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Possibly significant sunspot set to face Earth on December 21

 
Anonymous Coward
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12/16/2012 02:43 PM
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Possibly significant sunspot set to face Earth on December 21
While the sunspot has not produced any significant flares, according to its appearance it current has a 16% chance of producing an M-flare, a 10% of X-flare. The probabilities have been growing recently (updated every 15 min).
[link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk]
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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12/16/2012 02:51 PM
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Re: Possibly significant sunspot set to face Earth on December 21
The probability has fallen to 11% M and 4% X. If anyone has a better forecasting system, please post.

Details about the sunspot:
A bipolar sunspot group with penumbra on both ends. Longitudinal extent exceeds 10 deg. but not 15 deg.

small, asymmetric. Penumbra of the largest spot is irregular in outline and the multiple umbra within it are separated. The north-south diameter across the penumbra is less or equal than 2.5 degrees.

open. Few, if any, spots between leader and follower. Interior spots of very small size. Class E and F groups of 'open' category are equivalent to Zurich class G.
Anonymous Coward
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12/16/2012 02:52 PM
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Re: Possibly significant sunspot set to face Earth on December 21
looks to be in a triangle formation...three sun spots at each point....
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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12/16/2012 02:53 PM
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Re: Possibly significant sunspot set to face Earth on December 21
(NOTE) They are referring to the eruption probabilities of the entire group and treating it as a single sunspot.
Anonymous Coward
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12/16/2012 02:55 PM
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Re: Possibly significant sunspot set to face Earth on December 21
i think dec 21 will be a mega flare that knocks out the grid, people nnot having electricty will create the doomsday and a new consciousness to emerge
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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12/16/2012 02:56 PM
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Re: Possibly significant sunspot set to face Earth on December 21
A sun flare is one of the more probable events that will occur on 12/21.
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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12/16/2012 02:59 PM
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Re: Possibly significant sunspot set to face Earth on December 21
up to 16/10% and changed last one to...
intermediate. Numerous spots lie between the leading and following portions of the group, but none of them possesses mature penumbra.
Uncle Alyosha

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12/17/2012 07:38 PM
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Re: Possibly significant sunspot set to face Earth on December 21
The triangular shape of this sunspot complex offers a nice touch, doncha think???
Best Wishes,
Uncle Alyosha

And here's a GLP-appropriate Bible verse (atheists may read, too):

God chose what is foolish in the world to shame the wise, God chose what is weak in the world to shame the strong.

- 1 Corinthians 1:27

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