Tornado Watch until 9pm tonight AR IL KY MO TN!!! UPDATES: SMITHVILLE, Arkansas should be in tornado shelter now! (3:16pm)!!!

AccuWeather.com‏@breakingweather

Golfball sized #hail recently reported in Salem, Arkansas just southwest of Little Rock. #ARwx

Models did a good job picking up on this pattern change, but it does mean the possibility of significant severe weather outbreaks.. DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0356 AM CST SUN DEC 09 2012

VALID 121200Z - 171200Z

...DISCUSSION...
MEDIUM RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE THAT A SIGNIFICANT SHORT
WAVE TROUGH...DIGGING ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST AT THE START OF THE
PERIOD...WILL INTERACT WITH A BELT OF WESTERLIES EMERGING FROM THE
SUBTROPICAL EASTERN PACIFIC...BEFORE TURNING EAST TOWARD THE CENTRAL
AND SOUTHERN PLAINS BY THE END OF THE COMING WORK WEEK. AS THIS
OCCURS...SIGNIFICANT MID/UPPER JET INTENSIFICATION APPEARS LIKELY
ACROSS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN TIER OF THE U.S. TO THE EAST
OF THE ROCKIES...WITH THE JET LINGERING THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND INTO
THE EARLY PART OF THE FOLLOWING WEEK...WHILE ANOTHER VERY STRONG
MID-LATITUDE JET STREAK BEGINS TO NOSE INLAND ACROSS THE PACIFIC
COAST. ADDITIONAL AMPLIFYING SHORT WAVE IMPULSES ASSOCIATED WITH
THESE FEATURES MAY POSE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS
WHICH COULD BECOME CAPABLE OF SUPPORTING A REGIONAL SEVERE WEATHER
EVENT...ANYWHERE FROM THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS EASTWARD
THROUGH THE MID SOUTH AND GULF STATES AND MIDDLE/SOUTHERN ATLANTIC
SEABOARD. WHILE CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL APPEARS LIKELY TO
INCREASE...WITH AT LEAST A FEW RELATIVELY MINOR BOUTS OF POTENTIAL
SEVERE STORM DEVELOPMENT...PREDICTABILITY REMAINS TOO LOW TO
CONFIDENTLY ASCERTAIN AND DELINEATE A REGIONAL SEVERE RISK AREA.

..KERR.. 12/09/2012

good ol' southern weather

SUFFICIENT DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL
PROMOTE SUPERCELL AND BOW/LEWP STRUCTURES OVER THIS REGION CAPABLE
OF LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. A TORNADO OR TWO IS ALSO POSSIBLE
THIS EVENING AS LOW LEVEL WINDS STRENGTHEN FURTHER. THE MAIN
TORNADO THREAT APPEARS TO BE FROM CENTRAL AR/SOUTHEAST MO INTO
WESTERN KY/TN. STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO ORGANIZE INTO A QLCS BY LATE
EVENING AND PROGRESS EASTWARD INTO PARTS OF NORTHERN MS/WESTERN TN
THROUGH THE NIGHT. [link to www.spc.noaa.gov]

The Weather Channel‏@weatherchannel

By the way...a threat for some #severe thunderstorms is in play today in the South: [link to www.weather.com]

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2139
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1238 PM CST SUN DEC 09 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN INTO NERN AR...SERN MO...FAR SRN IL...WRN
KY/TN

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 091838Z - 092045Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT

SUMMARY...PORTIONS OF SWRN INTO NERN AR...SERN MO...FAR SRN IL...AND
WRN KY/TN ARE BEING MONITORED FOR A WW THIS AFTERNOON. PRIMARY SVR
WEATHER THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL/DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...THOUGH A
TORNADO OR TWO WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

DISCUSSION...EARLY AFTERNOON SURFACE ANALYSIS PLACES AN AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE OVER CNTRL AR...WITH A COLD FRONT EXTENDING SWWD INTO CNTRL
TX...AND A WARM FRONT SLOWLY RETREATING NWD OVER WRN/CNTRL KY. AS AN
UPPER TROUGH CONSOLIDATES AND DEEPENS OVER THE CNTRL CONUS THIS
AFTERNOON/EVENING...THE SURFACE LOW IS FORECAST TO EJECT NEWD INTO
THE LOWER OH VALLEY...AND THE WARM FRONT WILL CONTINUE LIFTING NWD
INTO SRN IND/OH.

MEANWHILE...A 30-40 KT SWLY LLJ HAS AIDED IN TRANSPORTING LOW TO MID
60F DEWPOINTS ALONG AN AXIS FROM SWRN AR INTO WRN KY/TN. IN
ADDITION...POCKETS OF CLEARING OVER AR HAVE ALLOWED TEMPERATURES TO
LOCALLY WARM TO AROUND 70F...WHICH HAS AIDED IN BOUNDARY LAYER
DESTABILIZATION AND THE DEVELOPMENT OF AGITATED CUMULUS CLOUD
STREETS. WV AND VIS SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW A PLUME OF HIGH LEVEL
CLOUDINESS OVERSPREADING THE REGION...WHICH MAY INFER THE APPROACH
OF A SUBTLE UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCE. ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH THAT
FEATURE COMBINED WITH CONTINUED SURFACE HEATING...CONTRIBUTING
TOWARD SBCAPE VALUES FROM 500-1500 J/KG...MAY AID IN GRADUAL
DEEPENING OF THE CUMULUS FIELD OVER AR AND EVENTUAL SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT BY MID AFTERNOON.

OTHERWISE...ASCENT ALONG THE COLD FRONT WILL STRENGTHEN BY LATE
AFTERNOON/EVENING...AND BE SUFFICIENT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STORMS FROM WRN KY INTO SRN AR. IF CELLULAR
ACTIVITY CAN DEVELOP DURING THE AFTERNOON...THEN DEEP-LAYER SHEAR
NEAR 50 KT WILL FAVOR SUPERCELLS. IF STORMS QUICKLY ORGANIZE INTO
LINES ALONG THE FRONT LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING...THEN BOWING/LEWP
STRUCTURES WILL BE MORE LIKELY. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS
WILL BE THE PRIMARY SVR WEATHER THREATS WITH EITHER MODE OF
CONVECTION. HOWEVER...A TORNADO OR TWO WILL BE POSSIBLE AS THE 30-40
KT SWLY LLJ AIDS IN EFFECTIVE SRH VALUES FROM 150-250 M2 S-2.

..GARNER/HART.. 12/09/2012

Yes, but A powerful typhoon hit the Philippines Dec. 4, 2012, the media gave little attention to the typhoon in the Philippines. Desperate Philippine typhoon victims await aid. [link to www.interaksyon.com]

i'm updating it since the begining... Thread: Typhoon Bopha makes unexpected turn, forecast to make landfall in the Philippines again Sunday!!! 647 DEATHS AND 780 MISSING IN THE FIRST PASSAGE

OP anything going on in TEXAS

EARLY AFTERNOON SURFACE ANALYSIS PLACES AN AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE OVER CNTRL AR...WITH A COLD FRONT EXTENDING SWWD INTO CNTRL
TX...AND A WARM FRONT SLOWLY RETREATING NWD OVER WRN/CNTRL KY. AS AN
UPPER TROUGH CONSOLIDATES AND DEEPENS OVER THE CNTRL CONUS THIS
AFTERNOON/EVENING...THE SURFACE LOW IS FORECAST TO EJECT NEWD INTO
THE LOWER OH VALLEY...AND THE WARM FRONT WILL CONTINUE LIFTING NWD
INTO SRN IND/OH.

Thanks Luisport. We've got a balm 72 right now, heading down to 34 tonight and 21 tomorrow night. I'm on the edge near Ft Smith. It looks like Little Rock is more on the path.

Thank's, please update with any info you get ok? Thank you so much!

I can't believe I was just outside putting up Christmas decorations while wearing a tank top t-shirt in December! It feels like a spring day here in Arkansas, but the skies are a weird color.....

I've never seen weather like this......I've got new blooms on my bell pepper plants....crazy.

beautifull but crazy...

some updates today...

Well Bless you OP I did not think you would answer me. Maybe I will come visit your country one day and buy you a cup of coffee or whatever. thanks again you are so kind

My friend i'm here for it! For being usefull! I live in Fatima you are welcome!

AccuWeather.com‏@breakingweather

Damaging tstorms slamming northern AR; one tstorm just ripped the roofs off an apartment building and mobile homes near Viola

Severe Studios‏@severestudios

Tornado Warning for Izard and Sharp County in AR until 3:00pm CST. #arwx

Is there anyone in the country that has had one full day of stable, sunny weather over the past week?

Tornado Watch and Tornado Warning out.
[link to img40.imageshack.us]

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
Tornado Watch for portions of

central and northeast Arkansas
southern Illinois
western Kentucky
southeast Missouri
northwest Tennessee

Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 210 PM until 900
PM CST.

Tornadoes... hail to 2 inches in diameter... thunderstorm wind
gusts to 70 mph... and dangerous lightning are possible in these
areas.

The Tornado Watch area is approximately along and 75 statute
miles east and west of a line from 30 miles northeast of Cape
Girardeau Missouri to 25 miles west of Pine Bluff Arkansas. For
a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch
outline update (wous64 kwns wou7).

Remember... a Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

Discussion... thunderstorms are beginning to intensify over central
AR along/ahead of cold front. Storms should increase in coverage
through the afternoon across the watch area as low level winds
strengthen. A few severe storms capable of damaging winds and hail
are expected. Isolated supercells are also possible with a risk of
a tornado or two through the early evening.

Aviation... tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface
wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to
400. Mean storm motion vector 25035.
... Hart
[link to www.wunderground.com]

Severe Studios‏@severestudios

Tornado Watch until 9pm tonight AR IL KY MO TN [link to 1.usa.gov]