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Message Subject Nov 22 - 23: a tropical cyclone heading towards New England!!!
Poster Handle Luisport
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549. ILwthrfan01:34 PM GMT em 08 de Novembro de 2012
Quoting JeffMasters:
Latest 06Z GFS shows an unsettling possibility for Nov 22 - 23: a tropical cyclone heading towards New England, a blocking ridge in place over Greenland, and a strong negatively tilted trough over the Eastern U.S., which would have the potential to pull the tropical cyclone to the NW and merge with a big extratropical cyclone over New England. Granted, 2-week GFS forecasts are very low reliability, but I don't like seeing another Sandy-type situation predicted by the GFS.

Jeff Masters

I would assume that if a situation like that occurred again we would see a much quicker transition to an extra-tropical cyclone much further south in latitude? I'd imagine with SST's drop of 2 Celsius or more from the Gulf Stream south has occurred since Sandy was in that area...

Not to mention that the troughs have been digging further south as well. That is one monster trough the models are showing early next week.
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