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Reagan trailed Carter in most polls in 1980

 
SkepticalWordSmith

User ID: 24552012
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11/04/2012 09:06 PM
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Re: Reagan trailed Carter in most polls in 1980
Some context for 1980 from a Shill.

There was only one debate between Carter and Reagan and it was less than a week before the election. Reagan out preformed Carter by a wide margin. He cleaned Carter's clock, and it was especially powerful because everyone expected Reagan to lose.

There were also a lot fewer pollsters in 1980 than today. We have more polling data than ever before.

Also, despite Republicans wishful thinking, Romney is no Ronald Reagan. And Obama is no Jimmy Carter. Romney doesn't have that ability to connect with people like Reagan did. If he did, this race would have been over long ago. Romney has no businesses losing this election, but if he does (and unless most of the polls are wrong he will) it will be because he was such an awful candidate.

This election is a lot more like 2004 than 1980. An unpopular incumbent who has no business winning facing an incredibly weak challenger.

Could all the polls end up being wrong? Sure. Anything is possible.

But it is very unlikely.
 Quoting: SkepticalWordSmith


Did you NOT read the original post??? "Romney doesn't have that ability to connect with people like Reagan did....if he did, this race would have been over long ago...." If Reagan had so much "connectivity" with the voters, WHY DID THE POLLS HAVE HIM LOSING JUST A WEEK BEFORE?!?!?!?!

Quit your wishful thinking, and face the facts.

And for the record, *I* think Romney is sounding more "Reagan-esque" every time I hear him (the closer it gets to election day).
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 25676821


The Polls had him losing because the Carter campaign had painted a picture of him as an idiotic cowboy. An image he was able to shake off in the debate when he famously asked, "Are you better off today then you were four years ago?" People listening to that debate felt Reagan really got them on an emotional level. The only people who think that of Romney are right wing partisans.

And if I was falling victim to wishful thinking, I'd be saying Gary Johnson was going to win. That is my wish.

Last Edited by SkepticalWordSmith on 11/04/2012 09:12 PM
Shillin' like a Villain.
Spine monkey

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11/04/2012 09:07 PM
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Re: Reagan trailed Carter in most polls in 1980
You all seem to forget that John Anderson got 6% of the vote that year, mostly at Carter's expense. I don't think Gary Johnson is taking votes away from Obama.
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 09:15 PM
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Re: Reagan trailed Carter in most polls in 1980
You must be another Obozo supporter. Romney leads in all the polls . So you now don't believe them ?ohappy
 Quoting: Black Diamond 6838274


I am a Romney supporter, but I did not believe the polls when they said Obama was leading all the polls.

I don't trust the polls.
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 09:33 PM
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Re: Reagan trailed Carter in most polls in 1980
Also, despite Republicans wishful thinking, Romney is no Ronald Reagan. And Obama is no Jimmy Carter. Romney doesn't have that ability to connect with people like Reagan did.
 Quoting: SkepticalWordSmith


Reagan was far more partisan and into talking about how crappy liberals were compared with conservatives. Romney -- rightly or wrongly -- has traditionally shied away from that type of talk. So, if anything, Reagan's way of presenting issues might have made moderates or independents more apprehensive.

By the same token, Romney's unwillingness to loudly trash libs makes him in the eyes of some conservatives a less sure thing. But they know that with Obama, they're getting pure, unadulterated leftwing garbage.
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 09:37 PM
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Re: Reagan trailed Carter in most polls in 1980
Too bad all the Reagan voters are DEAD
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 14564403


Were not dead , yet
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 09:38 PM
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Re: Reagan trailed Carter in most polls in 1980
:Obama Carter Mir:
 Quoting: No Dhimmi


Pinned for you buddy rockon
 Quoting: sonic doom


ohyeah
SkepticalWordSmith

User ID: 24552012
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11/04/2012 09:43 PM
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Re: Reagan trailed Carter in most polls in 1980
Also, despite Republicans wishful thinking, Romney is no Ronald Reagan. And Obama is no Jimmy Carter. Romney doesn't have that ability to connect with people like Reagan did.
 Quoting: SkepticalWordSmith


Reagan was far more partisan and into talking about how crappy liberals were compared with conservatives. Romney -- rightly or wrongly -- has traditionally shied away from that type of talk. So, if anything, Reagan's way of presenting issues might have made moderates or independents more apprehensive.

By the same token, Romney's unwillingness to loudly trash libs makes him in the eyes of some conservatives a less sure thing. But they know that with Obama, they're getting pure, unadulterated leftwing garbage.

 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 26321760


I disagree. No real way to prove either of us right or wrong on this one since it is more opinion than fact.

But I think people respect someone who boldly stands by their convictions rather than changing their opinions to fit their audience. I think that is why Bush was able to beat Kerry. People did not like Bush but they knew what they were getting and that he stood by his convictions, right or wrong. Where as Kerry, like Romney, just said whatever he needed to say to win whatever election he was in. Obama, for all his many, many, MANY, flaws, does tend to stand his ground. And people respect that.
Shillin' like a Villain.
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 09:54 PM
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Re: Reagan trailed Carter in most polls in 1980
Obama, for all his many, many, MANY, flaws, does tend to stand his ground. And people respect that.
 Quoting: SkepticalWordSmith


Bullshit to that, because if Obama were a conservative, you or any libs who supposedly "respect that" would shy away from him. Or the complaint would be that he was too extreme, heartless and a warmonger, or some crap like that.
SkepticalWordSmith

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11/04/2012 09:58 PM
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Re: Reagan trailed Carter in most polls in 1980
Obama, for all his many, many, MANY, flaws, does tend to stand his ground. And people respect that.
 Quoting: SkepticalWordSmith


Bullshit to that, because if Obama were a conservative, you or any libs who supposedly "respect that" would shy away from him. Or the complaint would be that he was too extreme, heartless and a warmonger, or some crap like that.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 26321760


I'm a fiscal conservative, social liberal. AKA a Libertarian. And I didn't say I respected him. I just said that is how I think most people view things.

And if you look at the drone war in Pakistan, Yemen and Somalia... he is a warmonger.
Shillin' like a Villain.
11:11

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11/04/2012 10:02 PM
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Re: Reagan trailed Carter in most polls in 1980
Lets see !!! When Carter was in office the Middle East was in turmoil. The Soviets had invaded Afghanistan , not because America couldnt stop them , but because Carter was too weak to try. (google Charlie Wilson) Their were Hostages being held by the Iranian Revoulutionary Guard an ambassador had died in the line of duty !!! Oh and the economy was in the shitter too !!! 19 and 20% interest rates at the banks not on credit cards!!!

Lets see !!! Regan takes office. The hostages are released and leave Iranian airspace while Regan gives his inaugural address. The economy picks up at a brisk pace rates drop at the banks, and people get back to work . The Middle East begins to cool down except for Lybia which is dealt with some time later in the first term. The Soviets suffer such huge and humiliating losses the War in Afghanistan drains their econmy ,and they pull out.

Lets See !!! Obama is in office , the Middle East is in turmoil . Ambassador Chris Stevens and others including two Navy Seals Died in the line of duty, and were denied the help needed to save their lives. Egypt,Lybia , and soon Syria will have fallen to the Muslim Brotherhood (Alqaeda in DRAG).

Lets See !!! Romney in office: We dont know what will happen , but I know whats coming if Obama is elected to a second term, The same thing that would have happened if Carter had recieved a second term. More of the same more joblessnes more on welfare more forclosures more families on the streets. I myself have decided to try Romney.
Starlighttraveller

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11/04/2012 10:20 PM
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Re: Reagan trailed Carter in most polls in 1980
Dude, that was thirty two years ago! But keep hoping!!
hf
Be filled with joy in the knowing that you are the light and love of the one Infinite Creator.
Serenity777

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11/04/2012 11:21 PM
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Re: Reagan trailed Carter in most polls in 1980
Oh...scratching

Thanks for the outdated information.
watching the "run up" to the elections and the "hopes and dreams" that are built as a result is like watching a dead mouse that is still able to make his exercise wheel go around because his nerves are still twitching that familiar motion...
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2012 11:22 PM
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Re: Reagan trailed Carter in most polls in 1980
Everyone knew where Reagan stood. No one really knows what Romney stands for. He was for gun control while governor of Massachusetts, choice, among so many other things he now is supposedly against. Who is this guy??
SkepticalWordSmith

User ID: 24552012
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11/04/2012 11:27 PM
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Re: Reagan trailed Carter in most polls in 1980
Everyone knew where Reagan stood. No one really knows what Romney stands for. He was for gun control while governor of Massachusetts, choice, among so many other things he now is supposedly against. Who is this guy??
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 26862796


Exactly.
Shillin' like a Villain.
Anonymous Coward
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11/05/2012 01:00 AM
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Re: Reagan trailed Carter in most polls in 1980
The only problem.... Mitt Romney is no Ronald Reagan.
Anonymous Coward
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11/05/2012 02:09 AM
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Re: Reagan trailed Carter in most polls in 1980
Cnn had a poll of the 5 greatest presidents of US history by Americans. Ronald Reagan and Bill Clinton were in there. Mitt Romney is neither.
Anonymous Coward
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11/05/2012 02:49 AM
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Re: Reagan trailed Carter in most polls in 1980
Romney is no Reagan.
Anonymous Coward
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11/05/2012 03:11 AM
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Re: Reagan trailed Carter in most polls in 1980
The best way to "steal" an election is to hit the opponent hard in the last week before the election. I think this is what has happened here. Romney just cock-punched Oblabla so hard his that his entire home country of Kenya felt it.
Anonymous Coward
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11/05/2012 03:12 AM
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Re: Reagan trailed Carter in most polls in 1980
Romney is no Reagan.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 13243089


Famous Vice-Presidential Debate Lines:

I knew Jack Kennedy. Jack Kennedy was my friend. You're no Jack Kennedy.

Who am I? Why am I here?
Anonymous Coward
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11/05/2012 03:29 AM
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Re: Reagan trailed Carter in most polls in 1980
Everyone knew where Reagan stood. No one really knows what Romney stands for. He was for gun control while governor of Massachusetts, choice, among so many other things he now is supposedly against. Who is this guy??
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 26862796


But if libtards are concerned about Romney not being predictably rightwing, then they're full of shit. I can accept that unhappiness coming from Republicans, but not Democrats. In effect, libs want a 100% guaranteed super-duper libtard and anything less will not do. And that includes a conservative Reagan or an unpredictable (or Reagan Lite) Romney.
Anonymous Coward
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11/05/2012 04:10 AM
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Re: Reagan trailed Carter in most polls in 1980
will white trash riot when Romney loses??
Anonymous Coward
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11/05/2012 04:29 AM
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Re: Reagan trailed Carter in most polls in 1980
will white trash riot when Romney loses??
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 23609559




you tell me
Renaissance Woman

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11/05/2012 04:55 AM
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Re: Reagan trailed Carter in most polls in 1980
will white trash riot when Romney loses??
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 23609559




you tell me
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 23327656


I didn't see white trash in this video, so what are you saying? People who talk about "my tax dollars" are probably working, I would assume. Yes, some of these folks had the "talking points" memorized, but did not seem trashy or violent. I did get a laugh out of the Buddhists comment though. Oops.
"For with thee is the fountain of life: in thy light shall we see light."
Anonymous Coward
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11/05/2012 04:59 AM
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Re: Reagan trailed Carter in most polls in 1980
Anonymous Coward
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11/05/2012 05:58 AM
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Re: Reagan trailed Carter in most polls in 1980
Romney in a landslide. It won't even be close. I don't know what the media's angle is here other than trying to mobilize the democrat base, but it's been over for several months.

The Romney wave and the disgust most Americans have for the democrats is just to much to bear for Obama.

We had enough if his policies in 2010, and if you remember it was a landslide election for Republicans, and it has grown even bigger since then.
Anonymous Coward
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11/05/2012 06:53 AM
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Re: Reagan trailed Carter in most polls in 1980
The polls showed the race as very close. Reagan trailed Carter in most polls, and even the final Gallup poll showed Reagan just 3 points ahead. But he actually won by 10. Could the race have been decided in the hectic final week?

Mitofsky reports that, after the election, CBS News and the New York Times re-interviewed the respondents they had surveyed in the final pre-election poll and found that “approximately one person in seven said they did something different than what they had said just prior to the election.” Not only did Carter lose the remaining undecided voters in that final week, but some of his supporters lost faith in him and switched sides.

[link to polipundit.com]
 Quoting: No Dhimmi



I see some now have obama and Romney tied...., but Romney seems to be leading in more toss-up's and states that were solid blue last election.... So one of two things could be happening (the first one I don't quite buy).

1) Romney wins electoral vote and obama wins popular vote (from what I hear, obama is not too popular anymore).

2) the poll takers are trying to encourage dem voters to get out the vote (by favoring obama)... Did you know that Rasmussen is a democrate, Gallop has been threatened with lawsuits into the next century by axelrooood, ABC is marxist????? This could be a better explanation for the polls
Renaissance Woman

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11/05/2012 07:01 AM
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Re: Reagan trailed Carter in most polls in 1980
will white trash riot when Romney loses??
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 23609559

...
you tell me
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 23327656


I didn't see white trash in this video, so what are you saying? People who talk about "my tax dollars" are probably working, I would assume. Yes, some of these folks had the "talking points" memorized, but did not seem trashy or violent. I did get a laugh out of the Buddhists comment though. Oops.
 Quoting: Renaissance Woman


Never mind. This AC is cluttering up every thread with the same video. Give it a rest!

Last Edited by Renaissance Woman on 11/05/2012 07:02 AM
"For with thee is the fountain of life: in thy light shall we see light."
Renaissance Woman

User ID: 10737781
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11/05/2012 07:48 AM
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Re: Reagan trailed Carter in most polls in 1980
November 2010 never happened

Nothing to see here

However, remember that it takes a carter to get a Reagan
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1493398


rockon
"For with thee is the fountain of life: in thy light shall we see light."
Anonymous Coward
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11/05/2012 07:55 AM
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Re: Reagan trailed Carter in most polls in 1980
Too bad all the Reagan voters are DEAD
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 14564403


Were not dead , yet
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 17011760


Most are dead...the rest have one foot in the grave and the other on a banana peel.
No Dhimmi  (OP)

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11/05/2012 08:35 AM

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Re: Reagan trailed Carter in most polls in 1980
University of Colorado Professors Ken Bickers and Michael Berry have developed a model based on state-level economic data that predicts Mitt Romney winning with 330 electoral votes. They have applied this model successfully to every presidential race since 1980. It does not shift around with the polls; in fact it does not use them at all.

[link to www.washingtontimes.com]
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