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Major 969 mb low noreaster next week to impact East Coast!!!

 
Luisport (OP)

User ID: 29774990
Portugal
12/13/2012 08:12 AM

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Re: Major 969 mb low noreaster next week to impact East Coast!!!
And people wonder why I say prep. This is why. with people still being without power in some places on the east coast now this, just goes to prove that you can never be prepped enough just in case. I mean look at it here, we had nice 70 degree weather for over 2 weeks and now its 37 degrees, you just never know what will happen.
 Quoting: pmb1


There are still people without power from Sandy??? scream
Luisport (OP)

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12/13/2012 09:34 AM

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Re: Major 969 mb low noreaster next week to impact East Coast!!!
A Hazardous weather outlook is in effect from Maryland all they way up to Massachusetts for the potential nor'easter...
amywood71605

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12/13/2012 09:36 AM

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Re: Major 969 mb low noreaster next week to impact East Coast!!!
I'm in VT....what does it look like for me?
"Live each day like it's your last, love like you've never been hurt, and dance like no one is watching."
Laura Bow

User ID: 1158661
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12/13/2012 09:38 AM
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Re: Major 969 mb low noreaster next week to impact East Coast!!!
If DC is going to get rain, I wonder if we will as well. I'd rather have snow :(
Laura Bow

User ID: 1158661
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12/13/2012 09:42 AM
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Re: Major 969 mb low noreaster next week to impact East Coast!!!
LET IT SNOW!

Luisport (OP)

User ID: 29774990
Portugal
12/13/2012 09:43 AM

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Re: Major 969 mb low noreaster next week to impact East Coast!!!
SYNOPSIS FOR MID ATLC WATERS...A DEVELOPING LOW PRES CENTER 140
NM SE OF CAPE HATTERAS WILL MOVE E ACROSS THE S WATERS THIS
MORNING...THEN PASS E OF THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON WHILE PULLING A
COLD FRONT SE OF THE WATERS. A HIGH PRES RIDGE WILL BUILD IN
FROM THE NW LATE TODAY...MOVE SE ACROSS THE N PORTION FRI AND
FRI NIGHT...THEN WEAKEN ACROSS THE CENTRAL WATERS FRI NIGHT INTO
EARLY SAT. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PASS SE ACROSS THE NRN WATERS
SAT NIGHT AND STALL ACROSS THE CENTRAL WATERS SUN. A WEAK LOW
PRES CENTER MOVES E ALONG THE FRONT SUN NIGHT. STRONGER LOW PRES
WILL THEN MOVE NE OFF THE MID ATLC COAST LATE MON.
$$
Luisport (OP)

User ID: 29774990
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12/13/2012 09:45 AM

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Re: Major 969 mb low noreaster next week to impact East Coast!!!
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
336 AM EST THU DEC 13 2012

DEZ003-004-NJZ023-024-140845-
INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
336 AM EST THU DEC 13 2012

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN DELAWARE AND
SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

MINOR TIDAL FLOODING ALSO IS POSSIBLE WITH THE FRIDAY MORNING
HIGH TIDE CYCLE.

PATCHY DENSE FOG IS POSSIBLE SUNDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

$$
Luisport (OP)

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12/13/2012 09:50 AM

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Re: Major 969 mb low noreaster next week to impact East Coast!!!
We’re now within two weeks of Christmas, but as to whether there will be snow on the ground in Washington, D.C., we’re no more confident.

There’s a lot of support for a storm coming up the East Coast next Tuesday into Wednesday. But most indications, at least right now, are that rain would be favored in the D.C. area. We’ll keep a close eye on this scenario in case the storm takes on a colder, snowier look.

Beyond that period, it may be on the dry side running up towards Christmas with somewhat colder than average conditions. We certainly can’t rule out another storm system in this stretch, but it’s timing, form, and strength is outside the range of predictability.

For its part, the GFS model continues to advertise no snow on the ground for the Washington, D.C. metro region on Christmas Day. And it shows even less snow to D.C.’s north and west compared to yesterday.
All four of its simulations show light to moderate maximum 5-day snow depths in the D.C. area with generally heavier amounts in the mountains. Of course, this model does not provide information about what portion of these maximum amounts would remain on the ground Christmas Day.

All told, I’ll stick with Dan’s assessment yesterday :the odds of having snow on the ground Christmas Day in D.C. are just slightly higher than the historical average (see above) of just over 10 percent.I’ll say 15 percent odds right now based on at least the *chance* for one or two storms that could produce snow as well as some cold weather as Christmas draws closer.


Our standard disclaimer about the model predictions above applies: these forecasts more than a week into the future are very unreliable. They have not demonstrated the ability to accurately predict the weather this far out in time.

We’re showing you the models so we can see how they evolve (i.e. do they shift snowier, less snowy, or constantly flip flop?) and then, in hindsight, evaluate how well or poorly they simulated reality.
[link to www.washingtonpost.com]
Luisport (OP)

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12/13/2012 09:52 AM

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Re: Major 969 mb low noreaster next week to impact East Coast!!!
[link to weather.unisys.com]
DoorBert

User ID: 870568
United States
12/13/2012 09:53 AM

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Re: Major 969 mb low noreaster next week to impact East Coast!!!
I'm in VT....what does it look like for me?
 Quoting: amywood71605


Latest GFS has you down for about 16"

[link to www.twisterdata.com]

GFS has the low farther east and later than EURO.

With the EURO even closer, I would say you have an excellent chance of a major dump.
Luisport (OP)

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12/13/2012 09:56 AM

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Re: Major 969 mb low noreaster next week to impact East Coast!!!
post sandy storm surge numbers......... [link to www.erh.noaa.gov]
Luisport (OP)

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12/13/2012 10:01 AM

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Re: Major 969 mb low noreaster next week to impact East Coast!!!
380. washingtonian11502:59 PM GMT em 13 de Dezembro de 2012
In the longer range after mid-weeks storm another storm comes flying in.I'm not going to get into the details.Their is still time and issues that need to be sorted out.I just know next week will be interesting.
[link to www.wunderground.com]
Anderson Pooper

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12/13/2012 11:52 AM

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Re: Major 969 mb low noreaster next week to impact East Coast!!!
Laura Bow:pajams inside out for the duration. We want snow!
Formerly Anita PooporShart & Anderson Pooper.
Luisport (OP)

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Portugal
12/13/2012 01:35 PM

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Re: Major 969 mb low noreaster next week to impact East Coast!!!
Ryan Maue @RyanMaue 2h
GFS 12z takes potential Nor'easter next week well off-shore. NYC only 0.25'' of QPF, looks to be mostly rain. [link to mobile.twitter.com (secure)]
OnTheFence

User ID: 11811014
United States
12/13/2012 02:02 PM

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Re: Major 969 mb low noreaster next week to impact East Coast!!!
*sighs* Yet another brown Christmas here in western NC. Didn't have any snow last winter at all. The last snow we had here, it was only around for 3-4 days before it melted ... and it was before Christmas. I'm not bothering to put up decorations since there's no snow again. verysad
DoorBert

User ID: 870568
United States
12/13/2012 02:19 PM

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Re: Major 969 mb low noreaster next week to impact East Coast!!!
Ryan Maue @RyanMaue 2h
GFS 12z takes potential Nor'easter next week well off-shore. NYC only 0.25'' of QPF, looks to be mostly rain. [link to mobile.twitter.com (secure)]
 Quoting: Luisport


CMC is also trending the same

However, looks like a cold snap will set in for Christmas

At 10-days, ECMWF 12z deterministic lets the Arctic air loose on the Lower-48. Dec 23rd very chilly

[link to twitter.com]
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 29766149
Russian Federation
12/13/2012 02:33 PM
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Re: Major 969 mb low noreaster next week to impact East Coast!!!
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
336 AM EST THU DEC 13 2012

DEZ003-004-NJZ023-024-140845-
INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
336 AM EST THU DEC 13 2012

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN DELAWARE AND
SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

MINOR TIDAL FLOODING ALSO IS POSSIBLE WITH THE FRIDAY MORNING
HIGH TIDE CYCLE.

PATCHY DENSE FOG IS POSSIBLE SUNDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

$$

 Quoting: Luisport


Your assumptions - what scale can achieve this disaster?
TARGET33

User ID: 25556844
United States
12/14/2012 06:31 AM
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Re: Major 969 mb low noreaster next week to impact East Coast!!!
[link to www.liveweatherblogs.com]

Here is an update on this storm.
TARGET33
Luisport (OP)

User ID: 29847592
Portugal
12/14/2012 06:37 AM

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Re: Major 969 mb low noreaster next week to impact East Coast!!!
[link to www.liveweatherblogs.com]

Here is an update on this storm.
 Quoting: TARGET33


hf Thank's!
TARGET33

User ID: 25556844
United States
12/14/2012 06:42 AM
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Re: Major 969 mb low noreaster next week to impact East Coast!!!
[link to www.liveweatherblogs.com]

Here is an update on this storm.
 Quoting: TARGET33


hf Thank's!
 Quoting: Luisport



SmileyWink

Great job Luisport on this pending storm.
TARGET33
Luisport (OP)

User ID: 29847592
Portugal
12/14/2012 06:46 AM

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Re: Major 969 mb low noreaster next week to impact East Coast!!!
[link to www.liveweatherblogs.com]

Here is an update on this storm.
 Quoting: TARGET33


hf Thank's!
 Quoting: Luisport



SmileyWink

Great job Luisport on this pending storm.
 Quoting: TARGET33


Thank you so much! Do you think it will happen? Yesterday euro model put this low well off coast...
Luisport (OP)

User ID: 29972541
Portugal
12/15/2012 01:42 PM

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Re: Major 969 mb low noreaster next week to impact East Coast!!!
ECMWF 12z doing its best for an East coast White Christmas. Very deep trough, 540 line to Atlanta +8 days. [link to mobile.twitter.com (secure)]
Luisport (OP)

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12/15/2012 01:43 PM

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Re: Major 969 mb low noreaster next week to impact East Coast!!!
Ryan Maue @RyanMaue 21h
Cold air behind this low means Lake Effect snow for Great Lakes. Big changes coming in a week. [link to mobile.twitter.com (secure)]
Luisport (OP)

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12/15/2012 01:44 PM

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Re: Major 969 mb low noreaster next week to impact East Coast!!!
Ryan Maue

@RyanMaue
Front pulls thru & low moves into Great Lakes, subtrop/swly flow from Texas +Gulf moisture sets up SE heavy rain Sunday [link to mobile.twitter.com (secure)]
abeliever

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United States
12/15/2012 11:34 PM

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Re: Major 969 mb low noreaster next week to impact East Coast!!!
Laura Bow:pajams inside out for the duration. We want snow!
 Quoting: Anderson Pooper


Pajamas inside out AND a spoon under your pillow to guarantee it!
Nyarlathotep

User ID: 20053617
United States
12/16/2012 12:07 AM

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Re: Major 969 mb low noreaster next week to impact East Coast!!!
How will this effect the SE Ohio area?
Luisport (OP)

User ID: 30126001
Portugal
12/17/2012 06:44 AM

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Re: Major 969 mb low noreaster next week to impact East Coast!!!
e Bastardi @BigJoeBastardi 5h
West coast attack 22 23, into southern plains 24-25 and to east coast 26-27 As per early Dec tweets, wild winter ride thru holidays
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 30116225
Russian Federation
12/17/2012 07:08 AM
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Re: Major 969 mb low noreaster next week to impact East Coast!!!
e Bastardi @BigJoeBastardi 5h
West coast attack 22 23, into southern plains 24-25 and to east coast 26-27 As per early Dec tweets, wild winter ride thru holidays
 Quoting: Luisport


I think that this year the opponents of the use of animal fur to moderate their activity :LoL;
Watching the world
Crypt Watcher

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12/17/2012 07:36 AM

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Re: Major 969 mb low noreaster next week to impact East Coast!!!
Thanks for keeping us posted Luisport!


Mornin'


coffee4
Ignorance is bliss until reality bites you in the ass.

I bury the dead.
Luisport (OP)

User ID: 30126001
Portugal
12/17/2012 07:36 AM

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Re: Major 969 mb low noreaster next week to impact East Coast!!!
Thanks for keeping us posted Luisport!


Mornin'


coffee4
 Quoting: Watching the world


it seams it will be across US... hiding

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