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CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED

 
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 08:03 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
[link to sportsgambling.about.com]

The lone wager is now:
Who will be the next President?
Barack Obama -227
Mitt Romney +160


For those unfamiliar with the money line and didn't want to read the longer article, the -250 after the Democrats means that you have to wager $250 to win $100 if you wager on the Democrats to capture the White House. You do not have to wager that much money, however, as you can wager $37.50 to win $15 or $50 to win $20. You are risking twice as much as you will win, which is often the case when betting on a solid favorite.


The +210 after the Republicans means that you will win $210 if you risk $100 and again, you aren't requited to wager that much. You can wager $10 to win $21 or risk $20 to win $42. You are essentially risking $10 for every $17 you hope to win.
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 08:03 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
Most Hispanics and north Africans are considered Caucasian, soooooooolll you think they're gonna vote for Romney (yes one group is more applicable to the situation, but still)?????

And haven't you guys realized yet it's your fucking socio-economic status which is the basis for most decisions on how to vote anyways. Hence, poor folks vote for the poor mans president (there's a lot more poor folks than rich), and the rich vote for the CEO (a lot less rich people). Using those demographics, it will be easy to see who wins
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 08:07 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
NYT calculated that if all registered voters actually voted, Obama would have a 91% chance.
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 08:07 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
Yep, it's over, Dick Morris is calling it for Romney, everyone go home, Romney is president.
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 08:07 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
Obama will win and Rupert Murdock's head will explode and the dark veil known as Faux News will disappear....(Of course, all the sheep that follow Faux every day will then turn into Zombies so we WILL have that issue to deal with before the inauguration.) Lol
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 08:08 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
Boehner on Sunday said he was "very confident" that Mitt Romney will win his home state
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 08:09 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
Krauthammer Predicts: Romney Will Win, But It’s Going to Be ‘Very Close’
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 08:10 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
Former Pa. Governor Tom Ridge predicts that Mitt Romney will win Pennsylvania on election day.
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 08:10 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
Barone: Romney Will Win Both Ohio and Wisconsin
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 08:11 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
Former Republican presidential candidate Newt Gingrich predicts that GOP hopeful Mitt Romney will receive “more than 300 electoral votes”
Kirk

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11/04/2012 08:11 PM

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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
If Obama recovers from a deadly head wound you will know who he is.
Worry is a misuse of the imagination.
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 08:12 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
Kasich: Romney will win Ohio – CNN Political Ticker
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 08:12 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
Romney Will Win By a 4-8 Point Margin and over 300 Electoral Votes
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 08:13 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
who tha fook is nate ?
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 08:13 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
Think about it: Why would Nate Silver put up BS numbers? The only reason anyone even knows about him is because his numbers in the past have been deadly accurate. Only a complete idiot would provide juiced numbers and destroy his reputation. Say what you will about Nate Silver, but he's obviously not an idiot.
Richard1

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11/04/2012 08:13 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
Oh, I'm one of those people who do not know what the f 14.2% means, good bad?
Richard
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 08:14 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
Romney never had a chance. Let's be honest.
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 08:14 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
If Obama recovers from a deadly head wound you will know who he is.
 Quoting: Kirk


Thread: France 1968: a Catholic priest attempted to take out Mitt Romney, who miraculously arose from the dead
Richard1

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11/04/2012 08:14 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
Thank You, I googled it.
Richard
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 08:16 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
Oh, I'm one of those people who do not know what the f 14.2% means, good bad?
 Quoting: Richard1


If this election could somehow be run 100 times Romney would win 14 times. Obama would win 86 times according to Nate's calculations.
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 08:16 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
I decided Romney will win, I just now came to the conclusion, I did the math, looked at the poles ran the numbers, and had visions while meditating.

Yep, it's final, ROmney will win, and cannot be changed.

It's hopeless, go home, it is over.

Romney winner, Obama the loser.

Obama is a loser, because he has already lost, he is no longer president, in fact never was, he is a joke, pathetic, he cannot win, you will believe he cannot win, even if you win you will play it over again and again in your mind that he cannot win, until this becomes your reality, and you will see him lose.

Obama loser, obama loser, bammy loser, loser barack, loser obama, non president, you will believe, you will accept, and you will repeat it over and over again in your mind. It will become your thoughts and your thoughts will be fullfilled.
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 08:18 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
[link to sportsgambling.about.com]

The lone wager is now:
Who will be the next President?
Barack Obama -227
Mitt Romney +160


For those unfamiliar with the money line and didn't want to read the longer article, the -250 after the Democrats means that you have to wager $250 to win $100 if you wager on the Democrats to capture the White House. You do not have to wager that much money, however, as you can wager $37.50 to win $15 or $50 to win $20. You are risking twice as much as you will win, which is often the case when betting on a solid favorite.


The +210 after the Republicans means that you will win $210 if you risk $100 and again, you aren't requited to wager that much. You can wager $10 to win $21 or risk $20 to win $42. You are essentially risking $10 for every $17 you hope to win.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 26579062


c'mon WTF.. $100 gets you $210!!! belly up!!!
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 08:22 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
who tha fook is nate ?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 18987435


[link to fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com]
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 08:26 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
who tha fook is nate ?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 18987435


[link to fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 27017969


wow, thanks
so bonga's got this one in the bag?
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 08:32 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
Jericho9

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11/04/2012 08:39 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
Romney is going to be declared winner
by the left-wing commie rat media
before you go to sleep Tuesday night,

and Chrissy Mattews is going to commit
suicide.

You can bet your life on it.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 27016282


Don't get my hopes up!
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 08:48 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
who tha fook is nate ?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 18987435


[link to fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 27017969


wow, thanks
so bonga's got this one in the bag?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 18987435


If you don't read the mindless bullshit posted all over this site and start looking at some numbers it seems that way.

Obama can lose several swing states and still handily win, Romney needs to pull of a miracle chain of wins that the polls are not reflecting.

No matter how much the ignorant posters here get pissed off and gnash their teeth, there are polls and nate is telling you exactly what they are showing. Nothings guaranteed but right now the whole 85% chance is looking likely.
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 08:51 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
Well, Romney's trying as hard as he can NOT to. Even with Obama being a complete f'ing disaster, he will win. But not because Harrison Bounel actually won. It's because the luciferians will slide him back into office. They need him in there - he's willing to do their dirty work.
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 08:53 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
A couple of bonus items for Democrats via Nate:
The Democrats hold the Senate, Romney loses his homestates Michigan and Massachusetts, and Ryan loses his homestate of Wisconsin.
Obama of course wins his homestate of Hawaii.


rockon
Jefiner

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11/04/2012 08:53 PM

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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
I'm not into name calling. Silver is a smart guy, and his numbers game looks statistically sound. But GIGO (garbage in, garbage out) applies here.

I expect that Obama will rig a reelection. The numbers are just too close.

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