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VERY BAD WEATHER COMMING TO MADEIRA ISLAND AND PORTUGAL TODAY AND TOMORROW!!! WIND GUSTS 140KM/H!!!

 
Luisport

User ID: 28382292
Portugal
11/24/2012 09:09 AM

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VERY BAD WEATHER COMMING TO MADEIRA ISLAND AND PORTUGAL TODAY AND TOMORROW!!! WIND GUSTS 140KM/H!!!
It begins now "mount" the low pressure system to the SW RAM, and will measure the height disturbance is approaching and with acopolando vortice surface is expected to form a region unstable around the sector S / E / N of depression (in purple):

This first banda instability seems to be showing some shear, visible in V formation the tops of cells ...

So we can have some more organized convection, SCM's, maybe a few lines and a possibility of convective genesis of some supercells capable of bringing strong winds.

Rainfall is abundant.

After the passage of this unstable band, the RAM will be affected more by the north and central sector of the depression, with strong convection bands but a low shear environment which does not favor the formation of severe cells.

However keeping the prediction of strong thermodynamic forcing, which creates an environment very favorable to the occurrence of heavy precipitation and convective orographic origin.

As for the wind, will be even stronger NW of downtown, and RAM can be affected by this band of strong winds, with a preponderance of the E quadrant with average speeds between 60 and 75km.h gusting between 11 and 130km.h .

So now from the beginning / middle of the afternoon the thing tends to aggravate rather ... [link to www.meteopt.com]

Last Edited by Luisport on 11/24/2012 09:25 AM
Luisport (OP)

User ID: 28382292
Portugal
11/24/2012 09:11 AM

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Re: VERY BAD WEATHER COMMING TO MADEIRA ISLAND AND PORTUGAL TODAY AND TOMORROW!!! WIND GUSTS 140KM/H!!!
I have to get over disturbances and other 40mm/6h not arrive at 20.

This is due to the very complex character convective and depression.

On the other hand we must play with the features of the island ... thing to Porto Santo is not as important, but in Madeira can mean accumulations of more than 100, 200mm only due to the mountainous terrain (and yes, models do not teem scale to see these local phenomena).


This morning I looked at the phase diagram of depression and he showed a hot core in low and middle levels, which is usually associated with intense convective activity ... on the other hand some models and disorders of the ensemble a bit aggravated depression .. . so for now the indicia suggest that depression may be quite strong, so do not substimem.

In total the event not be surprised to see rainfall of 100-150mm in PS and 200-300mm in parts of Madeira ..
[link to www.meteopt.com]
alexisj9

User ID: 1376880
United Kingdom
11/24/2012 09:14 AM

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Re: VERY BAD WEATHER COMMING TO MADEIRA ISLAND AND PORTUGAL TODAY AND TOMORROW!!! WIND GUSTS 140KM/H!!!
Got a storm coming here too.

[link to live-blog.uk.msn.com]
Luisport (OP)

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11/24/2012 09:16 AM

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Re: VERY BAD WEATHER COMMING TO MADEIRA ISLAND AND PORTUGAL TODAY AND TOMORROW!!! WIND GUSTS 140KM/H!!!
Got a storm coming here too.

[link to live-blog.uk.msn.com]
 Quoting: alexisj9


Yes, UK will have very bad weather this weekend... more rain adding to the allready flooded areas!
Luisport (OP)

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11/24/2012 09:21 AM

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Re: VERY BAD WEATHER COMMING TO MADEIRA ISLAND AND PORTUGAL TODAY AND TOMORROW!!! WIND GUSTS 140KM/H!!!
[link to www.ecmwf.int]
Anonymous Coward
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United States
11/24/2012 09:24 AM
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Re: VERY BAD WEATHER COMMING TO MADEIRA ISLAND AND PORTUGAL TODAY AND TOMORROW!!! WIND GUSTS 140KM/H!!!
What's a "WING GUSTS"?
Luisport (OP)

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Portugal
11/24/2012 09:25 AM

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Re: VERY BAD WEATHER COMMING TO MADEIRA ISLAND AND PORTUGAL TODAY AND TOMORROW!!! WIND GUSTS 140KM/H!!!
What's a "WING GUSTS"?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1094960


wind... peace
Luisport (OP)

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11/24/2012 09:29 AM

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Re: VERY BAD WEATHER COMMING TO MADEIRA ISLAND AND PORTUGAL TODAY AND TOMORROW!!! WIND GUSTS 140KM/H!!!
There may be a miracle and not touch:

on some models there is the possibility of RAM not "take" with the most worrisome spots ... however I think the peak of rainfall aerate between 04h-10h 00h when before was the ace until 6am [link to www.meteopt.com]
alexisj9

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United Kingdom
11/24/2012 09:29 AM

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Re: VERY BAD WEATHER COMMING TO MADEIRA ISLAND AND PORTUGAL TODAY AND TOMORROW!!! WIND GUSTS 140KM/H!!!
 Quoting: Luisport


I see it's the same system hitting you guy's first, hope it doesn't do to much damage, to you guys or us.
Luisport (OP)

User ID: 28382292
Portugal
11/24/2012 09:31 AM

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Re: VERY BAD WEATHER COMMING TO MADEIRA ISLAND AND PORTUGAL TODAY AND TOMORROW!!! WIND GUSTS 140KM/H!!!
 Quoting: Luisport


I see it's the same system hitting you guy's first, hope it doesn't do to much damage, to you guys or us.
 Quoting: alexisj9


yes, the situation in UK is bad allready, i saw in the news there are one dead person allready!
Luisport (OP)

User ID: 28382292
Portugal
11/24/2012 09:49 AM

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Re: VERY BAD WEATHER COMMING TO MADEIRA ISLAND AND PORTUGAL TODAY AND TOMORROW!!! WIND GUSTS 140KM/H!!!
In DN Madeira reported that the precipitation will be higher than February 20th.
alexisj9

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United Kingdom
11/24/2012 09:52 AM

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Re: VERY BAD WEATHER COMMING TO MADEIRA ISLAND AND PORTUGAL TODAY AND TOMORROW!!! WIND GUSTS 140KM/H!!!
In DN Madeira reported that the precipitation will be higher than February 20th.
 Quoting: Luisport


What happened then?
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 18814915
Puerto Rico
11/24/2012 09:52 AM
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Re: VERY BAD WEATHER COMMING TO MADEIRA ISLAND AND PORTUGAL TODAY AND TOMORROW!!! WIND GUSTS 140KM/H!!!
It begins now "mount" the low pressure system to the SW RAM, and will measure the height disturbance is approaching and with acopolando vortice surface is expected to form a region unstable around the sector S / E / N of depression (in purple):

This first banda instability seems to be showing some shear, visible in V formation the tops of cells ...

So we can have some more organized convection, SCM's, maybe a few lines and a possibility of convective genesis of some supercells capable of bringing strong winds.

Rainfall is abundant.

After the passage of this unstable band, the RAM will be affected more by the north and central sector of the depression, with strong convection bands but a low shear environment which does not favor the formation of severe cells.

However keeping the prediction of strong thermodynamic forcing, which creates an environment very favorable to the occurrence of heavy precipitation and convective orographic origin.

As for the wind, will be even stronger NW of downtown, and RAM can be affected by this band of strong winds, with a preponderance of the E quadrant with average speeds between 60 and 75km.h gusting between 11 and 130km.h .

So now from the beginning / middle of the afternoon the thing tends to aggravate rather ... [link to www.meteopt.com]
 Quoting: Luisport



There is no Doom on November:
Thread: November 2012: The month with 0% Doom
Luisport (OP)

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Portugal
11/24/2012 09:57 AM

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Re: VERY BAD WEATHER COMMING TO MADEIRA ISLAND AND PORTUGAL TODAY AND TOMORROW!!! WIND GUSTS 140KM/H!!!
In DN Madeira reported that the precipitation will be higher than February 20th.
 Quoting: Luisport


What happened then?
 Quoting: alexisj9


Luisport (OP)

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11/24/2012 10:05 AM

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Re: VERY BAD WEATHER COMMING TO MADEIRA ISLAND AND PORTUGAL TODAY AND TOMORROW!!! WIND GUSTS 140KM/H!!!
[link to www.sat24.com]
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 28384397
Russian Federation
11/24/2012 10:08 AM
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Re: VERY BAD WEATHER COMMING TO MADEIRA ISLAND AND PORTUGAL TODAY AND TOMORROW!!! WIND GUSTS 140KM/H!!!
Coast waves at least 6-8 m in forecast for tomorrow
bump
Luisport (OP)

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11/24/2012 10:09 AM

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Re: VERY BAD WEATHER COMMING TO MADEIRA ISLAND AND PORTUGAL TODAY AND TOMORROW!!! WIND GUSTS 140KM/H!!!
and there are the possibility of tornados too...
alexisj9

User ID: 1376880
United Kingdom
11/24/2012 10:13 AM

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Re: VERY BAD WEATHER COMMING TO MADEIRA ISLAND AND PORTUGAL TODAY AND TOMORROW!!! WIND GUSTS 140KM/H!!!
and there are the possibility of tornados too...
 Quoting: Luisport


Hopefully not as bad as the ones that went through portugle the other day.
Luisport (OP)

User ID: 28382292
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11/24/2012 10:17 AM

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Re: VERY BAD WEATHER COMMING TO MADEIRA ISLAND AND PORTUGAL TODAY AND TOMORROW!!! WIND GUSTS 140KM/H!!!
and there are the possibility of tornados too...
 Quoting: Luisport


Hopefully not as bad as the ones that went through portugle the other day.
 Quoting: alexisj9


yes, it was the bigest one ever! An F3, for 35Km, with 260Km/h!!!
Luisport (OP)

User ID: 28382292
Portugal
11/24/2012 10:19 AM

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Re: VERY BAD WEATHER COMMING TO MADEIRA ISLAND AND PORTUGAL TODAY AND TOMORROW!!! WIND GUSTS 140KM/H!!!
and there are the possibility of tornados too...
 Quoting: Luisport


Hopefully not as bad as the ones that went through portugle the other day.
 Quoting: alexisj9


yes, it was the bigest one ever! An F3, for 35Km, with 260Km/h!!!
 Quoting: Luisport


Thread: THE WORST TORNADO EVER IN PORTUGAL!!! 260Km/h for 35Km Inland!!!
Luisport (OP)

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11/24/2012 10:58 AM

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Re: VERY BAD WEATHER COMMING TO MADEIRA ISLAND AND PORTUGAL TODAY AND TOMORROW!!! WIND GUSTS 140KM/H!!!
by the way great blog storm photos: [link to print24.com]
Luisport (OP)

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11/24/2012 11:00 AM

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Re: VERY BAD WEATHER COMMING TO MADEIRA ISLAND AND PORTUGAL TODAY AND TOMORROW!!! WIND GUSTS 140KM/H!!!
the weather now in my location is very dark and rains a lot!
Luisport (OP)

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11/24/2012 11:11 AM

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Re: VERY BAD WEATHER COMMING TO MADEIRA ISLAND AND PORTUGAL TODAY AND TOMORROW!!! WIND GUSTS 140KM/H!!!
[link to www.sat24.com]
Anonymous Coward
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United Kingdom
11/24/2012 11:31 AM
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Re: VERY BAD WEATHER COMMING TO MADEIRA ISLAND AND PORTUGAL TODAY AND TOMORROW!!! WIND GUSTS 140KM/H!!!
[link to www.metoffice.gov.uk]

southern uk just starting to get a pasting

we're already waterlogged
Luisport (OP)

User ID: 28388315
Portugal
11/24/2012 11:33 AM

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Re: VERY BAD WEATHER COMMING TO MADEIRA ISLAND AND PORTUGAL TODAY AND TOMORROW!!! WIND GUSTS 140KM/H!!!
[link to www.metoffice.gov.uk]

southern uk just starting to get a pasting

we're already waterlogged
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 28329499


very very nasty to UK... in this moment how is the weather in your location?
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 28329499
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11/24/2012 11:41 AM
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Re: VERY BAD WEATHER COMMING TO MADEIRA ISLAND AND PORTUGAL TODAY AND TOMORROW!!! WIND GUSTS 140KM/H!!!
[link to www.metoffice.gov.uk]

southern uk just starting to get a pasting

we're already waterlogged
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 28329499


very very nasty to UK... in this moment how is the weather in your location?
 Quoting: Luisport


moderate rainy, a bit breezy
alexisj9

User ID: 1376880
United Kingdom
11/24/2012 11:44 AM

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Re: VERY BAD WEATHER COMMING TO MADEIRA ISLAND AND PORTUGAL TODAY AND TOMORROW!!! WIND GUSTS 140KM/H!!!
[link to www.metoffice.gov.uk]

southern uk just starting to get a pasting

we're already waterlogged
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 28329499


very very nasty to UK... in this moment how is the weather in your location?
 Quoting: Luisport


moderate rainy, a bit breezy
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 28329499


Same here without the breezy part yet, but got that to look forward too, in the south east.
Luisport (OP)

User ID: 28388315
Portugal
11/24/2012 11:46 AM

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Re: VERY BAD WEATHER COMMING TO MADEIRA ISLAND AND PORTUGAL TODAY AND TOMORROW!!! WIND GUSTS 140KM/H!!!
irpsit : Again this situation: warm moist air from the southwest, and a polar mass coming from the north at altitude, collide west of Portugal. Exactly the same as when the last tornado in Algarve (and gender in general situations result in strong thunderstorms / rain)

I believe that this event will cause precipitation of new locally violent and some possibility of new tornadoes in mainland Portugal. I begin to see the growing possibility of an early winter with flood events in Portugal (excluding polar entries so long droughts that seem to look away from the rest of Central Europe as well).
[link to www.meteopt.com]

Last Edited by Luisport on 11/24/2012 11:46 AM
Luisport (OP)

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11/24/2012 11:50 AM

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Re: VERY BAD WEATHER COMMING TO MADEIRA ISLAND AND PORTUGAL TODAY AND TOMORROW!!! WIND GUSTS 140KM/H!!!
[link to imageshack.us]
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 28350367
United States
11/24/2012 12:28 PM
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Re: VERY BAD WEATHER COMMING TO MADEIRA ISLAND AND PORTUGAL TODAY AND TOMORROW!!! WIND GUSTS 140KM/H!!!
so sad all that is taking place. the film of the flooding and fires is tragic. checking Portugal abortion laws it looks like they started allowing killing children by abortion on demand in 2007. do you think there is any connection? from the film it looked like Madeira was blessed until just a short time after those laws changed. such destruction in such a short period of time.
Luisport (OP)

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Portugal
11/24/2012 12:46 PM

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Re: VERY BAD WEATHER COMMING TO MADEIRA ISLAND AND PORTUGAL TODAY AND TOMORROW!!! WIND GUSTS 140KM/H!!!
the latest forecasts show that the storm will hit Madeira Island in full!!!

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