Godlike Productions - Conspiracy Forum
Users Online Now: 2,059 (Who's On?)Visitors Today: 1,984,169
Pageviews Today: 2,604,078Threads Today: 556Posts Today: 11,504
07:33 PM


Rate this Thread

Absolute BS Crap Reasonable Nice Amazing
 

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN HIT EAST COAST TODAY AND TOMORROW!!!

 
Da fuq

User ID: 16258666
United States
11/06/2012 03:10 PM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN HIT EAST COAST TODAY AND TOMORROW!!!
telephone_pole
Luisport (OP)

User ID: 27142167
Portugal
11/06/2012 03:24 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN HIT EAST COAST TODAY AND TOMORROW!!!
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
347 AM EST TUE NOV 06 2012

VALID 12Z TUE NOV 06 2012 - 12Z THU NOV 08 2012

...A DEVELOPING COASTAL STORM MAY BRING WINTRY PRECIPITATION TO
THE I-95 CORRIDOR...

...ANOTHER WARM DAY ON TAP ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S. AS AN
UPPER RIDGE CONTINUES TO DOMINATE...


A DISTURBANCE WITHIN THE SOUTHERN BRANCH OF THE JET STREAM SHOULD
LIFT NORTHWARD THIS AFTERNOON ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST.
AS A BLOCKING RIDGE ANCHORS THE OPEN ATLANTIC...THIS SYSTEM IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO GAIN LATITUDE WITH LITTLE SHIFT TO THE
EAST. THE COASTAL SYSTEM FORECAST TO DEVELOP WILL DEFINITELY BE A
HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WIND PRODUCER WHILE CHURNING UP THE SEAS.
HOWEVER...RECENT MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THIS AREA OF DISTURBED
WEATHER MAY BE NUDGED OFFSHORE A BIT FURTHER THAN PREVIOUSLY
THOUGHT WHICH WOULD LESSEN THE IMPACTS OVER THE NORTHEASTERN
CONUS. THE CURRENT TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO KEEP THE
HEAVIEST RAINFALL JUST OFFSHORE OF THE NEW JERSEY COAST. WITH A
SURFACE RIDGE SETTING UP TO THE NORTH OF THIS DISTURBANCE...ENOUGH
LOW-LEVEL COLD AIR WILL WEDGE ITSELF ALONG THE I-95 CORRIDOR TO
BRING SOME ACCUMULATING SNOWS FROM DELAWARE UP TO MAINE. THIS
CURRENTLY INCLUDES SOME MAJOR METROPOLITAN CITIES INCLUDING
PHILADELPHIA...NEW YORK CITY...AND BOSTON WHERE A FEW INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE. KEEP IN MIND THAT THE TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM HAS BEEN
CHANGING WHICH WOULD ULTIMATELY ALTER THE IMPACTS TO THE
NORTHEAST. FOR THE LATEST THOUGHTS ON MODEL GUIDANCE...PLEASE
VISIT THE HPC MODEL DIAGNOSTICS DISCUSSION ON THE HPC WEBSITE
UNDER THE DISCUSSIONS HEADER.
Luisport (OP)

User ID: 27142167
Portugal
11/06/2012 03:29 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN HIT EAST COAST TODAY AND TOMORROW!!!
1 minJoe Bastardi‏@BigJoeBastardi

Remember heaviest snows focused in areas southeast of halloween areas. Trees weakened from Sandy. I AM NOT PLAYING THIS DOWN!

2 minJoe Bastardi‏@BigJoeBastardi

I have an ugly forecast, have had that all the time But if Nam is right, this storm would knock out as much power as last year storm

4 minJoe Bastardi‏@BigJoeBastardi

If correct, 18z nam run, which has again shifted west is a disaster. 1-2 million people will have power knocked out by snow, coast raked
Luisport (OP)

User ID: 27142167
Portugal
11/06/2012 03:44 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN HIT EAST COAST TODAY AND TOMORROW!!!
5 minJoe Bastardi‏@BigJoeBastardi

So this is the storm missing the coast.. over 2" of precip,alot of it snow in Jersey and gale to storm winds at coast [link to twitter.com]
Luisport (OP)

User ID: 27142167
Portugal
11/06/2012 03:52 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN HIT EAST COAST TODAY AND TOMORROW!!!
SYSTEMS MERGING ACROSS THE EAST WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY
NOR'EASTER MOVING OFFSHORE THE EAST COAST
=========================================
PREFERENCE: 12Z ECMWF/12Z GFS COMPROMISE WITH BELOW AVERAGE
CONFIDENCE

SINCE LAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT, THE GUIDANCE HAS SHIFTED FROM A
SOLUTION WHICH SHOWED ONE LARGE, PHASED NEGATIVELY TILTED TROUGH
TO A PATTERN SHOWING GREATER SEPARATION ALOFT/MORE STREAMS OF THE
WESTERLIES ACROSS NORTH AMERICA, WHICH HAS CAUSED A SURFACE LOW
TRACK WHICH HAS WAVERED FROM FAIRLY OFFSHORE (THEN INTO MAINE) TO
A MORE COASTAL TRACK BACK TO A MORE OFFSHORE TRACK (INCLUDING
MAINE) OVER THE PAST SIX DAYS. BINARY/FUJIWARA INTERACTION IS
PLAYING A LARGE ROLE WITH THIS OVERALL SYSTEM WHICH DROPS
CONFIDENCE TO BELOW AVERAGE AS THIS TYPE OF INTERACTION CAN CREATE
MODERATE TO LARGE RUN-TO-RUN AND DAY-TO-DAY DIFFERENCES IN THE
GUIDANCE UNTIL THE PROCESS IS UNDERWAY.

THE DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE SHOWS SIMILAR SPREAD WITH
THIS SYSTEM...WITH THE 12Z UKMET SHOWING THE QUICKEST/MOST
EASTERLY SOLUTION WHILE THE OTHER GUIDANCE SHOWS A MORE WESTERLY
TRACK FOR THIS CYCLONE. THERE IS NO STABLE FEATURE IN THE
NORTHERN STREAM TO HELP DETERMINE ITS LATITUDE IN A TELECONNECTION
SENSE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS AS THE NORTHERN STREAM LOOKS
PROGRESSIVE. DEPTH-WISE, ITS TRACK NEAR THE GULF STREAM INTO
WEDNESDAY IS LIKELY TO RESULT IN A FAIRLY LOW PRESSURE, ULTIMATELY
BOTTOMING OUT IN THE 980S HPA (BUT WELL SHY OF SANDY'S VERY LOW
PRESSURE). A COMPROMISE OF THE 12Z ECMWF/12Z GFS (WITH A SOMEWHAT
DEEPER CENTRAL PRESSURE) REMAINS THE COURSE OF LEAST REGRET WITH
BELOW AVERAGE CONFIDENCE.
Luisport (OP)

User ID: 27142167
Portugal
11/06/2012 03:56 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN HIT EAST COAST TODAY AND TOMORROW!!!
AccuWeather.com‏@breakingweather

Accu mets expect 2'- to locally 4' water rise on top of tide level from ~Ocean City, MD, through Atlantic City, NJ. with next storm.
Luisport (OP)

User ID: 27142167
Portugal
11/06/2012 03:57 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN HIT EAST COAST TODAY AND TOMORROW!!!
AccuWeather.com‏@breakingweather

RT @accupovick: Buoy 225 miles south of Cape Hatteras reporting pressure at 1009 mb and falling quickly.
Luisport (OP)

User ID: 27142167
Portugal
11/06/2012 04:06 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN HIT EAST COAST TODAY AND TOMORROW!!!
37 sRyan Maue‏@RyanMaue

4-km NAM is off the chain, 972 mb in 18-hours, tight-inner core, near major hurricane force winds. wtf? [link to twitter.com]
Luisport (OP)

User ID: 27142167
Portugal
11/06/2012 04:11 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN HIT EAST COAST TODAY AND TOMORROW!!!
37 sRyan Maue‏@RyanMaue

4-km NAM is off the chain, 972 mb in 18-hours, tight-inner core, near major hurricane force winds. wtf? [link to twitter.com]
 Quoting: Luisport


siren2siren2siren2
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 26687891
United States
11/06/2012 04:15 PM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN HIT EAST COAST TODAY AND TOMORROW!!!
bump
Luisport (OP)

User ID: 27142167
Portugal
11/06/2012 04:15 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN HIT EAST COAST TODAY AND TOMORROW!!!
Ryan Maue‏@RyanMaue

NAM-WRF 4km says to hell with Nor'easter, goes tropical with near-major hurricane. Unbelievable model run. [link to twitter.com]
Luisport (OP)

User ID: 27142167
Portugal
11/06/2012 04:18 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN HIT EAST COAST TODAY AND TOMORROW!!!
2 minJoe Bastardi‏@BigJoeBastardi

Nam feedback frenzy develops warm core rogue storm within cold overall envelope. Similar to nov 1968 but 150 further east Nasty beast


5 minJoe Bastardi‏@BigJoeBastardi

Nam develops almost hurricane like feature in ne coastal waters.. with excessive snow acc forecast S Jersey [link to twitter.com]
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1319233
United States
11/06/2012 04:20 PM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN HIT EAST COAST TODAY AND TOMORROW!!!
HAARP and xBand must be turning up the juice...

Like a thief in the night...
Luisport (OP)

User ID: 27142167
Portugal
11/06/2012 04:23 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN HIT EAST COAST TODAY AND TOMORROW!!!
1 minRyan Maue‏@RyanMaue

NMM-core of 12z NCEP 5-km WRF (similar to NAM-4km WRF nest), also agrees on warm-seclusion, impacts same as hurricane. [link to twitter.com]


3 minRyan Maue‏@RyanMaue

ARW-core of 12z NCEP 5-km WRF showed a hurricane off Jersey coast. [link to twitter.com]

Last Edited by Luisport on 11/06/2012 04:27 PM
DoorBert

User ID: 857877
United States
11/06/2012 04:26 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN HIT EAST COAST TODAY AND TOMORROW!!!
Actually NAM is showing 45 knots on the surface on the south Jersey shore and 70 knots at about 1000' altitude.

Most likely winds on the surface will gust to hurricane force winds.

[link to www.twisterdata.com]

At this point, I believe NAM now more so than EURO or GFS since it is designed to hone in on time frames of 72 hours or less.
DoorBert

User ID: 870568
United States
11/06/2012 04:28 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN HIT EAST COAST TODAY AND TOMORROW!!!
The most accurate short-range model is RAP with a forecast period of 18 hrs.

Just coming in on the end of its forecast period now.

[link to www.twisterdata.com]
Luisport (OP)

User ID: 27142167
Portugal
11/06/2012 04:30 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN HIT EAST COAST TODAY AND TOMORROW!!!
Actually NAM is showing 45 knots on the surface on the south Jersey shore and 70 knots at about 1000' altitude.

Most likely winds on the surface will gust to hurricane force winds.

[link to www.twisterdata.com]

At this point, I believe NAM now more so than EURO or GFS since it is designed to hone in on time frames of 72 hours or less.
 Quoting: DoorBert


siren2siren2siren2
DoorBert

User ID: 857877
United States
11/06/2012 04:31 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN HIT EAST COAST TODAY AND TOMORROW!!!
Interesting, SREF starts to dissipate it when it gets south of Long Island.

[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]

So, models are still not all on board with this.
Luisport (OP)

User ID: 27142167
Portugal
11/06/2012 04:32 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN HIT EAST COAST TODAY AND TOMORROW!!!
...bullseye again

[link to weather.unisys.com]
Luisport (OP)

User ID: 27142167
Portugal
11/06/2012 04:34 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN HIT EAST COAST TODAY AND TOMORROW!!!
Ryan Maue‏@RyanMaue

Gulf Stream SSTs are warm still w/colder tropopause aloft. Tropical convection can fire. Mesoscale guidance shows Hurricane Valerie.
DoorBert

User ID: 857877
United States
11/06/2012 04:34 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN HIT EAST COAST TODAY AND TOMORROW!!!
Good sat loops here

[link to www.ssd.noaa.gov]
DoorBert

User ID: 857877
United States
11/06/2012 04:36 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN HIT EAST COAST TODAY AND TOMORROW!!!
Surface low down to 1008mb now

[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]
Luisport (OP)

User ID: 27142167
Portugal
11/06/2012 04:37 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN HIT EAST COAST TODAY AND TOMORROW!!!
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
413 PM EST TUE NOV 6 2012

MONTAUK POINT NEW YORK TO SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY OUT 20 NM OFFSHORE
INCLUDING LONG ISLAND SOUND...LONG ISLAND BAYS AND NEW YORK HARBOR

ANZ345-070930-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
413 PM EST TUE NOV 6 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE
TONIGHT...
...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT...INCREASING
TO 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT. WAVES 2 TO 3 FT. A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF RAIN LATE. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM LATE.
.WED...NE WINDS 25 TO 30 KT...BECOMING N 30 TO 35 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 55 KT. WAVES AROUND 3 FT. RAIN. VSBY 1 TO
3 NM.
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 30 TO 35 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 KT. WAVES
AROUND 3 FT. RAIN. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.THU...N WINDS 25 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 KT...DIMINISHING TO
20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. WAVES 3 TO
5 FT. SHOWERS LIKELY...MAINLY IN THE MORNING.
.THU NIGHT...NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 20 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 35 KT. WAVES 2 TO 3 FT.
.FRI...NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. WAVES AROUND 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. WAVES
AROUND 2 FT IN THE EVENING...THEN 1 FT OR LESS.
.SAT...N WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING E. WAVES 1 FT OR LESS.
.SUN...S WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. WAVES 1 FT OR LESS.

$$
Luisport (OP)

User ID: 27142167
Portugal
11/06/2012 04:38 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN HIT EAST COAST TODAY AND TOMORROW!!!
2 minRyan Maue‏@RyanMaue

@ryancduff if it has tropical characteristics -- aka looks like a duck, they would issue advisories. In 18-hours, a 970 mb storm, wow.
Luisport (OP)

User ID: 27142167
Portugal
11/06/2012 04:42 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN HIT EAST COAST TODAY AND TOMORROW!!!
49 sRyan Maue‏@RyanMaue

For only a week after Sandy, this as a 30-hour forecast is stunning (even if completely botched/wrong). Can't prepare. [link to twitter.com]
Luisport (OP)

User ID: 27142167
Portugal
11/06/2012 04:47 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN HIT EAST COAST TODAY AND TOMORROW!!!
ahhhahhhahhhlflash
Luisport (OP)

User ID: 27142167
Portugal
11/06/2012 04:52 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN HIT EAST COAST TODAY AND TOMORROW!!!
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
327 PM EST TUE NOV 6 2012

...LIGHT SNOW AND GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
NIGHT ACROSS ORANGE AND WESTERN PASSAIC COUNTIES...

NJZ002-NYZ067-070430-
/O.NEW.KOKX.WW.Y.0007.121107T1100Z-121108T1100Z/
WESTERN PASSAIC-ORANGE-
327 PM EST TUE NOV 6 2012

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM WEDNESDAY TO 6 AM
EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM WEDNESDAY TO 6 AM
EST THURSDAY.

* LOCATIONS...ORANGE AND WESTERN PASSAIC COUNTIES.

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 3 INCHES.

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 30S.

* VISIBILITIES...THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS AND SNOW COULD
REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO UNDER 1 MILE AT TIMES.

* TIMING...WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WITH THE BEST CHANCE OF
ACCUMULATIONS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

* IMPACTS...A COMBINATION OF SNOW...GUSTY WINDS...AND TEMPERATURES
AROUND FREEZING COULD MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT AT
TIMES...ESPECIALLY IN HIGHER ELEVATIONS. THIS COMBINATION ALSO
COULD BRING DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

MALOIT
Luisport (OP)

User ID: 27142167
Portugal
11/06/2012 04:59 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN HIT EAST COAST TODAY AND TOMORROW!!!
PLEASE TRY TO PREPARE ON TIME!!! A LOT OF UNCERTAINITIES NOW!!!
Luisport (OP)

User ID: 27142167
Portugal
11/06/2012 05:07 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN HIT EAST COAST TODAY AND TOMORROW!!!
Ryan Maue‏@RyanMaue

Gulf Stream SSTs are warm still w/colder tropopause aloft. Tropical convection can fire. Mesoscale guidance shows Hurricane Valerie.
 Quoting: Luisport


abombabombabomb
CrazyEyesThreadKilla

User ID: 27024862
United States
11/06/2012 05:10 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN HIT EAST COAST TODAY AND TOMORROW!!!
bump

Cheers to the vigilant GLP modelhounds!

dasbier

News