Major 969 mb low noreaster next week to impact East Coast!!!

There are still people without power from Sandy???

A Hazardous weather outlook is in effect from Maryland all they way up to Massachusetts for the potential nor'easter...

I'm in VT....what does it look like for me?

If DC is going to get rain, I wonder if we will as well. I'd rather have snow :(

LET IT SNOW!

We’re now within two weeks of Christmas, but as to whether there will be snow on the ground in Washington, D.C., we’re no more confident.

There’s a lot of support for a storm coming up the East Coast next Tuesday into Wednesday. But most indications, at least right now, are that rain would be favored in the D.C. area. We’ll keep a close eye on this scenario in case the storm takes on a colder, snowier look.

Beyond that period, it may be on the dry side running up towards Christmas with somewhat colder than average conditions. We certainly can’t rule out another storm system in this stretch, but it’s timing, form, and strength is outside the range of predictability.

For its part, the GFS model continues to advertise no snow on the ground for the Washington, D.C. metro region on Christmas Day. And it shows even less snow to D.C.’s north and west compared to yesterday.
All four of its simulations show light to moderate maximum 5-day snow depths in the D.C. area with generally heavier amounts in the mountains. Of course, this model does not provide information about what portion of these maximum amounts would remain on the ground Christmas Day.

All told, I’ll stick with Dan’s assessment yesterday :the odds of having snow on the ground Christmas Day in D.C. are just slightly higher than the historical average (see above) of just over 10 percent.I’ll say 15 percent odds right now based on at least the *chance* for one or two storms that could produce snow as well as some cold weather as Christmas draws closer.


Our standard disclaimer about the model predictions above applies: these forecasts more than a week into the future are very unreliable. They have not demonstrated the ability to accurately predict the weather this far out in time.

We’re showing you the models so we can see how they evolve (i.e. do they shift snowier, less snowy, or constantly flip flop?) and then, in hindsight, evaluate how well or poorly they simulated reality.
[link to www.washingtonpost.com]

[link to weather.unisys.com]

Latest GFS has you down for about 16"

[link to www.twisterdata.com]

GFS has the low farther east and later than EURO.

With the EURO even closer, I would say you have an excellent chance of a major dump.

post sandy storm surge numbers......... [link to www.erh.noaa.gov]

380. washingtonian11502:59 PM GMT em 13 de Dezembro de 2012
In the longer range after mid-weeks storm another storm comes flying in.I'm not going to get into the details.Their is still time and issues that need to be sorted out.I just know next week will be interesting.
[link to www.wunderground.com]

Laura Bow:pajams inside out for the duration. We want snow!

Ryan Maue @RyanMaue 2h
GFS 12z takes potential Nor'easter next week well off-shore. NYC only 0.25'' of QPF, looks to be mostly rain. [link to mobile.twitter.com (secure)]

*sighs* Yet another brown Christmas here in western NC. Didn't have any snow last winter at all. The last snow we had here, it was only around for 3-4 days before it melted ... and it was before Christmas. I'm not bothering to put up decorations since there's no snow again.

CMC is also trending the same

However, looks like a cold snap will set in for Christmas

At 10-days, ECMWF 12z deterministic lets the Arctic air loose on the Lower-48. Dec 23rd very chilly

[link to twitter.com]

Your assumptions - what scale can achieve this disaster?

[link to www.liveweatherblogs.com]

Here is an update on this storm.

Thank's!

Great job Luisport on this pending storm.

Thank you so much! Do you think it will happen? Yesterday euro model put this low well off coast...

ECMWF 12z doing its best for an East coast White Christmas. Very deep trough, 540 line to Atlanta +8 days. [link to mobile.twitter.com (secure)]

Ryan Maue @RyanMaue 21h
Cold air behind this low means Lake Effect snow for Great Lakes. Big changes coming in a week. [link to mobile.twitter.com (secure)]

Ryan Maue

@RyanMaue
Front pulls thru & low moves into Great Lakes, subtrop/swly flow from Texas +Gulf moisture sets up SE heavy rain Sunday [link to mobile.twitter.com (secure)]

Pajamas inside out AND a spoon under your pillow to guarantee it!

How will this effect the SE Ohio area?

e Bastardi @BigJoeBastardi 5h
West coast attack 22 23, into southern plains 24-25 and to east coast 26-27 As per early Dec tweets, wild winter ride thru holidays

I think that this year the opponents of the use of animal fur to moderate their activity :LoL;

Thanks for keeping us posted Luisport!


Mornin'

it seams it will be across US...