Turnout Breakdown for the 2012 Election. | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 11208970 United States 11/10/2012 07:43 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 11208970 United States 11/10/2012 09:48 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I posted this for all the people talking about the decrease in turnout. Everyone was wondering were the votes were lost. I did the work for you. No partisan tilt, just the raw data as of yesterday afternoon. I invite either side of the political spectrum to look at the data and draw your own conclusions. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 11208970 United States 11/10/2012 10:22 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 11208970 United States 11/10/2012 11:14 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Combined the Red state region, the New England region, and the West Coast region. Accounted for 89% of the total decline in turnout. Another 10% came from the Great Lakes region + NM. These are rounded figures. The total decline in turnout amongst the Purple states I identified was less than 1%. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 27413742 Canada 11/10/2012 11:42 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
SaveUSa User ID: 20038946 United States 11/10/2012 11:59 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | While I continue to smell fish, I will take your analysis to heart as I complete mine against the official state results when they're released. Within the surreal depths of "reality" lies the truth. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 11208970 United States 11/10/2012 12:06 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Excellent breakdown OP. will include a link in my thread if you don't mind. Quoting: SaveUSa While I continue to smell fish, I will take your analysis to heart as I complete mine against the official state results when they're released. Thank you very much. Feel free to use it as you like, thats why I posted. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 11208970 United States 11/10/2012 02:33 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 27364929 United States 11/10/2012 02:44 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 11208970 United States 11/10/2012 03:35 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 6493463 United States 11/10/2012 03:43 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Breaking down turnout for the 2012 election. Votes are still coming in so none of this is final. As of this point their were 9,418,343 fewer votes cast in this election than in 2008. With president Obama receiving 8,033,703 less and Gov. Romney receiving 1,384,640 votes less than McCain. I broke the country down into geographic regions and checked the vote totals from this election versus the 2008 election. The area's and results were as follows. Quoting: Frangas non Flectes Red States(IN,KY,WV,TN,NC,MS,AL,GA,SC,LA,AR,MZ,TX,OK,KA,NE,SD,ND,AZ,UT,WY,ID,MT,AK)- Romney-24,565,537 Obama- 18,016,400 McCain-24,550,629 Obama- 19,651,053 A net loss of 1,598,653 for Obama from 2008 and a net gain of 14,908 for Gov Romney over McCain. This nearly 1.6 million vote drop in red states for Obama accounted for 17% of the total drop in turnout. New England(DC,MD,DE,NJ,CT,RI,MA,VT,NH,ME,NY,PA) Romney-9,987,418 Obama-14,382,609 McCain-10,769,887 Obama- 16,651,663 This is one of the two regions in which Romney under-performed McCain in '08. Netting a loss of 782,459 votes while the president lost 2,269,054 votes in this region from '08. Or 32% of the total drop in turnout. West Coast + HI(CA,OR,WA,HI) I had to extrapolate with WA since only 75% were in when I did the math. Ended up with 800,000 as 25% of the electorate for WA. Distributed at the same 55%-45% clip were 440,000 for Obama and 360,000 more for Romney. Romney-5,983,264 Obama- 8,767,592 McCain-7,100,038 Obama- 11,388,483 This is the second and final region were Romney under-performed McCain. Netting a loss of 1,116,774 to the presidents loss of 2,620,891 votes from '08 in this region. Accounting for 41% of the decline in turnout. Combined the New England and West coast regions accounted for 6,789,178 votes in the drop in turnout from '08. 4,889,995 for Obama and 1,898,933 for Romney. A total of 73% of the total drop in turnout came from these two regions. Great Lakes + NM(IL,MI,WI,MN,NM) Romney-7,265,025 Obama- 9,048,672 McCain-6,964,452 Obama- 10,014,914 In this region Romney gained 300,573 votes over McCain's '08 performance in the same region. Obama's number fell by 966,242. Representing 10% of the total drop. Purple States(FL,OH,VA,IA,CO,NV) Romney-10,833,083 Obama- 11,381,151 McCain-10,617,244 Obama- 11,832,902 In the purple state region chosen for arbitrary reasons and some geographic reasons. This region saw Romney improve on McCain's '08 totals by 215,839 votes. While the president slipped 451,751 votes from his count from the same region in '08. Accounting for less than 1% of the fall in turnout. Had Romney equaled McCain's total in the New England and West Coast regions, he would have bettered McCain's '08 vote total by about 750,000 and still lost the popular vote to Obama by about 750,000. Obama bled off support in all 5 regions compared to '08. While Romney improved on McCain's numbers in 3 of 5 regions, while falling off significantly in the other 2. Please tell us, where are you getting these numbers? |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 11208970 United States 11/10/2012 03:52 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Breaking down turnout for the 2012 election. Votes are still coming in so none of this is final. As of this point their were 9,418,343 fewer votes cast in this election than in 2008. With president Obama receiving 8,033,703 less and Gov. Romney receiving 1,384,640 votes less than McCain. I broke the country down into geographic regions and checked the vote totals from this election versus the 2008 election. The area's and results were as follows. Quoting: Frangas non Flectes Red States(IN,KY,WV,TN,NC,MS,AL,GA,SC,LA,AR,MZ,TX,OK,KA,NE,SD,ND,AZ,UT,WY,ID,MT,AK)- Romney-24,565,537 Obama- 18,016,400 McCain-24,550,629 Obama- 19,651,053 A net loss of 1,598,653 for Obama from 2008 and a net gain of 14,908 for Gov Romney over McCain. This nearly 1.6 million vote drop in red states for Obama accounted for 17% of the total drop in turnout. New England(DC,MD,DE,NJ,CT,RI,MA,VT,NH,ME,NY,PA) Romney-9,987,418 Obama-14,382,609 McCain-10,769,887 Obama- 16,651,663 This is one of the two regions in which Romney under-performed McCain in '08. Netting a loss of 782,459 votes while the president lost 2,269,054 votes in this region from '08. Or 32% of the total drop in turnout. West Coast + HI(CA,OR,WA,HI) I had to extrapolate with WA since only 75% were in when I did the math. Ended up with 800,000 as 25% of the electorate for WA. Distributed at the same 55%-45% clip were 440,000 for Obama and 360,000 more for Romney. Romney-5,983,264 Obama- 8,767,592 McCain-7,100,038 Obama- 11,388,483 This is the second and final region were Romney under-performed McCain. Netting a loss of 1,116,774 to the presidents loss of 2,620,891 votes from '08 in this region. Accounting for 41% of the decline in turnout. Combined the New England and West coast regions accounted for 6,789,178 votes in the drop in turnout from '08. 4,889,995 for Obama and 1,898,933 for Romney. A total of 73% of the total drop in turnout came from these two regions. Great Lakes + NM(IL,MI,WI,MN,NM) Romney-7,265,025 Obama- 9,048,672 McCain-6,964,452 Obama- 10,014,914 In this region Romney gained 300,573 votes over McCain's '08 performance in the same region. Obama's number fell by 966,242. Representing 10% of the total drop. Purple States(FL,OH,VA,IA,CO,NV) Romney-10,833,083 Obama- 11,381,151 McCain-10,617,244 Obama- 11,832,902 In the purple state region chosen for arbitrary reasons and some geographic reasons. This region saw Romney improve on McCain's '08 totals by 215,839 votes. While the president slipped 451,751 votes from his count from the same region in '08. Accounting for less than 1% of the fall in turnout. Had Romney equaled McCain's total in the New England and West Coast regions, he would have bettered McCain's '08 vote total by about 750,000 and still lost the popular vote to Obama by about 750,000. Obama bled off support in all 5 regions compared to '08. While Romney improved on McCain's numbers in 3 of 5 regions, while falling off significantly in the other 2. Please tell us, where are you getting these numbers? 2012 figures came from the AP. 2008 figures from wikipedia. Also, I stipulated that votes were still coming in. However enough of the total vote was in that changes wont make much of a difference. Also, only 75% of WA's vote was in, so I projected. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 13641821 United States 11/10/2012 03:56 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 11208970 United States 11/10/2012 04:17 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 11208970 United States 11/11/2012 01:48 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 1693447 United States 07/09/2013 04:34 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |