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***Gold to hit $2000 in three months - S&P to 1215***

 
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 19085531
United Kingdom
11/09/2012 10:44 AM
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***Gold to hit $2000 in three months - S&P to 1215***
Interesting... Does look like gold and the S&P are now diverging - ie gold up stocks down.... which from that chart doesn't happen that often (every 12 months or so)... And when it has it's been v good for gold...

Punchy call... we'll see i guess

[link to www.goldmadesimplenews.com]
Anonymous Coward (OP)
User ID: 19085531
United Kingdom
11/09/2012 11:09 AM
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Re: ***Gold to hit $2000 in three months - S&P to 1215***
snip/

Below is a chart looking at the S&P’s and Gold’s relative price performance over the past 5 years. Aside from the obvious, namely that gold has been a way better investment than stocks (up 100% versus down 5%), if we look a little more closely we can see an interesting trend emerge.

Over the past 5 years we can see that for the majority of the time the US stock market (S&P 500) and gold moved in the same direction (grey). So when gold fell so did the S&P, and when the S&P rose gold also rose. Broadly speaking this type of market action has happened 36 months out of the last 60.

But there were occasions, happening just 12 months out of the last 60, where the gold price rose when the S&P fell (green). These occasions were rare (happening 20% of the time) and short lived (lasting around 3 months), but often producing the fastest gains for gold.

There was one period lasting 12 months, from August 2011 to August 2012, where gold went down and the stock market went up (blue).

So are we due another brief but powerful period in the market when gold rises and stocks fall?

Looking again at the above chart, we can see that the average time when gold isn’t in this (green) +ve divergent period is about 12 months.

The past 14 months has been a period when stocks have either risen whilst gold has fallen (blue) or both stocks have risen/fallen together (grey). So you could argue that we’re actually past due seeing one of these (green) periods once again.

The average time that gold goes up and stocks fall (green) over the past five years is just 3 months, this compares with the average 12 months that gold and stocks fall/rise together (grey) or stocks rise and gold falls (blue).

However this period (green) is also when some of the biggest and fastest gains in gold can be made.

During these (green) periods gold has averaged more than a 20% rise in the price, whilst US stocks have on average fallen just under 20%.

So what are the past 5 days telling us is happening?

snip/

rest here:

[link to www.goldmadesimplenews.com]
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 7702124
United States
11/09/2012 06:23 PM
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Re: ***Gold to hit $2000 in three months - S&P to 1215***
Interesting... Does look like gold and the S&P are now diverging - ie gold up stocks down.... which from that chart doesn't happen that often (every 12 months or so)... And when it has it's been v good for gold...

Punchy call... we'll see i guess

[link to www.goldmadesimplenews.com]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 19085531


Buy gold....and short the big corporations.
It's gonna be a long ride down.

ochange
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 27412307
Canada
11/09/2012 06:46 PM
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Re: ***Gold to hit $2000 in three months - S&P to 1215***
bsflag
Once4All
The Truth Is Clear To Everyone!

User ID: 14234835
United States
11/09/2012 08:07 PM

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Re: ***Gold to hit $2000 in three months - S&P to 1215***
A lot of bold calls lately.

It will be interesting to see what happens.



hf
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Anonymous Coward
User ID: 27112993
United States
11/09/2012 08:21 PM
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Re: ***Gold to hit $2000 in three months - S&P to 1215***
Interesting... Does look like gold and the S&P are now diverging - ie gold up stocks down.... which from that chart doesn't happen that often (every 12 months or so)... And when it has it's been v good for gold...

Punchy call... we'll see i guess

[link to www.goldmadesimplenews.com]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 19085531


I believe gold and silver and other precious metals go up also ,but so also will food ,health costs ,utilies and everything else go up also ...
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 7702124
United States
11/09/2012 08:30 PM
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Re: ***Gold to hit $2000 in three months - S&P to 1215***
Interesting... Does look like gold and the S&P are now diverging - ie gold up stocks down.... which from that chart doesn't happen that often (every 12 months or so)... And when it has it's been v good for gold...

Punchy call... we'll see i guess

[link to www.goldmadesimplenews.com]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 19085531


I believe gold and silver and other precious metals go up also ,but so also will food ,health costs ,utilies and everything else go up also ...
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 27112993


TAX! TAX! TAX! .....whitey's gotta pay for ObamaCommie's spending.

Bend over America.

butt
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 26369365
United States
11/09/2012 08:37 PM
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Re: ***Gold to hit $2000 in three months - S&P to 1215***
Interesting... Does look like gold and the S&P are now diverging - ie gold up stocks down.... which from that chart doesn't happen that often (every 12 months or so)... And when it has it's been v good for gold...

Punchy call... we'll see i guess

[link to www.goldmadesimplenews.com]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 19085531


I believe gold and silver and other precious metals go up also ,but so also will food ,health costs ,utilies and everything else go up also ...
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 27112993


TAX! TAX! TAX! .....whitey's gotta pay for ObamaCommie's spending.

Bend over America.

butt
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 7702124


You have to pay for all that corporate welfare somehow. All hail corporate Amerika.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 16520024
United States
11/09/2012 10:58 PM
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Re: ***Gold to hit $2000 in three months - S&P to 1215***
$2k should have been there years ago.


cool2
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 27399706
United States
11/09/2012 10:59 PM
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Re: ***Gold to hit $2000 in three months - S&P to 1215***
There's a lot of QE-4-infinity manipulation of the markets to continue.
Anonymous Coward (OP)
User ID: 19085531
United Kingdom
11/10/2012 12:36 AM
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Re: ***Gold to hit $2000 in three months - S&P to 1215***
$2k should have been there years ago.


cool2
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 16520024


The fact it has taken so long means that when it does 'pop' it's going to beb bloody spectacular!
Anonymous Coward (OP)
User ID: 19085531
United Kingdom
11/10/2012 12:37 AM
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Re: ***Gold to hit $2000 in three months - S&P to 1215***
$2k should have been there years ago.


cool2
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 16520024


The fact it has taken so long means that when it does 'pop' it's going to beb bloody spectacular!
MindShaft

User ID: 1554827
United States
11/10/2012 01:19 AM
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Re: ***Gold to hit $2000 in three months - S&P to 1215***
Interesting... Does look like gold and the S&P are now diverging - ie gold up stocks down.... which from that chart doesn't happen that often (every 12 months or so)... And when it has it's been v good for gold...

Punchy call... we'll see i guess

[link to www.goldmadesimplenews.com]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 19085531


I believe gold and silver and other precious metals go up also ,but so also will food ,health costs ,utilies and everything else go up also ...
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 27112993


These commodities aren't really appreciating in value (cost- yes; value- no)- we're just witnessing the 'beginning of the end' for the hegemony of the almighty US 'petro-dollar'.

Thank you, "QE > infinity, - and beyond".

Get out of the US dollar, and US dollar-denominated paper assets while they still maintain some value. When the shouting's all over and the fat lady sings, they will be worthless.
"People have been conditioned to ridicule all that they are incapable of understanding." Goethe

"None are more hopelessly enslaved than those who falsely believe that they are free." Goethe
Anonymous Coward (OP)
User ID: 19085531
United Kingdom
11/10/2012 01:25 AM
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Re: ***Gold to hit $2000 in three months - S&P to 1215***
Interesting... Does look like gold and the S&P are now diverging - ie gold up stocks down.... which from that chart doesn't happen that often (every 12 months or so)... And when it has it's been v good for gold...

Punchy call... we'll see i guess

[link to www.goldmadesimplenews.com]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 19085531


I believe gold and silver and other precious metals go up also ,but so also will food ,health costs ,utilies and everything else go up also ...
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 27112993


These commodities aren't really appreciating in value (cost- yes; value- no)- we're just witnessing the 'beginning of the end' for the hegemony of the almighty US 'petro-dollar'.

Thank you, "QE > infinity, - and beyond".

Get out of the US dollar, and US dollar-denominated paper assets while they still maintain some value. When the shouting's all over and the fat lady sings, they will be worthless.
 Quoting: MindShaft


agreed
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 8865685
Korea, Republic of
11/10/2012 01:28 AM
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Re: ***Gold to hit $2000 in three months - S&P to 1215***
bsflag
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 27412307


yep , best time to sell or short ...

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