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2030: the year homo sapiens becomes extinct

 
Guy McPherson
User ID: 1028494
United States
11/16/2012 10:06 PM
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2030: the year homo sapiens becomes extinct
Climate chaos is well under way, and has become irreversible over temporal spans relevant to humans because of positive feedbacks. Such is the nature of reaching the acceleration phase of the nonlinear system that is climate catastrophe.

As a result of ongoing, accelerating climate change, I知 letting go of the notion that Homo sapiens will inhabit this planet beyond 2030. I知 letting go of the notion that Homo sapiens will inhabit this verdant little valley at the edge of American Empire after it turns to dust within a very few years. I知 letting go of the notion that, within a few short years, there will remain any habitat for humans in the interior of any large continent in the northern hemisphere. I知 letting go of the notion we値l retain even a fraction of one percent of the species currently on Earth beyond 2050. But I知 not letting go of the notion of resistance, which is a moral imperative.

I will no longer judge people for buying into cultural conditioning. It痴 far easier to live in a city, at the height of civilization痴 excesses, than not. I know how easy it is to live in a city surrounded by beautiful distractions and pleasant interactions, and I fully understand the costs and consequences of dwelling there, as well as the price to be paid in the near future. I spent about half my life in various cities, and I understand the physical ease and existential pain of living at the apex of empire. Also, I know all about the small joys and great pains associated with living in the country. I spent the other half of my life in the country and in towns with fewer than 1,000 people. I understand why the country bumpkin is assigned stereotypical labels related to ignorance and, paradoxically, self-reliance.

[link to guymcpherson.com]
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 15785085
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11/19/2012 11:59 AM
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Re: 2030: the year homo sapiens becomes extinct
s Derrick Jensen points out, this 田ulture as a whole and most of its members are insane. I continue to be surprised at the number of people who believe in infinite growth on a finite planet. I continue to be amazed at the number of people who believe a politician cares about them, and that their favorite politician will act in their best interests. I continue to be surprised at the number of people who actually believe in the political process. I continue to be amazed at the number of people who support civilization, knowing it is killing us all. I知 even more surprised, though, at the number of people who claim ignorance about the costs and consequences of industrial civilization.

As pointed out by French author and Nobelist in literature André Gide: 摘verything that needs to be said has already been said. But since no one was listening, everything must be said again. So, here I go, saying it again.

Apparently I知 a very slow learner. It痴 a bad, sad time. I hate this culture.

It痴 worse than all of the above, though. There are a significant number of people who believe we can continue the omnicide, and that doing so is a good idea. Consider, for example, proponents of the Third Industrial Revolution.

[link to guymcpherson.com]
End Times
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United States
11/19/2012 12:35 PM
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Re: 2030: the year homo sapiens becomes extinct
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 28077462
United States
11/19/2012 12:39 PM
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Re: 2030: the year homo sapiens becomes extinct
great

no more homos soon

that means bad drapry and fashion and stuff

this might just be an anti homo thread tho
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 27673169
Brazil
11/19/2012 12:44 PM
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Re: 2030: the year homo sapiens becomes extinct
What about hetero sapiens?
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1511608
United States
11/21/2012 07:12 PM
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Re: 2030: the year homo sapiens becomes extinct
Anonymous Coward
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United States
11/21/2012 07:13 PM
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Re: 2030: the year homo sapiens becomes extinct
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 28688593
United States
11/29/2012 01:09 AM
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Re: 2030: the year homo sapiens becomes extinct
Need more evidence? Here's an assessment by a climate scientist - that industrial civilization will have to swiftly and completely collapse in order for humanity to have a chance to survive:

Abstract. In a prior study (Garrett, 2011), I introduced a simple economic growth model designed to be consistent with general thermodynamic laws. Unlike traditional economic models, civilization is viewed only as a well-mixed global whole with no distinction made between individual nations, economic sectors, labor, or capital investments. At the model core is a hypothesis that the global economy's current rate of primary energy consumption is tied through a constant to a very general representation of its historically accumulated wealth. Observations support this hypothesis, and indicate that the constant's value is λ = 9.7 ± 0.3 milliwatts per 1990 US dollar. It is this link that allows for treatment of seemingly complex economic systems as simple physical systems. Here, this growth model is coupled to a linear formulation for the evolution of globally well-mixed atmospheric CO2 concentrations. While very simple, the coupled model provides faithful multi-decadal hindcasts of trajectories in gross world product (GWP) and CO2. Extending the model to the future, the model suggests that the well-known IPCC SRES scenarios substantially underestimate how much CO2 levels will rise for a given level of future economic prosperity. For one, global CO2 emission rates cannot be decoupled from wealth through efficiency gains. For another, like a long-term natural disaster, future greenhouse warming can be expected to act as an inflationary drag on the real growth of global wealth. For atmospheric CO2 concentrations to remain below a "dangerous" level of 450 ppmv (Hansen et al., 2007), model forecasts suggest that there will have to be some combination of an unrealistically rapid rate of energy decarbonization and nearly immediate reductions in global civilization wealth.

[link to www.earth-syst-dynam.net]
Runaway Greenhouse
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11/29/2012 01:16 AM
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Re: 2030: the year homo sapiens becomes extinct
Nov. 22, 2009 - In a provocative new study, a University of Utah scientist argues that rising carbon dioxide emissions - the major cause of global warming - cannot be stabilized unless the world's economy collapses or society builds the equivalent of one new nuclear power plant each day.

"It looks unlikely that there will be any substantial near-term departure from recently observed acceleration in carbon dioxide emission rates," says the new paper by Tim Garrett, an associate professor of atmospheric sciences.

[link to www.unews.utah.edu]
Conservative
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11/29/2012 02:23 PM
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Re: 2030: the year homo sapiens becomes extinct
Nov. 22, 2009 - In a provocative new study, a University of Utah scientist argues that rising carbon dioxide emissions - the major cause of global warming - cannot be stabilized unless the world's economy collapses or society builds the equivalent of one new nuclear power plant each day.

"It looks unlikely that there will be any substantial near-term departure from recently observed acceleration in carbon dioxide emission rates," says the new paper by Tim Garrett, an associate professor of atmospheric sciences.

[link to www.unews.utah.edu]
 Quoting: Runaway Greenhouse 28688593


Science is a liberal hoax! violin 1dpanic
Zombietard

User ID: 27257544
Argentina
11/29/2012 02:31 PM
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Re: 2030: the year homo sapiens becomes extinct
What about hetero sapiens?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 27673169


Hetero sapies too.