CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED

Yup.

I respect Nate as a statistician and believe his numbers are probably somewhat accurate, but he is a known Obama supporter so I can't trust in him 100%

[link to sportsgambling.about.com]

The lone wager is now:
Who will be the next President?
Barack Obama -227
Mitt Romney +160


For those unfamiliar with the money line and didn't want to read the longer article, the -250 after the Democrats means that you have to wager $250 to win $100 if you wager on the Democrats to capture the White House. You do not have to wager that much money, however, as you can wager $37.50 to win $15 or $50 to win $20. You are risking twice as much as you will win, which is often the case when betting on a solid favorite.


The +210 after the Republicans means that you will win $210 if you risk $100 and again, you aren't requited to wager that much. You can wager $10 to win $21 or risk $20 to win $42. You are essentially risking $10 for every $17 you hope to win.

Most Hispanics and north Africans are considered Caucasian, soooooooolll you think they're gonna vote for Romney (yes one group is more applicable to the situation, but still)?????

And haven't you guys realized yet it's your fucking socio-economic status which is the basis for most decisions on how to vote anyways. Hence, poor folks vote for the poor mans president (there's a lot more poor folks than rich), and the rich vote for the CEO (a lot less rich people). Using those demographics, it will be easy to see who wins

NYT calculated that if all registered voters actually voted, Obama would have a 91% chance.

Yep, it's over, Dick Morris is calling it for Romney, everyone go home, Romney is president.

Obama will win and Rupert Murdock's head will explode and the dark veil known as Faux News will disappear....(Of course, all the sheep that follow Faux every day will then turn into Zombies so we WILL have that issue to deal with before the inauguration.) Lol

Boehner on Sunday said he was "very confident" that Mitt Romney will win his home state

Krauthammer Predicts: Romney Will Win, But It’s Going to Be ‘Very Close’

Former Pa. Governor Tom Ridge predicts that Mitt Romney will win Pennsylvania on election day.

50% of Nevada's voters have already voted and Democrats hold a 50,000 vote advantage. Way down from 2008.

Expect a Republican tsunami on election day in Nevada, as it goes for Romney.

Barone: Romney Will Win Both Ohio and Wisconsin

Former Republican presidential candidate Newt Gingrich predicts that GOP hopeful Mitt Romney will receive “more than 300 electoral votes”

If Obama recovers from a deadly head wound you will know who he is.

Kasich: Romney will win Ohio – CNN Political Ticker

Romney Will Win By a 4-8 Point Margin and over 300 Electoral Votes

who tha fook is nate ?

Think about it: Why would Nate Silver put up BS numbers? The only reason anyone even knows about him is because his numbers in the past have been deadly accurate. Only a complete idiot would provide juiced numbers and destroy his reputation. Say what you will about Nate Silver, but he's obviously not an idiot.

Oh, I'm one of those people who do not know what the f 14.2% means, good bad?

Romney never had a chance. Let's be honest.

Thread: France 1968: a Catholic priest attempted to take out Mitt Romney, who miraculously arose from the dead

Thank You, I googled it.

If this election could somehow be run 100 times Romney would win 14 times. Obama would win 86 times according to Nate's calculations.

I decided Romney will win, I just now came to the conclusion, I did the math, looked at the poles ran the numbers, and had visions while meditating.

Yep, it's final, ROmney will win, and cannot be changed.

It's hopeless, go home, it is over.

Romney winner, Obama the loser.

Obama is a loser, because he has already lost, he is no longer president, in fact never was, he is a joke, pathetic, he cannot win, you will believe he cannot win, even if you win you will play it over again and again in your mind that he cannot win, until this becomes your reality, and you will see him lose.

Obama loser, obama loser, bammy loser, loser barack, loser obama, non president, you will believe, you will accept, and you will repeat it over and over again in your mind. It will become your thoughts and your thoughts will be fullfilled.

c'mon WTF.. $100 gets you $210!!! belly up!!!

[link to fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com]

wow, thanks
so bonga's got this one in the bag?

Don't get my hopes up!

He is an idiot and he hasn't been a pollster (or poll predictor) for very long. His personal libtard bias clouds his judgment.