HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN HIT EAST COAST TODAY AND TOMORROW!!! | |
Bluebird User ID: 730536 United States 11/05/2012 02:15 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | So what's the latest? When is it expected this will come ashore? One of the most important aspects of conspiracy theories is being able to discern when there isn't one. Oh yeah, like you'd understand anyway. Where are we going and why am I in this handbasket?. . .J. Handy |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 27067689 Portugal 11/05/2012 02:15 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 27067689 Portugal 11/05/2012 02:17 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | 8 minCapital Weather Gang‏@capitalweather Stress this is VERY difficult forecast. While we favor small impact for DC, slight change in track could change that: [link to www.washingtonpost.com] |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 27067689 Portugal 11/05/2012 02:19 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Summary NOAA indicates a 10-39 percent chance of 4 inches of snow well west and northwest of Washington, D.C. (NOAA) In summary, there are still four possible scenarios: 1) a heavy precipitation event that may have snow falling at times and possibly accumulating. The best chance of snow in this scenario would be in the colder suburbs to the northwest and west (with more elevation); that is, if the precipitation extends that far inland. [possible] 2) a light-moderate rainfall event with perhaps some snow mixing in but no accumulation [most likely] 3) a light rainfall event across the eastern suburbs [possible] 4) a complete miss [least likely] My gut feeling is that a complete miss is the least likely of the bunch. I noted Sunday that we were probably 24 to 48 hours from having the models reach a consensus allowing us to make a definitive call about whether snow would fall in the D.C. area. A day later and we still may be 24 hours away from an answer. [link to www.washingtonpost.com] |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 27067689 Portugal 11/05/2012 02:20 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 27067689 Portugal 11/05/2012 02:22 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Ryan Maue‏@RyanMaue @MikeMasco @JacquiJeras lowest GFS surface pressure from full-resolution files is about 978 mb at 00Z on Thursday. [link to twitter.com] 2 hRyan Maue‏@RyanMaue Wed evening, Nor'easter off coast equivalent to tropical storm conditions near coast. Heavy rain & wind + minor surge [link to twitter.com] |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 27067689 Portugal 11/05/2012 02:24 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | 2 hThe Weather Channel‏@weatherchannel Timeline of impacts for the upcoming #noreaster: [link to www.weather.com] |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 27067689 Portugal 11/05/2012 02:26 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Weather Underground‏@wunderground Dr. Masters says, "Nor'easter coming Wednesday and Thursday" [link to www.wunderground.com] #noreaster |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 27067689 Portugal 11/05/2012 02:27 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | An early-season Nor'easter will form off the coast of South Carolina on Tuesday evening. Once over the warm waters off the coast, the low will intensify, spreading heavy rains of 1 - 2" over coastal North Carolina on Tuesday night and Wednesday morning. The storm will accelerate to the north-northeast on Wednesday and pull in cold air from Canada, and intensify into a medium-strength Nor'easter with a central pressure near 984 mb by Wednesday evening. While the exact track of the storm still has considerable uncertainty, the models are pretty unified on the timing and strength of this storm. A 12-hour period of strong winds of 40 - 45 mph will likely affect portions of the coast from Maryland to Massachusetts. A more westerly track, as currently predicted by our top model, the European ECMWF model, would likely result in the storm's strongest winds affecting the New Jersey coast. A storm surge of 2 - 4 feet would likely hit the New Jersey coast, and a storm surge of 3 - 5 feet would likely impact the western end of Long Island Sound. These surges would be accompanied by high, battering waves, capable of causing moderate to locally severe erosion along the coastal areas pounded by Hurricane Sandy last week. Fortunately, the high tides this week will be some of the lowest of the month, since we are midway between when the new moon and full moon occur. A more easterly track for the storm, as predicted by the GFS model, would put the Nor'easter's strongest winds along eastern Long Island and coastal Massachusetts, resulting in lower storm surges for New Jersey and New York City. Accompanying the storm will be a swath of 2 - 3" of rain, with the heaviest rains falling over Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island. The storm isn't going to tap into a large reservoir of cold, Arctic air, which will limit its intensity and snowfall amounts. Snow is not expected in coastal area, but the Nor'easter has the potential to bring more than a foot of snow to mountain areas of New England. [link to www.wunderground.com] |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 27067689 Portugal 11/05/2012 02:28 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | YORK...SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. ...WINTER STORM POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY... A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST TUESDAY AND TRACK NORTHEAST UP THE EAST COAST AND BECOME AN EARLY SEASON WINTER STORM. IF THE STORM TRACKS CLOSE ENOUGH TO THE COAST...CENTRAL NEW YORK AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA COULD SEE A SIGNIFICANT SNOWSTORM BEGINNING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND LASTING INTO THURSDAY. RAIN COULD ALSO MIX WITH THE SNOW ESPECIALLY AT THE START OF THE STORM. THERE IS STILL TOO MUCH UNCERTAINTY TO DETERMINE EXACTLY HOW MUCH SNOW WILL FALL OR WHERE THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL OCCUR. LATEST MODEL TRENDS INDICATE SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL NEW YORK PRIMARILY EAST OF I-81 AND ACROSS NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA. THE GREATEST SNOWFALLS WILL MOST LIKELY OCCUR IN THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS OF THE WESTERN CATSKILLS AND POCONOS. IF YOU ARE PLANNING TRAVEL WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY IN CENTRAL NEW YORK OR NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...YOU SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WINTER STORM WATCHES OR ADVISORIES. |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 27067689 Portugal 11/05/2012 02:30 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
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Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 27067689 Portugal 11/05/2012 02:52 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | AccuWeather.com‏@breakingweather From @nwsbayarea: Highs on Thursday could be 30 degrees cooler than today in some areas! 1 hAccuWeather.com‏@breakingweather RT @justinweather: I spoke with my friend in NY w/o power. He said it was 52F in his living room at noon. |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 27067689 Portugal 11/05/2012 02:56 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | 6 minCapital Weather Gang‏@capitalweather If Reagan Natl drops to 32 tonight, will be ~2 weeks ahead of "average" 1st freeze last 30 years: 14 minCapital Weather Gang‏@capitalweather Freeze warning for entire DC/Balt area tonight. Say goodbye to the growing season for most: |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 27067689 Portugal 11/05/2012 03:01 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA... NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...EAST TEXAS AND NORTHEAST TEXAS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT... SCATTERED SHOWERS...AND PERHAPS A FEW THUNDERSTORMS...MAY DEVELOP ACROSS MAINLY NORTHERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS PORTIONS OF THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON...OUT AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT WHICH WILL SLOWLY MOVE ACROSS THE REGION. HOWEVER...BOTH INSTABILITY AND LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR ARE QUITE LIMITED...THEREFORE...ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO DEVELOP WILL REMAIN WELL BELOW SEVERE LIMITS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY... A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE INTO THE PLAINS FOR THE WEEKEND WITH THE SYSTEM LIKELY NOT AFFECTING OUR REGION UNTIL SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. DEPENDING ON THE TIMING OF THIS SYSTEM AND THE AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY ACROSS THE REGION...SOME SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FOUR STATE REGION DURING THE DAY SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...AMATEUR RADIO OPERATORS...AND STORM SPOTTERS WILL NOT BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT. |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 27067689 Portugal 11/05/2012 03:15 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | The Nws Storm Prediction Center Has Issued A Severe Thunderstorm Watch For Portions Of Southwest Louisiana Southeast Texas Coastal Waters Effective This Monday Afternoon And Evening From 210 PM Until 900 Pm CST. Hail To 2 Inches In Diameter... Thunderstorm Wind Gusts To 70 Mph... And Dangerous Lightning Are Possible In These Areas. Discussion... Thunderstorms Are Expected To Develop This Afternoon Along/Ahead Of An Approaching Cold Front Over Southeast TX And Southwest LA. The Air Mass In This Region Has Heated/Destabilized With Mucape Values Over 2000 J/Kg. Despite Relatively Weak Low Level Winds... Favorable Deep Layer Shear And Mid Level Lapse Rates Will Promote The Risk Of Hail And Damaging Winds In The Strongest Cells. |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 27067689 Portugal 11/05/2012 03:18 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Jim Cantore‏@JimCantore NEW #Severe watch for TX/LA till 9pm: [link to www.spc.noaa.gov] … #TXwx #LAwx |
Laura Bow User ID: 1158661 United States 11/05/2012 03:21 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 27067689 Portugal 11/05/2012 03:25 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | While a powerful nor'easter lashes the Sandy-ravaged coast, snow will fall over a narrow swath of the interior Northeast during the middle to latter part of the week. A storm that will swing off the East coast on Tuesday will intensify rapidly near the mid-Atlantic coast on Wednesday. High winds, coastal flooding and torrential rainfall will impact the mid-Atlantic coast, including the Sandy-battered New Jersey and Long Island. Colder air across the interior Northeast will allow snow to mix in or fall alone by Wednesday afternoon. A narrow band of snow will develop on the backside of the storm from northern Virginia, northern West Virginia, east-central Pennsylvania to western Massachusetts and southern Vermont. By Wednesday evening, snow may reach western suburbs of Washington, D.C., and Baltimore, Md. A wintry mix and snow will spread farther north across New York state and northern New England overnight Wednesday into Thursday. Temperatures may even be cold enough for some snow to mix in across far northwestern suburbs of Philadelphia and New York City on Wednesday night. One to three inches of snow will fall across a large corridor of the Northeast, from northern Virginia to New England. Higher amounts of snow, 3-6 inches, may accumulate over the mountains of northeastern Pennsylvania and southern New York and the mountains of northern New England. Light snow can stick to roads, making them slick and dangerous Wednesday night into Thursday. Meanwhile, there are concerns that freezing rain will mix in with snow and sleet across northern New England, while warmer air rides up and over colder air at the surface. Portions of Vermont, New Hampshire and western Maine may be at risk for up to 0.25 of an inch of icing. The weight of snow, sleet and ice may be enough to down some tree branches onto power lines. Scattered power outages are not out of the question for northern New England. High winds could add further stress to tree limbs across the interior Northeast, while also contributing to wintry AccuWeather.com RealFeel® temperatures. [link to www.accuweather.com] |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 27067689 Portugal 11/05/2012 03:38 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 27067689 Portugal 11/05/2012 03:42 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Laura Bow User ID: 1158661 United States 11/05/2012 03:44 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Joe Bastardi‏@BigJoeBastardi Quoting: Luisport Feel that this storm threat is not understood.noteworthy for early, power outing snow and major problems in coastal areas exposed by Sandy This is true....heck, those two storms in Feb 2010 that they misjudged dropped 2 ft of snow each time within a few days of each other, I think we were originally only supposed to get a few inches. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 27077112 Colombia 11/05/2012 04:12 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 730100 Portugal 11/05/2012 04:14 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | 2 minAccuWeather.com‏@breakingweather Cool air in the West means that a warm-up is in store for the East by next weekend. [link to www.accuweather.com] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 730100 Portugal 11/05/2012 04:25 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | For the Snow lovers... MODELS BEGINNING TO CONVERGE ON A SOLN FOR THE STORM. THE 12Z GFS/ECMWF/GFS ENSEMBLE/GGEM ARE ALL SIMILAR WITH THE DEVELOPMENTAL STAGES OF THE STORM TIL 00Z THU. SOLNS THEN BEGIN TO DIVERGE AFT THE MATURATION OF THE SYSTEM. THE CONSENSUS IS THAT A MID-UPR 980S LOW WILL DEVELOP ABOUT 150-160 MILES ESE OF CAPE MAY NJ BY 00Z THU. WITH A 1030 OR SO HIGH OVER LABRADOR...WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN SIGNIFICANTLY AS THEY ADJUST TO THE PRES DURING THE DAY. THESE POWERFUL WINDS WILL LAST THRU THE EVE. THE CURRENT DATA SUGGESTS GUSTS UP TO 70 MPH IN THE CORE OF THESE WINDS. AFT THE DEEPENING PHASE OF THE STORM WED NGT...THE LOW WILL SLOWLY TRACK NEWD BUT WILL REMAIN AN OCCLUDED WIND MACHINE...PRODUCING GUSTS IN THE 40-55 MPH RANGE THRU THU. EXACT PROXIMITY TO THE COAST AND DEPTH OF THE LOW WILL DETERMINE THE ACTUAL MAGNITUDE OF THE WINDS. DYNAMIC COOLING IN THE NWRN QUAD OF THE STORM WILL PRESENT THE POTENTIAL FOR ACCUMULATING SNOW. THE ECMWF CONTINUES TO BE COLDEST SOLN AND IS TRENDING COLDER. THE PRIME CANDIDATE FOR SIG ACCUMS WOULD BE OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN OF NJ AND INTO THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY. THE FCST HAS BEEN TRENDED COOLER. A MIX HAS BEEN INTRODUCED INTO PORTIONS OF THE CITY AND COASTS...WITH NO ACCUMS...AND LIGHT ACCUMS HAVE BEEN INDICATED ACROSS THE HIGHER INTERIOR SPOTS. BASED ON HOW THIS STORM IS EXPECTED TO EVOLVE...AN EWD TREND IN THE TRACK WOULD RESULT IN MORE SNOW AND LESS WIND. AS THE STORM DRIFTS PAST AND AWAY THU-THU NGT...PERIODS OF LIGHTER PCPN CAN BE EXPECTED. THERE COULD BE A FEW EMBEDDED MDT BANDS IN THIS ACTIVITY...BUT WIDESPREAD MDT-HVY PCPN IS NOT EXPECTED. AS MENTIONED ABV...THE GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE THRU THE DAY AND DIMINISH THU NGT. AS ALWAYS...THIS STORM IS STILL A FEW DAYS AWAY SO CHANGES/UPDATES CAN BE EXPECTED. A HIGH WIND WATCH WILL BE ISSUED FOR THE ENTIRE CWA FOR WED-WED NGT. NO WINTER WEATHER WATCHES ATTM. A SNOW TOTAL GRAPHIC HAS BEEN POSTED. |
DoorBert User ID: 870568 United States 11/05/2012 04:25 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 730100 Portugal 11/05/2012 04:38 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | 1 minCapital Weather Gang‏@capitalweather Winds may reach 30-45 mph, w/ gusts to 60 mph in coastal areas slammed by #Sandy in NJ/NY: [link to wapo.st] 2 minCapital Weather Gang‏@capitalweather Storm, flood and high wind watches issued ahead of Nor’easter in Sandy-stricken areas, new post: [link to wapo.st] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 730100 Portugal 11/05/2012 04:39 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | 1 minCapital Weather Gang‏@capitalweather NWS: Nor'easter is "particularly dangerous situation" for areas hardest hit by #Sandy [link to wapo.st] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 730100 Portugal 11/05/2012 04:42 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Capital Weather Gang‏@capitalweather NWS: seas may be 7.5-8 ft above mean low water level along DE/NJ coastline from Nor'easter late Wed: [link to wapo.st] |