Historical Asian cold-vortex will test -70°F in 5-days!!! | |
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| Anonymous Coward User ID: 30116225 12/17/2012 07:06 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Guys from Oymyakon will probably say "Oh nice, a warm front!" ![]() It remains to hope on the 21 December an extreme solar flare class, which all melt and all the warm ![]() |
| Luisport (OP) User ID: 30126001 12/17/2012 07:06 AM ![]() Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Guys from Oymyakon will probably say "Oh nice, a warm front!" ![]() It remains to hope on the 21 December an extreme solar flare class, which all melt and all the warm ![]() |
| AtsuiPanda o.o User ID: 16510251 12/17/2012 07:08 AM ![]() Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | OMG thats cold ![]() If you're going through hell, keep going. "Dude sucking at something is the first step to becoming sorta good at something - Jake the dog" However many holy words you read, however many you speak, what good will they do you if you do not act on upon them? Buddha |
| Judethz Israel is Eternal User ID: 20521597 12/17/2012 08:39 AM ![]() Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | -70 I'd be piling everything else on. I've read a few books about Napoleon's retreat from Moscow and that sure wasn't much fun. |
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| Angel Helper User ID: 283243 12/17/2012 10:02 AM ![]() Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Ryan Maue @RyanMaue 6h Quoting: Luisport As historical Asian cold-vortex pushed east, parts of Siberia will test -70°F in 5-days. [link to mobile.twitter.com (secure)] Merry Christmas, Luisport!! Thank you for always posting interesting and important theads!! Are you and family going to the Shrine for Christmas? Do they have a midnight mass there?? If so, can I send you a petition to bring there for me? Thank you Hugs and more hugs Live and let live, for we all have our own lessons to learn. |
| Luisport (OP) User ID: 30126001 12/17/2012 10:11 AM ![]() Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Ryan Maue @RyanMaue 6h Quoting: Luisport As historical Asian cold-vortex pushed east, parts of Siberia will test -70°F in 5-days. [link to mobile.twitter.com (secure)] Merry Christmas, Luisport!! Thank you for always posting interesting and important theads!! Are you and family going to the Shrine for Christmas? Do they have a midnight mass there?? If so, can I send you a petition to bring there for me? Thank you Hugs and more hugs you can allways send me any petition... we go to our local church for midnight mess, but the new year passage we go to the shrine. |
| Luisport (OP) User ID: 30126001 12/17/2012 10:18 AM ![]() Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | The long-term trends point to the interesting possibility of a collapse of the polar vortex, perhaps in a very "explosive". Analyzing the temperature anomalies to the surface of the sea, and at some points mainland, we can get a sense of the overall pattern that has preponderado over the past few weeks: According to the letter today: This image has been resized. Click this bar to view the image in its original size: 1174x768 and 224KB. The red Blue-B Purple-Lock We have been observing a growing trend of locks mixed in Asia, and locks on anticyclonic regions of the NE Atlantic / Canada / Greenland. In the Pacific the strengthening of positive temperature anomalies in Ecuador teem strengthened quite a blocking anticyclone near the antimeridiano of Greewich, and this has resulted in an overall pattern of cold air to accumulate in the tracks north America, extending from Alaska to regões W American as a strengthening of the Siberian AT, with negative anomalies in good portions of Asia. On the other hand there has been an accumulation of energy in the central Pacific and the Atlantic Central and NE. Blocking extensive in Asia should, according to the GFS result in a gradual distortion of the polar vortex: This is because of the movement disorganized (Jet to "jumps" in the Troposphere) generates friction with the height of the vortex circulation, which heats and distorts the movement in time ... the air is thin as a small input of energy by friction can heat the air mass at several tens of degrees in a short time. It happens that this warming on Asia tends to vortice roper in the region, promoting a more stable atmosphere, it cools more power and strengthening the AT Siberian. The asia will freeze in the coming weeks so ... On the other hand if the Pacific continues to warm, and circulation hemieferica vai pushing cold air from Siberia to the Pacific ... there should be an intensification of cyclogenesis in Japan, which promote a chain reaction to be locking in Paficico, and to be more warming Stratospheric progressing on the Pacific. Well ... this will destabilize the polar vortex and may be that atinga a limit under which it start to disintegrate ... The current standard promotes a distribution of such Thermal anomalies which is very favorable for an episode of collapse and vortice negativization extreme AO, sometime in January. If this happens there should be a large destabilization of the Hemisphere atmospheric circulation, creating a very complex situation but possibly favorable to the occurrence of a period of time moved more about our range Subtropical. This sketch shows the tendency that can develop after rupture of VP: This image has been resized. Click this bar to view the image in its original size: 1174x768 and 225KB. But it's only a sketch, because in essence these events lead to unpredictable situations ... this letter shows what tend to be more expressive when it comes to default based on the distribution of the regions where it has manifested a greater accumulation of energy or cold ... the border points usually give us an idea of the type of flows and synoptic type that tends is easier to develop a region. Summarizing the thing ... I think qie January may be one month very active, with lots of precipitation and below average temperatures tend. [link to www.meteopt.com] |
| Luisport (OP) User ID: 30126001 12/17/2012 10:28 AM ![]() Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Luisport (OP) User ID: 30126001 12/17/2012 11:01 AM ![]() Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | The long-term trends point to the interesting possibility of a collapse of the polar vortex, perhaps in a very "explosive". Quoting: Luisport Analyzing the temperature anomalies to the surface of the sea, and at some points mainland, we can get a sense of the overall pattern that has preponderado over the past few weeks: According to the letter today: This image has been resized. Click this bar to view the image in its original size: 1174x768 and 224KB. The red Blue-B Purple-Lock We have been observing a growing trend of locks mixed in Asia, and locks on anticyclonic regions of the NE Atlantic / Canada / Greenland. In the Pacific the strengthening of positive temperature anomalies in Ecuador teem strengthened quite a blocking anticyclone near the antimeridiano of Greewich, and this has resulted in an overall pattern of cold air to accumulate in the tracks north America, extending from Alaska to regões W American as a strengthening of the Siberian AT, with negative anomalies in good portions of Asia. On the other hand there has been an accumulation of energy in the central Pacific and the Atlantic Central and NE. Blocking extensive in Asia should, according to the GFS result in a gradual distortion of the polar vortex: This is because of the movement disorganized (Jet to "jumps" in the Troposphere) generates friction with the height of the vortex circulation, which heats and distorts the movement in time ... the air is thin as a small input of energy by friction can heat the air mass at several tens of degrees in a short time. It happens that this warming on Asia tends to vortice roper in the region, promoting a more stable atmosphere, it cools more power and strengthening the AT Siberian. The asia will freeze in the coming weeks so ... On the other hand if the Pacific continues to warm, and circulation hemieferica vai pushing cold air from Siberia to the Pacific ... there should be an intensification of cyclogenesis in Japan, which promote a chain reaction to be locking in Paficico, and to be more warming Stratospheric progressing on the Pacific. Well ... this will destabilize the polar vortex and may be that atinga a limit under which it start to disintegrate ... The current standard promotes a distribution of such Thermal anomalies which is very favorable for an episode of collapse and vortice negativization extreme AO, sometime in January. If this happens there should be a large destabilization of the Hemisphere atmospheric circulation, creating a very complex situation but possibly favorable to the occurrence of a period of time moved more about our range Subtropical. This sketch shows the tendency that can develop after rupture of VP: This image has been resized. Click this bar to view the image in its original size: 1174x768 and 225KB. But it's only a sketch, because in essence these events lead to unpredictable situations ... this letter shows what tend to be more expressive when it comes to default based on the distribution of the regions where it has manifested a greater accumulation of energy or cold ... the border points usually give us an idea of the type of flows and synoptic type that tends is easier to develop a region. Summarizing the thing ... I think qie January may be one month very active, with lots of precipitation and below average temperatures tend. [link to www.meteopt.com] ![]() ![]() ![]() |
| Luisport (OP) User ID: 30126001 12/17/2012 11:43 AM ![]() Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | A sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) is an event where the polar vortex of westerly winds in the winter hemisphere abruptly (i.e. over the course of a few days) slows down or even reverses direction, accompanied by a rise of stratospheric temperature by several tens of kelvins. This is considered to be the most dramatic meteorological event in the stratosphere. [link to en.wikipedia.org] |
| Luisport (OP) User ID: 30126001 12/17/2012 11:44 AM ![]() Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Classification and description Typically stratospheric meteorologists classify the vortex breakdown into three categories: major, minor, and final. Sometimes a fourth category, the Canadian warming, is included because of its unique and distinguishing structure and evolution. [edit] Major These occur when the westerly winds at 60N and 10hPa (geopotential height) reverse, i.e. become easterly. A complete disruption of the polar vortex is observed and the vortex will either be split into daughter vortices, or displaced from its normal location over the pole. According to the World Meteorological Organization's Commission for Atmospheric Sciences (Mclnturff, 1978): a stratospheric warming can be said to be major if 10 mb or below the latitudinal mean temperature increases poleward from 60 degree latitude and an associated circulation reversal is observed (that is, the prevailing mean westerly winds poleward of 60 latitude are succeeded by mean easterlies in the same area). [edit] Minor Minor warmings are similar to major warmings however they are less dramatic, the westerly winds are slowed, however do not reverse. Therefore a breakdown of the vortex is never observed. Mclnturff states: a stratospheric warming is called minor if a significant temperature increase is observed (that is, at least 25 degrees in a period of week or less) at any stratospheric level in any area of winter time hemisphere. The polar vortex is not broken down and the wind reversal from westerly to easterly is less extensive. [edit] Final The radiative cycle in the stratosphere means that during winter the mean flow is westerly and during summer it is easterly (westward). A final warming occurs on this transition, so that the polar vortex winds change direction for the warming, however do not change back until the following winter. This is because the stratosphere has entered the summer easterly phase. It is final because another warming cannot occur over the summer, so it is the final warming of the current winter. [link to en.wikipedia.org] |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 15848273 12/17/2012 11:48 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Holly shit ! I have complete winter gear with Merino wool inner layers, polartec middle layers and down jacket for the outer layer...but at that temperature I don't think any of it would help ! You need special eye protection gear in order to keep your eyes from freezing at such a low temperature, clothes alone just won't cut it ! |
| Luisport (OP) User ID: 30126001 12/17/2012 11:50 AM ![]() Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Holly shit ! I have complete winter gear with Merino wool inner layers, polartec middle layers and down jacket for the outer layer...but at that temperature I don't think any of it would help ! You need special eye protection gear in order to keep your eyes from freezing at such a low temperature, clothes alone just won't cut it ! Geeezzzzzzzzzzzzz |
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| Anonymous Coward User ID: 30134456 12/17/2012 01:22 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | The long-term trends point to the interesting possibility of a collapse of the polar vortex, perhaps in a very "explosive". Quoting: Luisport Analyzing the temperature anomalies to the surface of the sea, and at some points mainland, we can get a sense of the overall pattern that has preponderado over the past few weeks: According to the letter today: This image has been resized. Click this bar to view the image in its original size: 1174x768 and 224KB. The red Blue-B Purple-Lock We have been observing a growing trend of locks mixed in Asia, and locks on anticyclonic regions of the NE Atlantic / Canada / Greenland. In the Pacific the strengthening of positive temperature anomalies in Ecuador teem strengthened quite a blocking anticyclone near the antimeridiano of Greewich, and this has resulted in an overall pattern of cold air to accumulate in the tracks north America, extending from Alaska to regões W American as a strengthening of the Siberian AT, with negative anomalies in good portions of Asia. On the other hand there has been an accumulation of energy in the central Pacific and the Atlantic Central and NE. Blocking extensive in Asia should, according to the GFS result in a gradual distortion of the polar vortex: This is because of the movement disorganized (Jet to "jumps" in the Troposphere) generates friction with the height of the vortex circulation, which heats and distorts the movement in time ... the air is thin as a small input of energy by friction can heat the air mass at several tens of degrees in a short time. It happens that this warming on Asia tends to vortice roper in the region, promoting a more stable atmosphere, it cools more power and strengthening the AT Siberian. The asia will freeze in the coming weeks so ... On the other hand if the Pacific continues to warm, and circulation hemieferica vai pushing cold air from Siberia to the Pacific ... there should be an intensification of cyclogenesis in Japan, which promote a chain reaction to be locking in Paficico, and to be more warming Stratospheric progressing on the Pacific. Well ... this will destabilize the polar vortex and may be that atinga a limit under which it start to disintegrate ... The current standard promotes a distribution of such Thermal anomalies which is very favorable for an episode of collapse and vortice negativization extreme AO, sometime in January. If this happens there should be a large destabilization of the Hemisphere atmospheric circulation, creating a very complex situation but possibly favorable to the occurrence of a period of time moved more about our range Subtropical. This sketch shows the tendency that can develop after rupture of VP: This image has been resized. Click this bar to view the image in its original size: 1174x768 and 225KB. But it's only a sketch, because in essence these events lead to unpredictable situations ... this letter shows what tend to be more expressive when it comes to default based on the distribution of the regions where it has manifested a greater accumulation of energy or cold ... the border points usually give us an idea of the type of flows and synoptic type that tends is easier to develop a region. Summarizing the thing ... I think qie January may be one month very active, with lots of precipitation and below average temperatures tend. [link to www.meteopt.com] ![]() Interesting point of view, but... I guess January weather will even more unpredictable then we expect now |
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