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Message Subject Human survivability with supply chain disruptions and its effect on populations
Poster Handle Anonymous Coward
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Cities Commandeering Distribution Centers
(short-term)

If you're a city administrator and you have a distribution center of any kind in your region, then there's a good chance you'll seize the goods within it, and offer a promissory note for the contents you need. If you think about it, the alternative is for some well-armed and organized group to steal it, and since you need those items, better to be safe than sorry.

The items will stay put most likely, just be guarded 24/7 with local law enforcement of some kind and boosted with new security guards..

Of course, perhaps you won't need all those items, but another city has distribution center supplies that you do need. This will likely be the means of first trades between local governments. If you're sitting on pool shock and you need antibiotics, well I think those two local governments will trade by deciding on the new market value. They'll be lots of other trades too, but contingent upon shelf life. After all, if you have the utilities working because you have a coal surplus, then another city has butchered beef but is losing refrigeration, then one may trade at a big disadvantage. Caveat emptor (Let the buyer beware). Bad trades are likely to be the disruption of future trades.

It's highly likely that railroads will move many of the supplies, for even now trucks are routinely hijacked by the Mob.

Here's the thing...how long before the state government decides that they'll lose power unless they're the ones seizing goods? The governor can order the state militias to act as their soldiers, but only if they can control deployment. That requires that locals will muster up. That may be highly doubtful if they don't like the goods being transferred. How long before the federal government seizes goods, particularly since laws have been passes recently to do just that in a state of martial law?

The sticky widget is power to back it up. Yes, a soldier can enforce it. That takes time to make command decisions to redeploy them from overseas, transport them, reassign them to hot spots and troubled zone . By the time they get there, and know what was in it, the sale and transport may already have concluded. The military might “appropriate” it, basically hijack it in-between locations. That all will get very messy fast, for one transaction may have already gotten to the new owners and the other seized.

Who gets the goods inside the distributions center? Most likely critical infrastructure folks maintaining services in some haphazard fashion. That will get very ugly.

We'd don't have much data or research. We do know from pandemic concerns that many position papers were drawn up about trade and supply chain disruptions from a pandemic. If you think about it, dollar collapse is like it in some ways, for it's not an issue of contagion, but a lack of confidence in the dollar that still results in the same supply chain disruptions. Regardless, if anyone wants to read these:

Question: How much will violence over unequal distribution of resources will occur in a month's time due to supply chain issues. How will happen cumulatively in a year?

[link to assets.opencrs.com]

[link to www.sph.umn.edu]

[link to www.cidrap.umn.edu]

Up next gangs and organized crime: possibly a short-term phenomena due to water
 
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