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CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED

 
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 08:48 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
who tha fook is nate ?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 18987435


[link to fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 27017969


wow, thanks
so bonga's got this one in the bag?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 18987435


If you don't read the mindless bullshit posted all over this site and start looking at some numbers it seems that way.

Obama can lose several swing states and still handily win, Romney needs to pull of a miracle chain of wins that the polls are not reflecting.

No matter how much the ignorant posters here get pissed off and gnash their teeth, there are polls and nate is telling you exactly what they are showing. Nothings guaranteed but right now the whole 85% chance is looking likely.
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 08:51 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
Well, Romney's trying as hard as he can NOT to. Even with Obama being a complete f'ing disaster, he will win. But not because Harrison Bounel actually won. It's because the luciferians will slide him back into office. They need him in there - he's willing to do their dirty work.
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 08:53 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
A couple of bonus items for Democrats via Nate:
The Democrats hold the Senate, Romney loses his homestates Michigan and Massachusetts, and Ryan loses his homestate of Wisconsin.
Obama of course wins his homestate of Hawaii.


rockon
Jefiner

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11/04/2012 08:53 PM

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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
I'm not into name calling. Silver is a smart guy, and his numbers game looks statistically sound. But GIGO (garbage in, garbage out) applies here.

I expect that Obama will rig a reelection. The numbers are just too close.
SCULLY
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11/04/2012 08:54 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
Romney is going to be declared winner
by the left-wing commie rat media
before you go to sleep Tuesday night,

and Chrissy Mattews is going to commit
suicide.

You can bet your life on it.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 27016282


Romney/Ryan by a landslide. When Fatty Matthews, commits hari-kari, I hope the remainder of the Obama azz kissing news anchors and their minions follow his lead.

NBC,ABC,CBS,CNN,MSNBC are a DISGRACE to journalism... SMH
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 08:57 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
[link to sportsgambling.about.com]

The lone wager is now:
Who will be the next President?
Barack Obama -227
Mitt Romney +160


For those unfamiliar with the money line and didn't want to read the longer article, the -250 after the Democrats means that you have to wager $250 to win $100 if you wager on the Democrats to capture the White House. You do not have to wager that much money, however, as you can wager $37.50 to win $15 or $50 to win $20. You are risking twice as much as you will win, which is often the case when betting on a solid favorite.


The +210 after the Republicans means that you will win $210 if you risk $100 and again, you aren't requited to wager that much. You can wager $10 to win $21 or risk $20 to win $42. You are essentially risking $10 for every $17 you hope to win.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 26579062


c'mon WTF.. $100 gets you $210!!! belly up!!!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 26579062


so all the chickenass chickenshit chickenhawk rombot assholes just bow out after all the big talk huh??? lmao
BossBattles

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11/04/2012 08:58 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
The whole game is rigged to a level beyond what we talk about. If you knew the real status of the power structure, you wouldn't think of the election for even a second.
I can say what I want to,
even if I'm not serious.
CrazyEyesThreadKilla

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11/04/2012 09:15 PM

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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
Done deal. Whites now in the minority in US. Obama has all the races voting for him. He will win quite easily.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 27016505


The single most annoying thing about GLP over the last several weeks has been listening to Europeans chime in on the U.S. election as if they know jackfuck about what is going on.

I would suggest to all Europeans that rather than adding your useless two cents to our upcoming clusterfuck, you concentrate on relaxing and fully enjoying the wholesale theft currently being orchestrated by global banks on your various national Treasuries. It would be a pity to allow our meager election to distract you from the experience of a historic ass-raping.
shadasonic
slumbering no more

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11/04/2012 09:19 PM

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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
Lot of sore losers here.. just sayin...
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 26966219


You bet sore losers when we're talking about our families livelihood and continued happiness. Obama is an evil socialist, whose entire purpose is to incite anger and fear. He is meant to destroy America.
It is sufficiently clear that all things change, yet nothing truly perishes!

It riles THEM to believe that you perceive the web they weave- moody blues
NightWisp

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11/04/2012 09:20 PM

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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
Romney will win...
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 09:21 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
Go fuck yourself.
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 09:26 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
Even if Nate were off by 30%! It's over, seriously over.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 26966219


even if you where off by 100%
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 09:27 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
Go fuck yourself.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 18225135


great post :)
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 09:34 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
Romney will win handily.

Here's why:

Conservatives NEVER answer pollsters. They know all the polls are skewed towards the Democrats, so they refuse to play the game. But on election day, they will fuckin crawl over broken glass to vote the Kenyan OUT.

THe liberal press will in mass commit suicide by hyperventilation.

It will be a joy to behold.5a
shadasonic
slumbering no more

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11/04/2012 09:35 PM

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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
If there is anything good about Obama winning is he will have to sit back and watch as his presidency becomes a complete joke, he is demolished by his cowardice,and his regime falls into total and utter chaos. Thats just in the next six months. The military is going to dessert him,and his cabinet will drop like flies,hillary is already gone in january
It is sufficiently clear that all things change, yet nothing truly perishes!

It riles THEM to believe that you perceive the web they weave- moody blues
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 09:36 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
Yep, it's over, Dick Morris is calling it for Romney, everyone go home, Romney is president.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 26642390


Same guy who swore McCain would will against Obama, and we know how that turned out. He just has a bone to pick with the Dems.

That being said... I sure hope he is right!
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 09:42 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
It's going to be sweet watching all the libtards squirm when Obama loses, 4 years of bliss watching them cry foul because they believed their own lies...lul
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 09:44 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
I sm 100% Obama will lose

he has mucked it up so bad for everyone

TPTB didnt create this world to have it burned down over

1 Ugly Black President

But sure go ahead TPTB announce him pres XD
Morpheus

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11/04/2012 09:50 PM

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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
Even if Nate were off by 30%! It's over, seriously over.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 26966219



UNPIN Suggested
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 10:04 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
bump
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 10:36 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
This election is unprecedented.

Obama is the first black President.

He along with the Democrats have played the race card over and over.

It has become racist to say you are voting for the white guy whatever your reasons.

Therefore .. his method is fucked.
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 10:37 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
The guy predicted 49 out of 50 states correctly in 2008, as well as 35 out of 35 US Senate races.
dance
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 10:47 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
So basically this means you have a better chance of flipping a coin 10 times and it randomly coming up tails just 2 out of those 10 times... than for Romney to win Tuesday.
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 10:48 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
Romney is going to win in a landslide. The media have you BOmesmerized by something called "propaganda". Maybe you have heard it and how it was used on our naive grandparents. The only thing dems are going to win is a foot up their collective asses, pun intended.
Zadye

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11/04/2012 10:51 PM

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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
Well, Dick Morris just said tonight that Romney
will win in a landslide. I think he is a smart guy
and I am trusting what he says.
So there!
CrazyEyesThreadKilla

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11/04/2012 10:51 PM

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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
This election is unprecedented.

Obama is the first black President.

He along with the Democrats have played the race card over and over.

It has become racist to say you are voting for the white guy whatever your reasons.

Therefore .. his method is fucked.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1207399


This.

If the caller is black, which is often discernible by voice or diction, some respondents will hesitate to declare their dislike for Obama for fear of being perceived as racist. This could also be true if the caller is white, but the pattern will be most significant with a black caller.

Pundits like Silver fail to understand the extent to which conservatives are consistently made to feel like they are mean/bad/evil by the media, and as a result, even when they are confident in the goodness/justice/truth of their views, they are hesitant to articulate them to strangers.
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 10:52 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
Romney is going to win in a landslide. The media have you BOmesmerized by something called "propaganda". Maybe you have heard it and how it was used on our naive grandparents. The only thing dems are going to win is a foot up their collective asses, pun intended.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 27019451


Romney would just resume where Bush II left off. Economic policies and imbalances that result in financial collapses, not to mention the wars with no exit strategies.
Doc Savage

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11/04/2012 11:02 PM

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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
Hey, OP --

Read. Learn. And don't be so gullible.


"Romney Landslide: Here Are the Biggest Names Predicting It & How It Will Happen":


[link to www.theblaze.com]
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 11:04 PM
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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
This election is unprecedented.

Obama is the first black President.

He along with the Democrats have played the race card over and over.

It has become racist to say you are voting for the white guy whatever your reasons.

Therefore .. his method is fucked.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1207399


This.

If the caller is black, which is often discernible by voice or diction, some respondents will hesitate to declare their dislike for Obama for fear of being perceived as racist. This could also be true if the caller is white, but the pattern will be most significant with a black caller.

Pundits like Silver fail to understand the extent to which conservatives are consistently made to feel like they are mean/bad/evil by the media, and as a result, even when they are confident in the goodness/justice/truth of their views, they are hesitant to articulate them to strangers.
 Quoting: CrazyEyesThreadKilla


Obama was the candidate in 2008 and this rule you propose didn't seem to apply when this dude predicted correctly 49 out of 50 state electoral results (he missed Indiana which actually went to Obama by less than 1%).
shadasonic
slumbering no more

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11/04/2012 11:10 PM

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Re: CALLING IT: Nate Silver has Romney at 14.2% Chance of Winning. Nate's Accuracy is UNRIVALED
It doesn't really matter as our world will fall apart physically within the next 5 to 10 years if not very soon! Methane is going to kill much!

Last Edited by shadasonic on 11/04/2012 11:11 PM
It is sufficiently clear that all things change, yet nothing truly perishes!

It riles THEM to believe that you perceive the web they weave- moody blues