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HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN HIT EAST COAST TODAY AND TOMORROW!!!

 
Luisport (OP)

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11/06/2012 10:41 AM

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Re: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN HIT EAST COAST TODAY AND TOMORROW!!!
Jim Cantore‏@JimCantore

Here's a look at the GFS forecast wind. Strongest on the northwest side of the storm impacting Cape, LI &Jersey shore: [link to imgur.com]
Luisport (OP)

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11/06/2012 11:06 AM

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Re: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN HIT EAST COAST TODAY AND TOMORROW!!!
Joe Bastardi‏@BigJoeBastardi

Latest Weatherbell idea.. GFS in agreement, though again more bullish on snow amounts than I am in I-95 [link to twitter.com]
Luisport (OP)

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11/06/2012 11:13 AM

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2 minRyan Maue‏@RyanMaue

Canadian RGEM drops Nor'easter low to 979 mb suggesting tight inner-core that e.g. GFS may not resolve. [link to twitter.com]
Luisport (OP)

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11/06/2012 11:15 AM

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Re: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN HIT EAST COAST TODAY AND TOMORROW!!!
Ryan Maue‏@RyanMaue

Actually GFS full-sfc pressure fields show 983 mb for minimum -- nestled near the coast w/strong winds. [link to twitter.com]
Luisport (OP)

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11/06/2012 11:34 AM

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Re: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN HIT EAST COAST TODAY AND TOMORROW!!!
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
935 AM EST TUE NOV 6 2012

...DAMAGING WINDS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ069>075-078> 081-176>179-
062245-
/O.CON.KOKX.HW.A.0004.121107T1100Z-121108T1100Z/
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-
SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-WESTERN PASSAIC-
EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN-
WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-ROCKLAND-
NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-
BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-
SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU-
935 AM EST TUE NOV 6 2012

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING
THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

* LOCATIONS...ALL OF NORTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY...PORTIONS OF THE
LOWER HUDSON VALLEY...SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...LONG ISLAND AND
NEW YORK CITY.

* HAZARDS...DAMAGING WINDS.

* WINDS...NORTH 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH.

* TIMING...WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

* IMPACTS...WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES...AS WELL AS MINOR PROPERTY
DAMAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

&&

$$
Luisport (OP)

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11/06/2012 11:35 AM

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Re: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN HIT EAST COAST TODAY AND TOMORROW!!!
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN
CONNECTICUT...CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS...EASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

A STRONG COASTAL STORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND LATE
WEDNESDAY INTO AT LEAST THURSDAY...AS LOW PRESSURE INTENSIFIES
AND MOVES NORTHWARD ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD. STRONG NORTHEAST
WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED WHICH MAY REQUIRE THE ISSUANCE OF WIND
ADVISORIES AT A LATER TIME.

THERE IS A MODERATE PROBABILITY FOR A PERIOD OF HEAVY WET SNOW
WEDNESDAY INTO EARLY THURSDAY ACROSS INTERIOR NEW ENGLAND...
POSSIBLY IMPACTING THE EVENING RUSH HOUR COMMUTE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
SNOW ACCUMULATION AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE ANTICIPATED...WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY FOR ADVISORY
LEVEL SNOW.
Luisport (OP)

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11/06/2012 11:36 AM

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Re: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN HIT EAST COAST TODAY AND TOMORROW!!!
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A STRONG COASTAL LOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AND MOVE OFF OF THE
NORTH CAROLINA COAST TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. STRONG NORTHEAST
WINDS WILL PRODUCE WATER LEVEL RISES OF 1 TO 2 FEET ON THE
SOUTHERN PAMLICO SOUND LATE TONIGHT...AFFECTING AREAS AROUND CEDAR
ISLAND.
Luisport (OP)

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11/06/2012 11:37 AM

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Re: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN HIT EAST COAST TODAY AND TOMORROW!!!
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING
THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

* LOCATIONS...NEW YORK HARBOR...THE LONG ISLAND SOUTH SHORE BACK
BAYS...THE OCEAN SHORES OF NEW YORK CITY AND LONG ISLAND...AND
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS OF EASTERN LONG ISLAND.

* TIDAL DEPARTURES...AROUND 3 FEET.

* BEACH EROSION...LARGE BREAKING WAVES OF 8 TO 12 FEET ON TOP OF
ANY SURGE COULD CAUSE SIGNIFICANT ADDITIONAL BEACH EROSION AND
OVERWASH.

* TIMING...AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE EARLY WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND AGAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

* IMPACTS...DEPENDING ON THE TIMING...TRACK AND INTENSITY OF THE
COASTAL STORM...MINOR TO MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING COULD OCCUR
ACROSS MULTIPLE HIGH TIDE CYCLES. LOCALLY MAJOR FLOODING COULD OCCUR
IN PLACES DUE TO CHANGES TO UNDERWATER SLOPES AND/OR LOSS OF
PROTECTIVE DUNES BOTH CAUSED BY SANDY. WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF
VULNERABLE SHORE ROADS AND/OR BASEMENTS IS POSSIBLE...HAMPERING
RECOVERY EFFORTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR
FLOODING ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP. COASTAL RESIDENTS SHOULD BE
ALERT FOR LATER STATEMENTS OR WARNINGS...AND TAKE ACTION TO
PROTECT PROPERTY.

&&
Luisport (OP)

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11/06/2012 01:17 PM

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Re: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN HIT EAST COAST TODAY AND TOMORROW!!!
Those areas and waters will start evolving into our Nor'easter soon... [link to icons.wunderground.com]
Luisport (OP)

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11/06/2012 01:18 PM

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Re: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN HIT EAST COAST TODAY AND TOMORROW!!!
Jim Cantore‏@JimCantore

GFS now colder &farther west model. Either way, impact event 4all #Sandy areas w/snow, coast flooding & disruptive wind to power restoration
Luisport (OP)

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11/06/2012 01:19 PM

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Re: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN HIT EAST COAST TODAY AND TOMORROW!!!
Capital Weather Gang‏@capitalweather

NWS Philly cautions for NJ/Delmarva effects on dunes, shore defenses will be worsened due to Sandy [link to wapo.st]

18 minCapital Weather Gang‏@capitalweather

DC remains on edge of Nor'easter, may get brief period rain/snow late Wed. More details coming mid-afternoon.

19 minCapital Weather Gang‏@capitalweather

Wave heights 6-10 feet Delmarva/NJ shores Wed, 3-4 foot storm surge, moderate coastal flooding: [link to DON'T_USE-THIS]

20 minCapital Weather Gang‏@capitalweather

Delmarva/NY/NJ coastal areas still looking at 20-35 winds, with gusts 50+ 2nd half Wed, [link to DON'T_USE-THIS]
Luisport (OP)

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11/06/2012 01:20 PM

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Re: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN HIT EAST COAST TODAY AND TOMORROW!!!
Ryan Maue‏@RyanMaue

@AmWx_Adam over/under on minimum pressure going below 980 mb? Currently at ~1010 mb [link to twitter.com]

16 minAdam Moyer‏@AmWx_Adam

Both Euro and GFS increased amounts farther north at 12z as well
DoorBert

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United States
11/06/2012 01:24 PM

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Re: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN HIT EAST COAST TODAY AND TOMORROW!!!
Surface low now tightening up and at 1010mb

[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]

Trough axis in GA

[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]
Luisport (OP)

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11/06/2012 01:27 PM

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Re: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN HIT EAST COAST TODAY AND TOMORROW!!!
Surface low now tightening up and at 1010mb

[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]

Trough axis in GA

[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: DoorBert


it's gaining or loosing force?
DoorBert

User ID: 857877
United States
11/06/2012 01:32 PM

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Re: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN HIT EAST COAST TODAY AND TOMORROW!!!
Surface low now tightening up and at 1010mb

[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]

Trough axis in GA

[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: DoorBert


it's gaining or loosing force?
 Quoting: Luisport


Its about what is expected now.

Just saw the GFS ensembles and still a lot of uncertainty on how this will evolve in the next 24 to 48 hrs.

Could turn out to be a surprise

[link to www.atmos.albany.edu]
Luisport (OP)

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11/06/2012 01:38 PM

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Re: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN HIT EAST COAST TODAY AND TOMORROW!!!
Surface low now tightening up and at 1010mb

[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]

Trough axis in GA

[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: DoorBert


it's gaining or loosing force?
 Quoting: Luisport


Its about what is expected now.

Just saw the GFS ensembles and still a lot of uncertainty on how this will evolve in the next 24 to 48 hrs.

Could turn out to be a surprise

[link to www.atmos.albany.edu]
 Quoting: DoorBert


I'm a bit confused... some places say it will be east so not a problem, but we see that's in place...
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 27121505
United States
11/06/2012 01:42 PM
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Re: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN HIT EAST COAST TODAY AND TOMORROW!!!
Surface low now tightening up and at 1010mb

[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]

Trough axis in GA

[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: DoorBert


it's gaining or loosing force?
 Quoting: Luisport


Its about what is expected now.

Just saw the GFS ensembles and still a lot of uncertainty on how this will evolve in the next 24 to 48 hrs.

Could turn out to be a surprise

[link to www.atmos.albany.edu]
 Quoting: DoorBert


It looks like a low pressure system that just sits and sits off NJ / NY / LI.
Anonymous Coward
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11/06/2012 01:43 PM
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Re: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN HIT EAST COAST TODAY AND TOMORROW!!!
Surface low now tightening up and at 1010mb

[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]

Trough axis in GA

[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: DoorBert


it's gaining or loosing force?
 Quoting: Luisport


Its about what is expected now.

Just saw the GFS ensembles and still a lot of uncertainty on how this will evolve in the next 24 to 48 hrs.

Could turn out to be a surprise

[link to www.atmos.albany.edu]
 Quoting: DoorBert


It looks like a low pressure system that just sits and sits off NJ / NY / LI.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 27121505


Oh I guess all the images are for 6am Thursday, but at different elevations. Is that right?
Anonymous Coward
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11/06/2012 02:04 PM
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Re: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN HIT EAST COAST TODAY AND TOMORROW!!!
bump
Luisport (OP)

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11/06/2012 02:05 PM

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2 minBusiness Insider‏@businessinsider

These NJ Residents Tell Us Sandy Was Bad, But Their Insurance Companies Are Even Worse by @danielngoodman [link to read.bi]
Luisport (OP)

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11/06/2012 02:08 PM

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Re: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN HIT EAST COAST TODAY AND TOMORROW!!!
I don't eat tortilha (i'm not spanish) i heat BACALHAO AND PASTEIS DE NATA!!! lolsign

Last Edited by Luisport on 11/06/2012 02:11 PM
Luisport (OP)

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11/06/2012 02:09 PM

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Re: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN HIT EAST COAST TODAY AND TOMORROW!!!
(private joke with Doorbert)
Luisport (OP)

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11/06/2012 02:10 PM

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Re: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN HIT EAST COAST TODAY AND TOMORROW!!!
Joe Bastardi‏@BigJoeBastardi

ECMWF has thump snow area near PHL.. 986 mb low with 50 kt winds at 36 hrs 38.5,72.5
Luisport (OP)

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11/06/2012 02:12 PM

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Re: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN HIT EAST COAST TODAY AND TOMORROW!!!
[link to images.intellicast.com]
DoorBert

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11/06/2012 02:24 PM

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Re: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN HIT EAST COAST TODAY AND TOMORROW!!!
Surface low now tightening up and at 1010mb

[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]

Trough axis in GA

[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: DoorBert


it's gaining or loosing force?
 Quoting: Luisport


Its about what is expected now.

Just saw the GFS ensembles and still a lot of uncertainty on how this will evolve in the next 24 to 48 hrs.

Could turn out to be a surprise

[link to www.atmos.albany.edu]
 Quoting: DoorBert


I'm a bit confused... some places say it will be east so not a problem, but we see that's in place...
 Quoting: Luisport


Models are still very unsure with it.

If there was certainty, the ensembles would show pretty much the same thing.
Luisport (OP)

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11/06/2012 02:28 PM

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Re: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN HIT EAST COAST TODAY AND TOMORROW!!!
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
1243 PM EST TUE NOV 6 2012

MDZ024-025-VAZ099-100-062145-
/O.CON.KAKQ.CF.A.0003.121107T1400Z-121108T1400Z/
INLAND WORCESTER-MARYLAND BEACHES-ACCOMACK-NORTHAMPTON VA-
1243 PM EST TUE NOV 6 2012

...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING
THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

* TIMING...THE WEDNESDAY LATE MORNING HIGH TIDE CYCLE THROUGH
THE THURSDAY MORNING HIGH TIDE CYCLE...WITH THE GREATEST
IMPACT AND WATER LEVEL LIKELY TO OCCUR WITH THE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT TIDE.

* IMPACTS...WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO RISE TO 1.5 TO 2 FEET
ABOVE NORMAL BY THE LATE MORNING WEDNESDAY HIGH TIDE CYCLE...
AND 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING HIGH TIDE CYCLE. MODERATE FLOODING...
ESPECIALLY ALONG THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY IN
ACCOMACK AND NORTHAMPTON COUNTY...AND ALONG THE BAYS AND
INLETS FROM OCEAN CITY TO THE VIRGINIA EASTERN SHORE...WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITHIN A FEW HOURS EITHER SIDE OF EACH HIGH TIDE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR
FLOODING ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP. COASTAL RESIDENTS SHOULD BE
ALERT FOR LATEST STATEMENTS OR WARNINGS...AND TAKE ACTION TO
PROTECT PROPERTY.
Luisport (OP)

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Portugal
11/06/2012 02:28 PM

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Re: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN HIT EAST COAST TODAY AND TOMORROW!!!
1258 PM EST TUE NOV 6 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE MARYLAND PORTION OF THE
CHESAPEAKE BAY...TIDAL POTOMAC RIVER...AND ADJACENT COUNTIES IN
CENTRAL MARYLAND AND NORTHERN VIRGINIA AS WELL AS THE DISTRICT OF
COLUMBIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT TONIGHT FOR PORTIONS OF THE
MARYLAND CHESAPEAKE BAY AND TIDAL POTOMAC RIVER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

A COASTAL STORM IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE REGION WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY MORNING. THERE REMAINS UNCERTAINTY WITH REGARD TO THE
EXACT TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM. RAIN MAY MIX WITH SNOW DURING THIS
TIME. THERE IS A CHANCE THAT LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW MAY BE
POSSIBLE LATE WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT NORTH OF BALTIMORE CITY.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY FOR THE WATERS. A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FOR THE WATERS
WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. A GALE WARNING MAY BE NEEDED
WEDNESDAY NIGHT PORTIONS OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY.
Luisport (OP)

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11/06/2012 02:58 PM

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Severe Studios‏@severestudios

Slideshow briefing package about the Strong Coastal Nor’easter storm. [link to www.erh.noaa.gov]
Luisport (OP)

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11/06/2012 03:06 PM

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Nor'easter 2012 Tracker: Winter Storm Expected To Affect New York, New Jersey, New England (MAP)
The Huffington Post | By Andres Jauregui

They got "news" like this no news, lol:
8:32 PM – Today
Storm Remains Nameless
@ TWC_Shawn : The Weather Channel will NOT be naming the #Noreaster at this time.
acid trip
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11/06/2012 03:09 PM
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Severe Studios‏@severestudios

Slideshow briefing package about the Strong Coastal Nor’easter storm. [link to www.erh.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Luisport




Thanks Luisport ! That is an interesting slideshow !

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