Hybrid Storm like Sandy Can Hit The East Coast By Wednesday!!!

It is. I am so hoping more is done before this second storm hits.

I wonder how many are still without power and how many have been totally displaced. Anyone know?

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
648 AM EST MON NOV 5 2012

SIGNIFICANT COASTAL STORM WILL LIKELY IMPACT THE AREA WEDNESDAY
INTO THURSDAY...

MODELS ARE IN BETTER AGREEMENT ON UPPER LEVEL FEATURES...AND NOW SFC
LOW TRACK...WITH NOTICEABLE CLUSTERING OCCURRING WITH LOW TRACK AS
COMPARED TO PREVIOUS RUNS.

NAM/UKMET AND SREF FURTHER EAST...WITH GFS/ECMWF/GGEM TO THE WEST.
THERE ARE STILL SOME DIFFERENCES WITH TIMING...STRENGTH AND EXACT
TRACK BEYOND THIS TIME WHICH OBVIOUSLY WILL BE CRITICAL TO THE
SEVERITY OF CERTAIN IMPACTS FROM THE STORM...COASTAL FLOODING AND
BEACH EROSION FOR EXAMPLE. SEE TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING SECTION FOR
MORE INFORMATION.

UPPER TROUGH DIGS WELL TO THE SOUTH. CYCLOGENESIS WILL OCCUR IN THE
GULF OF MEXICO AS A RESULT AND TRACK ACROSS FLORIDA. MEANWHILE
ANOTHER SHORTWAVE OVER BRITISH COLUMBIA WILL QUICKLY TRAVERSE
THROUGH THE FAST NW STEERING FLOW MON NIGHT AND TUE WITH THE LEFT
EXIT REGION OF ITS 110+ KT H25 UPPER JET BEING INJECTED INTO THE LOW
OFF THE SE COAST. THIS WILL AID IN RAPID INTENSIFICATION AS IT MOVES
PARALLEL TO THE EAST COAST THROUGH WED AND EVENTUALLY TURNING NE-E
AND OUT TO SEA THU/FRI. THE BLOCKING DOWNSTREAM WOULD LEAD TO A
SLOWER SOLUTION...THUS DISCOUNTING NAM. GFS TRENDED TOWARD
PREVIOUSLY SLOWER ECMWF.

A COLD AIRMASS WILL BE IN PLACE TO START WITH HIGH PRES RETREATING
TO THE NORTH. HOWEVER...MODELS CONTINUE TO TREND SLOWER WITH THE
ONSET OF PRECIP. THEREFORE...DO NOT FORESEE MUCH IN THE WAY OF
WINTRY PRECIPITATION AT THE START DUE TO THE LATER ONSET.

BOTTOM LINE...HIGH CONFIDENCE IN DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE OCCURRING
SOMEWHERE OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC. HOWEVER...IT IS STILL HARD
TO PINPOINT EXACT FORECAST DETAILS AT THIS TIME DUE TO
TIMING/POSITIONAL DIFFERENCES...BUT CONFIDENCE IS GROWING FOR A
POTENTIAL HEAVY RAIN AND HIGH/STRONG WIND EVENT.

STRONG...GUSTY WINDS ARE BECOMING MORE LIKELY. SUSTAINED SPEEDS
RANGING BETWEEN 20-35 MPH WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 45 TO 60 MPH IS A
DEFINITE POSSIBILITY. HIGHEST WINDS WILL BE AT THE COAST AND IN
HIGHER TERRAIN.

[link to forecast.weather.gov]

I keep telling you that this is not a coincidence this is happening and that it was planned this way. The Financial Capital of the World is about to be struck hard and you just watch the fall out in Europe etc.

Capital Weather Gang‏@capitalweather

Lows this AM: Reagan Natl 41, Dulles 38, BWI 36. Still only low 40s at 9 am thanks to clouds, which should fade, w/ highs 46-51.

5 minAccuWeather.com‏@breakingweather

RT @thematthewkeys: Crowds of people wait for NJTransit in Secaucus. Line stretches the whole platform. #Sandy [link to twitter.com]

5 minAccuWeather.com‏@breakingweather

We are currently working on a snow map for the interior Northeast with the powerful midweek nor'easter.

I'm watching your thread closely. Thanks!

AccuWeather.com‏@breakingweather

Latest info on the nor'easter bringing another round of coastal flooding to the mid-Atlantic Wed-Thurs: [link to www.accuweather.com]

Ryan Maue‏@RyanMaue

Wed evening, Nor'easter off coast equivalent to tropical storm conditions near coast. Heavy rain & wind + minor surge [link to twitter.com]

104. Pcroton 05:05 PM GMT em 05 de Novembro de 2012
Local forecasters starting to put their opinions in play. News12NJ says 50mph+, 2-4 inches rain, 5 foot surge. All in all regardless of opinions of weaker or stronger it's going to be a bad storm in it's own right affecting a decimated region.

AccuWeather.com‏@breakingweather

Snow map for Wed/Thurs storm [link to www.accuweather.com]

35 minRyan Maue‏@RyanMaue

@MikeMasco @JacquiJeras lowest GFS surface pressure from full-resolution files is about 978 mb at 00Z on Thursday. [link to twitter.com]

Powerful Nor'easter to Unleash Snow From Virginia to Maine

[link to www.accuweather.com]

8 minJoe Bastardi‏@BigJoeBastardi

gfs snow centered over Delmarva reaches a foot. ECMWF has 8 inches DC to PHL.. southeast of me now. [link to twitter.com]

10 minJoe Bastardi‏@BigJoeBastardi

Its a pick your poison scenario, Now even to the coast, snow could come into the storm after the high winds and heavy rains

10 minJoe Bastardi‏@BigJoeBastardi

ECMWF shifts heaviest snow to I-95 corridor like GFS where trees still have leaves. Coast still raked. Bad situation, for some dire if right

SREF is really cranking this puppy now.

[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]

Capital Weather Gang‏@capitalweather

European model backs off Nor’easter snow potential for DC: [link to www.washingtonpost.com]

Summary


NOAA indicates a 10-39 percent chance of 4 inches of snow well west and northwest of Washington, D.C. (NOAA) In summary, there are still four possible scenarios:

1) a heavy precipitation event that may have snow falling at times and possibly accumulating. The best chance of snow in this scenario would be in the colder suburbs to the northwest and west (with more elevation); that is, if the precipitation extends that far inland. [unlikely]

2) a light-moderate rainfall event with perhaps some snow mixing in but no accumulation [most likely]

3) a light rainfall event across the eastern suburbs [somewhat likely]

4) a complete miss [least likely]

My gut feeling is that a complete miss is the least likely of the bunch. I noted Sunday that we were probably 24 to 48 hours from having the models reach a consensus allowing us to make a definitive call about whether snow would fall in the D.C. area. A day later and we still may be 24 hours away from an answer.
[link to www.washingtonpost.com]

What do you mean?

Models are really coming to together on this and all agreeing its going to be a beast.

Very tight pressure gradient right over Jersey on latest NAM.

I wouldn't be surprised if we see hurricane force winds.

[link to www.twisterdata.com]

but they are saying it will not be a big storm... Capital Weather Gang‏@capitalweather

we don't rule some wet flakes out Wed night, but big storm less likely RT @lalaloveliz: so, I'm NOT going to need snow gear this week? #Phew

this thread continues here: Thread: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN HIT EAST COAST TODAY AND TOMORROW!!!

Blue Skies, I love your avatar, where'd you find it, whats its story?

Thank you Luis, I'm in the 3-5" range and absolutely nothing on the local weather. I bought a kerosene heater today.

Excellent simulator DoorBert, thanks

I googled abstract art, googled some more found this pic with a bunch of others. I think I added the word digital in their.......I dunno cause I can't find the exact page now. lol :(
Their was some really good pieces. Damn. I'll find it eventually.

That's exactly what popped into my head immediately!

Thanks, I will check google out myself.

Several hours ago on TWC they said gusts to 100 mph...hope that is not true...