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Democrat Cook Political Report - It's OVER For Obama In Virginia

 
PravdaDemocrat
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11/01/2012 10:19 AM
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Democrat Cook Political Report - It's OVER For Obama In Virginia
Tweets from Dave Wasserman of Cook Political Report on Twitter. He has been updating the tallies of the early vote in Virginia, and what he is finding is more and more bad news for Obama:

VIRGINIA EARLY VOTE: Today's new 10/31 numbers even more troubling for Obama. His best counties way off '08 pace

VIRGINIA EARLY VOTE: Turnout down 13.6% in Obama '08 localities, vs. just 1.1% in McCain '08 (statewide down 9.2%)

VIRGINIA EARLY VOTE 10/31: 185,489 ballots cast in Obama localities (214,783 by this pt. in '08), 115,908 in McCain (117,224 in '08)

VIRGINIA EARLY VOTE: Even more worrisome for O...in Kerry '04 localities (hardcore D places), turnout -18.1% vs. '08 (only -1.7% in Bush)

VIRGINIA EARLY VOTE: Obama strongholds Arlington -20.0%, Fairfax - 20.9%, Richmond -13.7% (vs. just -9.2% statewide).

VIRGINIA EARLY VOTE: In Romney strongholds, enthusiasm up. Hanover (33.1% Obama) turnout up 6.2%, Buchanan (coal country) up 14.5% vs. '08

VIRGINIA EARLY VOTE: State Board of Elections has revised its data, appears to show absentees cast down 29.8% vs. this pt. in '08 statewide

The trends are becoming VERY CLEAR, and they don't jive with Pollsters like NBC that are basing numbers on Dem turnouts even BIGGER than what Obama got in 2008!!!
PravdaDemocrat (OP)

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11/01/2012 10:21 AM
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Re: Democrat Cook Political Report - It's OVER For Obama In Virginia
According to his numbers, there have been 186,000 fewer Dem voters then at this time in 2008. While there have been 75,000 MORE GOP voters.....

Last Edited by PravdaDemocrat on 11/01/2012 10:28 AM
Anonymous Coward
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11/01/2012 10:28 AM
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Re: Democrat Cook Political Report - It's OVER For Obama In Virginia
it didnt matter if Obama won Virginia or not, He still is well on pace to win the electoral vote.
PravdaDemocrat (OP)

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11/01/2012 11:14 AM
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Re: Democrat Cook Political Report - It's OVER For Obama In Virginia
bump
Anonymous Coward
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11/01/2012 11:16 AM
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Re: Democrat Cook Political Report - It's OVER For Obama In Virginia
it didnt matter if Obama won Virginia or not, He still is well on pace to win the electoral vote.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 20676524


not without ohio
Bluebird

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11/01/2012 11:23 AM

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Re: Democrat Cook Political Report - It's OVER For Obama In Virginia
it didnt matter if Obama won Virginia or not, He still is well on pace to win the electoral vote.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 20676524


not without ohio
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1379065


And not with it if Romney wins FL and VA. Which he will.
One of the most important aspects of conspiracy theories is being able to discern when there isn't one.

Oh yeah, like you'd understand anyway.

Where are we going and why am I in this handbasket?. . .J. Handy
ToSeek

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11/01/2012 11:34 AM

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Re: Democrat Cook Political Report - It's OVER For Obama In Virginia
it didnt matter if Obama won Virginia or not, He still is well on pace to win the electoral vote.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 20676524


not without ohio
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1379065


And not with it if Romney wins FL and VA. Which he will.
 Quoting: Bluebird


Romney solid states plus NC, FL, and VA is still only 248. Obama can get to 271 with his solid states plus PA, OH, WI, and NV. And that's with giving CO, IA, and NH to Romney.
PravdaDemocrat (OP)

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11/01/2012 11:39 AM
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Re: Democrat Cook Political Report - It's OVER For Obama In Virginia
it didnt matter if Obama won Virginia or not, He still is well on pace to win the electoral vote.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 20676524


not without ohio
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1379065


And not with it if Romney wins FL and VA. Which he will.
 Quoting: Bluebird


Romney solid states plus NC, FL, and VA is still only 248. Obama can get to 271 with his solid states plus PA, OH, WI, and NV. And that's with giving CO, IA, and NH to Romney.
 Quoting: ToSeek


Obama isn't going to win in Wisconsin...
Anonymous Coward
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11/01/2012 11:40 AM
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Re: Democrat Cook Political Report - It's OVER For Obama In Virginia
it didnt matter if Obama won Virginia or not, He still is well on pace to win the electoral vote.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 20676524


not without ohio
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1379065


And not with it if Romney wins FL and VA. Which he will.
 Quoting: Bluebird


Romney will win both Fla and Va
Anonymous Coward
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11/01/2012 11:40 AM
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Re: Democrat Cook Political Report - It's OVER For Obama In Virginia
it didnt matter if Obama won Virginia or not, He still is well on pace to win the electoral vote.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 20676524


not without ohio
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1379065


And not with it if Romney wins FL and VA. Which he will.
 Quoting: Bluebird


Romney solid states plus NC, FL, and VA is still only 248. Obama can get to 271 with his solid states plus PA, OH, WI, and NV. And that's with giving CO, IA, and NH to Romney.
 Quoting: ToSeek


which is why I said not without Ohio.
PravdaDemocrat (OP)

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11/01/2012 01:08 PM
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Re: Democrat Cook Political Report - It's OVER For Obama In Virginia
...


And not with it if Romney wins FL and VA. Which he will.
 Quoting: Bluebird


Romney solid states plus NC, FL, and VA is still only 248. Obama can get to 271 with his solid states plus PA, OH, WI, and NV. And that's with giving CO, IA, and NH to Romney.
 Quoting: ToSeek


which is why I said not without Ohio.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1379065


Romney must win NV, CO, IA for a 269-269 tie. In this scenario, he loses OH, WI, NH.

Least likely is NV, but it's possible. If NV were stronger, Romney has a clear path to victory with NV, IA, NH, CO.

Again, WITHOUT OH.
 Quoting: Super Bowl Dave


I don't think it's going to be that close, but wouldn't it be SWEET if Maine's Democrat-Demanded split electoral vote gave Romney the ONE electoral Vote needed to put him over the top?

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