There will only be a temporary cease fire. Someone some where will get pissed off and fire a rocket or dud of a rocket or a rock etc. Someone will be pissed cause someone had killed a family member, stuck their tongue out or whatever. You can't call a cease fire when too many dickheads are pissed and didn't get their way. This goes for both sides.

Either, someone actually does the firing or makes it looks like someone did it, or some party from the outside does it.
This is only temp if it actually happens. Hmmm. Let's just say "History does repeat itself".

To let it be known I wish for a cease fire, but believes that no matter what, this will truly never happen.