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Turnout Breakdown for the 2012 Election.

 
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 27194352
United States
11/09/2012 09:56 PM
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Turnout Breakdown for the 2012 Election.
Breaking down turnout for the 2012 election. Votes are still coming in so none of this is final. As of this point their were 9,418,343 fewer votes cast in this election than in 2008. With president Obama receiving 8,033,703 less and Gov. Romney receiving 1,384,640 votes less than McCain. I broke the country down into geographic regions and checked the vote totals from this election versus the 2008 election. The area's and results were as follows.

Red States(IN,KY,WV,TN,NC,MS,AL,GA,SC,LA,AR,MZ,TX,OK,KA,NE,SD,ND​,AZ,UT,WY,ID,MT,AK)-

Romney-24,565,537
Obama- 18,016,400

McCain-24,550,629
Obama- 19,651,053

A net loss of 1,598,653 for Obama from 2008 and a net gain of 14,908 for Gov Romney over McCain. This nearly 1.6 million vote drop in red states for Obama accounted for 17% of the total drop in turnout.


New England(DC,MD,DE,NJ,CT,RI,MA,VT,NH,ME,NY,PA)

Romney-9,987,418
Obama-14,382,609

McCain-10,769,887
Obama- 16,651,663

This is one of the two regions in which Romney under-performed McCain in '08. Netting a loss of 782,459 votes while the president lost 2,269,054 votes in this region from '08. Or 32% of the total drop in turnout.

West Coast + HI(CA,OR,WA,HI)

I had to extrapolate with WA since only 75% were in when I did the math. Ended up with 800,000 as 25% of the electorate for WA. Distributed at the same 55%-45% clip were 440,000 for Obama and 360,000 more for Romney.


Romney-5,983,264
Obama- 8,767,592

McCain-7,100,038
Obama- 11,388,483

This is the second and final region were Romney under-performed McCain. Netting a loss of 1,116,774 to the presidents loss of 2,620,891 votes from '08 in this region. Accounting for 41% of the decline in turnout.

Combined the New England and West coast regions accounted for 6,789,178 votes in the drop in turnout from '08. 4,889,995 for Obama and 1,898,933 for Romney. A total of 73% of the total drop in turnout came from these two regions.

Great Lakes + NM(IL,MI,WI,MN,NM)

Romney-7,265,025
Obama- 9,048,672

McCain-6,964,452
Obama- 10,014,914

In this region Romney gained 300,573 votes over McCain's '08 performance in the same region. Obama's number fell by 966,242. Representing 10% of the total drop.

Purple States(FL,OH,VA,IA,CO,NV)

Romney-10,833,083
Obama- 11,381,151

McCain-10,617,244
Obama- 11,832,902

In the purple state region chosen for arbitrary reasons and some geographic reasons. This region saw Romney improve on McCain's '08 totals by 215,839 votes. While the president slipped 451,751 votes from his count from the same region in '08. Accounting for less than 1% of the fall in turnout.



Had Romney equaled McCain's total in the New England and West Coast regions, he would have bettered McCain's '08 vote total by about 750,000 and still lost the popular vote to Obama by about 750,000. Obama bled off support in all 5 regions compared to '08. While Romney improved on McCain's numbers in 3 of 5 regions, while falling off significantly in the other 2.
Anonymous Coward
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11/10/2012 07:43 AM
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Re: Turnout Breakdown for the 2012 Election.
bump
Anonymous Coward
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11/10/2012 09:48 AM
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Re: Turnout Breakdown for the 2012 Election.
I posted this for all the people talking about the decrease in turnout. Everyone was wondering were the votes were lost. I did the work for you. No partisan tilt, just the raw data as of yesterday afternoon. I invite either side of the political spectrum to look at the data and draw your own conclusions.
Anonymous Coward
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11/10/2012 10:22 AM
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Re: Turnout Breakdown for the 2012 Election.
I went back and added the 2008 totals for perspective.
Anonymous Coward
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11/10/2012 11:14 AM
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Re: Turnout Breakdown for the 2012 Election.
Combined the Red state region, the New England region, and the West Coast region. Accounted for 89% of the total decline in turnout. Another 10% came from the Great Lakes region + NM. These are rounded figures. The total decline in turnout amongst the Purple states I identified was less than 1%.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 27413742
Canada
11/10/2012 11:42 AM
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Re: Turnout Breakdown for the 2012 Election.
This is the best breakdown




[link to www.twitlonger.com]


WHO VOTED FOR ROMNEY?
SaveUSa

User ID: 20038946
United States
11/10/2012 11:59 AM

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Re: Turnout Breakdown for the 2012 Election.
Excellent breakdown OP. will include a link in my thread if you don't mind.

While I continue to smell fish, I will take your analysis to heart as I complete mine against the official state results when they're released.
Within the surreal depths of "reality" lies the truth.
Anonymous Coward
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11/10/2012 12:06 PM
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Re: Turnout Breakdown for the 2012 Election.
Excellent breakdown OP. will include a link in my thread if you don't mind.

While I continue to smell fish, I will take your analysis to heart as I complete mine against the official state results when they're released.
 Quoting: SaveUSa


Thank you very much. Feel free to use it as you like, thats why I posted.

hf
Anonymous Coward
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11/10/2012 02:33 PM
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Re: Turnout Breakdown for the 2012 Election.
bump
Anonymous Coward
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11/10/2012 02:44 PM
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Re: Turnout Breakdown for the 2012 Election.
Obama got 8,033,703 fewer votes than he did in 2008 and still won easily.

This goes to illustrate what a modern day landslide 2008 really was.
It's also striking how weak the GOP was this year, outside of the south, of course.

332
206
Anonymous Coward
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11/10/2012 03:35 PM
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Re: Turnout Breakdown for the 2012 Election.
bump
 Quoting: Super Bowl Dave


Thx Dave.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 6493463
United States
11/10/2012 03:43 PM
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Re: Turnout Breakdown for the 2012 Election.
Breaking down turnout for the 2012 election. Votes are still coming in so none of this is final. As of this point their were 9,418,343 fewer votes cast in this election than in 2008. With president Obama receiving 8,033,703 less and Gov. Romney receiving 1,384,640 votes less than McCain. I broke the country down into geographic regions and checked the vote totals from this election versus the 2008 election. The area's and results were as follows.

Red States(IN,KY,WV,TN,NC,MS,AL,GA,SC,LA,AR,MZ,TX,OK,KA,NE,SD,ND​,AZ,UT,WY,ID,MT,AK)-

Romney-24,565,537
Obama- 18,016,400

McCain-24,550,629
Obama- 19,651,053

A net loss of 1,598,653 for Obama from 2008 and a net gain of 14,908 for Gov Romney over McCain. This nearly 1.6 million vote drop in red states for Obama accounted for 17% of the total drop in turnout.


New England(DC,MD,DE,NJ,CT,RI,MA,VT,NH,ME,NY,PA)

Romney-9,987,418
Obama-14,382,609

McCain-10,769,887
Obama- 16,651,663

This is one of the two regions in which Romney under-performed McCain in '08. Netting a loss of 782,459 votes while the president lost 2,269,054 votes in this region from '08. Or 32% of the total drop in turnout.

West Coast + HI(CA,OR,WA,HI)

I had to extrapolate with WA since only 75% were in when I did the math. Ended up with 800,000 as 25% of the electorate for WA. Distributed at the same 55%-45% clip were 440,000 for Obama and 360,000 more for Romney.


Romney-5,983,264
Obama- 8,767,592

McCain-7,100,038
Obama- 11,388,483

This is the second and final region were Romney under-performed McCain. Netting a loss of 1,116,774 to the presidents loss of 2,620,891 votes from '08 in this region. Accounting for 41% of the decline in turnout.

Combined the New England and West coast regions accounted for 6,789,178 votes in the drop in turnout from '08. 4,889,995 for Obama and 1,898,933 for Romney. A total of 73% of the total drop in turnout came from these two regions.

Great Lakes + NM(IL,MI,WI,MN,NM)

Romney-7,265,025
Obama- 9,048,672

McCain-6,964,452
Obama- 10,014,914

In this region Romney gained 300,573 votes over McCain's '08 performance in the same region. Obama's number fell by 966,242. Representing 10% of the total drop.

Purple States(FL,OH,VA,IA,CO,NV)

Romney-10,833,083
Obama- 11,381,151

McCain-10,617,244
Obama- 11,832,902

In the purple state region chosen for arbitrary reasons and some geographic reasons. This region saw Romney improve on McCain's '08 totals by 215,839 votes. While the president slipped 451,751 votes from his count from the same region in '08. Accounting for less than 1% of the fall in turnout.



Had Romney equaled McCain's total in the New England and West Coast regions, he would have bettered McCain's '08 vote total by about 750,000 and still lost the popular vote to Obama by about 750,000. Obama bled off support in all 5 regions compared to '08. While Romney improved on McCain's numbers in 3 of 5 regions, while falling off significantly in the other 2.
 Quoting: Frangas non Flectes


Please tell us, where are you getting these numbers?
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 11208970
United States
11/10/2012 03:52 PM
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Re: Turnout Breakdown for the 2012 Election.
Breaking down turnout for the 2012 election. Votes are still coming in so none of this is final. As of this point their were 9,418,343 fewer votes cast in this election than in 2008. With president Obama receiving 8,033,703 less and Gov. Romney receiving 1,384,640 votes less than McCain. I broke the country down into geographic regions and checked the vote totals from this election versus the 2008 election. The area's and results were as follows.

Red States(IN,KY,WV,TN,NC,MS,AL,GA,SC,LA,AR,MZ,TX,OK,KA,NE,SD,ND​,AZ,UT,WY,ID,MT,AK)-

Romney-24,565,537
Obama- 18,016,400

McCain-24,550,629
Obama- 19,651,053

A net loss of 1,598,653 for Obama from 2008 and a net gain of 14,908 for Gov Romney over McCain. This nearly 1.6 million vote drop in red states for Obama accounted for 17% of the total drop in turnout.


New England(DC,MD,DE,NJ,CT,RI,MA,VT,NH,ME,NY,PA)

Romney-9,987,418
Obama-14,382,609

McCain-10,769,887
Obama- 16,651,663

This is one of the two regions in which Romney under-performed McCain in '08. Netting a loss of 782,459 votes while the president lost 2,269,054 votes in this region from '08. Or 32% of the total drop in turnout.

West Coast + HI(CA,OR,WA,HI)

I had to extrapolate with WA since only 75% were in when I did the math. Ended up with 800,000 as 25% of the electorate for WA. Distributed at the same 55%-45% clip were 440,000 for Obama and 360,000 more for Romney.


Romney-5,983,264
Obama- 8,767,592

McCain-7,100,038
Obama- 11,388,483

This is the second and final region were Romney under-performed McCain. Netting a loss of 1,116,774 to the presidents loss of 2,620,891 votes from '08 in this region. Accounting for 41% of the decline in turnout.

Combined the New England and West coast regions accounted for 6,789,178 votes in the drop in turnout from '08. 4,889,995 for Obama and 1,898,933 for Romney. A total of 73% of the total drop in turnout came from these two regions.

Great Lakes + NM(IL,MI,WI,MN,NM)

Romney-7,265,025
Obama- 9,048,672

McCain-6,964,452
Obama- 10,014,914

In this region Romney gained 300,573 votes over McCain's '08 performance in the same region. Obama's number fell by 966,242. Representing 10% of the total drop.

Purple States(FL,OH,VA,IA,CO,NV)

Romney-10,833,083
Obama- 11,381,151

McCain-10,617,244
Obama- 11,832,902

In the purple state region chosen for arbitrary reasons and some geographic reasons. This region saw Romney improve on McCain's '08 totals by 215,839 votes. While the president slipped 451,751 votes from his count from the same region in '08. Accounting for less than 1% of the fall in turnout.



Had Romney equaled McCain's total in the New England and West Coast regions, he would have bettered McCain's '08 vote total by about 750,000 and still lost the popular vote to Obama by about 750,000. Obama bled off support in all 5 regions compared to '08. While Romney improved on McCain's numbers in 3 of 5 regions, while falling off significantly in the other 2.
 Quoting: Frangas non Flectes


Please tell us, where are you getting these numbers?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 6493463


2012 figures came from the AP.
2008 figures from wikipedia.

Also, I stipulated that votes were still coming in. However enough of the total vote was in that changes wont make much of a difference. Also, only 75% of WA's vote was in, so I projected.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 13641821
United States
11/10/2012 03:56 PM
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Re: Turnout Breakdown for the 2012 Election.
OP its hard to face up to it but Obama won-on an ANYBODY but Romney ticket showing the diminished turnout....get over it , sore loser
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 11208970
United States
11/10/2012 04:17 PM
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Re: Turnout Breakdown for the 2012 Election.
OP its hard to face up to it but Obama won-on an ANYBODY but Romney ticket showing the diminished turnout....get over it , sore loser
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 13641821


WTF are you talking about? I voted for Obama. This is an objective analysis, data does not lie.
Anonymous Coward
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United States
11/11/2012 01:48 PM
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Re: Turnout Breakdown for the 2012 Election.
One more time for the tards.
Anonymous Coward
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07/09/2013 04:34 PM
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Re: Turnout Breakdown for the 2012 Election.
bump

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