THE MOTHER OF ALL WINTER STORMS IN 10 DAYS!!! 991 mb w/near hurricane force winds at ~1500 feet funneling west along L.I. into NYC!!!

[link to www.weatherbell.com]

[link to www.weatherbell.com]

Joe Bastardi‏@BigJoeBastardi

In any case great pattern Next storm starts in plains 28th. reaches east coast by 30th #winterisforreal

Joe Bastardi‏@BigJoeBastardi

ecmwf now has snow all the way into ne Texas on Christmas day, heavy snow swath on euro in line with weatherbell ideas. GFS overwarmed imo

Yeah. Me too.

Suddenly CT has become a shit magnet for everything.

NYC here, and that sux! Please, not again. I surrender as I lift the white flag!

It's noon here in Kentucky but at about 8am it hailed. Its still on the ground for the most part. Small hail about the size of M'Ms candy.

Joe Bastardi‏@BigJoeBastardi

Brazilian ensembles show the start of a long cold winter on the way for midwest. Chicago not above -3C much of time [link to twitter.com]

19 minJoe Bastardi‏@BigJoeBastardi

GFS snow by Christmas, swath with storm after. Think that axis will shift southeast about 150 miles toward ecmwf 00z [link to twitter.com]

This should be an interesting storm..That 992 MB forecast pressure is fairly potent for being that far south... [link to raleighwx.americanwx.com]

Never seen this before... [link to www.haarpstatus.com] huge red area... from my experience it is almost always related to extreme weather

Last Edited by Veresanctus on 12/23/2012 03:04 PM

M6 - M9 - Significant change is expected. Anything over M7 is rare and special attention must be directed when readings go seven and higher. Severe storms are associated with this reading, which if a short spike can be a nearby event and a long duration and slow build being a large scale change.
Geeezzzzzzzz this is very very bad!!!

I agree, this is not looking good at all

Also consider this, cold weather has been known to release tectonic/fault pressure and allow movement.

Last Edited by Veresanctus on 12/23/2012 03:13 PM

Ryan Maue‏@RyanMaue

Limbaugh's hometown Cape Girardeau, Missouri, plenty of snow & cold for next week. [link to twitter.com]

Potential is on the rise for a winter storm around December 30th into New Year's. Above is the ECMWF model's 500mb height anomaly forecast for the evening of December 28th. In areas of blues and greens, lower pressure is observed, hence the term of a low pressure system. Warm colors depict the presence of a high pressure system. The storm system we are watching is in Oklahoma/Texas at the moment.

Note the presence of a Rex Block in the West. A Rex Block involves high pressure in the Pacific Northwest and low pressure in the Southwest or just offshore of the region. When the Rex Block is in place, the southern jet stream amplifies, and high pressure will attempt to form in the East US in response to the increasing number of storm systems passing through the South Plains. In this forecast, the high pressure system is based in southern Canada, not the waters off of the Southeast, so a move into the Ohio Valley is not as likely as you may think.

On the evening of December 29th, we see the storm system has actually moved slightly to the northeast and has separated into two low pressure systems. One is based in Michigan, the other based in Missouri. If we count in the Fujiwhara Effect, these two systems should continue a motion to either the east northeast or plain northeast.

For those unfamiliar with the term, the Fujiwhara effect involves two cyclones that begin to orbit each other. This is not unlike the phenomenon of a binary solar system, but the two suns orbit each other rather than planets orbit the suns. If the Fujiwhara Effect does happen to evolve into this situation, I could see the Missouri system moving east northeast, and the Michigan system slightly retrograding or moving east to wait for the Missouri system to catch up.

The ECMWF Ensembles show a similar situation, but more to the north:

Evening of December 28


Evening of December 29
The ECMWF model shows snowfall as being confined to the Midwest (IL, WI, east IA, north MO) on the order of 3-6 inches. Do not use the heavy amounts in the Northeast or Ohio Valley here, that snow is for the Dec. 25-27 storm.

Those of you who have followed me for a while know how I use a pattern called the Lezak Recurring Cycle (LRC). This involves a pattern setting up every year that has repetitions, called cycles. Each cycle happens every 40-60 days. The below image shows the observed 500mb height anomalies on November 7th, about 53 days from January 1st. This year's cycle length is 53 days, meaning that this system does fit into the pattern.

Andrew [link to theweathercentre.blogspot.de]

Pinned you Luisport!

5 stars for all of your effort on this my friend!

Thank you so much my friend!

This deserves a red pin! This is a real threat!

always have some alternative power

Getting very windy here in the south coast of the UK.

Hi Luisport! As always, thanks for the heads up. I'm driving from NJ to Western Pa (near Ohio), on the 27th, will be there thru the 31st. Lots of snow for us?

yes... [link to twitter.com]

Stock Exchange will be under 10 feet of water according to my prediction of this model. OR 20 feet. It's still too early to say whether it will be 30 feet or 40.

southwest ohio here, and there is nothing significant in our forecast. If a storm comes out of the blue though, we'll know why.

wut? nu-uhhh.......

I sure hope that we get some cold here in North Carolina, this 60 degree weather just is not normal. I like winter time and the cold and so far very little cold this year. In fact last week we were all wearing shorts it was in the high 70s and had AC on.

Portugal just started getting windy as hell!! South, south/west winds. Here we go again...!

That website had the NY/NJ area in white during Sandy. When that red turns to white; watch out

Forget Mayan doom its going to be weather doom

feel like the movie "Day After Tomorrow"