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Message Subject HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CAN HIT EAST COAST TODAY AND TOMORROW!!!
Poster Handle Luisport
Post Content
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
347 AM EST TUE NOV 06 2012

VALID 12Z TUE NOV 06 2012 - 12Z THU NOV 08 2012

...A DEVELOPING COASTAL STORM MAY BRING WINTRY PRECIPITATION TO
THE I-95 CORRIDOR...

...ANOTHER WARM DAY ON TAP ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S. AS AN
UPPER RIDGE CONTINUES TO DOMINATE...


A DISTURBANCE WITHIN THE SOUTHERN BRANCH OF THE JET STREAM SHOULD
LIFT NORTHWARD THIS AFTERNOON ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST.
AS A BLOCKING RIDGE ANCHORS THE OPEN ATLANTIC...THIS SYSTEM IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO GAIN LATITUDE WITH LITTLE SHIFT TO THE
EAST. THE COASTAL SYSTEM FORECAST TO DEVELOP WILL DEFINITELY BE A
HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WIND PRODUCER WHILE CHURNING UP THE SEAS.
HOWEVER...RECENT MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THIS AREA OF DISTURBED
WEATHER MAY BE NUDGED OFFSHORE A BIT FURTHER THAN PREVIOUSLY
THOUGHT WHICH WOULD LESSEN THE IMPACTS OVER THE NORTHEASTERN
CONUS. THE CURRENT TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO KEEP THE
HEAVIEST RAINFALL JUST OFFSHORE OF THE NEW JERSEY COAST. WITH A
SURFACE RIDGE SETTING UP TO THE NORTH OF THIS DISTURBANCE...ENOUGH
LOW-LEVEL COLD AIR WILL WEDGE ITSELF ALONG THE I-95 CORRIDOR TO
BRING SOME ACCUMULATING SNOWS FROM DELAWARE UP TO MAINE. THIS
CURRENTLY INCLUDES SOME MAJOR METROPOLITAN CITIES INCLUDING
PHILADELPHIA...NEW YORK CITY...AND BOSTON WHERE A FEW INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE. KEEP IN MIND THAT THE TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM HAS BEEN
CHANGING WHICH WOULD ULTIMATELY ALTER THE IMPACTS TO THE
NORTHEAST. FOR THE LATEST THOUGHTS ON MODEL GUIDANCE...PLEASE
VISIT THE HPC MODEL DIAGNOSTICS DISCUSSION ON THE HPC WEBSITE
UNDER THE DISCUSSIONS HEADER.
 
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