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Pew's final poll: Obama 50, Romney 47

 
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11/05/2012 03:58 AM
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Pew's final poll: Obama 50, Romney 47
Pew's final poll: Obama 50, Romney 47

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By ALEXANDER BURNS |
11/4/12 4:28 PM EST
[link to www.politico.com]
After finding a dead-even race in its previous poll, today the Pew Research Center tips Obama for a small lead in its last pre-election national survey:

In the Pew Research Center’s election weekend survey, Obama holds a 48% to 45% lead over Romney among likely voters. ... Our final estimate of the national popular vote is Obama 50% and Romney 47%, when the undecided vote is allocated between the two candidates based on several indicators and opinions. ...

Obama’s increases in likely voter support are most notable among women, older voters, and political moderates. Women now favor Obama by a 13-point margin (53% to 40%), up from six points a week ago and reflecting a shift toward Obama since early October. Right after the first presidential debate, the women’s vote was split evenly (47% each). Men, by comparison, favor Romney by a 50% to 42% margin, with little change in the past month.

Romney continues to lead among voters age 65 and older, by a nine point margin (51% to 42%) in the current survey. But that is only about half of the 19-point lead he held among seniors just a week ago. Political moderates now favor Obama by 21 points (56%-35%).

Pew showed Obama with an 8-point lead over Romney in late September, and had Romney up 4 points in the aftermath of the first debate. Now that the effects of Romney's awful September and Obama's awful leadoff debate have subsided a bit, the race has returned to a familiar place: with Obama slightly ahead, marshaling a broader coalition than Romney, yet far from safe on the eve of Election Day.

Read more about: Barack Obama, Polls, Mitt Romney, Pew Research Center, 2012 Elections

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