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Sunspot AR1618 has a delta-class magnetic field that harbors energy for X-class solar flares.

 
Wash
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11/22/2012 07:36 AM

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Sunspot AR1618 has a delta-class magnetic field that harbors energy for X-class solar flares.
FLARE 0-24 hr 24-48 hr
CLASS M 70 % 70 %
CLASS X 30 % 30 %

BIG SUNSPOT AR1618: The magnetic canopy of sunspot AR1618 is crackling with M-class solar flares, and NOAA forecasters say an X-flare could be in the offing. AR1618 has a delta-class magnetic field that harbors energy for the strongest eruptions. Any flares today would likely be Earth-directed as the sunspot is directly facing our planet.

Sunspot AR1618 is large 10 times wider than Earth.

[link to www.spaceweather.com]

Last Edited by Wash on 11/22/2012 07:37 AM
Roll Tide Roll.
Wash (OP)

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11/22/2012 07:48 AM

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Re: Sunspot AR1618 has a delta-class magnetic field that harbors energy for X-class solar flares.
Want to keep an eye on the activity?

Here you go... [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Roll Tide Roll.
Anonymous Coward
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11/22/2012 08:00 AM
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Re: Sunspot AR1618 has a delta-class magnetic field that harbors energy for X-class solar flares.
"Space Weather Message Code: WATA30
Serial Number: 100
Issue Time: 2012 Nov 22 0638 UTC
WATCH: Geomagnetic Storm Category G2 Predicted
Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Nov 23: G1 (Minor) Nov 24: G2 (Moderate) Nov 25: None (Below G1)
THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT
Comment: The timing and intensity of geomagnetic storming were revised based on updated data and subsequent analysis.
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state."

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

It's starting....

uhoh
shadasonic

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11/22/2012 08:48 AM

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Re: Sunspot AR1618 has a delta-class magnetic field that harbors energy for X-class solar flares.
After months the sunspots are coming back to life,could be a very intersting next couple of weeks wash!
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Anonymous Coward
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11/22/2012 08:58 AM
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Re: Sunspot AR1618 has a delta-class magnetic field that harbors energy for X-class solar flares.
I had a strange to us young cat show up here right before the Frankenstorm event.

Alf the alien cat is still with us even though the storm never effected us really other than some snow about 10-12 inches and melted away fast.

Now I have gotten another cat show up here about 3-4 days ago.
This is a valley cat a wandering valley cat he has been seen down below us for quiet some time.

Yet now this low lying cat dweller is up here determined to hide under our house. He is trying to get in around the heat pump.

He has never done this and does not want petted or food but sheltered.

My inside cats are eating and acting like they know or feel a storm coming but we have not got any storm.

This has been a week now of the cats acting pre-bad weather and one fleeing the valley for the top of the mountain.

We had a EQ strike not 28 minutes from here the other day...but here at my house I never even knew it or felt anything.

I heard about it in the news.

I do not know what is coming in whether we are going to be getting flooding of some sort or ice snow and flooding..

But I think and suspect flooding...

South up to us.
Wash (OP)

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11/22/2012 11:36 AM

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Re: Sunspot AR1618 has a delta-class magnetic field that harbors energy for X-class solar flares.
After months the sunspots are coming back to life,could be a very intersting next couple of weeks wash!
 Quoting: shadasonic


Could be. Time will tell.
Roll Tide Roll.
Wash (OP)

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11/22/2012 11:38 AM

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Re: Sunspot AR1618 has a delta-class magnetic field that harbors energy for X-class solar flares.
I had a strange to us young cat show up here right before the Frankenstorm event.

Alf the alien cat is still with us even though the storm never effected us really other than some snow about 10-12 inches and melted away fast.

Now I have gotten another cat show up here about 3-4 days ago.
This is a valley cat a wandering valley cat he has been seen down below us for quiet some time.

Yet now this low lying cat dweller is up here determined to hide under our house. He is trying to get in around the heat pump.

He has never done this and does not want petted or food but sheltered.

My inside cats are eating and acting like they know or feel a storm coming but we have not got any storm.

This has been a week now of the cats acting pre-bad weather and one fleeing the valley for the top of the mountain.

We had a EQ strike not 28 minutes from here the other day...but here at my house I never even knew it or felt anything.

I heard about it in the news.

I do not know what is coming in whether we are going to be getting flooding of some sort or ice snow and flooding..

But I think and suspect flooding...

South up to us.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 22054163


Kepp your eye on pets. They can be great indicators and warning systems for a varietty of things.
Roll Tide Roll.
Carshy McCarsh

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11/22/2012 12:07 PM
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Re: Sunspot AR1618 has a delta-class magnetic field that harbors energy for X-class solar flares.
Thread: FAST-GROWING SUNSPOT AR1619 - (updated) 30% chance of X-Class flares!
Tell me what this tastes like...
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

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11/23/2012 02:58 AM

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Re: Sunspot AR1618 has a delta-class magnetic field that harbors energy for X-class solar flares.
Looks to be decaying a bit but it is worth watching.