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CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED

 
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 08:57 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
[link to sportsgambling.about.com]

The lone wager is now:
Who will be the next President?
Barack Obama -227
Mitt Romney +160


For those unfamiliar with the money line and didn't want to read the longer article, the -250 after the Democrats means that you have to wager $250 to win $100 if you wager on the Democrats to capture the White House. You do not have to wager that much money, however, as you can wager $37.50 to win $15 or $50 to win $20. You are risking twice as much as you will win, which is often the case when betting on a solid favorite.


The +210 after the Republicans means that you will win $210 if you risk $100 and again, you aren't requited to wager that much. You can wager $10 to win $21 or risk $20 to win $42. You are essentially risking $10 for every $17 you hope to win.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 26579062


c'mon WTF.. $100 gets you $210!!! belly up!!!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 26579062


so all the chickenass chickenshit chickenhawk rombot assholes just bow out after all the big talk huh??? lmao
BossBattles

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11/04/2012 08:58 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
The whole game is rigged to a level beyond what we talk about. If you knew the real status of the power structure, you wouldn't think of the election for even a second.
I can say what I want to,
even if I'm not serious.
CrazyEyesThreadKilla

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11/04/2012 09:15 PM

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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
Done deal. Whites now in the minority in US. Obama has all the races voting for him. He will win quite easily.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 27016505


The single most annoying thing about GLP over the last several weeks has been listening to Europeans chime in on the U.S. election as if they know jackfuck about what is going on.

I would suggest to all Europeans that rather than adding your useless two cents to our upcoming clusterfuck, you concentrate on relaxing and fully enjoying the wholesale theft currently being orchestrated by global banks on your various national Treasuries. It would be a pity to allow our meager election to distract you from the experience of a historic ass-raping.
shadasonic

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11/04/2012 09:19 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
Lot of sore losers here.. just sayin...
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 26966219


You bet sore losers when we're talking about our families livelihood and continued happiness. Obama is an evil socialist, whose entire purpose is to incite anger and fear. He is meant to destroy America.
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
NightWisp

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11/04/2012 09:20 PM

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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
Romney will win...
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 09:21 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
Go fuck yourself.
Anonymous Coward
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Australia
11/04/2012 09:26 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
Even if Nate were off by 30%! It's over, seriously over.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 26966219


even if you where off by 100%
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 09:27 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
Go fuck yourself.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 18225135


great post :)
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 09:34 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
Romney will win handily.

Here's why:

Conservatives NEVER answer pollsters. They know all the polls are skewed towards the Democrats, so they refuse to play the game. But on election day, they will fuckin crawl over broken glass to vote the Kenyan OUT.

THe liberal press will in mass commit suicide by hyperventilation.

It will be a joy to behold.5a
shadasonic

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11/04/2012 09:35 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
If there is anything good about Obama winning is he will have to sit back and watch as his presidency becomes a complete joke, he is demolished by his cowardice,and his regime falls into total and utter chaos. Thats just in the next six months. The military is going to dessert him,and his cabinet will drop like flies,hillary is already gone in january
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 09:36 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
Yep, it's over, Dick Morris is calling it for Romney, everyone go home, Romney is president.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 26642390


Same guy who swore McCain would will against Obama, and we know how that turned out. He just has a bone to pick with the Dems.

That being said... I sure hope he is right!
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 09:42 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
It's going to be sweet watching all the libtards squirm when Obama loses, 4 years of bliss watching them cry foul because they believed their own lies...lul
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 09:44 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
I sm 100% Obama will lose

he has mucked it up so bad for everyone

TPTB didnt create this world to have it burned down over

1 Ugly Black President

But sure go ahead TPTB announce him pres XD
Morpheus

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11/04/2012 09:50 PM

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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
Even if Nate were off by 30%! It's over, seriously over.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 26966219



UNPIN Suggested
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 10:04 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
bump
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 10:36 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
This election is unprecedented.

Obama is the first black President.

He along with the Democrats have played the race card over and over.

It has become racist to say you are voting for the white guy whatever your reasons.

Therefore .. his method is fucked.
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 10:37 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
The guy predicted 49 out of 50 states correctly in 2008, as well as 35 out of 35 US Senate races.
dance
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 10:47 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
So basically this means you have a better chance of flipping a coin 10 times and it randomly coming up tails just 2 out of those 10 times... than for Romney to win Tuesday.
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 10:48 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
Romney is going to win in a landslide. The media have you BOmesmerized by something called "propaganda". Maybe you have heard it and how it was used on our naive grandparents. The only thing dems are going to win is a foot up their collective asses, pun intended.
Zadye

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11/04/2012 10:51 PM

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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
Well, Dick Morris just said tonight that Romney
will win in a landslide. I think he is a smart guy
and I am trusting what he says.
So there!
CrazyEyesThreadKilla

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11/04/2012 10:51 PM

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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
This election is unprecedented.

Obama is the first black President.

He along with the Democrats have played the race card over and over.

It has become racist to say you are voting for the white guy whatever your reasons.

Therefore .. his method is fucked.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1207399


This.

If the caller is black, which is often discernible by voice or diction, some respondents will hesitate to declare their dislike for Obama for fear of being perceived as racist. This could also be true if the caller is white, but the pattern will be most significant with a black caller.

Pundits like Silver fail to understand the extent to which conservatives are consistently made to feel like they are mean/bad/evil by the media, and as a result, even when they are confident in the goodness/justice/truth of their views, they are hesitant to articulate them to strangers.
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 10:52 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
Romney is going to win in a landslide. The media have you BOmesmerized by something called "propaganda". Maybe you have heard it and how it was used on our naive grandparents. The only thing dems are going to win is a foot up their collective asses, pun intended.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 27019451


Romney would just resume where Bush II left off. Economic policies and imbalances that result in financial collapses, not to mention the wars with no exit strategies.
Doc Savage

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11/04/2012 11:02 PM

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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
Hey, OP --

Read. Learn. And don't be so gullible.


"Romney Landslide: Here Are the Biggest Names Predicting It & How It Will Happen":


[link to www.theblaze.com]
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 11:04 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
This election is unprecedented.

Obama is the first black President.

He along with the Democrats have played the race card over and over.

It has become racist to say you are voting for the white guy whatever your reasons.

Therefore .. his method is fucked.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1207399


This.

If the caller is black, which is often discernible by voice or diction, some respondents will hesitate to declare their dislike for Obama for fear of being perceived as racist. This could also be true if the caller is white, but the pattern will be most significant with a black caller.

Pundits like Silver fail to understand the extent to which conservatives are consistently made to feel like they are mean/bad/evil by the media, and as a result, even when they are confident in the goodness/justice/truth of their views, they are hesitant to articulate them to strangers.
 Quoting: CrazyEyesThreadKilla


Obama was the candidate in 2008 and this rule you propose didn't seem to apply when this dude predicted correctly 49 out of 50 state electoral results (he missed Indiana which actually went to Obama by less than 1%).
shadasonic

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11/04/2012 11:10 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
It doesn't really matter as our world will fall apart physically within the next 5 to 10 years if not very soon! Methane is going to kill much!

Last Edited by shadahoochie on 11/04/2012 11:11 PM
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
CrazyEyesThreadKilla

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11/04/2012 11:15 PM

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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
This election is unprecedented.

Obama is the first black President.

He along with the Democrats have played the race card over and over.

It has become racist to say you are voting for the white guy whatever your reasons.

Therefore .. his method is fucked.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1207399


This.

If the caller is black, which is often discernible by voice or diction, some respondents will hesitate to declare their dislike for Obama for fear of being perceived as racist. This could also be true if the caller is white, but the pattern will be most significant with a black caller.

Pundits like Silver fail to understand the extent to which conservatives are consistently made to feel like they are mean/bad/evil by the media, and as a result, even when they are confident in the goodness/justice/truth of their views, they are hesitant to articulate them to strangers.
 Quoting: CrazyEyesThreadKilla


Obama was the candidate in 2008 and this rule you propose didn't seem to apply when this dude predicted correctly 49 out of 50 state electoral results (he missed Indiana which actually went to Obama by less than 1%).
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 26862796


2008 was a special election in that it was the first black president. Many white who voted for Obama in 2008 and will not vote for him in 2012 will be sensitive to accusations of racism, particularly since many of those same white voters took pride in their support of a the first black president in 2008.

I'm not saying Silver will be wrong. My point is that the polling results of a white v. white election will always behave differently than a white v. black election and the effect will be more pronounced this time due to the historic nature of Obama's election.

Last Edited by Mugatu on 11/04/2012 11:32 PM
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 11:24 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
Obama is going to win, and I believe most people here on GLP realize this. We just like discussing the possibility that he wont.

But seriously, you aren't telling us something we don't already know.
 Quoting: a helpless lamb


While I have no idea if I represent "most people here on GLP".....

I believe Romney is going to win....but we shall see. Hopefully if Obama wins, white people will not riot. :)
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 11:33 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
The guy predicted 49 out of 50 states correctly in 2008, as well as 35 out of 35 US Senate races.
dance
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 26862796


Damn straight, and I hope this remains pinned until Obama is re-elected in the landslide victory. Then let it be a lesson to all those who got duped by their own media outlets claiming Romney was ahead. All these claims of "garbage in garbage out" and "Nate don't know shit", keep on talking. Nate knows "garbage", he's the best in the biz, he is not partisan, he calls it like it is nearly 100% of the time. It's over, move on.
Morpheus

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11/04/2012 11:34 PM

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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
BOBO the clown

BOBO
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 11:43 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
Well, you know the loss is really setting in once the vitriol posts and pics start flowing. I have a big grin on my face watching you Rombots go into full meltdown.

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