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Debunking the Turnout Theory.

 
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User ID: 27194352
United States
11/08/2012 08:45 PM

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Debunking the Turnout Theory.
So I have went through some numbers after seeing many threads earlier, pointing to voter fraud because of low turnout. I havent been able to sift through all the numbers but what I have found so far is telling. First I looked at the effect that Sandy might have had on voter turnout. So I checked NY and NJ. Turnout for the state of NY for the two major party candidates in '08 was 7,557,429. Compared to 6,098,613 in 2012. A fall of nearly 1.5 million votes. In NJ '08 was 3,828,627. For '12 it was 3,344,453. A difference of about 500,000 votes. So combined turnout fell about 2 million votes in NY and NJ. I think we can say with certainty that Sandy had an affect on turnout. Although I would hesitate to give the storm all the credit for this fall in turnout as many more factors could be at play. Finally I checked California because the numbers there were massive. In CA '08 it was 13,286,254 and for '12 9,304,993. A difference of about 4 million votes. So of the 12 million vote difference between '04 and '08, 6 million of those votes were from NY, NJ, and CA. The other 6 million seems to be spread out over the electorate pretty evenly. With the decline in turnout mostly hurting Obama across the board. Exactly why this is I can not explain at this point. But this is what I found in the numbers.

Last Edited by Left of Center Libertarian on 11/08/2012 08:47 PM
This is America. Just as we fight hard when the stakes are high, we close ranks and come together when the contest is done.

And while there will be time enough to debate our continuing differences, now is the time to recognize that that which unites us is greater than that which divides us.

While we yet hold and do not yield our opposing beliefs, there is a higher duty than the one we owe to political party. This is America and we put country before party.

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