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BREAKING: Massive Storm Brutus now moving to the East Coast

 
DoorBert
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11/05/2012 08:11 AM
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BREAKING: Massive Storm Brutus now moving to the East Coast
Latest GFS is showing a classic Texas Hooker developing in the Panhandle on Sunday Nov 11 and moving NE and strengthening.

[link to weather.rap.ucar.edu]

Trough is negative tilted.

[link to weather.rap.ucar.edu]

These bad girls can be very nasty and bring tornado outbreaks and blizzards at the same time.

[link to en.wikipedia.org]

Plains and Midwest could get hit hard.

Stay tuned for updates.

Last Edited by DoorBert on 11/12/2012 07:30 AM
Anonymous Coward
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11/05/2012 08:18 AM
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Re: BREAKING: Massive Storm Brutus now moving to the East Coast
Latest GFS is showing a classic Texas Hooker developing in the Panhandle on Sunday Nov 11 and moving NE and strengthening.

[link to weather.rap.ucar.edu]

Trough is negative tilted.

[link to weather.rap.ucar.edu]

These bad girls can be very nasty and bring tornado outbreaks and blizzards at the same time.

[link to en.wikipedia.org]

Plains and Midwest could get hit hard.

Stay tuned for updates.
 Quoting: DoorBert


catchy title dp
DoorBert (OP)

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11/05/2012 08:19 AM
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Re: BREAKING: Massive Storm Brutus now moving to the East Coast
6-day forecast for ECMWF 00z has major cold for West, worst in Montana w/850 mb temps 23°C below normal. All moves East

[link to twitter.com]
Lady Jane SmithModerator
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11/05/2012 08:20 AM

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Re: BREAKING: Massive Storm Brutus now moving to the East Coast
You freaked me out with that title, DB. LOL!!

Good morning!!

Rose Coffee
Life is karma and karma always reflects both past and present circumstance. Our time here is short, so choose carefully and behave well, for all of your tomorrows are presently being decided.

"Don't die on a small cross..." Saddletramp's Mom

"A fool thinks himself to be wise, but a wise man knows himself to be a fool."
-- William Shakespeare, born April 23, 1564.

Killer Bunny mockingjay
Luisport

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11/05/2012 08:25 AM

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Re: BREAKING: Massive Storm Brutus now moving to the East Coast
Weather in US are getting crazy!!!
Luisport

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11/05/2012 08:27 AM

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Re: BREAKING: Massive Storm Brutus now moving to the East Coast
5 hRyan Maue‏@RyanMaue

6-day forecast for ECMWF 00z has major cold for West, worst in Montana w/850 mb temps 23°C below normal. All moves East [link to twitter.com]
DoorBert (OP)

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11/05/2012 08:28 AM
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Re: BREAKING: Massive Storm Brutus now moving to the East Coast
You freaked me out with that title, DB. LOL!!

Good morning!!

Rose Coffee
 Quoting: Lady Jane Smith


Morning Lady Jane - thought it would get people's attention.

Hope all is well with you.

hfhfhf
Anonymous Coward
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11/05/2012 08:31 AM
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Re: BREAKING: Massive Storm Brutus now moving to the East Coast
Will it bring freezing temps to N.Central Tejas?

Feild grass needs bailing,wanta get that done before any freeze.
Anonymous Coward
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11/05/2012 08:35 AM
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Re: BREAKING: Massive Storm Brutus now moving to the East Coast
I was prepared to FAP.


It was a trap...
DoorBert (OP)

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11/05/2012 08:36 AM
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Re: BREAKING: Massive Storm Brutus now moving to the East Coast
So far its looking like 2 to 3" rain in 12-hr period.

Watching if later runs forecast snow.

[link to www.twisterdata.com]
Watching the world
Crypt Watcher

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11/05/2012 08:38 AM

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Re: BREAKING: Massive Storm Brutus now moving to the East Coast
Brilliant thread title!

Morning to you.

coffee4
Ignorance is bliss until reality bites you in the ass.

I bury the dead.
DoorBert (OP)

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11/05/2012 08:38 AM
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Re: BREAKING: Massive Storm Brutus now moving to the East Coast
Will it bring freezing temps to N.Central Tejas?

Feild grass needs bailing,wanta get that done before any freeze.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 27052243


Looks that way.

CO Rockies down to about 0F

[link to www.twisterdata.com]
DoorBert (OP)

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11/05/2012 08:39 AM
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Re: BREAKING: Massive Storm Brutus now moving to the East Coast
Brilliant thread title!

Morning to you.

coffee4
 Quoting: Watching the world


Morning WtW

coffeecup
alexisj9

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11/05/2012 08:41 AM

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Re: BREAKING: Massive Storm Brutus now moving to the East Coast
bump
DoorBert (OP)

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11/05/2012 09:35 AM
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Re: BREAKING: Massive Storm Brutus now moving to the East Coast
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
607 AM CST MON NOV 5 2012


(THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)

A PERIOD OF WARMING WHERE TEMPS WILL REACH WELL ABOVE AVERAGE BY THE
END OF THE WEEK...WITH A POWERFUL COLD FRONT FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK.

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL PASS THRU ON THURSDAY WITH A FEW DAYS OF
SW FLOW THEN EXPECTED AS A POWERFUL PACIFIC STORM COMES ASHORE AND
SETS UP SHOP OVER THE ROCKIES FOR A DAY OR TWO BEFORE BEGINNING A
SLOW EWD ADVANCE INTO THE PLAINS. ASIDE FROM AN INITIAL IMPULSE
THAT MOVES THRU WITH QUESTIONABLE MOISTURE ON FRIDAY NIGHT...PCPN
CHCS WILL BE CONFINED TO THE STORM PROPER AND ITS ASSOCIATED STRONG
SFC CDFNT WHICH IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE OF ANY PROXIMITY UNTIL SUNDAY.

LOOK FOR WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS FROM FRIDAY ON WITH A STOUT S SFC
FLOW. TEMPS WILL TAKE A TUMBLE JUST BEYOND THE FORECAST RANGE
DURING EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A CHILLY AIRMASS SETTLES IN.

[link to forecast.weather.gov]
DoorBert (OP)

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11/05/2012 01:42 PM
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Re: BREAKING: Massive Storm Brutus now moving to the East Coast
12Z GFS has the surface low quickly digging to 988mb

[link to www.twisterdata.com]
Lemon

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11/05/2012 01:49 PM

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Re: BREAKING: Massive Storm Brutus now moving to the East Coast
What am I doing on a thread about the weather? I must have mis-clicked.


Nice Title.
THREE LAWS OF TYRANNY
(Could be read as "Three Laws of Bullying" ? )

Tyranny Law #1:
"Any power that can be abused will be abused."

Tyranny Law #2:
"Abuse always expands to fill the limits of resistance to it."

Tyranny Law #3:
"If people don't resist the abuses of others, they will have no one to resist the abuses of themselves, and tyranny will prevail."
Anonymous Coward
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11/05/2012 01:51 PM
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Re: BREAKING: Massive Storm Brutus now moving to the East Coast
When I saw that thread title I thought you were saying that a prostitute from Texas was going on a cross country dick sucking rampage.
DoorBert (OP)

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11/06/2012 05:25 AM
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Re: BREAKING: Massive Storm Brutus now moving to the East Coast
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0236 AM CST TUE NOV 06 2012

VALID 091200Z - 141200Z

...DISCUSSION...
MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT DEPICTING A LARGE TROUGH WHICH WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE WRN STATES ON FRI/D4...WITH AN INTENSIFYING JET CORE
NOSING INTO CO BY 12Z SAT. LOW PRESSURE WILL DEEPEN AHEAD OF THE
COLD FRONT...EXTENDING FROM WRN MN SWWD ACROSS CNTRL NEB AND INTO
WRN KS BY LATE AFTERNOON SAT. SUBSTANTIAL HEIGHT FALLS AND COOLING
ALOFT WILL ACCOMPANY THIS COLD FRONT...AND STORMS WILL EASILY ERUPT
ALONG IT.

HEATING IS EXPECTED TO HELP DESTABILIZE THE AIR MASS FROM KS INTO
NEB...WITH LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATE PLUME POSSIBLY EXTENDING AS FAR N AS
SWRN MN. WITH DEWPOINTS ONLY IN THE UPPER 50S F...INSTABILITY LEVELS
ARE FORECAST TO BE MARGINAL WITH AROUND 1000 J/KG MUCAPE. CAPPING
SHOULD HAMPER DEVELOPMENT AWAY FROM THE FRONT DUE TO COOL BOUNDARY
LAYER TEMPERATURES. ALL THIS SUGGESTS A LINEAR STORM MODE IS LIKELY.
WHILE DEEP SHEAR WILL BE ORIENTED ALONG THE BOUNDARY...SUGGESTING
CELLS MERGING...HODOGRAPHS WILL FAVOR EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF
DAMAGING WINDS AND MARGINAL HAIL. WITH SUCH STRONG SHEAR...A FEW
BOWING SEGMENTS MAY PRODUCE PARTICULARLY DAMAGING WINDS.

SAT NIGHT...THE MAIN ENERGY WITH THIS TROUGH WILL EJECT NEWD INTO
THE UPPER MS VALLEY...WHILE THE COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO MOVE SEWD
ACROSS INTO IA...MO...AND OK. ALTHOUGH NUMEROUS STORMS ARE LIKELY TO
EXTEND SWWD INTO OK SAT NIGHT...THE OVERALL THREAT WILL BE LIMITED
BY MARGINAL INSTABILITY.

SOME SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST INTO SUN/D6...FROM ERN OK
INTO AR...NERN TX AND NRN LA. DAMAGING WINDS WILL AGAIN BE THE MOST
LIKELY THREAT WITH A SQUALL LINE...BUT VERY POOR LOW LEVEL LAPSE
RATES ARE FORECAST AND INSTABILITY WILL BE MARGINAL. IN
ADDITION...MODELS ARE IN RELATIVELY POOR AGREEMENT WITH THIS PORTION
OF THE TROUGH WHICH WILL PRECLUDE ANY FURTHER AREAS.

..JEWELL.. 11/06/2012

[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]
DoorBert (OP)

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11/08/2012 03:19 PM
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Re: BREAKING: Massive Storm Brutus now moving to the East Coast
NWS: Major Montana winter storm, blizzard likely to produce record snows across parts of the state

[link to twitter.com]

[link to www.nws.noaa.gov]
DoorBert (OP)

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11/09/2012 07:36 AM
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Re: BREAKING: Massive Storm Brutus now moving to the East Coast
Luisport

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11/09/2012 07:48 AM

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Re: BREAKING: Massive Storm Brutus now moving to the East Coast
Thread: Winter Storm Brutus has dropped 6" of snow in Butte, MT in just 5 hours!!!
DoorBert (OP)

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11/09/2012 08:19 AM
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Re: BREAKING: Massive Storm Brutus now moving to the East Coast


Morning Luis - much thanks!!

hfhfhf
DoorBert (OP)

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11/09/2012 08:20 AM
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Re: BREAKING: Massive Storm Brutus now moving to the East Coast
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1241 AM CST FRI NOV 09 2012

VALID 101200Z - 111200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM A PORTION OF THE CNTRL
PLAINS INTO THE UPPER MS VALLEY...

...SYNOPSIS...

AMPLIFIED SYNOPTIC PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN PROGRESSIVE INTO
THE DAY 2 PERIOD. THE LARGE POSITIVE TILT UPPER TROUGH NOW MOVING
ONTO THE WEST COAST WILL EVOLVE ACROSS THE WRN STATES...REACHING THE
CNTRL PLAINS BY SATURDAY. VORT MAX AND ITS ACCOMPANYING UPPER JET
STREAK CURRENTLY OVER NRN CA WILL ROTATE THROUGH THE BASE OF THE
TROUGH BEFORE EJECTING INTO THE CNTRL PLAINS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND
UPPER MS VALLEY SATURDAY NIGHT. THIS FEATURE WILL CONTRIBUTE TO
DEVELOPMENT OF A LEE CYCLONE OVER NEB/SD THAT WILL SHIFT NEWD INTO
MN SATURDAY NIGHT. COLD FRONT TRAILING FROM THE SFC LOW WILL SWEEP
SEWD...LIKELY EXTENDING FROM WRN WI SWWD THROUGH NWRN OK AND WRN TX
BY THE END OF THIS PERIOD.

...CNTRL PLAINS THROUGH UPPER MS VALLEY AREA...

AN EML WITH 7.5-8 C/KM MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES HAS ALREADY ADVECTED
THROUGH MUCH OF THE WARM SECTOR FROM THE CNTRL PLAINS THROUGH THE
MID MS VALLEY AND UPPER GREAT LAKES. ELY TRAJECTORIES FROM A LARGE
AREA OF CP HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE ERN U.S. WILL SLOW BOUNDARY LAYER
RECOVERY OVER THE GULF...WITH DEWPOINTS ONLY IN THE 50S RETURNING
THROUGH MOST OF THE PRE-FRONTAL WARM SECTOR ACROSS THE CNTRL AND SRN
PLAINS. LIMITED MOISTURE RETURN BENEATH THE WARM EML COMBINED WITH
POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD MID-HIGH CLOUDS AS SUBTROPICAL MOIST PLUME
IS TAPPED BY THE ADVANCING UPPER TROUGH SUPPORT LIKELIHOOD OF A
STRONG CAP IN THE WARM SECTOR DURING THE DAY. THEREFORE...SURFACE
BASED THUNDERSTORM INITIATION WILL LIKELY REMAIN CONFINED TO THE
ZONE OF FRONTAL FORCING THAT WILL BE AUGMENTED BY DEEPER
CIRCULATIONS ASSOCIATED WITH THE NEWD EJECTING UPPER JET STREAK
SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. VERTICAL SHEAR WILL INCREASE
SUBSTANTIALLY AS UPPER JET APPROACHES WITH 0-6 KM SHEAR IN EXCESS OF
70 KT AND LARGE HODOGRAPHS ASSOCIATED WITH THE INTENSIFYING LLJ.
INITIAL SURFACE BASED STORMS WILL PROBABLY DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT
OVER THE CNTRL PLAINS INTO THE UPPER MS VALLEY...POSSIBLY BUILDING
SWWD INTO WRN TX OR NWRN OK OVERNIGHT. ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO GROW
UPSCALE INTO LINE SEGMENTS...THROUGH EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS AND LEWP
STRUCTURES ARE LIKELY GIVEN THE FAVORABLE KINEMATIC ENVIRONMENT.
DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL SHOULD BE THE PRIMARY THREATS.
HOWEVER...A COUPLE TORNADOES CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

...SRN PLAINS...

OTHER STORMS MAY DEVELOP SWWD ALONG TRAILING PORTION OF THE FRONT
FROM WRN TX INTO NW OK. WITH DEEPER FRONTAL CIRCULATION PROMOTED BY
THE MIGRATING UPPER JET EXPECTED TO REMAIN NORTH OF THIS
REGION...CONFIDENCE IN INITIATION IS NOT AS HIGH AS FARTHER NORTH.
HOWEVER...A CATEGORICAL RISK AREA MAY NEED TO BE EXTENDED FARTHER SW
IN LATER OUTLOOKS.

..DIAL.. 11/09/2012


[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]
DoorBert (OP)

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11/09/2012 08:21 AM
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Re: BREAKING: Massive Storm Brutus now moving to the East Coast
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0230 AM CST FRI NOV 09 2012

VALID 111200Z - 121200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM NERN TX...SERN OK INTO A
PORTION OF THE LOWER MS VALLEY...

...SYNOPSIS...

LARGE UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE PLAINS AND MS VALLEY ON
SUNDAY. LEAD VORT MAX EMBEDDED WITHIN THIS FEATURE WILL EJECT INTO
SRN ONTARIO EARLY IN THE DAY...WHILE FARTHER SOUTH A SECONDARY VORT
MAX WITHIN THE TROUGH BASE ADVANCES THROUGH THE SRN PLAINS AND LOWER
MS VALLEY REGION. PRIMARY SURFACE LOW WILL ACCOMPANY THE LEAD
SHORTWAVE TROUGH INTO ONTARIO WITH TRAILING COLD FRONT ADVANCING
THROUGH THE UPPER GREAT LAKES...MID AND LOWER MS VALLEY AND SRN
PLAINS.

...NERN TX...SERN OK INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY AREA...

AS SFC RIDGE AXIS SHIFTS FARTHER EAST...LOW LEVEL TRAJECTORIES OVER
THE WRN GULF WILL BECOME A BIT MORE FAVORABLE FOR RICHER LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE /LOW 60S DEWPOINTS/ TO ADVECT THROUGH THE PRE-FRONTAL WARM
SECTOR ACROSS ERN TX...OK AND THE LOWER MS VALLEY WITH MORE LIMITED
MOISTURE FARTHER NORTH. LIKELIHOOD OF MULTILAYER CLOUDS...PARTLY A
RESULT OF STRATUS AND CONVECTIVE DEBRIS...SHOULD LIMIT AMOUNT OF
BOUNDARY LAYER WARMING AND OVERALL DESTABILIZATION POTENTIAL.
NEVERTHELESS...MLCAPE FROM 800-1200 J/KG WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY
WITHIN ZONE OF RICHER MOISTURE RETURN FROM ERN TX...SERN OK INTO WRN
PARTS OF THE LOWER MS VALLEY. STORMS MAY BE ONGOING FROM THE MID MS
VALLEY SWWD INTO PORTIONS OF OK...AND POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR
STORMS TO REDEVELOP FARTHER SOUTH INTO SERN OK AND NERN TX AS THE
COLD FRONT BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH THE MOISTENING BOUNDARY LAYER.
STRONGER WINDS ALOFT ACCOMPANYING THE PROGRESSIVE UPPER TROUGH WILL
MAINTAIN STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR WITHIN THE FRONTAL ZONE.
HOWEVER...PRIMARY CONVECTIVE MODE WILL LIKELY REMAIN LINEAR
SUPPORTING POTENTIAL FOR LEWP AND BOWING STRUCTURES. ISOLATED
DAMAGING WIND SHOULD BE THE MAIN THREAT AS STORMS DEVELOP
EWD...THOUGH A COUPLE OF TORNADOES CANNOT BE RULED OUT GIVEN
FAVORABLE SHEAR FOR EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS.

...MID MS VALLEY REGION...

A FORCED BAND OF CONVECTION EMBEDDED WITHIN A STRONG KINEMATIC
ENVIRONMENT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MID MS VALLEY DURING THE DAY.
MOISTURE RETURN AND INSTABILITY SHOULD BE MORE LIMITED IN THIS
REGION THAN FARTHER SOUTH...AND THIS WILL PROBABLY SERVE TO MITIGATE
A MORE ROBUST SEVERE THREAT. HAVE INCLUDED THIS REGION IN LOW SEVERE
PROBABILITIES DUE TO AT LEAST MODEST POTENTIAL FOR THE CONVECTIVE
BANDS TO TRANSFER HIGHER MOMENTUM AIR DOWN TO THE SURFACE.

..DIAL.. 11/09/2012

[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]
DoorBert (OP)

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11/09/2012 08:47 AM
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Re: BREAKING: Massive Storm Brutus now moving to the East Coast
Severe weather this weekend in the Plains Saturday, Mississippi Valley to Texas Sunday.

Heart Butte, MT has already received 17.0" of snow.

[link to twitter.com]
Luisport

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11/09/2012 09:24 AM

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Re: BREAKING: Massive Storm Brutus now moving to the East Coast
OMG..yet another bad winter storm by NY and NJ etc...GFS at 300 hours. [link to mag.ncep.noaa.gov]
Luisport

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11/09/2012 09:26 AM

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Re: BREAKING: Massive Storm Brutus now moving to the East Coast
the big storm comes from the west..NAEFS at 294 hours. [link to mag.ncep.noaa.gov]
Luisport

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11/09/2012 09:28 AM

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Re: BREAKING: Massive Storm Brutus now moving to the East Coast
new Nam at 42 hours, storming in the midwest looks like. [link to mag.ncep.noaa.gov]
Debauchery

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11/09/2012 09:30 AM

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Re: BREAKING: Massive Storm Brutus now moving to the East Coast
I just want some snow in Michigan.
And the LORD spake, saying, "First shalt thou take out the Holy Pin, then shalt thou count to three, no more, no less. Three shall be the number thou shalt count, and the number of the counting shall be three. Four shalt thou not count, neither count thou two, excepting that thou then proceed to three. Five is right out. Once the number three, being the third number, be reached, then lobbest thou thy Holy Hand Grenade of Antioch towards thy foe, who being naughty in My sight, shall snuff it." Amen.
Anonymous Coward
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11/09/2012 09:31 AM
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Re: BREAKING: Massive Storm Brutus now moving to the East Coast
Prediction.... Horrible snow storms leave communities freezing and price of oil n gas skyrocket, Obama demonizes energy industry to take over and nationalize it within year.

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