**GALLUP SHOCK** Romney Up 52-45% Among Early Voters

i really hope romney isnt really evil, i think i want him to win but part of me doesnt trust him. hope he isnt the anti-christ.

"Nearly one-in-three Ohio voters (32%) have already cast their ballots. Obama leads 62% to 36% among these voters."

[link to www.rasmussenreports.com]

I really hope not too

Where and how in the hell can anyone have access to the results of early voting ballots?

This is either SHILL BS or someone is committing a felony.

It is just polling my friend.

Something else in this Gallup survey also helps shed some light on what we're seeing in these sometimes counter-intuitive state polls. As the headline states, Gallup is showing that only 15% of the public has already voted. Moreover, they've broken down early voting by region and show that in the Midwest only 13% of voters have already voted. And yet, many polls in places like Ohio show a much higher percentage of early voters, some as high as 30%, which you can bet skews the data. In other words, those polls can't be correct.

quote:

But here is what we do know: 220,000 fewer Democrats have voted early in Ohio compared with 2008. And 30,000 more Republicans have cast their ballots compared with four years ago. That is a 250,000-vote net increase for a state Obama won by 260,000 votes in 2008.

Your conclusion is based on faulty reasoning. If only 13% of midwest voters have cast their ballots, there exists the likelihood that some states, that are members of that set, have actually cast their early ballots at the reported rates. Which is to say that the 13% could be some measure of central tendency, arithmetic mean or median, and not necessarily a robust statistic. So Gallup's 13% is not a robust measure as other members in that set have lower early voting statistics that are causing the positive skew.

Exacty why Barry will further shred the Constitution which specifies that "on the first Tuesday after the first Monday in November every second year" national elections are to be held--and neither the Civil War, WW1 or WW2 or plenty of other big storms over the last 230 years have stopped elections from proceeding for all who were able to get to the polling places.
Emperor Barry will decree otherwise, in hopes that the Billions of borrowed $ he gives to people too lame to buy insrance to protect their property against losses will buy him some more freeshitarmy votes, like doubling the number of foodstamp mooches driving new cars and investing in colorful tattoos instead of feeding themselves, and careless breeders pooping out mutts on Medicaid, or "so I can call my grandchildren" "obamaphone " leeches.

You may be right but I believe it will backfire. Fence sitters (and a lot of others) would be scared shitless!

Dems are in panic mode, they know it is over.

I sure hope you are right...

Well that's clear as mud.

It is clear, intuitive, and rational. I am sorry that you seem to be having a difficult time understanding such material.

Oh, sorry... I totally missed the "Gallup" part.

Gallup polls are completely accurate.

They didn't ask me, BTW.

You will have to take that up with the author of the article... as I stated I was just quoting Gallup.

Do you believe their will be widespread disorder if that happens??

I pointed out the flaws in the reasoning and your response is "take that up with the author of the article" without any attempt to negate what was stated. Why not attempt to show the falsity of my statements instead of mindlessly believing a false statement?

It should also be noted that you were not quoting Gallup in that particular post. You copied/pasted a snippet from Breitbart.

Breitbart != Gallup

I think you like to see/hear yourelf speak. I suspect that you are/were a teacher. I don't have anything to prove to you and I don't wish to play your game.

what bit is shocking?

I'm surprised, and a bit taken aback, that a MOD would call a paying member mindless.

The polls so far have supposedly had Obama holding a commanding lead amongst early voters.

Yes.

I am afraid you are right...I am not convinced that Romney will win however.

I need a conclusion that I can either agree or disagree with. It's 5 AM over here, I've just woke up and I ain't had no koffee.

: )

Last Edited by Fire Watch on 10/30/2012 01:48 AM

I never 'called' you mindless. If I was to have called you mindless, it would have meant that the set of all your actions could be classified as mindless---every element in such a set would would be 'mindless.' Such a statement would not be true and could easily be negated by existential quantification. Also, proving such a statement would have required me to overcome a level a burden that could not be done in a rigorous manner due to the irrationality of man. Perhaps you should try to not reason in an emotional manner and you will not arrive at fallacious conclusions.

You said I was mindlessly believing a misstatement. So temporary mindlessness?

Last Edited by Fire Watch on 10/30/2012 01:52 AM

Nor am I, but highly hopeful, as it is looking more likely every day.

I take it Logic is not a subject that you are familiar with...