckle
Anonymous Coward
10/28/2012 09:54 PM
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Re: Nate Silver's 538.com blog: Romney's momentum has stopped. Predicts Obama electoral win
Silver's blog today says that "Romney's momentum has stopped", and he predicts an electoral college victory for Obama with 295 votes to Romney's 242. His odds for winning are 74% Obama and 26% Romney, and that gap is widening, just like on Intrade.

[link to fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com]

By way of background, Silver started running a politics blog and successfully predicted 49 of 50 states' electoral votes the 2008 election (he missed Indiana) as well as correctly calling all 35 Senate elections.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 26182431


Silver also told you that there was NO WAY Dems would lose control of Congress in 2010, and there was NO WAY Scott Walker would win the recall.
 Quoting: PravdaDemocrat


cruise

Here you are spewing more unsubstantiated bullshit.

Silver stated the following on 24 May 2012:

"Gov. Scott Walker of Wisconsin, a Republican, is likely to survive a recall election on June 5, according to recent nonpartisan polls of the state.

Mr. Walker leads his Democratic opponent, Mayor Tom Barrett of Milwaukee, by an average of six percentage points in those polls and has not trailed in any poll since February."

[link to fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com]

Regarding the Democrats losing the house in 2010 (1 Nov 2010):

"While our forecast and a good deal of polling data suggest that the Republicans may win the House of Representatives on Tuesday, perhaps all is not lost for the Democrats. Here’s one possible scenario for how things might not end up as expected."
[link to fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com]
G3
G3

User ID: 497757
United States
11/01/2012 06:15 PM

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Re: Nate Silver's 538.com blog: Romney's momentum has stopped. Predicts Obama electoral win
Silver's blog today says that "Romney's momentum has stopped", and he predicts an electoral college victory for Obama with 295 votes to Romney's 242. His odds for winning are 74% Obama and 26% Romney, and that gap is widening, just like on Intrade.

[link to fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com]

By way of background, Silver started running a politics blog and successfully predicted 49 of 50 states' electoral votes the 2008 election (he missed Indiana) as well as correctly calling all 35 Senate elections.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 26182431


Silver also told you that there was NO WAY Dems would lose control of Congress in 2010, and there was NO WAY Scott Walker would win the recall.
 Quoting: PravdaDemocrat


cruise

Here you are spewing more unsubstantiated bullshit.

Silver stated the following on 24 May 2012:

"Gov. Scott Walker of Wisconsin, a Republican, is likely to survive a recall election on June 5, according to recent nonpartisan polls of the state.

Mr. Walker leads his Democratic opponent, Mayor Tom Barrett of Milwaukee, by an average of six percentage points in those polls and has not trailed in any poll since February."

[link to fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com]

Regarding the Democrats losing the house in 2010 (1 Nov 2010):

"While our forecast and a good deal of polling data suggest that the Republicans may win the House of Representatives on Tuesday, perhaps all is not lost for the Democrats. Here’s one possible scenario for how things might not end up as expected."
[link to fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com]
 Quoting: Wonkish


clappa
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 27243518
United States
11/07/2012 02:31 PM
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Re: Nate Silver's 538.com blog: Romney's momentum has stopped. Predicts Obama electoral win
Nate was right and ALL the republican gasbags were wrong?

How is that possible?

spock

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