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Our Favorite Stock Market Indicator Chart Is Showing Some Signs Of Cracking!!!

 
Luisport

User ID: 27437614
11/10/2012 10:26 AM

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Our Favorite Stock Market Indicator Chart Is Showing Some Signs Of Cracking!!!
Business Insider‏@businessinsider

Our Favorite Stock Market Indicator Chart Is Showing Some Signs Of Cracking [link to read.bi]
Luisport (OP)

User ID: 27437614
11/10/2012 10:26 AM

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Re: Our Favorite Stock Market Indicator Chart Is Showing Some Signs Of Cracking!!!
Here's a chart we've run numerous times over the past couple of years.

It shows the S&P 500 (blue) vs. initial jobless claims (in red, flipped upside down, so that the line goes up, when claims improve).



The two lines don't move perfectly together, but they generally trend together because initial claims is a pretty good real-time measure of the economy, and the stock market is driven in large part by economic fundamentals.

Anyway, lately the stock market has dropped pretty hard (two a three-month low actually), while initial claims remain near their best levels post-crisis.

The two lines might close again pretty quickly, but it's worth noting the last time there was a severe break between the two lines was last summer, around the debt ceiling fight, a scenario which the current fiscal cliff debate harkens back to. Then the market freaked out, but mostly the economy kept on rolling.

That being said, the US economy is not bulletproof. Although housing and consumer confidence are major tailwinds, there's been a sharp dropoff in Capital Expenditure growth and so forth. Anyway, this is one to keep an eye on.


Read more: [link to www.businessinsider.com]
Luisport (OP)

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11/10/2012 10:27 AM

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Re: Our Favorite Stock Market Indicator Chart Is Showing Some Signs Of Cracking!!!
lflashlflashlflash
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1552022
United States
11/10/2012 10:47 AM
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Re: Our Favorite Stock Market Indicator Chart Is Showing Some Signs Of Cracking!!!
Are you serious? You've lost all credibility.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 23200727
Canada
11/10/2012 10:54 AM
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Re: Our Favorite Stock Market Indicator Chart Is Showing Some Signs Of Cracking!!!
Dunno about charts

Seems when "they" want it either pumped or dumped, it happens

Seems it was being held up til the election.

Whether it dumps now or not, dunno. Call your uncle.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 27257522
Portugal
11/10/2012 11:57 AM
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Re: Our Favorite Stock Market Indicator Chart Is Showing Some Signs Of Cracking!!!
Are you serious? You've lost all credibility.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1552022


he only quoted, and you know it, shilly burrito.

pin request for my portuguese comrade
Luisport (OP)

User ID: 27437614
11/10/2012 12:06 PM

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Re: Our Favorite Stock Market Indicator Chart Is Showing Some Signs Of Cracking!!!
Are you serious? You've lost all credibility.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1552022


he only quoted, and you know it, shilly burrito.

pin request for my portuguese comrade
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 27257522


hf
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 26085824
United States
11/10/2012 12:22 PM
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Re: Our Favorite Stock Market Indicator Chart Is Showing Some Signs Of Cracking!!!
Are you serious? You've lost all credibility.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1552022


He is posting info from an online source. His credibility has nothing to do with the source. You just engaged in an ad hominem argument. You are illogical.
Deej

User ID: 1272315
United States
11/10/2012 12:53 PM
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Re: Our Favorite Stock Market Indicator Chart Is Showing Some Signs Of Cracking!!!
Business Insider‏@businessinsider

Our Favorite Stock Market Indicator Chart Is Showing Some Signs Of Cracking [link to read.bi]
 Quoting: Luisport


what? TimeWave Zero? chuckle
No matter what happens... just say "Thank You." - D W Fierce
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 27433486
United States
11/10/2012 01:02 PM
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Re: Our Favorite Stock Market Indicator Chart Is Showing Some Signs Of Cracking!!!
wtf,op?

I thought glp's favourite indicator was the baltic dry index

you're a fucking traitor!
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 7702124
United States
11/10/2012 01:09 PM
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Re: Our Favorite Stock Market Indicator Chart Is Showing Some Signs Of Cracking!!!
Business Insider‏@businessinsider

Our Favorite Stock Market Indicator Chart Is Showing Some Signs Of Cracking [link to read.bi]
 Quoting: Luisport



Holy positive correlation Batman! blink

That flipped S&P500 chart really matches the Initial Jobless Claims chart!

Hmmm...I wonder what happens to jobs when the market epically crashes. (as we all know it will) rolleyes
Anonymous Coward
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United States
11/10/2012 01:30 PM
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Re: Our Favorite Stock Market Indicator Chart Is Showing Some Signs Of Cracking!!!
Predicting which way the market will swing next is a game for amateurs. That is guessing the future. That is gambling.

Why do you think some hedge fund managers are among the richest men in the world at relatively young ages? Because they bet both ways (hedge) simultaneously.
Cliff Fiscal

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United Kingdom
11/10/2012 01:32 PM

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Re: Our Favorite Stock Market Indicator Chart Is Showing Some Signs Of Cracking!!!
I have heard this also.
Be the God, we are all God. Universal peace and light.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 23200727
Canada
11/10/2012 01:55 PM
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Re: Our Favorite Stock Market Indicator Chart Is Showing Some Signs Of Cracking!!!
Dunno about charts

Seems when "they" want it either pumped or dumped, it happens

Seems it was being held up til the election.

Whether it dumps now or not, dunno. Call your uncle.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 23200727
Anonymous Coward
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United States
11/10/2012 02:29 PM
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Re: Our Favorite Stock Market Indicator Chart Is Showing Some Signs Of Cracking!!!
jobless claims are rising now!



[link to offthefbwall.wordpress.com]
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 27438840
11/10/2012 02:39 PM
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Re: Our Favorite Stock Market Indicator Chart Is Showing Some Signs Of Cracking!!!
Buisness Insider is jewish disinformation.

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